Friday, August 08, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, August 9th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Giants H.Kuroda vs K.Correia Dodgers -138 +130 8.5 52.71% 7.53/5 61%/8.9 Giants
Cardinals vs Cubs T.Wellemeyer vs C.Zambrano Cubs -184 +176 8.5 59.44% 9.24/15 66%/9.6 Cardinals
Pirates vs Phillies I.Snell vs B.Myers Phillies -211 +193 9.5 57.42% 10.52/6 70%/10.5 Phillies
Rangers vs Orioles V.Padilla vs D.Cabrera Orioles -114 +106 10.0 46.66% 10.06/9 48%/11.1 Orioles
A's vs Tigers D.Meyer vs A.Galarraga Tigers -201 +185 9.5 60.31% 9.48/12 70%/9.7 Tigers
Indians vs Blue Jays P.Byrd vs R.Halladay Blue Jays -206 +188 7.5 69.76% 9.39/6 63%/7.7 Indians
Marlins vs Mets S.Olsen vs B.Stokes Mets -119 +111 9.5 53.51% 9.43/14 48%/10.8 Mets
Astros vs Reds B.Moehler vs B.Arroyo Reds -128 +120 9.5 51.40% 9.86/4 56%/8.8 Astros
Nationals vs Brewers T.Redding vs B.Sheets Brewers -240 +222 8.0 73.06% 8.63/6 72%/8.3 Brewers
Twins vs Royals F.Liriano vs Z.Greinke Twins -124 +116 8.0 41.63% 8.95/10 52%/8.6 Twins
Red Sox vs White Sox D.Matsuzaka vs J.Contreras Red Sox -123 +115 9.0 45.32% 10.69/8 50%/10.2 Red Sox
Padres vs Rockies G.Maddux vs A.Cook Rockies -178 +170 9.5 67.82% 9.22/11 68%/8.7 Padres
Braves vs DBacks J.Jurrjens vs D.Haren DBacks -155 +147 8.0 54.00% 9.42/15 63%/7.7 Braves
Yankees vs Angels D.Giese vs J.Lackey Angels -151 +143 9.5 55.00% 9.46/15 55%/8.9 Angels
Rays vs Mariners M.Garza vs R.Smith Rays -130 +122 8.5 49.48% 8.60/15 56%/10.4 Rays
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $3263 -$829 $11235.37 124.71%
AccuScore $2060 -$313 $11625.12 132.50%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): SF($168), Tor ($186), Stl($169), Pit($320), Tex($233), Oak($177), Hou($144), Mil($210), KC($375), CWS($375), Col($263), Atl($231), LAA($163), Sea($249)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($179), Phi($167), Tex($167), Det($317), Cle($149), Fla($218), Mil($120), CWS($163), Col($276), Ari($141), LAA($163)

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