| Teams | Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Sim Odds | Sim Total Runs | Actual Total Runs | Winner | ||
| Rays vs Phillies | M.Garza vs J.Moyer | Phillies | 57.03% | 9.69 | 9 | Phillies | ||
| Simulator Setup File Download (Old Version) | ||||||||
| Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds | ||||
| AccuScore | ||||
| Las Vegas Hilton Odds |
What's at stake in Game #3?
| Situation | Rays Odds to win W.S. | Phillies Odds to win W.S. |
| Current Odds | 48.59% | 51.41% |
| Rays Win Game #3 | 70.28% | 29.72% |
| Phillies Win Game #3 | 31.93% | 68.07% |
| Methodology: I calculated the win probabilites for each of the remaining possible games, then ran a program that plays out the 7 game series 1 million times, which outputs the number of times each team won the 7 game series. If you have your own win probabilites for each game, I'd be glad to run the numbers for you based on your own game predictions. | ||
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