Saturday, September 04, 2010

Bullpen Crashes And Burns



September 5th, Simulations of interest...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Giants Dodgers J.Sanchez vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 57.08% 57.75% SF 3-0
Braves Marlins M.Minor vs A.Saniba Braves 52.27% 49.61% FLA 7-6
Nationals Pirates J.Marquis vs C.Morton Nationals 54.75% 50.09% WAS 8-1
Brewers Phillies R.Wolf vs K.Kendrick Phillies 59.51% 57.02% MIL 6-2
Reds Cardinals H.Bailey vs C.Carpenter Cardinals 63.90% 58.64% STL 4-2
Mets Cubs J.Niese vs R.Dempster Cubs 58.51% 61.52% NYN 18-5
Rockies Padres J.de la Rosa vs C.Richard Padres 56.33% 56.94% COL 4-2
Astros DBacks J.Happ vs R.Lopez DBacks 50.50% 53.50% HOU 3-2


Current ROI: 1.77%

Simulator odds of winning the NL West
Rank Team 9/5 9/4 9/3 9/2 9/1 8/31 8/30 8/29 8/28 8/27 8/26
1 Padres 60.02% 69.56% 71.42% 71.16% 76.77% 81.09% 82.40% 86.69% 86.54% 86.46% 89.25%
2 Giants 35.29% 25.97% 26.18% 25.73% 19.28% 14.24% 14.91% 11.05% 11.68% 12.28% 9.98%
3 Rockies 3.74% 2.90% 1.51% 2.18% 2.83% 3.12% 1.84% 1.16% 0.64% 0.70% 0.47%
4 Dodgers 0.95% 1.57% 0.90% 0.92% 1.13% 1.56% 0.85% 1.09% 1.14% 0.57% 0.30%


MLB Scoreboard
MLB Handicapping Matchup Reports

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