May 31st Simulations

Coming Alive ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rockies	Dodgers	C.Mortensen vs T.Lilly	Dodgers	53.16%	50.90%	LAN 8-2
Giants	Cardinals	R.Vogelsong vs C.Carpenter	Cardinals	61.46%	60.32%	STL 4-3
Padres	Braves	M.Latos vs M.Minor	Braves	53.38%	51.99%	SD 5-4
Indians	Blue Jays	M.Talbot vs B.Morrow	Blue Jays	62.05%	62.29%	CLE 6-3
Rangers	Rays	C.Wilson vs A.Cobb	Rangers	55.06%	55.62%	TB 5-4
Marlins	DBacks	A.Sanchez vs I.Kennedy	DBacks	54.44%	53.93%	FLA 5-2
Pirates	Mets	J.McDonald vs R.Dickey	Mets	53.81%	55.13%	PIT 5-1
Angels	Royals	J.Pineiro vs J.Francis	Angels	51.81%	52.03%	KC 7-3
Astros	Cubs	J.Lyles vs C.Zambrano	Cubs	62.19%	64.77%	HOU 7-3
Twins	Tigers	B.Duensing vs M.Scherzer	Tigers	63.30%	62.07%	DET 8-7
White Sox	Red Sox	P.Humber vs A.Aceves	Red Sox	61.24%	57.17%	CHA 10-7
Brewers	Reds	Z.Greinke vs C.Reineke	Reds	55.06%	53.05%	MIL 7-2
Phillies	Nationals	C.Lee vs J.Marquis	Phillies	62.48%	62.33%	WAS 10-2
Yankees	Athletics	F.Garcia vs B.Anderson	Athletics	55.46%	61.60%	NYA 10-3
Orioles	Mariners	J.Guthrie vs E.Bedard	Mariners	56.43%	52.19%	SEA 3-2

Run Total Picks of The Day!
TEX vs TB, Under 8.5 -120, 2.9 units LOSS
CLE vs TOR, Under 8.5 -110, 1.9 units LOSS
MIN vs DET, Under 8.5 -108, 1.5 units LOSS
NYA vs OAK, Under 7 +113, 3.1 units LOSS
SD vs ATL, Over 7 -117, 2.2 units WIN
FLA vs ARI, Over 8 -110, 1.1 units LOSS
COL vs LAN, Over 7 -128, 2.0 units WIN
Daily Profit: -7.0 units

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May 30th Simulations

I Heart USA ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rockies	Dodgers	J.Hammel vs C.Billingsley	Dodgers	52.38%	53.11%	LAN 7-1
Marlins	DBacks	C.Volstad vs J.Saunders	DBacks	54.55%	49.58%	ARI 15-4
Indians	Blue Jays	F.Carmona vs J.Reyes	Blue Jays	51.22%	52.66%	TOR 11-1
Brewers	Reds	C.Narveson vs T.Wood	Reds	51.46%	62.27%	CIN 7-3
Twins	Tigers	N.Blackburn vs B.Penny	Tigers	57.08%	62.10%	DET 6-5
Yankees	Athletics	B.Colon vs T.Cahill	Athletics	51.46%	50.27%	NYA 5-0
Phillies	Nationals	R.Halladay vs L.Hernandez	Phillies	64.91%	62.74%	PHI 5-4
Rangers	Rays	D.Holland vs W.Davis	Rays	51.22%	46.39%	TEX 11-5
Giants	Cardinals	M.Bumgarner vs K.McClellan	Cardinals	58.51%	50.15%	SF 7-3
White Sox	Red Sox	J.Peavy vs J.Lester	Red Sox	64.29%	64.08%	CHA 7-3
Angels	Royals	E.Santana vs L.Hochevar	Angels	51.22%	58.08%	LAA 10-8
Padres	Braves	A.Harang vs T.Hudson	Braves	62.69%	58.11%	SD 3-2
Orioles	Mariners	J.Arrieta vs D.Fister	Mariners	51.69%	57.18%	SEA 4-3
Astros	Cubs	A.Rodriguez vs R.Lopez	Cubs	58.33%	57.21%	HOU 12-7
Pirates	Mets	C.Morton vs D.Gee	Mets	52.15%	56.92%	NYN 7-3

Run Total Picks of The Day!
No bets today. Day off.
Daily Profit: NA

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May 29th Simulations

Burn Baby Burn ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Marlins	Dodgers	R.Nolasco vs C.Kershaw	Dodgers	55.85%	59.26%	LAN 8-0
Royals	Rangers	D.Duffy vs A.Ogando	Rangers	67.74%	68.16%	TEX 7-6
Red Sox	Tigers	J.Beckett vs J.Verlander	Tigers	62.26%	48.42%	DET 3-0
Phillies	Mets	V.Worley vs J.Niese	Phillies	51.81%	43.37%	NYN 9-5
Pirates	Cubs	J.Karstens vs R.Dempster	Cubs	56.62%	60.22%	CHN 3-2
White Sox	Blue Jays	J.Danks vs R.Romero	Blue Jays	59.76%	55.36%	TOR 13-4
Padres	Nationals	D.Moseley vs Y.Maya	Nationals	51.34%	51.53%	SD 5-4
Orioles	Athletics	Z.Britton vs G.Moscoso	Athletics	52.04%	51.12%	OAK 6-4
Red Sox	Tigers	C.Buchholz vs A.Oliver	Red Sox	52.38%	52.18%	BOS 4-3
DBacks	Astros	J.Collmenter vs J.Happ	DBacks	54.85%	53.95%	ARI 4-2
Reds	Braves	J.Cueto vs J.Jurrjens	Braves	57.36%	53.74%	ATL 2-1
Indians	Rays	J.Masterson vs J.Hellickson	Rays	57.54%	50.90%	TB 7-0
Yankees	Mariners	C.Sabathia vs J.Vargas	Yankees	59.27%	60.36%	NYA 7-1
Angels	Twins	D.Haren vs C.Pavano	Angels	57.54%	57.26%	LAA 6-5
Giants	Brewers	M.Cain vs Y.Gallardo	Brewers	56.99%	50.25%	MIL 6-0
Cardinals	Rockies	K.Lohse vs J.Chacin	Rockies	55.46%	54.79%	STL 4-3

Run Total Picks of The Day!
PHI vs NYN, Under 7.5 -110, bet 0.7 units. LOSS
SD vs WAS, Over 8 +107, bet 0.5 units. WIN
SF vs MIL, Over 7 -106, bet 0.4 units. LOSS
CIN vs ATL, Under 7.5 -117, bet 0.7 units. WIN
CLE vs TB, Under 7.5 +102, bet 0.3 units. WIN
KC vs TEX, Over 9 +100, bet 1.1 units. WIN
Daily Profit: 1.5 units

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May 28th Simulations

Six Games Out, Six Feet Under? ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Marlins	Dodgers	B.Sanches vs H.Kuroda	Dodgers	54.85%	59.79%	FLA 6-1
Reds	Braves	B.Arroyo vs D.Lowe	Braves	58.76%	54.06%	ATL 7-6
Orioles	Athletics	B.Bergesen vs J.Outman	Athletics	57.17%	52.87%	OAK 4-2
Giants	Brewers	J.Sanchez vs R.Wolf	Giants	56.62%	53.33%	MIL 4-3
Cardinals	Rockies	J.Garcia vs J.Nicasio	Cardinals	54.44%	58.06%	ARI 11-3
Royals	Rangers	S.O'Sullivan vs M.Harrison	Rangers	64.48%	66.65%	TEX 10-1
Pirates	Cubs	P.Maholm vs R.Wells	Cubs	56.24%	52.53%	PIT 10-0
Yankees	Mariners	I.Nova vs F.Hernandez	Mariners	56.04%	55.53%	SEA 5-4
DBacks	Astros	Z.Duke vs B.Norris	Astros	53.27%	58.13%	ARI 11-3
Red Sox	Tigers	C.Buchholz vs A.Oliver	Red Sox	57.72%	51.68%	Ppd.
Padres	Nationals	T.Stauffer vs J.Zimmerman	Nationals	56.24%	51.23%	SD 2-1
Indians	Rays	C.Carrasco vs J.Shields	Rays	63.44%	57.78%	CLE 7-3
Phillies	Mets	C.Hamels vs M.Pelfrey	Phillies	59.76%	59.01%	PHI 5-2
White Sox	Blue Jays	E.Jackson vs C.Villanueva	White Sox	53.38%	54.17%	TOR 9-8
Angels	Twins	J.Weaver vs A.Swarzak	Angels	61.54%	61.80%	MIN 1-0

Run Total Picks of The Day!
FLA vs LAN, Over 7 -105, bet 0.5 units. PUSH
KC vs TEX, Over 9.5 -113, bet 2.2 units. WIN
BAL vs OAK, Under 7.5 -101, bet 0.5 units. WIN
Daily Profit: 2.5 units

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May 27th Simulations

Return Of The Walking Wounded ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Marlins	Dodgers	J.Vazquez vs J.Garland	Dodgers	52.49%	57.78%	LAN 3-2
Indians	Rays	J.Tomlin vs D.Price	Rays	60.86%	63.28%	TB 5-0
Orioles	Athletics	C.Tillman vs G.Gonzalez	Athletics	61.31%	61.16%	OAK 6-2
Padres	Nationals	C.Richard vs J.Lannan	Nationals	54.65%	52.71%	WAS 2-1
Angels	Twins	T.Chatwood vs S.Baker	Twins	55.06%	53.14%	LAA 6-5
Phillies	Mets	R.Oswalt vs C.Capuano	Phillies	55.65%	58.31%	PHI 6-3
Giants	Brewers	T.Lincecum vs S.Marcum	Brewers	51.57%	47.92%	SF 5-4
Red Sox	Tigers	T.Wakefield vs R.Porcello	Tigers	52.27%	51.11%	BOS 6-3
Royals	Rangers	N.Adcock vs C.Lewis	Rangers	66.10%	66.24%	KC 12-7
Pirates	Cubs	K.Correia vs D.Davis	Cubs	50.62%	57.62%	PIT 4-2
Cardinals	Rockies	J.Westbrook vs U.Jimenez	Rockies	59.76%	58.53%	STL 10-3
Reds	Braves	M.Leake vs T.Hanson	Braves	60.71%	56.86%	CIN 5-1
DBacks	Astros	D.Hudson vs B.Myers	DBacks	52.72%	57.19%	ARI 7-6
Yankees	Mariners	A.Burnett vs M.Pineda	Mariners	52.27%	55.39%	SEA 4-3
White Sox	Blue Jays	M.Buehrle vs K.Drabek	Blue Jays	56.24%	46.69%	TOR 4-2

Run Total Picks of The Day!
BAL vs OAK, Under 7 -110, bet 0.6 units. LOSS
PHI vs NYN, Under 7 +110, bet 1.7 units. LOSS
KC vs TEX, Over 9 -120, bet 3.4 units. WIN
CIN vs ATL, Under 7.5 -110, bet 2.0 units. WIN
CHA vs TOR, Under 8.5 -110, bet 2.1 units. WIN
Daily Profit: 4.2 units

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May 26th Simulations

Off Day, Off Season ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Athletics	Angels	B.Anderson vs J.Pineiro	Athletics	50.62%	59.59%	OAK 4-3
Royals	Orioles	J.Francis vs J.Guthrie	Orioles	57.36%	55.59%	BAL 6-5
White Sox	Blue Jays	P.Humber vs B.Morrow	Blue Jays	56.43%	56.77%	CHA 3-1
Reds	Phillies	H.Bailey vs C.Lee	Phillies	59.76%	60.40%	PHI 10-4
Mets	Cubs	R.Dickey vs C.Zambrano	Cubs	58.42%	56.95%	CHN 9-3
Marlins	Giants	A.Sanchez vs R.Vogelsong	Giants	50.62%	55.98%	FLA 1-0
Red Sox	Tigers	A.Aceves vs M.Scherzer	Tigers	52.49%	53.89%	BOS 14-1
DBacks	Rockies	M.Owings vs C.Mortensen	Rockies	60.40%	63.39%	ARI 6-3

Run Total Picks of The Day!
CIN vs PHI, Under 7 +110, bet 4.4 units. LOSS
CHA vs TOR, Under 8 -108, bet 7.3 units. WIN
KC vs BAL, Over 8.5 +100, bet 5.8 units. WIN
Daily Profit: +7.8 unitsTBD

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May 25th Simulations

Sands and Guera Rub Astros The Right Way ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Astros	T.Lilly vs A.Rodriguez	Dodgers	53.81%	52.42%	HOU 2-1
Red Sox	Indians	J.Lester vs M.Talbot	Red Sox	61.17%	57.33%	BOS 14-2
Mets	Cubs	D.Gee vs C.Coleman	Mets	50.62%	48.90%	NYN 7-4
Royals	Orioles	L.Hochevar vs J.Arrieta	Orioles	63.30%	63.37%	BAL 9-2
Cardinals	Padres	C.Carpenter vs M.Latos	Cardinals	53.60%	53.39%	SD 3-1
Athletics	Angels	T.Cahill vs E.Santana	Athletics	50.62%	53.12%	LAA 4-1
Reds	Phillies	T.Wood vs R.Halladay	Phillies	64.85%	58.25%	PHI 5-4
Marlins	Giants	C.Volstad vs M.Bumgarner	Giants	57.89%	66.35%	FLA 7-6
Rays	Tigers	A.Sonnanstine vs B.Penny	Tigers	56.99%	53.29%	Ppd.
Braves	Pirates	M.Minor vs J.McDonald	Braves	50.62%	48.38%	ATL 4-2
Blue Jays	Yankees	J.Reyes vs F.Garcia	Yankees	62.05%	58.62%	NYA 7-3
Nationals	Brewers	J.Marquis vs Z.Greinke	Brewers	62.48%	58.32%	MIL 6-4
DBacks	Rockies	I.Kennedy vs J.Hammel	Rockies	53.38%	60.59%	ARI 2-1
White Sox	Rangers	G.Floyd vs C.Wilson	Rangers	58.42%	62.81%	TEX 2-1
Mariners	Twins	E.Bedard vs B.Duensing	Mariners	50.62%	47.00%	SEA 3-0

Run Total Picks of The Day!
CIN vs PHI, Under 7 -105, bet 4.9 units.
TOR vs NYA, Under 9 +102, bet 1.7 units. LOSS
CHA vs TEX, Under 8.5 -103, bet 2.2 units. WIN
OAK vs LAA, Over 6.5 -120, bet 2.2 units. Loss
Daily Profit: TBD

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May 24th Simulations

Chicks Dig The Blown Save! ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Astros	C.Billingsley vs J.Happ	Dodgers	54.44%	54.69%	LAN 5-4
Marlins	Giants	R.Nolasco vs M.Cain	Giants	55.85%	61.803	FLA 5-1
Mariners	Twins	D.Fister vs N.Blackburn	Twins	52.04%	46.53%	MIN 4-2
Reds	Phillies	J.Cueto vs V.Worley	Phillies	51.10%	46.36%	CIN 6-3
Blue Jays	Yankees	R.Romero vs C.Sabathia	Yankees	62.62%	70.44%	NYA 5-4
Nationals	Brewers	L.Hernandez vs C.Narveson	Brewers	59.92%	59.25%	MIL 7-6
Braves	Pirates	J.Jurrjens vs C.Morton	Braves	54.65%	52.01%	ATL 2-0
Royals	Orioles	D.Duffy vs Z.Britton	Orioles	60.86%	62.54%	BAL 5-3
Rays	Tigers	W.Davis vs J.Verlander	Tigers	61.01%	60.30%	DET 7-6
Athletics	Angels	G.Moscoso vs D.Haren	Angels	65.40%	60.80%	OAK 6-1
White Sox	Rangers	J.Peavy vs D.Holland	Rangers	53.60%	63.00%	CHA 8-6
Mets	Cubs	J.Niese vs R.Dempster	Cubs	53.60%	53.00%	CHN 11-1
Cardinals	Padres	K.McClellan vs A.Harang	Cardinals	54.65%	51.94%	STL 3-2
Red Sox	Indians	J.Beckett vs F.Carmona	Red Sox	56.24%	56.18%	BOS 4-2

Run Total Picks of The Day!
SEA vs MIN, Under 7.5 +110, bet 0.7 units. WIN
CIN vs PHI, Under 8 +100, bet 1.0 units. LOSS
TOR vs NYA, Under 8 -115, bet 0.9 units. LOSS
WAS vs MIL, Under 8 -105, bet 1.2 units. LOSS
CHA vs TEX, Under 8.5 +120, bet 1.7 units. LOSS
KC vs BAL, Over 8 -122, bet 1.2 units. PUSH
Daily Profit: -4.0 units

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May 23rd Simulation

Banged Up ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Astros	C.Kershaw vs B.Norris	Dodgers	55.46%	51.59%	HOU 4-3
Mariners	Twins	J.Vargas vs C.Pavano	Twins	50.86%	47.43%	SEA 8-7
Rays	Tigers	J.Hellickson vs P.Coke	Tigers	51.34%	54.31%	DET 6-3
Cardinals	Padres	K.Lohse vs D.Moseley	Cardinals	56.24%	56.39%	STL 3-1
Red Sox	Indians	C.Buchholz vs J.Masterson	Red Sox	53.60%	47.76%	CLE 3-2
Reds	Phillies	B.Arroyo vs C.Hamels	Phillies	61.17%	63.99%	PHI 10-3
Athletics	Angels	J.Outman vs J.Weaver	Angels	64.85%	59.92%	LAA 4-1
Blue Jays	Yankees	C.Villanueva vs B.Colon	Yankees	61.46%	70.01%	TOR 7-3
White Sox	Rangers	J.Danks vs A.Ogando	Rangers	59.76%	59.10%	TEX 4-0
Nationals	Brewers	T.Gorzelanny vs Y.Gallardo	Brewers	62.62%	60.47%	MIL 11-3

Run Total Picks of The Day!
CIN vs PHI, Under 7.5 -118, bet 1.4 units. LOSS
TB vs DET, Under 8 +100, bet 0.5 units. LOSS
BOS vs CLE, Under 8.5 -110, bet 2.2 units. WIN
CHA vs TEX, Under 8.5 -118, bet 0.8 units. WIN
OAK vs LAA, Over 7 +105, bet 0.5 units. LOSS
Daily Profit: 0.2 units

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May 22nd Simulations

The Long And Windy City Road ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	White Sox	H.Kuroda vs E.Jackson	White Sox	56.80%	54.38%	CHA 8-3
Athletics	Giants	G.Gonzalez vs J.Sanchez	Giants	52.27%	56.12%	SF 5-4
Rangers	Phillies	M.Harrison vs R.Oswalt	Phillies	59.43%	61.01%	TEX 2-0
Braves	Angels	D.Lowe vs T.Chatwood	Braves	56.24%	54.77%	LAA 4-1
Twins	DBacks	F.Liriano vs D.Hudson	DBacks	58.42%	64.37%	ARI 3-2
Tigers	Pirates	R.Porcello vs P.Maholm	Tigers	52.04%	44.31%	DET 2-0
Cubs	Red Sox	J.Russell vs T.Wakefield	Red Sox	65.40%	59.73%	BOS 5-1
Reds	Indians	E.Volquez vs C.Carrasco	Indians	50.62%	48.73%	CLE 12-4
Rays	Marlins	J.Shields vs J.Buente	Rays	57.54%	52.39%	TB 4-0
Mets	Yankees	M.Pelfrey vs I.Nova	Yankees	63.03%	66.73%	NYA 9-3
Mariners	Padres	F.Hernandez vs T.Stauffer	Mariners	55.06%	45.46%	SEA 6-1
Rockies	Brewers	U.Jimenez vs R.Wolf	Rockies	52.04%	56.67%	MIL 3-1
Nationals	Orioles	J.Zimmerman vs C.Tillman	Orioles	51.34%	53.60%	BAL 2-1
Cardinals	Royals	J.Garcia vs S.O'Sullivan	Cardinals	61.69%	68.15%	STL 9-8
Astros	Blue Jays	W.Rodriguez vs K.Drabek	Blue Jays	55.85%	51.10%	HOU 3-2

Run Total Picks of The Day!
STL vs KC, Over 8 -116, bet 0.8 units. WIN
CIN vs CLE, Under 8.5 -115, bet 1.2 units. LOSS
NYN vs NYA, Under 9.5 -115, bet 1.2 units. LOSS
TEX vs PHI, Under 8 -114, bet 1.1 units. WIN
SEA vs SD, Under 6 -112, bet 0.9 units. LOSS
MIN vs ARI, Under 8 +106, bet 0.8 units. WIN
CHN vs BOS, Under 10.5 -130, bet 0.7 units. WIN


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May 21st Simulations

Beating Up The American League ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	White Sox	J.Garland vs M.Buehrle	White Sox	59.51%	65.56%	CHA 9-2
Rockies	Brewers	C.Mortensen vs S.Marcum	Brewers	TBD	55.83%	MIL 3-2
Astros	Blue Jays	B.Myers vs B.Morrow	Blue Jays	TBD	63.11%	TOR 7-5
Braves	Angels	T.Hanson vs J.Pineiro	Braves	TBD	53.72%	ATL 5-4
Mets	Yankees	C.Capuano vs A.Burnett	Yankees	TBD	61.69%	NYA 7-3
Cardinals	Royals	J.Westbrook vs N.Adcock	Cardinals	TBD	62.21%	STL 3-0
Twins	DBacks	S.Baker vs M.Owings	DBacks	TBD	55.17%	ARI 9-6
Cubs	Red Sox	C.Zambrano vs A.Aceves	Red Sox	TBD	56.40%	Cubs
Mariners	Padres	M.Pineda vs C.Richard	Mariners	TBD	50.32%	SEA 4-0
Tigers	Pirates	M.Scherzer vs K.Correia	Pirates	TBD	50.94%	PIT 6-2
Rays	Marlins	D.Price vs J.Vazquez	Rays	TBD	57.73%	FLA 5-3
Nationals	Orioles	J.Lannan vs J.Guthrie	Orioles	TBD	54.85%	BAL 8-3
Rangers	Phillies	C.Lewis vs C.Lee	Phillies	TBD	63.19%	PHI 2-0
Reds	Indians	H.Bailey vs J.Tomlin	Reds	TBD	57.34%	CLE 2-1
Athletics	Giants	B.Anderson vs T.Lincecum	Giants	TBD	53.51%	SF 3-0

Run Total Picks of The Day!
Astros vs Blue Jays, Under 7.5 -120, bet 0.6 units. LOSS
Dodgers vs White Sox, Over 8.0 -120, bet 0.8 units. WIN
Nationals vs Orioles, Over 8.5 +100, bet 0.5 units. WIN
Rangers vs Phillies, Under 7.0 +100, bet 0.5 units. WIN
Twins vs Diamondbacks, Under 9.5 -115, bet 1 unit. LOSS


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May 20th Simulations

Get Rich Quick Scheme, Dodgers Under ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	White Sox	T.Lilly vs P.Humber	White Sox	58.42%	60.11%	LAN 6-4
Nationals	Orioles	J.Marquis vs J.Arrieta	Orioles	59.43%	55.37%	WAS 17-5
Cubs	Red Sox	D.Davis vs J.Lester	Red Sox	69.42%	65.53%	BOS 15-5
Mariners	Padres	E.Bedard vs M.Latos	Pares	56.43%	57.93%	SEA 4-1
Rockies	Brewers	J.Hammel vs Z.Greinke	Brewers	57.54%	49.60%	MIL 7-6
Reds	Indians	T.Wood vs A.White	Reds	50.62%	59.76%	CLE 5-4
Twins	DBacks	B.Duensing vs I.Kennedy	DBacks	63.03%	64.31%	ARI 8-7
Cardinals	Royals	C.Carpenter vs J.Francis	Cardinals	54.65%	57.18%	KC 3-0
Rangers	Phillies	C.Wilson vs R.Halladay	Phillies	62.05%	56.79%	PHI 3-2
Mets	Yankees	R.Dickey vs F.Garcia	Yankees	61.54%	61.56%	NYN 2-1
Rays	Marlins	A.Sonnanstine vs A.Sanchez	Marlins	60.40%	63.61%	FLA 5-3
Astros	Blue Jays	W.Rodriguez vs J.Reyes	Blue Jays	59.10%	53.44%	HOU 5-2
Athletics	Giants	T.Cahill vs R.Vogelsong	Athletics	51.58%	47.18%	SD 2-1
Tigers	Pirates	B.Penny vs J.Karstens	Tigers	54.65%	47.14%	PIT 10-1
Braves	Angels	T.Hudson vs E.Santana	Braves	52.27%	50.93%	LAA 9-0

Run Total Picks of The Day!
Dodgers vs White Sox, Over 8 -102, bet 1 unit. WIN
Mariners vs Padres, Under 6.5 -125, bet 1 unit. WIN
Reds vs Indians, Under 8.5 -107, bet 1.6 units. LOSS
Twins vs DBacks, Under 8.5 -115, bet 1.4 units. LOSS
Rangers vs Phillies, Under 7 +100, bet 2.4 units. WIN
Mets vs Yankees, Under 9 +112, bet 0.6 units. WIN
Rays vs Marlins, Under 8.5 -116, bet 1.4 units. WIN
Astros vs Blue Jays, Under 9 +100, bet 2.3 units. WIN
Braves vs Angels, Over 7 +104, bet 2 units. WIN


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May 19th Simulations

Dodgers Score Five For Their Lonely ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Giants	Dodgers	M.Bumgarner vs C.Billingsley	Dodgers	54.02%	48.64%	SF 3-1
Braves	DBacks	J.Jurrjens vs J.Collmenter	Braves	51.00%	53.35%	ARI 2-0
Rays	Blue Jays	W.Davis vs R.Romero	Blue Jays	56.43%	53.23%	TOR 3-2
Rockies	Phillies	J.Chacin vs J.Blanton	Rockies	52.27%	49.59%	COL 7-1
Tigers	Red Sox	J.Verlander vs J.Beckett	Red Sox	56.99%	61.87%	BOS 4-3
Yankees	Orioles	C.Sabathia vs B.Bergesen	Yankees	TBD	62.93%	NYA 13-2
Astros	Cardinals	J.Happ vs K.McClellan	Cardinals	62.19%	62.82%	STL 4-2
Twins	Athletics	N.Blackburn vs T.Ross	Athletics	62.48%	65.35%	MIN 11-1
Pirates	Reds	J.McDonald vs J.Cueto	Reds	63.57%	64.13%	PIT 5-3
Brewers	Padres	C.Narveson vs A.Harang	Brewers	50.62%	52.43%	SD 1-0
Cubs	Marlins	C.Coleman vs C.Volstad	Marlins	60.86%	59.18%	CHN 5-1
Indians	White Sox	F.Carmona vs G.Floyd	White Sox	54.44%	54.27%	CHA 8-2
Rangers	Royals	D.Holland vs L.Hochevar	Rangers	50.86%	58.15%	KC 2-1
Angels	Mariners	D.Haren vs D.Fister	Mariners	56.80%	49.94%	SEA 2-1
Nationals	Mets	L.Hernandez vs D.Gee	Mets	54.65%	53.80%	NYN 1-0

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May18th Simulations

Matt Kemp Saves The Day ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Giants	Dodgers	M.Cain vs C.Kershaw	Dodgers	54.23%	47.35%	SF 8-5
Angels	Mariners	J.Weaver vs J.Vargas	Angels	56.24%	51.29%	SEA 3-0
Cubs	Marlins	R.Dempster vs R.Nolasco	Marlins	58.85%	60.86%	CHN 7-5
Rangers	Royals	A.Ogando vs D.Duffy	Rangers	56.24%	54.87%	TEX 5-4
Rays	Blue Jays	J.Hellickson vs J.Litsch	Rays	50.00%	51.86%	TB 6-5
Tigers	Red Sox	P.Coke vs C.Buchholz	Red Sox	61.17%	57.10%	BOS 1-0
Indians	White Sox	J.Masterson vs J.Peavy	White Sox	53.38%	43.38%	CHA 1-0
Nationals	Mets	T.Gorzelanny vs J.Niese	Mets	53.27%	58.36%	NYN 3-0
Braves	DBacks	J.Teheran vs J.Saunders	Braves	52.27%	51.58%	ARI 5-4
Twins	Athletics	C.Pavano vs B.McCarthy	Athletics	61.69%	68.81%	MIN 4-3
Yankees	Orioles	B.Colon vs Z.Britton	Orioles	54.13%	54.17%	NYA 4-1
Rockies	Phillies	J.de la Rosa vs C.Hamels	Phillies	57.54%	59.04%	PHI 2-1
Astros	Cardinals	B.Norris vs K.Lohse	Cardinals	62.62%	64.56%	STL 5-1
Brewers	Padres	Y.Gallardo vs D.Moseley	Brewers	55.46%	48.90%	MIL 5-2
Pirates	Reds	C.Morton vs B.Arroyo	Reds	59.92%	60.39%	PIT 5-0

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May 17th Simulations

Dodgers Season Slip Sliding Away ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Brewers	Dodgers	R.Wolf vs H.Kuroda	Dodgers	55.16%	55.85%	LAN 3-0
Giants	Rockies	J.Sanchez vs U.Jimenez	Rockies	57.08%	54.01%	COL 5-3
Pirates	Naitonals	C.Morton vs J.Zimmerman	Nationals	58.51%	58.55%	Ppd.
Rangers	White Sox	M.Harrison vs J.Danks	White Sox	57.26%	54.64%	CHA 4-3
Astros	Braves	W.Rodriguez vs D.Lowe	Braves	60.94%	58.13%	ATL 3-1
Cubs	Reds	M.Garza vs E.Volquez	Reds	55.75%	53.78%	CIN 7-5
Orioles	Red Sox	Z.Britton vs T.Wakefield	Red Sox	51.22%	50.32%	Ppd.
Phillies	Cardinals	R.Oswalt vs J.Garcia	Cardinals	57.63%	62.20%	STL 2-1
Blue Jays	Tigers	J.Litsch vs R.Porcello	Tigers	57.26%	60.03%	Ppd.
Padres	DBacks	T.Stauffer vs D.Hudson	DBacks	57.81%	58.82%	ARI 6-1
Marlins	Mets	R.Nolasco vs J.Niese	Marlins	51.92%	50.76%	Ppd.
Yankees	Rays	I.Nova vs J.Shields	Rays	59.51%	50.37%	NYA 6-2
Twins	Mariners	F.Liriano vs F.Hernandez	Mariners	64.54%	62.48%	MIN 2-1
Angels	Athletics	T.Chatwood vs G.Gonzalez	Athletics	59.68%	65.53%	OAK 14-0
Indians	Royals	C.Carrasco vs S.O'Sullivan	Indians	51.22%	53.61%	CLE 7-3

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May 16th Simulations

Dodgers Hope To Brew Up A Win ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Brewers	Dodgers	S.Marcum vs J.Garland	Brewers	52.72%	53.99%	MIL 2-1
Twins	Mariners	S.Baker vs M.Pineda	Mariners	60.24%	56.46%	SEA 5-2
Orioles	Red Sox	C.Tillman vs D.Matsuzaka	Red Sox	63.30%	57.77%	BOS 8-7
Phillies	Cardinals	C.Lee vs J.Westbrook	Phillies	55.85%	52.21%	STL 3-1
Marlins	Mets	J.Johnson vs M.Pelfrey	Marlins	59.43%	57.20%	FLA 2-1
Giants	Rockies	T.Lincecum vs C.Mortensen	Giants	58.07%	56.58%	COL 7-4
Blue Jays	Tigers	K.Drabek vs M.Scherzer	Tigers	58.59%	62.95%	TOR 4-2
Pirates	Nationals	P.Maholm vs J.Lannan	Nationals	52.49%	51.95%	WAS 4-2
Cubs	Reds	C.Zambrano vs H.Bailey	Reds	57.72%	58.95%	Reds 7-4
Padres	DBacks	C.Richard vs A.Galarraga	DBacks	52.27%	47.52%	SD 8-4
Indians	Royals	J.Tomlin vs K.Davies	Indians	54.02%	47.18%	CLE 19-1
Yankees	Rays	A.Burnett vs D.Price	Rays	56.80%	56.12%	TB 6-5
Rangers	White Sox	C.Lewis vs E.Jackson	White Sox	53.81%	52.73%	TEX 4-0
Astros	Braves	B.Myers vs T.Hanson	Braves	69.23%	67.24%	ATL 3-2
Angels	Athletics	J.Pineiro vs B.Anderson	Athletics	56.43%	67.62%	OAK 5-4

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May 15th Simulations

Dodgers Woes Date Back to 1914 ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
DBacks	Dodgers	I.Kennedy vs T.Lilly	DBacks	51.22%	52.61%	ARI 4-1
Cardinals	Reds	C.Carpenter vs T.Wood	Cardinals	51.22%	41.17%	CIN 9-7
Mariners	Indians	M.Pineda vs J.Tomlin	Indians	51.46%	49.86%	Ppd.
Red Sox	Yankees	J.Lester vs F.Garcia	Red Sox	55.95%	50.67%	BOS 7-5
Blue Jays	Twins	B.Morrow vs B.Duensing	Blue Jays	56.14%	46.77%	TOR 11-3
White Sox	Athletics	M.Buehrle vs T.Cahill	Athletics	60.16%	60.23%	CHA 4-3
Orioles	Rays	J.Arrieta vs A.Sonnanstine	Rays	52.61%	48.61%	BAL 9-3
Marlins	Nationals	J.Vazquez vs J.Marquis	Nationals	54.75%	56.76%	WAS 8-4
Angels	Rangers	E.Santana vs C.Wilson	Rangers	56.14%	63.33%	TEX 5-4
Pirates	Brewers	K.Correia vs Z.Greinke	Brewers	62.26%	60.43%	MIL 9-6
Padres	Rockies	M.Latos vs J.Hammel	Rockies	57.26%	64.95%	SD 8-2
Phillies	Braves	R.Halladay vs T.Hudson	Phillies	52.38%	54.81%	ATL 3-2
Mets	Astros	C.Capuano vs A.Rodriguez	Mets	53.05%	54.45%	NYN 7-4

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May 14th Simulations

Dodgers Look To Tomahawk Diamondbacks Rookie Pitcher ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
DBacks	Dodgers	J.Collmenter vs C.Billingsley	Dodgers	57.36%	61.11%	ARI 1-0
Pirates	Brewers	J.Karstens vs C.Narveson	Brewers	59.60%	64.86%	MIL 8-2
White Sox	Athletics	G.Floyd vs T.Ross	Athletics	51.10%	57.89%	OAK 6-2
Marlins	Nationals	A.Sanchez vs L.Hernandez	Marlins	53.81%	52.58%	FLA 1-0
Royals	Tigers	J.Francis vs B.Penny	Tigers	57.17%	58.81%	DET 3-0
Mets	Astros	R.Dickey vs J.Happ	Mets	51.81%	51.00%	HOU 7-3
Cardinals	Reds	K.McClellan vs J.Cueto	Reds	54.65%	54.67%	CIN 7-3
Blue Jays	Twins	J.Reyes vs N.Blackburn	Twins	51.81%	49.64%	TOR 9-3
Phillies	Braves	J.Blanton vs J.Jurrjens	Braves	60.24%	52.17%	ATL 5-3
Mariners	Indians	E.Bedard vs A.White	Indians	55.85%	55.46%	Ppd.
Giants	Cubs	R.Vogelsong vs D.Davis	Giants	50.62%	51.40%	SF 3-0
Angels	Rangers	D.Haren vs D.Holland	Rangers	51.34%	50.68%	LAA 3-2
Orioles	Rays	B.Bergesen vs W.Davis	Rays	59.27%	52.10%	BAL 6-0
Red Sox	Yankees	J.Beckett vs C.Sabathia	Yankees	55.26%	63.18%	BOS 6-0
Padres	Rockies	A.Harang vs J.Chacin	Rockies	62.62%	63.71%	SD 9-7

Interesting story about Diamondbacks rookie starting pitcher Josh Collmenter.
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Money Line to Win Percentage Calculator

I have created an online (Google Docs Spreadsheet) Money Line to Win Percentage Calculator. Click on the link and enter the ML for the favorite and underdog teams and the expected win percentage based on those odds will be calculated for you. Please give me feedback if you can if the calculator works for you.

May 13th Simulations

Battle of Third Place ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
DBacks	Dodgers	J.Saunders vs C.Kershaw	Dodgers	63.30%	60.95%	LAN 4-3
Mets	Astros	D.Gee vs B.Norris	Astros	50.62%	56.66%	NYN 6-4
Padres	Rockies	D.Moseley vs J.de la Rosa	Rockies	60.86%	70.77%	COL 12-7
Giants	Cubs	M.Bumgarner vs R.Dempster	Giants	50.62%	54.86%	CHN 11-4
Mariners	Indians	D.Fister vs F.Carmona	Indians	61.83%	51.10%	CLE 5-4
Phillies	Braves	C.Hamels vs B.Beachy	Phillies	50.62%	54.93%	PHI 5-4
Blue Jays	Twins	R.Romero vs C.Pavano	Blue Jays	51.10%	50.38%	TOR 2-0
Pirates	Brewers	J.McDonald vs Y.Gallardo	Brewers	60.55%	60.01%	MIL 5-2
Red Sox	Yankees	C.Buchholz vs B.Colon	Yankees	53.16%	57.79%	BOS 5-4
Orioles	Rays	J.Guthrie vs J.Hellickson	Rays	58.25%	51.05%	TB 3-0
Royals	Tigers	L.Hochevar vs J.Verlander	Tigers	63.30%	69.40%	DET 3-1
Angels	Rangers	J.Weaver vs A.Ogando	Rangers	51.34%	47.65%	TEX 4-1
Marlins	Nationals	C.Volstad vs T.Gorzelanny	Nationals	52.72%	56.66%	FLA 6-5
Cardinals	Reds	K.Lohse vs B.Arroyo	Reds	53.81%	42.10%	CIN 6-5
White Sox	Athletics	P.Humber vs B.McCarthy	Athletics	53.16%	64.90%	CHA 4-3

Seasonal Money Line ROI: -4.24%
Seasonal Total Runs ROI: +7.06%

Pitching Machines

May 12th Simulations

Pi Rates Squared ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Pirates	J.Garland vs C.Morton	Pirates	54.65%	58.24%	TBD
Mets	Rockies	J.Niese vs U.Jimenez	Rockies	63.17%	59.23%	TBD
DBacks	Giants	D.Hudson vs M.Cain	Giants	56.99%	53.57%	TBD
Nationals	Braves	J.Zimmerman vs D.Lowe	Braves	63.70%	60.94%	TBD
Royals	Yankees	S.O'Sullivan vs I.Nova	Yankees	64.85%	72.30%	TBD
Mariners	Orioles	J.Vargas vs Z.Britton	Orioles	59.43%	59.24%	TBD
Cardinals	Cubs	J.Garcia vs C.Coleman	Cardinals	57.72%	64.52%	TBD
Rays	Indians	J.Shields vs J.Masterson	Indians	52.27%	56.41%	TBD

Seasonal Money Line ROI: -3.74%
Seasonal Total Runs ROI: +8.38%

Pitching Machines

May 11th Simulations

Dodgers Offense Catches On In A Flash ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Pirates	H.Kuroda vs P.Maholm	Pirates	50.62%	59.12%	TBD
Red Sox	Blue Jays	J.Lackey vs J.Litsch	Red Sox	53.81%	58.01%	TBD
Reds	Astros	E.Volquez vs W.Rodriguez	Reds	52.27%	48.77%	TBD
Phillies	Marlins	C.Lee vs R.Nolasco	Phillies	51.10%	56.77%	TBD
Mariners	Orioles	F.Hernandez vs C.Tillman	Mariners	55.46%	48.01%	TBD
Athletics	Rangers	G.Gonzalez vs M.Harrison	Rangers	51.10%	47.58%	TBD
White Sox	Angels	J.Peavy vs T.Chatwood	Angels	50.62%	51.33%	TBD
Cardinals	Cubs	J.Westbrook vs M.Garza	Cubs	54.44%	54.43%	TBD
Royals	Yankees	V.Mazzaro vs A.Burnett	Yankees	67.21%	73.86%	TBD
Nationals	Braves	J.Lannan vs T.Hanson	Braves	66.10%	65.13%	TBD
Tigers	Twins	P.Coke vs S.Baker	Twins	50.62%	48.83%	TBD
Rays	Indians	D.Price vs C.Carrasco	Rays	52.94%	53.60%	TBD
Mets	Rockies	J.Niese vs U.Jimenez	Rockies	62.62%	60.69%	TBD
DBacks	Giants	A.Galarraga vs J.Sanchez	Giants	60.86%	67.17%	TBD
Padres	Brewers	T.Stauffer vs R.Wolf	Brewers	55.06%	48.63%	TBD

Seasonal Money Line ROI: -4.30%
Seasonal Total Runs ROI: +10.47%

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May 10th Simulations

Dodgers No Can Do ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Pirates	T.Lilly vs K.Correia	Pirates	51.92%	56.27%	LAN 10-3
Phillies	Marlins	R.Halladay vs J.Johnson	Phillies	52.27%	49.93%	FLA 2-1
DBacks	Giants	I.Kennedy vs T.Lincecum	Giants	64.85%	64.22%	SF 1-0
Tigers	Twins	R.Porcello vs F.Liriano	Twins	52.27%	48.88%	DET 10-2
White Sox	Angels	J.Danks vs J.Pineiro	Angels	55.75%	52.63%	LAA 6-2
Nationals	Braves	J.Marquis vs T.Hudson	Braves	66.67%	59.63%	WAS 7-6
Padres	Brewers	C.Richard vs S.Marcum	Brewers	61.46%	56.35%	MIL 8-6
Athletics	Rangers	B.Anderson vs C.Lewis	Rangers	51.34%	40.64%	TEX 7-2
Mets	Rockies	M.Pelfrey vs J.Hammel	Rockies	60.71%	59.80%	NYN 4-3
Royals	Yankees	K.Davies vs F.Garcia	Yankees	68.25%	70.98%	NYA 3-1
Mariners	Orioles	M.Pineda vs J.Arrieta	Orioles	50.86%	58.97%	BAL 7-6
Reds	Astros	H.Bailey vs B.Myers	Reds	53.38%	53.40%	CIN 7-3
Red Sox	Blue Jays	J.Lester vs K.Drabek	Red Sox	60.24%	64.17%	TOR 7-6
Rays	Indians	A.Sonnanstine vs J.Tomlin	Indians	56.43%	51.13%	CLE 5-4
Cardinals	Cubs	C.Carpenter vs C.Zambrano	Cardinals	52.49%	50.49%	STL 6-4

Seasonal Money Line ROI: -4.08%
Seasonal Total Runs ROI: +9.73%

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May 9th Simulations

Dodgers Avoid Bus Ride In To Pittsburgh ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Pirates	C.Billingsley vs J.Karstens	Dodgers	54.02%	51.83%	PIT 4-1
Phillies	Marlins	J.Blanton vs J.Vazquez	Phillies	50.62%	53.87%	PHI 6-4
Mets	Rockies	C.Capuano vs J.Chacin	Rockies	62.05%	57.93%	COL 2-1
Athletics	Rangers	T.Cahill vs C.Wilson	Rangers	54.23%	58.89%	OAK 7-2
Padres	Brewers	M.Latos vs Z.Greinke	Brewers	57.89%	55.31%	MIL 4-3
Tigers	Blue Jays	M.Scherzer vs B.Morrow	Blue Jays	52.72%	54.52%	DET 10-5
Twins	Red Sox	N.Blackburn vs J.Beckett	Red Sox	67.74%	70.22%	BOS 2-1
Reds	Astros	T.Wood vs A.Rodriguez	Reds	55.65%	59.80%	CIN 6-1
White Sox	Angels	E.Jackson vs E.Santana	Angels	58.59%	56.29%	CHA 8-0

Seasonal Money Line ROI: -3.70%
Seasonal Total Runs ROI: +10.78%

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May 8th Simulations

Can Kershaw Stop The Bleeding ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Mets	C.Kershaw vs R.Dickey	Mets	53.70%	55.93%	LAN 4-2
Braves	Phillies	J.Jurrjens vs C.Hamels	Phillies	57.81%	64.24%	ATL 5-2
Tigers	Blue Jays	B.Penny vs J.Reyes	Blue Jays	TBD	53.53%	DET 5-2
Yankees	Rangers	C.Sabathia vs A.Ogando	Yankees	60.94%	60.79%	NYA 12-5
Reds	Cubs	J.Cueto vs R.Dempster	Cubs	50.00%	51.00%	CIN 2-0
Twins	Red Sox	C.Pavano vs D.Matsuzaka	Red Sox	TBD	64.54%	BOA 9-5
Rockies	Giants	J.de la Rosa vs R.Vogelsong	Rockies	55.75%	56.18%	SF 3-0
Nationals	Marlins	L.Hernandez vs A.Sanchez	Marlins	61.39%	58.79%	FLA 8-0
Indians	Angels	F.Carmona vs D.Haren	Angels	60.00%	62.24%	LAA 6-5
Athletics	Royals	T.Ross vs J.Francis	Athletics	52.38%	54.27%	OAK 5-2
Brewers	Cardinals	C.Narveson vs K.McClellan	Cardinals	56.14%	61.28%	Stl 3-1
Astros	Pirates	J.Happ vs J.McDonald	Pirates	56.33%	55.02%	PIT 5-4
DBacks	Padres	J.Saunders vs A.Harang	Padres	53.70%	54.23%	SD 4-3
Rays	Orioles	W.Davis vs B.Bergesen	Orioles	TBD	53.94%	TB 5-3
White Sox	Mariners	M.Buehrle vs E.Bedard	Mariners	53.27%	51.33%	CHA 5-2

Seasonal Money Line ROI: -3.52%
Seasonal Total Runs ROI: +9.57%

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May 7th Simulations

Dodgers 3 Under For The Day ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Mets	J.Garland vs C.Young	Mets	55.46%	59.39%	NYN 4-2
OAK	KC	Brandon McCarthy vs Luke Hochevar	OAK	TBD	61.77	KC 4-3
DET	TOR	Justin Verlander vs Ricky Romero	TOR	TBD	52.333	DET 9-0
CLE	LAA	Alex White vs Jered Weaver	LAA	TBD	68.056	CLE 4-3
TB	BAL	Jeremy Hellickson vs Jeremy Guthrie	BAL	TBD	61.241	TB 8-2
MIN	BOS	Brian Duensing vs Clay Buchholz	BOS	TBD	56.885	BOS 4-0
NYA	TEX	Bartolo Colon vs Derek Holland	NYA	TBD	50.253	TEX 7-5
COL	SF	Clay Mortensen vs Madison Bumgarner	SF	TBD	61.051	SF 3-2
CHA	SEA	Gavin Floyd vs Doug Fister	SEA	TBD	58.182	CHA 6-0
CIN	CHN	Bronson Arroyo vs Casey Coleman	CIN	TBD	51.916	CHN 3-2
ATL	PHI	Julio Teheren vs Kyle Kendrick	PHI	TBD	55.991	PHI 3-0
WAS	FLA	Tom Gorzelanny vs Chris Volstad	WAS	TBD	50.334	WAS 5-2
HOU	PIT	Bud Norris vs Charlie Morton	HOU	TBD	50.042	PIT 6-1
ARI	SD	Daniel Hudson vs Dustin Moseley	ARI	TBD	53.524	ARI 6-0
MIL	STL	Yovanni Gallardo vs Kyle Lohse	STL	TBD	63.783	MIL 4-0

Seasonal Money Line ROI: -1.93%
Seasonal Total Runs ROI: +9.48%

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May 6th Simulations

Troubled Franchises On Paper, Battle It Out On Field ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Mets	H.Kuroda vs J.Niese	Mets	53.81%	57.26%	NYN 6-3
Astros	Pirates	W.Rodriguez vs P.Maholm	Pirates	52.94%	55.89%	HOU 3-2
Yankees	Rangers	I.Nova vs M.Harrison	Yankees	51.10%	45.58%	NYA 4-1
Athletics	Royals	G.Gonzalez vs S.O'Sullivan	Athletics	52.72%	60.71%	OAK 3-2
White Sox	Mariners	P.Humber vs F.Hernandez	Mariners	62.19%	62.04%	SEA 3-2
Nationals	Marlins	J.Zimmerman vs R.Nolasco	Marlins	60.08%	54.21%	WAS 4-2
Brewers	Cardinals	R.Wolf vs J.Garcia	Cardinals	58.59%	70.69%	STL 6-0
Braves	Phillies	D.Lowe vs C.Lee	Phillies	60.24%	62.95%	ATL 5-0
Twins	Red Sox	S.Baker vs T.Wakefield	Red Sox	57.72%	59.58%	MIN 9-2
Rockies	Giants	U.Jimenez vs M.Cain	Giants	52.27%	51.42%	SF 4-3
Indians	Angels	J.Masterson vs T.Chatwood	Indians	52.04%	54.62%	LAA 2-1
Rays	Orioles	J.Shields vs Z.Britton	Orioles	52.27%	57.05%	TB 6-2
Reds	Cubs	E.Volquez vs M.Garza	Cubs	54.44%	57.95%	CIN 5-4
Tigers	Blue Jays	P.Coke vs J.Litsch	Blue Jays	52.04%	50.97%	TOR 7-4
DBacks	Padres	A.Galarraga vs T.Stauffer	Padres	57.17%	63.09%	SD 4-3

Vegas Daily Total Runs: 126 -110

Seasonal Money Line ROI: -3.32%
Seasonal Total Runs ROI: +8.56%

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May 5th Simulations

Sell The Team McCourt ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Blue Jays	Rays	R.Romero vs D.Price	Rays	61.98%	57.05%	TB 3-1
Rangers	Mariners	C.Lewis vs J.Vargas	Rangers	51.46%	46.83%	SEA 3-1
Marlins	Cardinals	J.Johnson vs J.Westbrook	Marlins	57.08%	50.08%	STL 6-3
Giants	Mets	J.Sanchez vs M.Pelfrey	Giants	50.00%	53.61%	NYN 5-2
Indians	Athletics	J.Gomez vs B.Anderson	Athletics	62.83%	70.26%	CLE 4-3
Angels	Red Sox	J.Pineiro vs J.Lackey	Red Sox	59.35%	63.76%	LAA 11-0
Rockies	DBacks	J.Hammel vs I.Kennedy	DBacks	52.15%	51.96%	ARI 3-2
Nationals	Phillies	J.Lannan vs R.Halladay	Phillies	68.25%	64.51%	PHI 7-3
Yankees	Tigers	A.Burnett vs R.Porcello	Yankees	51.22%	51.90%	DET 6-3
Orioles	Royals	C.Tillman vs B.Chen	Royals	51.22%	42.91%	KC 9-1
Brewers	Braves	S.Marcum vs B.Beachy	Braves	55.56%	53.46%	ATL 2-1
Astros	Reds	B.Myers vs H.Bailey	Reds	59.68%	62.64%	CIN 10-4

Seasonal ROI: -2.18%

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May 4th Simulations

29 So Devine ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Cubs	Dodgers	C.Zambrano vs T.Lilly	Dodgers	52.72%	47.78%	CHN 5-1
Orioles	Royals	J.Arrieta vs K.Davies	Orioles	50.62%	57.96%	BAL 3-2
Indians	Athletics	J.Tomlin vs T.Cahill	Athletics	58.42%	64.25%	OAK 3-1
Marlins	Cardinals	J.Vazquez vs C.Carpenter	Cardinals	63.57%	68.65%	FLA 8-7
Twins	White Sox	N.Blackburn vs J.Danks	White Sox	62.19%	63.40%	MIN 3-2
Rangers	Mariners	C.Wilson vs M.Pineda	Mariners	50.62%	46.64%	TEX 5-2
Yankees	Tigers	F.Garcia vs M.Scherzer	Tigers	51.81%	46.96%	DET 4-0
Astros	Reds	A.Rodriguez vs T.Wood	Reds	65.10%	69.98%	CIN 3-2
Brewers	Braves	M.Estrada vs T.Hanson	Braves	TBD	64.90%	ATL 8-3
Brewers	Braves	Z.Greinke vs T.Hudson	Braves	56.62%	58.98%	ATL 8-0
Nationals	Phillies	J.Marquis vs V.Worley	Phillies	59.60%	48.43%	PHI 7-4
Pirates	Padres	K.Correia vs C.Richard	Padres	57.54%	59.85%	PIT 7-4
Blue Jays	Rays	B.Morrow vs J.Niemann	Rays	53.60%	51.91%	TOR 3-2
Rockies	DBacks	J.Chacin vs B.Enright	Rockies	55.46%	58.97%	COL 6-4
Giants	Mets	T.Lincecum vs C.Capuano	Giants	56.80%	58.71%	SF 2-0
Angels	Red Sox	E.Santana vs J.Beckett	Red Sox	63.57%	62.54%	LAA 5-3

Seasonal ROI: -2.80%

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May 3rd Simulations

28 In A Row!!! ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Cubs	Dodgers	R.Dempster vs C.Billingsley	Dodgers	59.18%	60.97%	CHN 4-1
Twins	White Sox	F.Liriano vs E.Jackson	White Sox	55.16%	55.70%	MIN 1-0
Brewers	Braves	M.Estrada vs T.Hanson	Braves	60.78%	65.21%	Ppd.
Rangers	Mariners	A.Ogando vs E.Bedard	Rangers	54.75%	54.40%	SEA 4-3
Nationals	Phillies	L.Hernandez vs C.Hamels	Phillies	68.75%	62.36%	PHI 4-1
Yankees	Tigers	C.Sabathia vs B.Penny	Yankees	61.39%	64.90%	DET 4-2
Giants	Mets	R.Vogelsong vs R.Dickey	Mets	54.13%	58.44%	SF 7-6
Orioles	Royals	B.Bergesen vs J.Francis	Royals	54.13%	47.41%	KC 6-5
Angels	Red Sox	D.Haren vs J.Lester	Red Sox	59.02%	60.32%	BOS 7-3
Blue Jays	Rays	J.Reyes vs W.Davis	Rays	61.69%	58.33%	TB 3-2
Indians	Athletics	F.Carmona vs T.Ross	Athletics	53.27%	55.76%	CLE 4-1
Astros	Reds	J.Happ vs M.Leake	Reds	63.24%	64.38%	HOU 10-4
Marlins	Cardinals	A.Sanchez vs K.McClellan	Cardinals	56.14%	56.10%	STL 7-5
Pirates	Padres	J.Karstens vs M.Latos	Padres	60.00%	61.67%	SD 6-5
Rockies	DBacks	J.de la Rosa vs J.Saunders	Rockies	54.55%	56.28%	ARI 4-3

Seasonal ROI: -1.19%

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May 2nd Simulations

Many Thanks to US Navy Seals ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Cubs	Dodgers	J.Russell vs C.Kershaw	Dodgers	65.22%	58.53%	LAN 5-2
Angels	Red Sox	J.Weaver vs C.Buchholz	Angels	50.62%	49.93%	BOS 9-5
Orioles	White Sox	J.Guthrie vs M.Buehrle	White Sox	50.86%	48.23%	CHA 6-2
Rangers	Athletics	D.Holland vs B.McCarthy	Athletics	51.81%	54.52%	OAK 5-4
Astros	Reds	J.Happ vs M.Leake	Reds	62.48%	64.42%	Ppd.
Pirates	Padres	J.McDonald vs A.Harang	Padres	59.10%	63.31%	PIT 4-3
Giants	Nationals	M.Bumgarner vs T.Gorzelanny	Nationals	50.62%	50.26%	WAS 2-0
Brewers	Braves	Y.Gallardo vs J.Jurrjens	Braves	57.17%	55.99%	ATL 6-2
Marlins	Cardinals	C.Volstad vs K.Lohse	Cardinals	61.69%	68.04%	FLA 6-5
Yankees	Tigers	B.Colon vs J.Verlander	Tigers	52.72%	50.50%	NYA 5-3

Seasonal ROI: 0.05%

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James Loney's Long And Winding Road

back towards Replacement Level

James Loney is off to an awful start offensively. What to do with him both in the short and long term is a popular topic. Not much can be done short term as Loney has very little trade value. The best you can do is to sit him against left handed pitchers and start a right handed bat at first base on those days. Long term, a tough decision will have to be made at the end of the 2011 season as to whether or not the Dodgers should tender Loney a contract or give him a raise in arbitration. Luckily for the Dodgers, that bridge does not need to be crossed for a while. Without further ado, here are some stats that James Loney would have to attain in order to bring his batting line back to replacement level for a first-baseman (wOBA - 0.312).

Name	AB	H	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	Ave	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	Goal
J.Loney	105	22	20	1	0	1	4	0.2095	0.2364	0.2476	0.4840	0.2123	Current hitting line.
MR Walk	105	22	20	1	0	1	31	0.2095	0.3869	0.2476	0.6345	0.3123	27 straight walks.
MR Single	124	41	39	1	0	1	4	0.3306	0.3488	0.3629	0.7117	0.3136	19 straight singles.
MR Double	117	34	20	13	0	1	4	0.2906	0.3115	0.4274	0.7388	0.3134	12 straight doubles.
MR Triple	114	31	20	1	9	1	4	0.2719	0.2941	0.4649	0.7590	0.3142	9 straight triples
MR HR	112	29	20	1	0	8	4	0.2589	0.2821	0.4821	0.7642	0.3162	7 straight homeruns.
Normal	117	34	27	5	0	2	8	0.2906	0.3333	0.3846	0.7179	0.3130	12 for 12 with 7 singles, 4 doubles, 7 HRs and 4 walks.

May 1st Simulations

Joltin' Andre ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Padres	Dodgers	D.Moseley vs J.Garland	Dodgers	55.65%	47.86%	LAN 7-0
Pirates	Rockies	C.Morton vs U.Jimenez	Rockies	65.10%	69.52%	PIT 8-4
Cardinals	Braves	J.Garcia vs D.Lowe	Braves	51.81%	42.95%	ATL 6-5
Tigers	Indians	P.Coke vs J.Masterson	Indians	56.71%	57.19%	CLE 5-4
Mariners	Red Sox	F.Hernandez vs T.Wakefield	Mariners	51.81%	48.51%	BOS 3-2
Rangers	Athletics	M.Harrison vs G.Gonzalez	Athletics	53.16%	57.32%	OAK 7-2
Mets	Phillies	C.Young vs C.Lee	Phillies	62.48%	69.06%	TBD
Blue Jays	Yankees	J.Litsch vs I.Nova	Yankees	57.17%	69.22%	NYA 5-2
Twins	Royals	C.Pavano vs L.Hochevar	Royals	50.62%	46.63%	KC 10-3
Brewers	Astros	C.Narveson vs B.Norris	Brewers	53.16%	48.22%	HOU 5-0
Giants	Nationals	M.Cain vs J.Zimmerman	Giants	53.60%	50.31%	WAS 5-2
Marlins	Reds	R.Nolasco vs B.Arroyo	Reds	51.34%	57.24%	FLA 9-5
Cubs	DBacks	C.Coleman vs D.Hudson	DBacks	61.01%	62.94%	ARI 4-3
Orioles	White Sox	Z.Britton vs G.Floyd	White Sox	53.38%	50.46%	BAL 6-4
Angels	Rays	T.Chatwood vs A.Cobb	Rays	57.45%	53.95%	LAA 6-5

Seasonal ROI: 0.01%

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