Cubs vs Dodgers - Simulation Results 8/28

Note: 1 million games simulated

World Series Game #4 Simulation

Pujols Dominates ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Cardinals	Rangers	E.Jackson vs D.Holland	Rangers	63.57%	56.72%	TEX 4-0

Game Notes: Last nights crazy 16-7 game was the 302nd most likely final score in the simulation. The run total line in Vegas opened at 9.8 runs (9.5 O -120) and overnight jumped to 10.3 runs (10 O -120) which is almost unheard of. Could it be a psychological over-reaction to last nights slugfest? The run total line of 10.3 runs is the tied for 19th highest run total line of any game so far this season. Two Derek Holland pitched games are on the list ahead of this one. They were home games against the Florida Marlins and Houston Astros. The Marlins pitcher was Brad Hand (#2 Rank, Vegas 10.8 runs, Actual runs 14) and the Astros pitcher was J.A. Happ (#14 Rank, Vegas 10.4 runs, Actual runs 11). What does tonight have in store?

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October 16th Simulations

Brewers Looking To Hold Serve ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Cardinals	Brewers	E.Jackson vs S.Marcum	Brewers	55.06%	46.65%	STL 12-6

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May 22nd Simulations

The Long And Windy City Road ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	White Sox	H.Kuroda vs E.Jackson	White Sox	56.80%	54.38%	CHA 8-3
Athletics	Giants	G.Gonzalez vs J.Sanchez	Giants	52.27%	56.12%	SF 5-4
Rangers	Phillies	M.Harrison vs R.Oswalt	Phillies	59.43%	61.01%	TEX 2-0
Braves	Angels	D.Lowe vs T.Chatwood	Braves	56.24%	54.77%	LAA 4-1
Twins	DBacks	F.Liriano vs D.Hudson	DBacks	58.42%	64.37%	ARI 3-2
Tigers	Pirates	R.Porcello vs P.Maholm	Tigers	52.04%	44.31%	DET 2-0
Cubs	Red Sox	J.Russell vs T.Wakefield	Red Sox	65.40%	59.73%	BOS 5-1
Reds	Indians	E.Volquez vs C.Carrasco	Indians	50.62%	48.73%	CLE 12-4
Rays	Marlins	J.Shields vs J.Buente	Rays	57.54%	52.39%	TB 4-0
Mets	Yankees	M.Pelfrey vs I.Nova	Yankees	63.03%	66.73%	NYA 9-3
Mariners	Padres	F.Hernandez vs T.Stauffer	Mariners	55.06%	45.46%	SEA 6-1
Rockies	Brewers	U.Jimenez vs R.Wolf	Rockies	52.04%	56.67%	MIL 3-1
Nationals	Orioles	J.Zimmerman vs C.Tillman	Orioles	51.34%	53.60%	BAL 2-1
Cardinals	Royals	J.Garcia vs S.O'Sullivan	Cardinals	61.69%	68.15%	STL 9-8
Astros	Blue Jays	W.Rodriguez vs K.Drabek	Blue Jays	55.85%	51.10%	HOU 3-2

Run Total Picks of The Day!
STL vs KC, Over 8 -116, bet 0.8 units. WIN
CIN vs CLE, Under 8.5 -115, bet 1.2 units. LOSS
NYN vs NYA, Under 9.5 -115, bet 1.2 units. LOSS
TEX vs PHI, Under 8 -114, bet 1.1 units. WIN
SEA vs SD, Under 6 -112, bet 0.9 units. LOSS
MIN vs ARI, Under 8 +106, bet 0.8 units. WIN
CHN vs BOS, Under 10.5 -130, bet 0.7 units. WIN


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