Friday, August 01, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, August 2nd

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
DBacks vs Dodgers Y.Petit vs H.Kuroda Dodgers -133 +125 7.5 59.51% 8.77/6 58%/7.5 Dodgers
Pirates vs Cubs P.Maholm vs T.Lilly Cubs -177 +169 TBD 59.91% 9.72/6 68%/8.8 Cubs
A's vs Red Sox D.Eveland vs J.Lester Red Sox -213 +195 9.0 64.06% 9.33/14 65%/9.7 Red Sox
Angels vs Yankees J.Weaver vs M.Mussina Yankees -138 +130 9.5 60.77% 9.75/10 60%/9.9 Yankees
Rockies vs Marlins V.de los Santos vs R.Nolasco Marlins -158 +150 9.5 55.94% 9.52/8 65%/10.8 Marlins
Tigers vs Rays K.Rogers vs A.Sonnanstine Rays -130 +122 10.0 62.62% 9.28/12 57%/10.3 Rays
Brewers vs Braves C.Sabathia vs C.Morton Brewers -178 +170 8.5 53.89% 8.94/6 68%/9.0 Brewers
Reds vs Nationals J.Fogg vs J.Bergmann Nationals -112 +104 9.0 56.55% 8.78/16 50%/8.4 Nationals
Blue Jays vs Rangers A.Burnett vs S.Feldman Blue Jays -115 +107 10.0 44.68% 10.35/10 45%/11.0 Blue Jays
Mets vs Astros J.Santana vs R.Oswalt Mets -130 +122 8.0 43.29% 8.94/9 53%/8.1 Astros
Indians vs Twins P.Byrd vs K.Slowey Twins -162 +154 9.0 60.38% 8.02/6 61%/8.6 Indians
White Sox vs Royals M.Buehrle vs K.Davies White Sox -137 +129 9.5 52.16% 9.75/16 62%/10.7 Royals
Phillies vs Cardinals J.Blanton vs B.Looper Phillies -106 -102 9.5 48.11% 8.52/3 46%/9.8 Phillies
Giants vs Padres B.Zito vs J.Peavy Padres -228 +210 7.0 55.71% 6.49/2 70%/8.1 Giants
Orioles vs Mariners J.Guthrie vs F.Hernandez Mariners -124 +116 7.5 56.03% 8.28/4 50%/8.6 Orioles
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2772 $1170 $6549 30.98%
AccuScore $1665 $184 $10318 106.36%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): LAD($141), Pit($116), NYY($165), Col($169), TB($350), Atl($360), Was($197), Tex($339), Hou($375), KC($185), SF($375)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): ChC($284), NYY($120), Fla($242), Mil($276), Tex($323), CWS($248), Bal($172)

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