Giants vs Dodgers, Opening Day Simulation Results

Here are the simulation results for the opening day game between the Giants and the Dodgers.

Giants vs Dodgers
Matt Cain vs Clayton Kershaw

Simulation Results Notes:
Dodgers win expectancy is 56.17%
Giants on average score 2.87 runs
Dodgers on average score 3.22 runs
Total Runs scored on average: 6.09

Starting Pitching Lines:
Matt Cain - 6.4ip, 6.2so, 1.7bb, 6.3hits, 0.5hrs, 100pitches, 3.101fip
Clayton Kershaw - 6.6ip, 8.2so, 1.9bb, 5.5hits, 0.4hrs, 104pitches, 2.383fip

Giants player most likely to hit a HR: Buster Posey
Dodgers player most likely to hit a HR: Matt Kemp

Giants hitter most strikeouts: Brandon Belt (1.6 times)
Dodgers hitter most strikeouts: Matt Kemp (1.2 times)

Giants hitter most walks: Buster Posey (0.433 times)
Dodgers hitter most walks: AJ Ellis (0.447 times)

Some numbers from the Vegas odds:
Dodgers win expectancy: 59.76%
Over/Under: 6 -115o +105u

Top 20 Most Likely Final Scores:
1. Dodgers 2-1
2. Dodgers 3-2
3. Dodgers 1-0
4. Giants 2-1
5. Giants 3-2
6. Dodgers 4-3
7. Dodgers 3-1
8. Dodgers 2-0
9. Giants 1-0
10. Giants 3-1
11. Dodgers 3-0
12. Giants 4-3
13. Dodgers 4-2
14. Giants 2-0
15. Dodgers 4-1
16. Giants 4-2
17. Dodgers 5-4
18. Dodgers 4-0
19. Giants 4-1
20. Giants 3-0
.
.
100. Dodgers 9-8

Early Opening Day Simulation

Here is a screen shot of the output of the simulation for the opening day game on April 5th between the Dodgers and Padres. I made my best guess at lineups. The screenshot image will appear small on your screen. Click on it and you will see a larger and more readable version.

Opening Day Simulation

March 31st Opening Day Simulations ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Units Bet	Final Score
Giants	Dodgers	T.Lincecum vs C.Kershaw	Dodgers	50.50%	54.59%	LAN/0.8	LAN 2-1
Tigers	Yankees	J.Verlander vs C.Sabathia	Yankees	59.35%	58.91%	0.0	NYA 6-3
Royals	Angels	L.Hochevar vs J.Weaver	Angels	58.51%	57.60%	0.0	LAA 4-2
Braves	Nationals	D.Lowe vs L.Hernandez	Braves	58.33%	41.10%	WAS/3.4	ATL 2-0
Padres	Cardinals	T.Stauffer vs C.Carpenter	Cardinals	65.52%	60.79%	SD/0.6	SD 5-3
Brewers	Reds	Y.Gallardo vs E.Volquez	Reds	53.27%	56.88%	CIN/1.0	CIN 7-6

Seasonal ROI: 0.00%

Dodgers simulation details/contest at True Blue LA

MLB Scoreboard