Tuesday, August 05, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, August 6th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Cardinals D.Lowe vs J.Pineiro Dodgers -134 +126 8.5 48.23% 7.91/15 56%/8.6 Cardinals
Astros vs Cubs B.Backe vs J.Marquis Cubs -175 +167 10.0 59.33% 9.92/15 59%/10.8 Cubs
Marlins vs Phillies A.Sanchez vs K.Kendrick Phillies -148 +140 10.5 51.36% 10.64/5 65%/11.2 Phillies
A's vs Blue Jays G.Gonzalez vs S.Marcum Blue Jays -131 +123 8.5 61.00% 9.30/6 64%/8.4 Blue Jays
Padres vs Mets C.Baek vs P.Martinez Mets -201 +185 8.5 60.37% 7.82/6 61%/9.0 Padres
Brewers vs Reds J.Suppan vs H.Bailey Brewers -119 +111 10.0 54.60% 10.78/9 58%/11.3 Brewers
Indians vs Rays J.Sowers vs S.Kazmir Rays -220 +202 8.0 72.00% 8.56/17 63%/9.1 Rays
Yankees vs Rangers S.Ponson vs T.Hunter Yankees -124 +116 12.5 41.59% 10.85/8 47%/13.7 Yankees
Red Sox vs Royals T.Wakefield vs L.Hochevar Red Sox -142 +134 9.5 51.96% 9.79/10 55%/9.9 Red Sox
Tigers vs White Sox J.Verlander vs J.Danks White Sox -110 +102 9.5 56.83% 10.36/6 55%/10.5 White Sox
Pirates vs DBacks J.Karstens vs R.Johnson DBacks -215 +197 8.5 63.11% 10.29/2 75%/9.8 Pirates
Orioles vs Angels G.Olson vs E.Santana Angels -195 +184 9.5 62.74% 8.86/13 71%/10.6 Angels
Twins vs Mariners N.Blackburn vs J.Washburn Twins -118 +110 8.5 45.52% 8.23/10 53%/9.4 Twins
Braves vs Giants C.James vs T.Lincecum Giants -170 +162 7.0 65.00% 8.00/5 63%/8.1 Giants
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $3019 $225 $11195 123.92%
AccuScore $2796 $134 $12022 140.45%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Stl($337), Hou($128), Fla($298), SD($174), TB($260), Tex($375), KC($231), CWS($233), Col($151), Pit($121), Sea($327), SF($131), Tor($247)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($157), Hou($141), Phi($330), SD($150), Mil($200), Cle($145), Tex($312), CWS($137), Col($113), Ari($375), LAA($361), Tor($375)

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