Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Oddly Enough for The Dodgers


Not hope remains for the Dodgers in the NLCS. Vegas odds give the Dodgers a 13.6% chance of winning the NLCS, a feat that would involve winning the last three games of the series, with the last two games being played in St.Louis. The Dodgers are a generous 61.8% Vegas favorite in Game #5 and knowing that and the 13.6% number we can reverse engineer the probable odds of Game #6 and Game #7. Also we can easily calculate the odds that the series ends in a 5, 6 or 7 game victory for the Cardinals or a seven game victory for the Dodgers.

Reverse Engineered Game Odds
GameLAD StarterLAD Win%
5Z.Greinke61.8
6C.Kershaw56.0
7H.Ryu39.2

Series Result Odds
Result% Chance
Cardinals in 538.2%
Cardinals in 627.2%
Cardinals in 721.0%
Dodgers in 713.6%

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