Wednesday, September 01, 2010

Better Luck Next Year



September 2nd, Simulations of interest...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Phillies Rockies J.Blanton vs J.Chacin Rockies 56.14% 58.08% PHI 12-11
Mets Braves J.Santana vs T.Hudson Braves 60.78% 58.54% NYN 4-2
A's Yankees D.Braden vs C.Sabathia Yankees 65.87% 64.88% NYA 5-0
Red Sox Orioles D.Matsuzaka vs B.Bergesen Red Sox 56.90% 57.08% BOS 6-4
Tigers Twins J.Verlander vs S.Baker Twins 53.49% 55.64% DET 10-9
Indians Mariners J.Tomlin vs D.Fister Mariners 57.45% 63.14% CLE 6-3


Current ROI: 2.31%

Simulator odds of winning the NL West
Rank Team 9/2 9/1 8/31 8/30 8/29 8/28 8/27 8/26 8/25 8/24 8/23
1 Padres 71.16% 76.77% 81.09% 82.40% 86.69% 86.54% 86.46% 89.25% 84.63% 84.30% 86.29%
2 Giants 25.73% 19.28% 14.24% 14.91% 11.05% 11.68% 12.28% 9.98% 14.74% 15.05% 13.12%
3 Rockies 2.18% 2.83% 3.12% 1.84% 1.16% 0.64% 0.70% 0.47% 0.40% 0.39% 0.35%
4 Dodgers 0.92% 1.13% 1.56% 0.85% 1.09% 1.14% 0.57% 0.30% 0.23% 0.26% 0.24%


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MLB Handicapping Matchup Reports

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