Thursday, July 22, 2010

Second Verse, Same As The First



July 23rd, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Mets Dodgers J.Santana vs V.Padilla Dodgers 53.49% 53.99% NYN 6-1
Cardinals Cubs J.Suppan vs R.Wells Cubs 60.47% 61.26% CHN 5-0
Padres Pirates K.Correia vs P.Maholm Padres 52.38% 48.32% SD 5-3
Rockies Phillies A.Cook vs R.Halladay Phillies 66.89% 66.46% PHI 6-0
Braves Marlins D.Lowe vs A.Sanabia Braves 50.74% 53.48% FLA 7-6
Reds Astros T.Wood vs B.Norris Reds 58.85% 45.78% CIN 6-4
Nationals Brewers C.Stammen vs C.Narveson Brewers 57.45% 56.61% MIL 7-5
Giants DBacks J.Sanchez vs E.Jackson Giants 51.22% 50.56% SF 7-4
Twins Orioles N.Blackburn vs J.Guthrie Twins 56.33% 47.84% BAL 3-2
Rays Indians J.Nieman vs F.Carmona Rays 59.18% 54.06% CLE 3-1
Royals Yankees B.Bannister vs A.Burnett Yankees 69.51% 66.69% NYA 7-1
Angels Rangers J.Saunders vs C.Wilson Rangers 65.03% 63.44% TEX 1-0
White Sox A's M.Buehrle vs T.Cahill A's 56.71% 50.31% CHA 5-1
Red Sox Mariners J.Becket vs J.Vargas Red So 54.34% 48.72% BOS 2-1


Current ROI: 3.23%

Simulator odds of winning the NL West
Rank Team 7/23 7/22 7/21 7/20 7/19 7/18 7/17 7/16 7/15
1 Padres 41.42% 45.55% 40.62% 44.09% 42.52% 37.12% 33.01% 29.36% 28.48%
2 Dodgers 24.69% 21.65% 20.04% 23.84% 27.36% 31.34% 35.52% 39.18% 43.33%
3 Giants 23.63% 20.33% 24.07% 19.94% 16.28% 19.88% 17.02% 14.71% 12.35%
4 Rockies 10.26% 12.47% 15.28% 12.13% 13.84% 11.66% 14.44% 16.75% 15.84%


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