Saturday, August 16, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, August 17th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Brewers vs Dodgers J.Suppan vs C.Kershaw Dodgers -145 +137 7.9 59.89% 9.40/12 59%/9.4 Dodgers
Mets vs Pirates J.Santana vs J.Karstens Mets -191 +180 8.0 52.85% 9.30/4 67%/9.1 Mets
Cardinals vs Reds K.Lohse vs E.Volquez Reds -108 +100 8.8 55.54% 8.84/10 48%/8.9 Reds
Cubs vs Marlins R.Dempster vs C.Volstad Cubs -135 +127 8.5 54.32% 9.48/11 60%/9.6 Cubs
Rockies vs Nationals A.Cook vs O.Perez Rockies -155 +147 8.3 56.22% 8.74/9 63%/9.6 Rockies
Giants vs Braves T.Lincecum vs C.Morton Giants -132 +124 7.9 46.06% 8.00/4 53%/8.5 Giants
DBacks vs Astros R.Johnson vs R.Oswalt DBacks -106 -102 8.0 44.85% 8.68/3 45%/7.9 Astros
Phillies vs Padres C.Hamels vs C.Baek Phillies -174 +166 7.4 56.98% 6.90/3 65%/8.5 Phillies
Angels vs Indians J.Saunders vs J.Sowers Angels -145 +137 9.0 55.25% 9.55/7 59%/10.0 Indians
Orioles vs Tigers G.Olson vs Z.Miner Tigers -157 +149 10.9 58.19% 9.78/24 65%/12.0 Orioles
Blue Jays vs Red Sox S.Marcum vs J.Beckett Red Sox -211 +193 8.4 67.04% 9.57/19 66%/8.5 Blue Jays
Royals vs Yankees B.Bannister vs M.Mussina Yankees -250 +230 8.8 69.97% 9.52/21 66%/9.5 Yankees
Rays vs Rangers S.Kazmir vs D.Nippert Rays -146 +138 10.4 54.70% 10.86/11 52%/11.8 Rays
Mariners vs Twins R.Feierabend vs G.Perkins Twins -210 +192 8.8 59.47% 8.34/19 68%/10.2 Twins
White Sox vs A's J.Vazquez vs G.Gonzalez White Sox -115 +107 8.3 50.06% 8.59/14 57%/8.7 White Sox
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1412 -$750 $5908 18.18%
AccuScore $873 $164 $10818 116.37%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Pit($300), Cin($150), Was($110), Atl($300), Hou($188), SD($173), Sea($191)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): ChC($120), Col($113), Hou($182), Det($201), KC($106), CWS($151)

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