Friday, October 11, 2013

Dodgers vs Cardinals - NLCS Game #1 Simulation Results



Note: Vegas has the Dodgers as 55.6% favorites in Game #1 (ML -130, +120)

                                       Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores
RankDodgersCardinalsOccurrencesRankDodgersCardinalsOccurrences
12344025117569
21240595237566
33435315381555
43233765483551
52131925576536
64327495647510
73126955706476
84224855857459
94523845984432
101323526080395
110122636128386
122421096292379
134121076385378
141019416418363
155218376507358
163018216691351
172018196738342
185318166878324
195418016948323
201417457058310
215116807193293
220216297286292
230315277329291
244015167495276
253514577594268
262514457687246
275613227790231
286212347819229
291512297968221
306311978008220
3161118881102219
325011258249215
336410878339211
3404107684101203
3565104085103187
362693286210184
373692487104171
387386988310167
39728658959162
406083090112153
41468039109152
427179592110150
43167889396149
44057649489141
45677329597136
467472096100136
47276359798129
487558698105129
498258399211120
5070573100410116

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Strange that the top three most likely outcomes were all Cardinal wins, including the actual score. Hmmm.

Xeifrank said...

Due to the rules of baseball and math, there is a skew at the top of the list towards the home team and one run games.