Reds vs Dodgers - July 27th Simulation Results

June 13th Simulations

Dodgers Offense Appears Out Of Thin Air ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Reds	Dodgers	B.Arroyo vs H.Kuroda	Dodgers	53.38%	50.14%	CIN 6-4
Rays	Tigers	A.Cobb vs P.Coke	Tigers	53.16%	54.35%	DET 2-1
Indians	Yankees	C.Carrasco vs A.Burnett	Yankees	62.48%	59.48%	CLE 1-0
Brewers	Cubs	R.Wolf vs R.Dempster	Brewers	50.62%	38.78%	CHN 1-0
Padres	Rockies	A.Bass vs A.Cook	Rockies	TBD	64.62%	SD 3-1
Braves	Astros	D.Lowe vs W.Rodriguez	Braves	54.85%	45.35%	HOU 8-3
Angels	Mariners	D.Haren vs J.Vargas	Angels	54.85%	52.48%	LAA 6-3
DBacks	Marlins	Z.Duke vs R.Nolasco	Marlins	56.62%	61.95%	ARI 12-9
Mets	Pirates	M.Pelfrey vs P.Maholm	Pirates	52.72%	56.14%	PIT 3-1

Run Total Picks of The Day!
ATL vs HOU, Under 7.5 -113 0.6 units LOSS
CIN vs LAN, Under 7.5 -120 0.6 units LOSS
CLE vs NYA, Under 9.5 +100 0.5 units WIN
LAA vs SEA, Over 6.5 -105 0.3 units WIN
Daily Profit: -0.4 units

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Had a record setting day yesterday for my run total bets. Below is a snapshot of my excel spreadsheet bets. Divide by 10 to get actual unit totals.

June 3rd Simulations

The Anti-Dodgers ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Reds	H.Kuroda vs B.Arroyo	Reds	55.06%	57.63%	CIN 2-1
Brewers	Marlins	R.Wolf vs R.Nolasco	Marlins	53.38%	63.66%	MIL 6-5
Phillies	Pirates	C.Hamels vs J.Karstens	Phillies	59.60%	62.26%	PIT 2-1
Tigers	White Sox	A.Oliver vs M.Buehrle	White Sox	57.36%	56.77%	CHA 6-4
Cubs	Cardinals	R.Dempster vs J.Garcia	Cardinals	62.62%	65.47%	STL 6-1
Nationals	DBacks	Y.Maya vs J.Collmenter	DBacks	62.89%	60.44%	ARI 4-0
Twins	Royals	C.Pavano vs D.Duffy	Royals	57.36%	53.33%	MIN 5-2
Astros	Padres	J.Happ vs D.Moseley	Padres	54.44%	52.44%	SD 3-1
Athletics	Red Sox	J.Outman vs C.Buchholz	Red Sox	64.48%	58.93%	BOS 8-6
Yankees	Angels	I.Nova vs J.Weaver	Angels	60.71%	55.54%	LAA 3-2
Braves	Mets	D.Lowe vs J.Niese	Mets	50.62%	57.70%	ATL 6-3
Rangers	Indians	A.Ogando vs J.Masterson	Rangers	53.38%	50.54%	TEX 11-2
Blue Jays	Orioles	C.Villanueva vs Z.Britton	Orioles	54.44%	62.03%	TOR 8-4
Rays	Mariners	A.Sonnanstine vs J.Vargas	Mariners	52.94%	55.27%	SEA 7-0
Rockies	Giants	J.Nicasio vs M.Cain	Giants	56.43%	57.24%	SF 3-1

Run Total Picks of The Day!
COL vs SF, Over 7.0 +110, 2.0 units LOSS
TEX vs CLE, Under 8.0 +105, 3.2 units LOSS
MIN vs KC, Under 9.5 -105, 2.1 units WIN
NYA vs LAA, Under 7.5 -105, 1.7 units WIN
MIL vs FLA, Over 7.5 -110, 2.7 units WIN
CHN vs STL, Under 7.5 +105, 1.2 units WIN
WAS vs ARI, Over 9.0 -120, 1.7 units LOSS
DET vs CHA, Under 9.0 +105, 2.1 units LOSS
Daily Profit: -1.7 units

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