Seasonal Team Projections, Read View Mirror

It's time to take a look at how the simulators pre-season team projections are working out. Keep in mind that the simulator simulated the season 10,000 times, and the actual empirical result is nothing more than one sample, so you are bound to see a few teams miss their projected win totals by quite a bit. Here is how the projections look thus far.

Team	Division	On Pace Wins	Simulator Wins	Delta Wins	Closest Rank
Padres	NL West	93.9	72.3	21.6	30th
Dodgers	NL West	90.2	93.8	3.6	10th
Rockies	NL West	90.2	86.7	3.5	9th
Giants	NL West	86.5	75.6	10.9	19th
DBacks	NL West	61.9	82.7	20.8	29th
Reds	NL Central	88.2	75.1	13.1	23rd
Cardinals	NL Central	86.5	84.6	1.9	5th
Brewers	NL Central	72.8	78.0	5.2	13th
Cubs	NL Central	71.0	87.9	16.9	24th
Astros	NL Central	65.5	71.9	6.4	16th
Pirates	NL Central	55.2	72.5	17.3	26th
Braves	NL East	95.7	90.3	5.4	15th
Mets	NL East	88.4	75.7	12.7	22nd
Phillies	NL East	87.5	90.1	2.6	6th
Marlins	NL East	77.3	81.2	3.9	11th
Nationals	NL East	71.0	74.9	3.9	12th
Rangers	AL West	92.0	80.9	11.1	20th
Angels	AL West	83.7	82.2	1.5	3rd
A's	AL West	78.3	81.5	3.2	8th
Mariners	AL West	64.4	82.4	18.0	27th
White Sox	AL Central	91.2	82.1	9.1	18th
Tigers	AL Central	90.4	77.9	12.5	21st
Twins	AL Central	84.7	86.5	1.8	4th
Royals	AL Central	71.8	72.2	0.4	1st
Indians	AL Central	62.6	69.9	7.3	17th
Yankees	AL East	103.1	102.0	1.1	2nd
Rays	AL East	99.4	82.2	17.2	25th
Red Sox	AL East	93.9	91.0	2.9	7th
Blue Jays	AL East	80.1	74.7	5.4	14th
Orioles	AL East	53.4	71.5	18.1	28th

Notes: The five closest seasonal win total projections so far are the Royals, Yankees, Angels, Twins and Cardinals. The five biggest surprises have been the Padres, Diamondbacks, Orioles, Mariners and Pirates.