Thursday, July 15, 2010

Some Don't Like It Hot



July 16th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Cardinals C.Billingsley vs J.Garcia Cardinals 56.90% 57.08% STL 8-4
Astros Pirates B.Myers vs Z.Duke Astros 50.74% 52.32% HOU 5-2
Rockies Reds J.Hammel vs B.Arroyo Reds 54.75% 49.02% CIN 3-2
Nationals Marlins S.Strasburg vs R.Nolasco Nationals 53.27% 51.95% WAS 4-0
Mets Giants J.Niese vs B.Zito Giants 54.75% 56.25% SF 1-0
Tigers Indians M.Scherzer vs J.Westbrook Tigers 58.33% 57.31% CLE 8-2
Blue Jays Orioles R.Romero vs B.Bergesen Blue Jays 60.00% 61.56% TOR 4-2
Rays Yankees J.Shields vs C.Sabathia Yankees 64.66% 63.79% NYA 5-4
Rangers Red Sox C.Lewis vs F.Doubront Rangers 54.75% 53.64% TEX 8-4
A's Royals G.Gonzalez vs Z.Greinke Royals 58.33% 56.93% OAK 5-1
White Sox Twins G.Floyd vs F.Liriano Twins 57.08% 61.92% MIN 7-4
Mariners Angels F.Hernandez vs J.Weaver Angels 56.14% 55.07% LAA 3-2
Brewers Braves R.Wolf vs T.Hanson Braves 62.83% 71.44% MIL 9-3

Current ROI: 2.72%

50,000 NL West Seasonal Simulations
NL West Title Hopes
Place Team Likely Sim Wins Likely Sim Losses Max Wins Min Wins NL West Champs Yesterday
1 Dodgers 88.86 73.14 105 70 39.18% 43.33%
2 Padres 87.88 74.12 108 70 29.36% 28.48%
3 Rockies 86.10 75.90 103 69 16.75% 15.84%
4 Giants 85.69 76.31 104 68 14.71% 12.35%


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