Tuesday, September 28, 2010

CTRL-ALT-DEL On Kershaw's Season



September 29th, Simulations of interest...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Rockies C.Monasterios vs J.Chacin Rockies 64.79% 71.95% LAN 7-6
Cubs Padres R.Wells vs C.Young Padres 58.85% 48.08% SD 3-0
DBacks Giants I.Kennedy vs T.Lincecum Giants 66.10% 69.26% SF 3-1
Marlins Braves A.Miller vs D.Lowe Braves 68.75% 66.74% ATL 5-1


Current ROI: 2.30%

Simulator odds of winning the NL West
Rank Team 9/29 9/28 9/27 9/26 9/25 9/24 9/23 9/22 9/20 9/19 9/18
1 Giants 89.58% 77.89% 71.68% 51.25% 63.78% 60.05% 43.43% 54.75% 47.62% 34.49% 50.04%
2 Padres 10.42% 22.11% 28.30% 48.42% 35.91% 37.42% 51.08% 34.90% 29.84% 37.73% 28.93%
3 Rockies 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.32% 0.31% 2.53% 5.49% 10.35% 22.55% 27.78% 21.03%
NL Wild-Card Odds
1 Braves 91.20% 76.00% 56.28%                
2 Padres 6.60% 16.35% 27.66%                
3 Giants 2.20% 7.65% 16.06%                


MLB Scoreboard

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