2009 Player Projections
2009 Dodgers ZIPS
Marcels
Stat Speak
CHONE
MINER
OLIVER
... more to come.
Friday, November 21, 2008
Sunday, October 26, 2008
Simulations, World Series Game #5
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner |
| Rays vs Phillies | S.Kazmir vs C.Hamels | Phillies | 61.55% | 9.84 | 7 | Phillies |
Saturday, October 25, 2008
Simulation, World Series Game #4
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Rays vs Phillies | A.Sonnanstine vs J.Blanton | Phillies | 50.99 | 9.89 | 12 | Phillies | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download (Old Version) | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
Thursday, October 23, 2008
Simulation for World Series, Game #3
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Rays vs Phillies | M.Garza vs J.Moyer | Phillies | 57.03% | 9.69 | 9 | Phillies | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download (Old Version) | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
What's at stake in Game #3?
| Situation | Rays Odds to win W.S. | Phillies Odds to win W.S. |
| Current Odds | 48.59% | 51.41% |
| Rays Win Game #3 | 70.28% | 29.72% |
| Phillies Win Game #3 | 31.93% | 68.07% |
| Methodology: I calculated the win probabilites for each of the remaining possible games, then ran a program that plays out the 7 game series 1 million times, which outputs the number of times each team won the 7 game series. If you have your own win probabilites for each game, I'd be glad to run the numbers for you based on your own game predictions. | ||
Wednesday, October 22, 2008
Simulation for World Series, Game #2
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Phillies vs Rays | B.Myers vs J.Shields | Rays | 63.06% | 9.75 | 6 | Rays | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download (Old Version) | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
What's riding on tonight's game?
| Situation | Rays Odds to win W.S. | Phillies Odds to win W.S. |
| Current Odds | 46.78% | 53.22% |
| Rays Win Game #2 | 59.97% | 40.03% |
| Phillies Win Game #2 | 35.39% | 74.85% |
| Methodology: I calculated the win probabilites for each of the remaining possible games, then ran a program that plays out the 7 game series 1 million times, which outputs the number of times each team won the 7 game series. If you have your own win probabilites for each game, I'd be glad to run the numbers for you based on your own game predictions. | ||
Monday, October 20, 2008
Simulation for World Series Game #1
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Phillies vs Rays | C.Hamels vs S.Kazmir | Rays | 51.45% | 9.84 | 5 | Phillies | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download (Old Version) | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
Saturday, October 18, 2008
Simulation for ALCS Game #7
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Red Sox vs Rays | J.Lester vs M.Garza | Rays | 50.18% | 9.50 | 4 | Rays | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
Friday, September 26, 2008
Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Simulations for Thursday, September 25th
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Padres vs Dodgers | J.Peavy vs E.Stults | Dodgers | 57.95% | 7.63 | 12 | Padres | ||
| DBacks vs Cardinals | D.Davis vs J.Pineiro | Cardinals | 51.21% | 8.54 | 15 | Cardinals | ||
| Cubs vs Mets | R.Harden vs P.Martinez | Cubs | 56.59% | 8.66 | 13 | Mets | ||
| Reds vs Astros | J.Cueto vs R.Oswalt | Astros | 60.24% | 8.97 | 14 | Astros | ||
| Pirates vs Brewers | Z.Duke vs J.Suppan | Brewers | 71.76% | 9.10 | 6 | Brewers | ||
| Rockies vs Giants | J.de la Rosa vs B.Zito | Rockies | 61.60% | 8.37 | 4 | Rockies | ||
| Rays vs Tigers | S.Kazmir vs A.Galarraga | Rays | 56.60% | 11.16 | 12 | Tigers | ||
| Indians vs Red Sox | J.Sowers vs J.Lester | Red Sox | 73.05% | 10.93 | 7 | Red Sox | ||
| Yankees vs Blue Jays | C.Pavano vs R.Halladay | Blue Jays | 63.70% | 9.08 | 10 | Blue Jays | ||
| White Sox vs Twins | G.Floyd vs K.Slowey | Twins | 54.27% | 9.94 | 13 | Twins | ||
| Angels vs Mariners | D.Moseley vs C.Jimenez | Angels | 53.72% | 9.80 | 10 | Angels | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Simulations for Wednesday, September 24th
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Padres vs Dodgers | S.Estes vs C.Kershaw | Dodgers | 68.21% | 8.40 | 16 | Dodgers | ||
| Braves vs Phillies | J.Reyes vs B.Myers | Phillies | 68.70% | 10.43 | 14 | Braves | ||
| Marlins vs Nationals | J.Johnson vs T.Redding | Marlins | 60.79% | 8.33 | 13 | Marlins | ||
| Cubs vs Mets | C.Zambrano vs O.Perez | Cubs | 53.84% | 9.61 | 15 | Cubs | ||
| Reds vs Astros | R.Ramirez vs R.Wolf | Astros | 61.04% | 9.33 | 5 | Astros | ||
| Pirates vs Brewers | P.Maholm vs C.Sabathia | Brewers | 72.81% | 8.94 | 6 | Brewers | ||
| DBacks vs Cardinals | M.Scherzer vs A.Wainwright | Cardinals | 52.40% | 7.60 | 6 | Cardinals | ||
| Rockies vs Giants | L.Hernandez vs J.Sanchez | Rockies | 51.37% | 8.25 | 21 | Rockies | ||
| A's vs Rangers | D.Eveland vs M.Harrison | Rangers | 63.15% | 10.60 | 18 | Rangers | ||
| Rays vs Orioles | E.Jackson vs R.Liz | Rays | 69.85% | 13.06 | 17 | Rays | ||
| Indians vs Red Sox | F.Carmona vs P.Byrd | Red Sox | 59.03% | 12.14 | 9 | Red Sox | ||
| Royals vs Tigers | B.Bannister vs N.Robertson | Tigers | 61.69% | 10.53 | 14 | Royals | ||
| Yankees vs Blue Jays | P.Hughes vs A.Burnett | Blue Jays | 56.89% | 9.34 | 8 | Yankees | ||
| White Sox vs Twins | M.Buehrle vs N.Blackburn | White Sox | 55.17% | 9.61 | 5 | Twins | ||
| Angels vs Mariners | J.Garland vs F.Hernandez | Mariners | 59.99% | 8.09 | 11 | Angels | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
Monday, September 22, 2008
Who Will Win The NL West? - DOUBLE UPDATED
I am using my simulator to determine the Dodgers' odds of winning the NL West. I simulated each remaining game for the Dodgers and Diamondbacks, using what should be the likely starters for the remainder of games. I then use a random number generator from 0 to 1 to determine if each game is a win or a loss for each of the two teams. I do this 1 million times, calculating how many times each team ends up winning the NL West. If the two teams tie for first place, I then do the same thing for a 163rd game. Below is a table showing the win probabilities and likely pitching matchups for each remaining game, with the results of my simulation.
Update: It's all over folks. The Cardinals defeated the Diamondbacks three times in a row and on September 25th eliminated the Diamondbacks from contention. Good luck to the Dodgers in the playoffs.
| Date | Visitors | Home | Pitching Matchup | Win Probability | Result |
| 9/23 | Padres | Dodgers | W.LeBlanc vs C.Billingsley | .7087 | Win |
| 9/23 | DBacks | Cardinals | R.Johnson vs K.Lohse | .4492 | Loss |
| 9/24 | Padres | Dodgers | S.Estes vs C.Kershaw | .6811 | Win |
| 9/24 | DBacks | Cardinals | M.Scherzer vs A.Wainwright | .4441 | Loss |
| 9/25 | Padres | Dodgers | J.Peavy vs G.Maddux | .6211 | TBD |
| 9/25 | DBacks | Cardinals | D.Davis vs J.Pineiro | .4841 | Loss |
| 9/26 | Dodgers | Giants | H.Kuroda vs B.Hennessey | .6400 | TBD |
| 9/26 | Rockies | DBacks | J.Hirsh vs D.Haren | .6566 | TBD |
| 9/27 | Dodgers | Giants | D.Lowe vs M.Cain | .5696 | TBD |
| 9/27 | Rockies | DBacks | G.Reynolds vs B.Webb | .7505 | TBD |
| 9/28 | Dodgers | Giants | C.Billingsley vs T.Lincecum | .4998 | TBD |
| 9/28 | Rockies | DBacks | J.Jimenez vs R.Johnson | .5384 | TBD |
| 9/29 | DBacks | Dodgers | M.Scherzer vs C.Kershaw | .5499 | TBD |
| Note: All win probabilities are listed for the Dodgers or Diamondbacks, and for the Dodgers on the 9/29 game. | |||||
| Team | Divisions Titles |
| Dodgers | 100.00% |
| DBacks | 0.00% |
| 1 million iterations were ran. | |
Update: It's all over folks. The Cardinals defeated the Diamondbacks three times in a row and on September 25th eliminated the Diamondbacks from contention. Good luck to the Dodgers in the playoffs.
Simulations for Tuesday, September 23rd
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Padres vs Dodgers | W.LeBlanc vs C.Billingsley | Dodgers | 70.87% | 7.42 | 11 | Dodgers | ||
| Braves vs Phillies | J.Reyes vs C.Hamels | Phillies | 74.77% | 9.83 | 5 | Braves | ||
| Marlins vs Nationals | S.Olsen vs S.Martis | Marlins | 53.67% | 9.46 | 13 | Nationals | ||
| Cubs vs Mets | S.Marshall vs J.Santana | Mets | 52.17% | 9.04 | 8 | Mets | ||
| Pirates vs Brewers | J.Karstens vs D.Bush | Brewers | 68.40% | 10.43 | 12 | Brewers | ||
| Reds vs Astros | E.Volquez vs W.Rodriguez | Astros | 52.01% | 8.00 | 3 | Reds | ||
| DBacks vs Cardinals | R.Johnson vs K.Lohse | Cardinals | 55.08% | 7.88 | 11 | Cardinals | ||
| Rockies vs Giants | U.Jimenez vs T.Lincecum | Giants | 51.72% | 6.90 | 13 | Rockies | ||
| Rays vs Orioles | J.Shields vs G.Olson | Rays | 67.19% | 10.95 | 7 | Rays | ||
| Indians vs Red Sox | C.Lee vs T.Wakefield | Indians | 52.12% | 10.48 | 9 | Red Sox | ||
| Royals vs Tigers | Z.Greinke vs F.Garcia | Tigers | 57.87% | 8.97 | 5 | Royals | ||
| Yankees vs Blue Jays | M.Mussina vs J.Litsch | Yankees | 57.56% | 9.18 | 4 | Yankees | ||
| A's vs Rangers | J.Outman vs D.Nippert | Rangers | 69.53% | 10.70 | 10 | Rangers | ||
| White Sox vs Twins | J.Vazquez vs S.Baker | White Sox | 55.32% | 9.28 | 11 | Twins | ||
| Rays vs Orioles | M.Talbot vs A.Simon | Rays | 65.50% | 11.66 | 12 | Rays | ||
| Angels vs Mariners | J.Weaver vs R.Feierabend | Angels | 58.84% | 9.40 | 15 | Mariners | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
Sunday, September 21, 2008
Simulations for Monday, September 22nd
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Marlins vs Reds | R.Nolasco vs A.Harang | Marlins | 56.34% | 9.89 | 12 | Reds | ||
| Braves vs Phillies | J.Jurrjens vs J.Happ | Phillies | 53.36% | 9.34 | 8 | Phillies | ||
| Cubs vs Mets | J.Marquis vs J.Niese | Cubs | 57.66% | 9.52 | 14 | Cubs | ||
| DBacks vs Cardinals | B.Webb vs T.Wellemeyer | DBacks | 54.60% | 7.44 | 6 | DBacks | ||
| Rays vs Orioles | D.Price vs B.Bass | Rays | 58.47% | 10.56 | 6 | Rays | ||
| Indians vs Red Sox | Z.Jackson vs J.Beckett | Red Sox | 73.43% | 10.59 | 7 | Indians | ||
| Royals vs Tigers | G.Meche vs Z.Miner | Tigers | 55.05% | 8.38 | 8 | Royals | ||
| A's vs Rangers | G.Smith vs K.Millwood | Rangers | 70.94% | 10.07 | 7 | A's | ||
| Angels vs Mariners | E.Santana vs R.Smith | Angels | 61.10% | 8.21 | 3 | Angels | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
Simulations for Sunday, September 21st
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Giants vs Dodgers | M.Cain vs D.Lowe | Dodgers | 68.73% | 6.84 | 1 | Giants | ||
| Cardinals vs Cubs | B.Looper vs R.Dempster | Cubs | 70.21% | 8.40 | 6 | Cubs | ||
| Astros vs Pirates | R.Oswalt vs R.Ohlendorf | Astros | 54.15% | 8.92 | 8 | Astros | ||
| Phillies vs Marlins | J.Moyer vs C.Volstad | Phillies | 51.18% | 9.61 | 7 | Phillies | ||
| Brewers vs Reds | S.McClung vs B.Arroyo | Reds | 51.83% | 10.49 | 9 | Brewers | ||
| Mets vs Braves | M.Pelfrey vs J.Parr | Mets | 54.65% | 8.76 | 13 | Braves | ||
| Padres vs Nationals | C.Baek vs O.Perez | Nationals | 53.95% | 7.45 | 8 | Padres | ||
| DBacks vs Rockies | D.Haren vs G.Reynolds | DBacks | 56.91% | 11.25 | 17 | DBacks | ||
| Tigers vs Indians | D.Willis vs S.Lewis | Indians | 52.63% | 10.71 | 15 | Indians | ||
| Orioles vs Yankees | C.Waters vs A.Pettitte | Yankees | 74.36% | 9.84 | 10 | Yankees | ||
| Red Sox vs Blue Jays | D.Matsuzaka vs S.Richmond | Red Sox | 57.17% | 9.72 | 3 | Red Sox | ||
| Twins vs Rays | F.Liriano vs A.Sonnanstine | Rays | 64.72% | 8.82 | 5 | Twins | ||
| Angels vs Rangers | J.Lackey vs S.Feldman | Rangers | 51.41% | 11.08 | 10 | Angels | ||
| White Sox vs Royals | J.Danks vs B.Duckworth | White Sox | 67.95% | 10.65 | 3 | White Sox | ||
| Mariners vs A's | B.Morrow vs S.Gallagher | A's | 59.54% | 7.64 | 8 | A's | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
Friday, September 19, 2008
Simulations for Saturday, September 20th
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Giants vs Dodgers | B.Hennessey vs H.Kuroda | Dodgers | 72.71% | 7.40 | 17 | Dodgers | ||
| Cardinals vs Cubs | J.Pineiro vs T.Lilly | Cubs | 64.10% | 9.08 | 9 | Cubs | ||
| Astros vs Pirates | B.Moehler vs J.Barthmaier | Pirates | 51.49% | 9.47 | 10 | Pirates | ||
| Phillies vs Marlins | J.Blanton vs A.Sanchez | Marlins | 53.12% | 9.99 | 5 | Phillies | ||
| Brewers vs Reds | C.Sabathia vs J.Cueto | Brewers | 60.19% | 9.61 | 7 | Reds | ||
| Mets vs Braves | P.Martinez vs J.Campillo | Braves | 55.23% | 8.93 | 6 | Braves | ||
| Padres vs Nationals | C.Young vs J.Lanna | Nationals | 56.94% | 7.49 | 7 | Padres | ||
| DBacks vs Rockies | D.Davis vs A.Cook | Rockies | 64.87% | 10.11 | 8 | DBacks | ||
| Tigers vs Indians | J.Verlander vs J.Sowers | Indians | 52.38% | 11.10 | 9 | Indians | ||
| Orioles vs Yankees | B.Burres vs A.Aceves | Yankees | 67.44% | 10.91 | 1 | Yankees | ||
| Red Sox vs Blue Jays | J.Lester vs R.Halladay | Blue Jays | 57.03% | 7.98 | 9 | Blue Jays | ||
| Twins vs Rays | K.Slowey vs S.Kazmir | Rays | 64.14% | 8.29 | 9 | Rays | ||
| Angels vs Rangers | D.Moseley vs V.Padilla | Rangers | 56.51% | 11.46 | 10 | Angels | ||
| White Sox vs Royals | G.Floyd vs K.Davies | White Sox | 54.05% | 10.20 | 7 | Royals | ||
| Mariners vs A's | C.Silva vs K.Saarloos | OAK | 54,84 | 8.03 | 15 | A's | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
Thursday, September 18, 2008
Simulatoins for Friday, September 19th
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Giants vs Dodgers | B.Zito vs G.Maddux | Dodgers | 72.18% | 7.70 | 8 | Giants | ||
| Cardinals vs Cubs | A.Wainwright vs C.Zambrano | Cubs | 60.17% | 7.89 | 18 | Cardinals | ||
| Astros vs Pirates | R.Wolf vs I.Snell | Pirates | 53.28% | 8.22 | 6 | Astros | ||
| Phillies vs Marlins | B.Myers vs J.Johnson | Marlins | 60.25% | 9.00 | 22 | Marlins | ||
| Brewers vs Reds | J.Suppan vs R.Ramirez | Reds | 50.43% | 11.23 | 13 | Reds | ||
| Mets vs Braves | O.Perez vs J.Reyes | Braves | 50.35% | 9.11 | 14 | Mets | ||
| Padres vs Nationals | D.Hayhurst vs C.Balester | Nationals | 55.78% | 7.57 | 17 | Padres | ||
| DBacks vs Rockies | M.Scherzer vs J.de la Rosa | Rockies | 61.96% | 10.87 | 5 | Rockies | ||
| Tigers vs Indians | A.Galarraga vs F.Carmona | Indians | 59.86% | 10.58 | 11 | Indians | ||
| Orioles vs Yankees | R.Liz vs F.Carmona | Yankees | 75.89% | 12.27 | 5 | Yankees | ||
| Red Sox vs Blue Jays | P.Byrd vs A.Burnett | Blue Jays | 62.01% | 9.93 | 7 | Red Sox | ||
| Twins vs Rays | N.Blackburn vs E.Jackson | Rays | 60.17% | 9.48 | 12 | Rays | ||
| Angels vs Rangers | J.Garland vs M.Harrison | Rangers | 55.60% | 10.99 | 28 | Angels | ||
| White Sox vs Royals | M.Buehrle vs B.Bannister | White Sox | 62.16% | 10.66 | 13 | White Sox | ||
| Mariners vs A's | F.Hernandez vs D.Eveland | A's | 57.19% | 6.9 | 2 | A's | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
Simulations for Thursday, September 18th
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Dodgers vs Pirates | C.Kershaw vs P.Maholm | Doders | 51.28% | 8.53 | 7 | Dodgers | ||
| Brewers vs Cubs | D.Bush vs R.Harden | Cubs | 65.86% | 8.84 | 13 | Cubs | ||
| Astros vs Marlins | A.Arias vs S.Olsen | Marlins | 66.99% | 10.38 | 9 | Marlins | ||
| Mets vs Nationals | J.Santana vs T.Redding | Mets | 54.71% | 8.43 | 9 | Mets | ||
| Cardinals vs Reds | K.Lohse vs E.Volquez | Reds | 61.07% | 7.87 | 9 | Cardinals | ||
| Phillies vs Braves | C.Hamels vs M.Hampton | Phillies | 62.62% | 9.23 | 7 | Phillies | ||
| Giants vs DBacks | T.Lincecum vs R.Johnson | DBacks | 56.55% | 8.05 | 5 | DBacks | ||
| Mariners vs Royals | R.Feierabend vs Z.Greinke | Royals | 68.41% | 9.23 | 12 | Royals | ||
| Angels vs A's | J.Saunders vs J.Outman | Angels | 56.18% | 9.22 | 10 | Angels | ||
| White Sox vs Yankees | J.Vazquez vs M.Mussina | Yankees | 60.72% | 8.20 | 11 | Yankees | ||
| Orioles vs Blue Jays | D.Cabrera vs J.Litsch | Blue Jays | 62.17% | 10.30 | 5 | Blue Jays | ||
| Twins vs Rays | G.Perkins vs J.Shields | Rays | 72.24% | 9.29 | 19 | Twins | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
Simulations for Wednesday, September 17th
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Dodgers vs Pirates | C.Billingsley vs Z.Duke | Dodgers | 55.96% | 8.33 | 23 | Pirates | ||
| Padres vs Rockies | J.Geer vs L.Hernandez | Rockies | 67.53% | 10.59 | 1 | Rockies | ||
| Astros vs Marlins | B.Backe vs R.Nolasco | Marlins | 72.90% | 9.40 | 16 | Marlins | ||
| Mets vs Nationals | B.Knight vs S.Martis | Mets | 57.34% | 8.68 | 16 | Mets | ||
| Cardinals vs Reds | T.Wellemeyer vs A.Harang | Reds | 57.66% | 8.98 | 3 | Reds | ||
| Phillies vs Braves | J.Happ vs J.Jurrjens | Braves | 53.21% | 8.53 | 7 | Phillies | ||
| Brewers vs Cubs | B.Sheets vs J.Marquis | Brewers | 52.74% | 8.53 | 8 | Brewers | ||
| Giants vs DBacks | J.Sanchez vs B.Webb | DBacks | 68.79% | 8.19 | 13 | DBacks | ||
| Twins vs Indians | S.Baker vs C.Lee | Indians | 68.14% | 7.81 | 10 | Indians | ||
| White Sox vs Yankees | L.Broadway vs P.Hughes | Yankees | 72.25% | 10.67 | 6 | Yankees | ||
| Orioles vs Blue Jays | B.Bass vs D.Purcey | Blue Jays | 63.06% | 10.40 | 15 | Blue Jays | ||
| Red Sox vs Rays | T.Wakefield vs M.Garza | Rays | 64.79% | 10.15 | 13 | Rays | ||
| Tigers vs Rangers | F.Garcia vs D.Nippert | Rangers | 54.43% | 11.32 | 21 | Tigers | ||
| Mariners vs Royals | R.Smith vs G.Meche | Royals | 62.00% | 8.45 | 7 | Royals | ||
| Angels vs A's | J.Weaver vs G.Smith | Angels | 57.79% | 8.88 | 5 | A's | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
Monday, September 15, 2008
Simulations for Tuesday, September 16th
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Dodgers vs Pirates | D.Lowe vs J.Karstens | Dodgers | 57.95% | 8.78 | 8 | Dodgers | ||
| Astros vs Marlins | R.Oswalt vs C.Volstad | Marlins | 57.71% | 8.64 | 6 | Marlins | ||
| Mets vs Nationals | M.Pelfrey vs O.Perez | Mets | 57.74% | 8.06 | 1 | Nationals | ||
| Cardinals vs Reds | B.Looper vs B.Arroyo | Reds | 59.30% | 9.36 | 9 | Reds | ||
| Phillies vs Braves | J.Moyer vs J.Parr | Phillies | 57.24% | 9.44 | 15 | Phillies | ||
| Brewers vs Cubs | C.Sabathia vs R.Dempster | Cubs | 54.88% | 8.75 | 9 | Cubs | ||
| Padres vs Rockies | S.Estes vs U.Jimenez | Rockies | 76.13% | 10.41 | 13 | Rockies | ||
| Giants vs DBacks | M.Cain vs D.Haren | DBacks | 67.07% | 8.29 | 2 | DBacks | ||
| Twins vs Indians | F.Liriano vs Z.Jackson | Indians | 53.66% | 9.27 | 21 | Indians | ||
| White Sox vs Yankees | G.Floyd vs A.Pettitte | Yankees | 67.98% | 9.38 | 8 | White Sox | ||
| Orioles vs Blue Jays | C.Waters vs S.Marcum | Blue Jays | 63.71% | 10.51 | 2 | Orioles | ||
| Red Sox vs Rays | J.Beckett vs A.Sonnanstine | Rays | 54.54% | 8.88 | 3 | Rays | ||
| Tigers vs Rangers | Z.Miner vs K.Millwood | Rangers | 62.70% | 10.59 | 9 | Rangers | ||
| Mariners vs Royals | B.Morrow vs B.Duckworth | Royals | 52.59% | 9.08 | 9 | Royals | ||
| Angels vs A's | J.Lackey vs S.Gallagher | Angels | 53.85% | 8.11 | 8 | A's | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
Sunday, September 14, 2008
Simulations for Monday, September 15th
| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Dodgers vs Pirates | H.Kuroda vs R.Ohlendorf | Dodgers | 53.52% | 8.58 | 10 | Dodgers | ||
| Cubs vs Astros | T.Lilly vs B.Moehler | Cubs | 57.42% | 8.51 | 7 | Cubs | ||
| Mets vs Nationals | P.Martinez vs J.Lannan | Mets | 51.36% | 8.41 | 9 | Nationals | ||
| Padres vs Rockies | W.LeBlanc vs U.Jimenez | Rockies | 74.10% | 10.01 | 16 | Padres | ||
| Giants vs DBacks | B.Hennessey vs D.Davis | DBacks | 70.72% | 10.08 | DBacks | 4 | ||
| Twins vs Indians | K.Slowey vs S.Lewis | Indians | 53.48% | 8.95 | 4 | Indians | ||
| White Sox vs Yankees | M.Buehrle vs A.Aceves | White Sox | 53.98% | 8.87 | 6 | Yankees | ||
| Red Sox vs Rays | D.Matsuzaka vs S.Kazmir | Rays | 63.22% | 9.74 | 18 | Red Sox | ||
| Tigers vs Rangers | D.Willis vs B.McCarthy | Rangers | 63.06% | 12.04 | 19 | Rangers | ||
| Mariners vs Royals | C.Silva vs K.Davies | Royals | 50.91% | 9.56 | 3 | Royals | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download | ||||||||
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