World Series Game #6 Simulation

Pushed To The Brink ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rangers	Cardinals	C.Lewis vs J.Garcia	Cardinals	53.38%	58.48%	STL 10-9

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World Series Game #5

Winner Take All? ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Cardinals	Rangers	C.Carpenter vs C.Wilson	Rangers	54.02%	56.28%	TEX 4-2

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World Series Game #4 Simulation

Pujols Dominates ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Cardinals	Rangers	E.Jackson vs D.Holland	Rangers	63.57%	56.72%	TEX 4-0

Game Notes: Last nights crazy 16-7 game was the 302nd most likely final score in the simulation. The run total line in Vegas opened at 9.8 runs (9.5 O -120) and overnight jumped to 10.3 runs (10 O -120) which is almost unheard of. Could it be a psychological over-reaction to last nights slugfest? The run total line of 10.3 runs is the tied for 19th highest run total line of any game so far this season. Two Derek Holland pitched games are on the list ahead of this one. They were home games against the Florida Marlins and Houston Astros. The Marlins pitcher was Brad Hand (#2 Rank, Vegas 10.8 runs, Actual runs 14) and the Astros pitcher was J.A. Happ (#14 Rank, Vegas 10.4 runs, Actual runs 11). What does tonight have in store?

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World Series Game #3 Simulation

All Tied Up ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Cardinals	Rangers	K.Lohse vs M.Harrison	Rangers	63.90%	58.73%	STL 16-7

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World Series Game #2 Simulation

Cardinals Look To Go Up Two Nil ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rangers	Cardinals	C.Lewis vs J.Garcia	Rangers	51.69%	41.55%	TEX 2-1

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World Series Game #1 Simulation

Ice Breaker ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rangers	Cardinals	C.Wilson vs C.Carpenter	Cardinals	53.80%	53.61%	STL 3-2

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October 16th Simulations

Brewers Looking To Hold Serve ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Cardinals	Brewers	E.Jackson vs S.Marcum	Brewers	55.06%	46.65%	STL 12-6

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Tigers vs Rangers ALCS Game #6 Simulated Box Score

Hitting

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	BB	SO	wOBA
Austin Jackson	4.456	1.065	0.73	0.2	0.06	0.075	0.327	0.353	1.662	0.291
Ryan Raburn	4.366	1.114	0.628	0.294	0.015	0.177	0.507	0.304	1.314	0.325
Miguel Cabrera	3.996	1.243	0.697	0.343	0.002	0.201	0.585	0.593	0.814	0.408
Victor Martinez	4.144	1.263	0.847	0.293	0.003	0.121	0.538	0.307	0.562	0.356
Delmon Young	4.178	1.149	0.748	0.254	0.009	0.139	0.538	0.217	0.947	0.325
Jhonny Peralta	3.998	1.047	0.678	0.216	0.015	0.137	0.475	0.283	0.943	0.321
Alex Avila	3.747	0.926	0.582	0.202	0.023	0.119	0.415	0.416	1.189	0.322
Brandon Inge	3.757	0.878	0.511	0.257	0.017	0.093	0.383	0.3	1.019	0.296
Ramon Santiago	3.673	0.977	0.615	0.236	0.04	0.085	0.393	0.242	0.748	0.319
Ian Kinsler	4.168	1.186	0.676	0.249	0.029	0.232	0.574	0.496	0.571	0.38
Elvis Andrus	4.163	1.156	0.895	0.196	0.025	0.04	0.329	0.381	0.642	0.317
Josh Hamilton	4.133	1.306	0.737	0.281	0.066	0.222	0.696	0.394	0.872	0.405
Michael Young	4.079	1.27	0.915	0.238	0.032	0.084	0.519	0.293	0.622	0.353
Adrian Beltre	4.042	1.269	0.685	0.323	0.006	0.255	0.794	0.227	0.611	0.395
Mike Napoli	3.733	1.064	0.599	0.244	0.004	0.216	0.624	0.418	0.937	0.379
Nelson Cruz	3.763	1.04	0.57	0.243	0.011	0.216	0.61	0.276	0.941	0.359
David Murphy	3.589	1.041	0.654	0.209	0.026	0.151	0.5	0.382	0.688	0.367
Endy Chavez	3.568	0.991	0.678	0.174	0.032	0.107	0.427	0.303	0.731	0.336

Pitching

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Max Scherzer	5.447	4.149	1.621	6.752	1.166	88.894	5.352
Jose Valverde	0.392	0.33	0.164	0.411	0.042	6.447	4.165
Joaquin Benoit	0.44	0.399	0.119	0.481	0.061	7.015	4.007
Al Alburquerque	0.722	0.719	0.402	0.707	0.051	12.406	3.807
Phil Coke	0.465	0.282	0.211	0.554	0.044	7.772	4.591
Ryan Perry	0.78	0.456	0.402	0.953	0.087	13.327	5.033
Daniel Schlereth	0.36	0.273	0.243	0.439	0.067	6.549	6.141
Brad Penny	0.02	0.007	0.007	0.027	0.004	0.323	6.232
Derek Holland	5.938	5.666	2.043	6.39	0.757	97.037	3.981
Neftali Feliz	0.425	0.461	0.138	0.391	0.031	6.776	2.948
Mike Adams	0.43	0.466	0.09	0.412	0.035	6.656	2.709
Koji Uehara	0.756	0.99	0.12	0.733	0.134	11.815	3.356
Alexi Ogando	0.429	0.372	0.119	0.478	0.049	6.856	3.787
Mike Gonzalez	0.893	0.922	0.402	0.92	0.113	15.065	4.134
Darren Oliver	0.321	0.314	0.103	0.329	0.026	5.163	3.276
Yoshinori Tateyama	0.007	0.007	0.002	0.008	0.001	0.111	4.893

Top 150 Most Likely Scores

1 TEX 4-3		51 TEX 8-1		101 TEX 11-5
2 TEX 3-2		52 TEX 6-0		102 TEX 11-1
3 TEX 5-4		53 TEX 8-6		103 TEX 12-2
4 TEX 6-5		54 DET 8-6		104 TEX 10-0
5 DET 4-3		55 TEX 9-3		105 TEX 10-7
6 TEX 2-1		56 DET 8-5		106 DET 10-7
7 TEX 4-2		57 DET 8-4		107 DET 9-1
8 DET 3-2		58 TEX 9-2		108 TEX 12-3
9 DET 5-4		59 DET 8-3		109 DET 10-2
10 TEX 5-3		60 DET 8-7		110 DET 7-0
11 TEX 3-1		61 DET 6-1		111 TEX 12-4
12 TEX 5-2		62 DET 2-0		112 DET 11-4
13 TEX 7-6		63 TEX 9-8		113 DET 10-8
14 TEX 4-1		64 TEX 7-0		114 TEX 12-1
15 DET 4-2		65 TEX 9-4		115 TEX 10-8
16 TEX 6-3		66 DET 1-0		116 DET 11-3
17 DET 5-3		67 TEX 9-1		117 DET 10-1
18 DET 6-5		68 TEX 9-5		118 DET 10-9
19 TEX 6-4		69 DET 8-2		119 DET 11-5
20 TEX 6-2		70 DET 3-0		120 TEX 12-5
21 DET 2-1		71 TEX 10-2		121 TEX 11-6
22 DET 6-4		72 DET 9-4		122 TEX 13-2
23 TEX 5-1		73 TEX 10-3		123 TEX 11-7
24 DET 5-2		74 DET 7-1		124 DET 11-7
25 TEX 7-3		75 TEX 9-6		125 DET 11-6
26 DET 6-3		76 TEX 10-4		126 TEX 11-10
27 TEX 6-1		77 TEX 8-0		127 DET 8-0
28 DET 3-1		78 DET 9-5		128 TEX 13-3
29 TEX 7-4		79 DET 9-3		129 TEX 11-0
30 TEX 7-2		80 TEX 10-1		130 TEX 13-4
31 TEX 7-5		81 DET 4-0		131 DET 12-4
32 TEX 3-0		82 DET 9-6		132 DET 12-5
33 DET 4-1		83 TEX 9-7		133 TEX 11-8
34 DET 7-4		84 TEX 10-5		134 DET 11-2
35 DET 7-6		85 DET 9-7		135 TEX 12-6
36 TEX 8-7		86 DET 5-0		136 DET 11-8
37 TEX 4-0		87 TEX 9-0		137 DET 12-6
38 DET 7-5		88 DET 9-2		138 TEX 13-5
39 DET 6-2		89 DET 9-8		139 DET 9-0
40 TEX 2-0		90 DET 8-1		140 TEX 14-4
41 TEX 7-1		91 TEX 11-3		141 TEX 11-9
42 TEX 8-3		92 DET 10-4		142 TEX 12-0
43 TEX 8-2		93 TEX 11-4		143 TEX 13-1
44 TEX 1-0		94 TEX 11-2		144 DET 12-3
45 DET 7-3		95 DET 10-5		145 TEX 13-6
46 TEX 8-4		96 TEX 10-9		146 TEX 14-2
47 DET 5-1		97 DET 10-3		147 TEX 14-3
48 TEX 5-0		98 DET 6-0		148 DET 11-9
49 TEX 8-5		99 TEX 10-6		149 DET 12-7
50 DET 7-2		100 DET 10-6		150 DET 12-2

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October 15th Simulations

Closing Time For Texas ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Tigers	Rangers	M.Scherzer vs D.Holland	Rangers	58.93%	61.34%	TEX 15-5

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October 14th Simulations

All Tied At Two ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Brewers	Cardinals	Z.Greinke vs J.Garcia	Cardinals	51.22%	61.04%	STL 7-1

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October 13th Simulations

Tigers On The Brink ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rangers	Tigers	C.Wilson vs J.Verlander	Tigers	60.24%	49.06%	DET 7-5
Brewers	Cardinals	R.Wolf vs K.Lohse	Cardinals	56.62%	64.06%	MIL 4-2

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October 12th Simulations

Double Your LCS Pleasure! ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rangers	Tigers	M.Harrison vs R.Porcello	Rangers	52.38%	54.12%	TEX 7-3
Brewers	Cardinals	Y.Gallardo vs C.Carpenter	Cardinals	59.27%	63.67%	STL 4-3

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October 11th Simulations

Fister Of Fury ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rangers	Tigers	C.Lewis vs D.Fister	Tigers	56.99%	58.97%	DET 5-2

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Cardinals vs Brewers Game #2 Simulation Box Score

Hitting

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	BB	SO	wOBA
Rafael Furcal	4.52	1.313	0.82	0.344	0.028	0.121	0.406	0.307	0.766	0.345
Jon Jay	4.484	1.34	0.9	0.311	0.038	0.091	0.408	0.261	0.947	0.341
Albert Pujols	4.28	1.372	0.826	0.273	0.002	0.27	0.715	0.334	0.582	0.402
Matt Holliday	4.186	1.277	0.722	0.352	0.004	0.2	0.667	0.336	0.993	0.381
Lance Berkman	3.925	1.157	0.698	0.229	0.016	0.215	0.659	0.504	0.906	0.388
Yadier Molina	4.087	1.235	0.844	0.277	0.006	0.108	0.524	0.215	0.566	0.344
David Freese	4.001	1.175	0.787	0.27	0.012	0.107	0.494	0.202	0.981	0.337
Nick Punto	3.78	0.999	0.625	0.26	0.029	0.086	0.433	0.329	0.902	0.325
Pitchers Spot	3.881	0.489	0.39	0.082	0.003	0.014	0.163	0.121	1.943	0.143
Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	BB	SO	wOBA
Corey Hart	4.211	1.175	0.712	0.236	0.031	0.197	0.44	0.358	0.998	0.355
Nyjer Morgan	4.195	1.218	0.817	0.263	0.081	0.057	0.311	0.291	0.752	0.336
Ryan Braun	4.046	1.295	0.791	0.264	0.034	0.206	0.613	0.324	0.725	0.395
Prince Fielder	3.608	1.051	0.592	0.235	0.008	0.216	0.633	0.712	0.768	0.41
Ricky Weeks	3.838	1.064	0.638	0.257	0.025	0.143	0.575	0.339	0.907	0.348
Jerry Hairston Jr.	3.778	0.981	0.63	0.257	0.012	0.082	0.442	0.278	0.577	0.312
Yunieskey Betancourt	3.825	0.995	0.676	0.202	0.025	0.092	0.426	0.12	0.504	0.295
Jonathan Lucroy	3.597	0.926	0.684	0.165	0.007	0.07	0.341	0.241	0.806	0.297
Pitchers Spot	3.597	0.483	0.39	0.078	0.004	0.011	0.137	0.142	1.552	0.155

Pitching

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Edwin Jackson	6.04	4.912	1.87	6.471	0.741	96.136	4.097
Fernando Salas	0.47	0.515	0.121	0.425	0.056	7.318	3.324
Kyle McClellan	0.403	0.268	0.125	0.469	0.074	6.437	5.195
Jason Motte	0.686	0.666	0.18	0.655	0.058	10.672	3.141
Octavio Dotel	0.355	0.41	0.127	0.334	0.054	5.782	3.92
Marc Rzepczynski	0.555	0.567	0.275	0.532	0.061	9.355	4.069
Mitchell Boggs	0.278	0.237	0.1	0.284	0.03	4.469	3.954
Arthur Rhodes	0.016	0.012	0.006	0.017	0.003	0.256	5.567
Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Shaun Marcum	5.845	5.098	1.613	6.858	0.884	94.537	4.249
John Axford	0.41	0.535	0.115	0.347	0.028	6.501	2.325
Francisco Rodriguez	0.45	0.546	0.146	0.422	0.039	7.299	2.866
Kameron Loe	0.785	0.762	0.175	0.836	0.075	12.336	3.165
LaTroy Hawkins	0.451	0.355	0.128	0.509	0.035	7.181	3.492
Takashi Saito	0.951	0.975	0.336	1.005	0.102	15.636	3.601
Tim Dillard	0.328	0.307	0.093	0.372	0.047	5.31	4.06
Marco Estrada	0.007	0.008	0.002	0.007	0.001	0.118	3.872

Top 150 Most Likely Scores

1 MIL 4-3		51 STL 8-4		101 MIL 10-2
2 MIL 3-2		52 MIL 7-2		102 MIL 10-5
3 MIL 5-4		53 MIL 4-0		103 STL 11-5
4 STL 3-2		54 STL 8-5		104 STL 12-3
5 STL 4-3		55 STL 8-1		105 MIL 8-0
6 MIL 2-1		56 MIL 8-7		106 STL 10-0
7 STL 4-2		57 STL 6-0		107 STL 10-7
8 STL 5-4		58 STL 9-2		108 STL 12-4
9 MIL 4-2		59 MIL 8-3		109 MIL 10-7
10 STL 5-3		60 MIL 8-4		110 MIL 10-9
11 MIL 6-5		61 MIL 8-5		111 STL 12-2
12 STL 2-1		62 STL 9-3		112 MIL 10-1
13 MIL 5-3		63 MIL 5-0		113 STL 10-8
14 STL 3-1		64 STL 9-4		114 MIL 9-0
15 STL 5-2		65 STL 7-0		115 MIL 10-6
16 MIL 3-1		66 STL 8-6		116 MIL 11-3
17 STL 4-1		67 MIL 8-6		117 STL 11-6
18 MIL 5-2		68 MIL 7-1		118 STL 12-5
19 MIL 4-1		69 MIL 8-2		119 MIL 11-4
20 STL 6-3		70 STL 8-7		120 MIL 11-2
21 STL 6-4		71 STL 9-1		121 STL 11-7
22 STL 5-1		72 MIL 6-0		122 MIL 10-8
23 STL 6-5		73 STL 9-5		123 STL 12-1
24 MIL 6-4		74 MIL 8-1		124 MIL 11-5
25 STL 6-2		75 STL 9-6		125 STL 11-0
26 MIL 7-6		76 STL 10-2		126 STL 13-3
27 MIL 6-3		77 STL 8-0		127 STL 10-9
28 STL 6-1		78 STL 10-3		128 STL 13-2
29 MIL 1-0		79 STL 10-4		129 MIL 11-6
30 STL 7-3		80 MIL 9-3		130 STL 13-4
31 STL 7-4		81 MIL 9-8		131 STL 13-1
32 STL 7-2		82 MIL 9-2		132 STL 11-8
33 STL 3-0		83 MIL 9-4		133 MIL 12-3
34 MIL 5-1		84 STL 10-5		134 MIL 10-0
35 MIL 6-2		85 MIL 9-5		135 STL 13-5
36 STL 2-0		86 STL 10-1		136 STL 13-6
37 STL 4-0		87 MIL 7-0		137 MIL 11-10
38 STL 7-5		88 STL 9-7		138 STL 12-6
39 MIL 2-0		89 STL 9-8		139 MIL 11-1
40 MIL 3-0		90 MIL 9-6		140 MIL 12-2
41 STL 7-1		91 STL 10-6		141 MIL 12-5
42 STL 5-0		92 STL 9-0		142 STL 12-0
43 STL 7-6		93 STL 11-3		143 MIL 11-8
44 MIL 7-4		94 STL 11-4		144 MIL 11-7
45 MIL 7-5		95 MIL 9-7		145 STL 11-9
46 STL 1-0		96 MIL 9-1		146 STL 12-7
47 STL 8-2		97 STL 11-2		147 STL 14-3
48 MIL 7-3		98 STL 11-1		148 MIL 12-6
49 MIL 6-1		99 MIL 10-4		149 STL 14-5
50 STL 8-3		100 MIL 10-3		150 MIL 12-4

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Tigers vs Rangers ALCS Game #2 Simulated Box Score

Hitting

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	BB	SO	wOBA
Austin Jackson	4.443	1.053	0.724	0.197	0.058	0.075	0.311	0.353	1.659	0.289
Ramon Santiago	4.33	1.133	0.71	0.273	0.048	0.102	0.413	0.283	0.877	0.315
Delmon Young	4.351	1.183	0.77	0.259	0.009	0.145	0.487	0.229	0.99	0.322
Miguel Cabrera	3.891	1.2	0.671	0.333	0.002	0.195	0.594	0.584	0.792	0.407
Victor Martinez	4.032	1.222	0.818	0.283	0.002	0.119	0.526	0.304	0.549	0.355
Ryan Raburn	3.989	1.014	0.573	0.267	0.013	0.16	0.539	0.278	1.199	0.324
Jhonny Peralta	3.88	1.003	0.65	0.207	0.015	0.132	0.466	0.278	0.914	0.318
Alex Avila	3.633	0.888	0.561	0.191	0.022	0.114	0.405	0.408	1.15	0.32
Brandon Inge	3.66	0.842	0.488	0.248	0.015	0.091	0.366	0.281	0.997	0.292
Rangers
Ian Kinsler	4.17	1.181	0.672	0.249	0.028	0.231	0.576	0.494	0.565	0.378
Elvis Andrus	4.16	1.158	0.893	0.199	0.026	0.04	0.334	0.381	0.64	0.318
Josh Hamilton	4.135	1.302	0.733	0.283	0.066	0.221	0.695	0.389	0.878	0.403
Michael Young	4.078	1.267	0.909	0.24	0.033	0.085	0.521	0.292	0.62	0.353
Adrian Beltre	4.04	1.266	0.678	0.321	0.006	0.26	0.791	0.228	0.608	0.396
Mike Napoli	3.727	1.049	0.591	0.241	0.004	0.212	0.605	0.421	0.937	0.375
Nelson Cruz	3.76	1.032	0.566	0.242	0.011	0.213	0.601	0.277	0.935	0.357
David Murphy	3.584	1.028	0.688	0.178	0.027	0.135	0.463	0.385	0.67	0.358
Mitch Moreland	3.498	0.932	0.604	0.19	0.012	0.126	0.442	0.371	0.775	0.339

Pitching

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Max Scherzer	5.448	4.142	1.653	6.692	1.166	88.857	5.372
Jose Valverde	0.389	0.329	0.167	0.405	0.042	6.416	4.189
Joaquin Benoit	0.444	0.402	0.121	0.477	0.062	7.061	4.011
Al Alburquerque	0.72	0.726	0.416	0.696	0.052	12.441	3.856
Phil Coke	0.465	0.284	0.217	0.543	0.044	7.767	4.602
Ryan Perry	0.783	0.465	0.411	0.949	0.089	13.407	5.059
Daniel Schlereth	0.359	0.272	0.246	0.425	0.066	6.506	6.143
Brad Penny	0.02	0.008	0.007	0.026	0.004	0.321	6.23
Rangers
Derek Holland	5.982	5.643	2.032	6.354	0.752	97.246	3.968
Neftali Feliz	0.426	0.461	0.141	0.388	0.032	6.792	2.989
Mike Adams	0.426	0.464	0.091	0.405	0.034	6.595	2.684
Koji Uehara	0.75	0.974	0.116	0.711	0.129	11.643	3.297
Alexi Ogando	0.425	0.368	0.114	0.461	0.048	6.731	3.758
Mike Gonzalez	0.875	0.905	0.402	0.894	0.111	14.779	4.16
Darren Oliver	0.314	0.304	0.101	0.32	0.027	5.041	3.323
Yoshinori Tateyama	0.006	0.006	0.002	0.007	0.001	0.103	4.364

Starting Pitchers	Away	Home	Favorite	Exp Win%	Away Runs/Game	Home Runs/Game	Total Runs/Game
Max Scherzer vs Derek Holland	Tigers	Rangers	Rangers	61.71%	4.16	5.11	9.27

Top 25 Most Likely Scores

Rank	Tigers	Rangers	Out of 100K
1	3	4	3538
2	2	3	3358
3	4	5	3227
4	5	6	2310
5	1	2	2305
6	4	3	2232
7	2	4	2103
8	3	2	1968
9	3	5	1947
10	5	4	1884
11	1	3	1788
12	2	5	1716
13	1	4	1627
14	5	3	1561
15	6	7	1558
16	3	6	1520
17	4	2	1517
18	4	6	1499
19	6	5	1421
20	2	6	1340
21	2	1	1308
22	1	5	1292
23	6	4	1281
24	5	2	1223
25	4	7	1124

Cardinals vs Brewers Simulation box score.
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October 10th Simulations

Cardinals and Tigers Need A Win ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Tigers	Rangers	M.Scherzer vs D.Holland	Rangers	58.25%	62.30%	TEX 7-3
Cardinals	Brewers	E.Jackson vs S.Marcum	Cardinals	56.99%	49.53%	STL 12-3

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October 9th Simulations

LCS Gets Hot and Heavy ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Cardinals	Brewers	J.Garcia vs Z.Greinke	Brewers	58.07%	53.26%	MIL 9-6
Tigers	Rangers	M.Scherzer vs D.Holland	Rangers	57.08%	60.68%	Ppd.

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October 8th Simulations

ALCS Begins ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Tigers	Rangers	J.Verlander vs C.Wilson	Rangers	50.62%	38.15%	TEX 3-2

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October 7th Simulations

NLDS For All The Marbles ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
DBacks	Brewers	I.Kennedy vs Y.Gallardo	Brewers	58.76%	58.59%	MIL 3-2
Cardinals	Phillies	C.Carpenter vs R.Halladay	Phillies	63.30%	58.47%	STL 1-0

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October 6th Simulations

LDS - Yankees Looking For Super Nova ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Tigers	Yankees	D.Fister vs I.Nova	Yankees	60.24%	52.44%	DET 3-2

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October 5th Simulations

LDS - Cardinals/DBacks Holding On For Dear Life ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Phillies	Cardinals	R.Oswalt vs E.Jackson	Phillies	52.94%	43.54%	STL 5-3
Brewers	DBacks	R.Wolf vs J.Saunders	DBacks	51.22%	55.60%	ARI 10-6

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October 4th Simulations

LDS - Yankees and Rays Pushed To The Brink ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rangers	Rays	M.Harrison vs J.Hellickson	Rays	52.72%	39.25%	TEX 4-3
Phillies	Cardinals	C.Hamels vs J.Garcia	Phillies	55.85%	40.38%	PHI 3-2
Yankees	Tigers	A.Burnett vs R.Porcello	Tigers	52.83%	52.30%	NYA 10-1
Brewers	DBacks	S.Marcum vs J.Collmenter	Brewers	51.33%	46.21%	ARI 8-1

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October 3rd Simulations

LDS - American League Takes The Spotlight ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Rangers	Rays	C.Lewis vs D.Price	Rays	56.52%	50.93%	TEX 4-3
Yankees	Tigers	C.Sabathia vs J.Verlander	Tigers	55.56%	49.49%	DET 5-4

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October 2nd Simulations

LDS Get Even Day ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Tigers	Yankees	M.Scherzer vs F.Garcia	Yankees	56.52%	58.07%	DET 5-3
DBacks	Brewers	D.Hudson vs Z.Greinke	Brewers	60.08%	63.17%	MIL 9-4
Cardinals	Phillies	C.Carpenter vs C.Lee	Phillies	62.89%	58.76%	STL 5-4

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October 1st Simulations

LDS Full Tilt ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
DBacks	Brewers	I.Kennedy vs Y.Gallardo	Brewers	57.36%	57.46%	MIL 4-1
Cardinals	Phillies	K.Lohse vs R.Halladay	Phillies	67.43%	61.07%	PHI 11-6
Rays	Rangers	J.Shields vs D.Holland	Rangers	52.92%	65.23%	TEX 8-6

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