Beating LA!

July 30th, Simulations...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Actual
Dodgers	Giants	C.Monasterios vs T.Lincecum	Giants	63.90%	67.94%	SF 6-5
Pirates	Cardinals	J.Karstens vs C.Carpenter	Cardinals	75.00%	75.18%	STL 1-0
Cubs	Rockies	R.Dempster vs J.Francis	Rockies	53.70%	60.98%	COL 17-2
Marlins	Padres	C.Volstad vs W.LeBlanc	Padres	55.56%	53.56%	FLA 4-2
Phillies	Nationals	R.Oswalt vs C.Stammen	Phillies	62.55%	51.26%	WAS 8-1
DBacks	Mets	I.Kennedy vs M.Pelfrey	Mets	58.16%	59.17%	ARI 9-6
Braves	Reds	K.Medlen vs J.Cueto	Reds	57.08%	53.92%	ATL 6-4
Brewers	Astros	M.Parra vs J.Happ	Brewers	51.92%	52.24%	HOU 5-0
Indians	Blue Jays	J.Masterson vs S.Marcum	Blue Jays	63.50%	61.65%	TOR 8-1
Tigers	Red Sox	A.Galarraga vs J.Lester	Red Sox	71.01%	71.35%	DET 6-5
Yankees	Rays	P.Hughes vs W.Davis	Yankees	51.46%	56.04%	TB 3-2
Mariners	Twins	D.Fister vs S.Baker	Twins	62.96%	61.53%	MIN 5-3
Orioles	Royals	J.Arrieta vs S.O'Sullivan	Royals	55.75%	55.17%	KC 7-5
A's	White Sox	B.Anderson vs D.Hudson	A's	50.74%	53.29%	CHA 6-1
Rangers	Angels	T.Hunter vs E.Santana	Angels	52.38%	54.62%	LAA 9-7

Current ROI: 2.76%

Simulator odds of winning the NL West

Rank	Team	7/30	7/29	7/28	7/27	7/26	7/25	7/24	7/23	7/22	7/21	7/20
1	Padres	54.38%	47.70%	43.71%	49.82%	47.34%	46.16%	45.01%	41.42%	45.55%	40.62%	44.09%
2	Giants	26.98%	31.89%	29.28%	25.34%	28.79%	28.29%	27.05%	23.63%	20.33%	24.07%	19.94%
3	Dodgers	16.69%	18.76%	24.39%	21.18%	19.73%	19.65%	19.72%	24.69%	21.65%	20.04%	23.84%
4	Rockies	1.95%	1.65%	2.62%	3.66%	4.14%	5.90%	8.22%	10.26%	12.47%	15.28%	12.13%

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