July 23rd, Simulations...
| Visitors | Home | Probable Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Vegas Win Prob | Simulator Win Prob | Actual |
| Mets | Dodgers | J.Santana vs V.Padilla | Dodgers | 53.49% | 53.99% | NYN 6-1 |
| Cardinals | Cubs | J.Suppan vs R.Wells | Cubs | 60.47% | 61.26% | CHN 5-0 |
| Padres | Pirates | K.Correia vs P.Maholm | Padres | 52.38% | 48.32% | SD 5-3 |
| Rockies | Phillies | A.Cook vs R.Halladay | Phillies | 66.89% | 66.46% | PHI 6-0 |
| Braves | Marlins | D.Lowe vs A.Sanabia | Braves | 50.74% | 53.48% | FLA 7-6 |
| Reds | Astros | T.Wood vs B.Norris | Reds | 58.85% | 45.78% | CIN 6-4 |
| Nationals | Brewers | C.Stammen vs C.Narveson | Brewers | 57.45% | 56.61% | MIL 7-5 |
| Giants | DBacks | J.Sanchez vs E.Jackson | Giants | 51.22% | 50.56% | SF 7-4 |
| Twins | Orioles | N.Blackburn vs J.Guthrie | Twins | 56.33% | 47.84% | BAL 3-2 |
| Rays | Indians | J.Nieman vs F.Carmona | Rays | 59.18% | 54.06% | CLE 3-1 |
| Royals | Yankees | B.Bannister vs A.Burnett | Yankees | 69.51% | 66.69% | NYA 7-1 |
| Angels | Rangers | J.Saunders vs C.Wilson | Rangers | 65.03% | 63.44% | TEX 1-0 |
| White Sox | A's | M.Buehrle vs T.Cahill | A's | 56.71% | 50.31% | CHA 5-1 |
| Red Sox | Mariners | J.Becket vs J.Vargas | Red So | 54.34% | 48.72% | BOS 2-1 |
Current ROI: 3.23%
Simulator odds of winning the NL West
| Rank | Team | 7/23 | 7/22 | 7/21 | 7/20 | 7/19 | 7/18 | 7/17 | 7/16 | 7/15 |
| 1 | Padres | 41.42% | 45.55% | 40.62% | 44.09% | 42.52% | 37.12% | 33.01% | 29.36% | 28.48% |
| 2 | Dodgers | 24.69% | 21.65% | 20.04% | 23.84% | 27.36% | 31.34% | 35.52% | 39.18% | 43.33% |
| 3 | Giants | 23.63% | 20.33% | 24.07% | 19.94% | 16.28% | 19.88% | 17.02% | 14.71% | 12.35% |
| 4 | Rockies | 10.26% | 12.47% | 15.28% | 12.13% | 13.84% | 11.66% | 14.44% | 16.75% | 15.84% |
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