Monday, June 28, 2010

Torrefied



June 28th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Giants C.Billingsley vs B.Zito Giants 53.92% 52.29% LAN 4-2
Mets Marlins R.Dickey vs R.Nolasco Marlins 51.22% 52.06% FLA 10-3
Nationals Braves S.Strasburg vs T.Hudson Braves 51.92% 51.92% ATL 5-0
Phillies Reds K.Kendrick vs J.Cueto Reds 56.52% 52.41% CIN 7-3
Pirates Cubs P.Maholm vs R.Wells Cubs 64.41% 64.96% PIT 2-1
Astros Brewers B.Norris vs M.Parra Brewers 63.64% 63.55% HOU 9-5
DBacks Cardinals D.Haren vs C.Carpenter Cardinals 62.41% 64.22% STL 6-5
Rockies Padres U.Jimenez vs K.Correia Rockies 58.68% 51.83% COL 10-6
Blue Jays Indians R.Romero vs J.Westbrook Blue Jays 60.00% 58.56% CLE 2-1
Tigers Twins J.Bonderman vs F.Liriano Twins 61.09% 63.39% DET 7-5
White Sox Royals M.Buehrle vs A.Larew White Sox 54.55% 57.62% KC 3-1

Current ROI: 2.55%

MLB Scoreboard
MLB Handicapping Matchup Reports

Sunday, June 27, 2010

Back In The Saddle



June 27th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Yankees Dodgers A.Pettitte vs C.Kershaw Dodgers 50.74% 58.18% NYA 8-6

Current ROI: 2.55%

MLB Scoreboard
MLB Handicapping Matchup Reports

Saturday, June 26, 2010

Trip To China. Arrival In Beijing


My family (wife, daughter and self) just returned from our 4th family trip in the last five years to China. Each trip involves a combination of sightseeing, shopping, eating, family visits and soaking in the culture, history and local lifestyles of the Middle Kingdom.

Our visit this year was a mid June visit, due to my daughter now starting school. Our previous three trips to China were made in either the early spring or early autumn time due to the very hot and humid summers and the extremely cold winters in the part of China we were visiting. My wife's hometown of Handan in the province of Hebei, is in a medium sized city by Chinese standards, with a population of around 2 million people. Each visit is usually split between sightseeing in one of the many splendid regions of China along with a visit to her hometown to see family and friends.

Each time we have been to China, we have flown in to the capitol city of Beijing, spent some time there and travelled by train (350 miles SSW) to Handan. This year was no different. The flight time to Beijing from LAX was around 12-1/2 hours. We had a 2-1/2 hour flight to Vancouver, switched planes and had a 10 hour flight to Beijing. Interestingly enough, these were the last two cities to host the Olympic games, with Beijing hosting the 2008 summer games and Vacouver hosting the 2010 winter games.

The plan was to mess around in Beijing, see a few of the places we hadn't seen before, hit a few of the spots we really liked, visit with some family friends in the city, as well as enjoy the local cuisine. The weather in Beijing in mid June was pretty hot and very humid. The temperature was right around 90F every day, with the humidity likely in the 80+ percent area. We had two nights of sprinkles along with one night of a huge electrical storm with a big downpour. The downpour cut short a relaxing evening at the "Old Beijing" hutongs. A 50 minute tax ride back to our hotel saved us from getting soaked, trying to walk to the bus station or subway.

To my delight our hotel or "service apartment" room was in a 14 story tall building right across the street from the Bird's Nest (Olympic Stadium). The site of the Bird's Nest and the Water Cube (swimming facility) lit up at night time was an eye pleasing site. We walked through and did a self tour of the Olympic Stadium grounds two times. Tours inside the stadium weren't given very often, and I was told that there is nothing to see inside besides chairs and grass anyways. As a huge sports fan, most of the fun for me of visiting a stadium is to go inside and see the "chairs" and "grass" and to feel the history of the stadium by being inside of it. Luckily, the outside grounds were very interesting and there was a lot to do and see on the surrounding grounds of the Bird's Nest. Inside the grounds was the Bird's Nest, Water Cube, a large "Olympic" tower, a grassy play area where a giant World Cup watching beer drinking party was going on with live music on stage, a huge square or gathering area whose expansiveness reminded me of Tiananmen Square, along with a moat that encircled the Bird's Nest and a few other large structures that I didn't have the time to figure out what they were. On the grounds there was tens of thousands of people mingling between the different sites, with many posing to take pictures alongside the venue attractions. We paid 120 RMB ($20) for the three of us to be taken around the grounds for a good look at the Bird's Nest and Water Cube from every angle. My wife was able to haggle down the price quite a bit. The general rule of thumb is to haggle down the price atleast 50% on most touristy things, otherwise you are getting completely ripped off. My wife is usually able to get around a 70% discount via haggling. It depends on what type of thing you are haggling over. Some things are more difficult than others to haggle over. The tram tour was great and we got some wonderful daytime pictures of the Bird's Nest. Like most of the other people visiting, we waited around for the sun to set and the lights to come on. In the meantime, we bought a kite (actually this kite had 10 mini kites on one string) from one of the local vendors. It seemed like everyone was flying these kites, and we figured it was a great way to entertain our five year old daughter while we waited for the lights to come on the Bird's Nest and Water Cube. What we didn't know, is that the police/security guards had nothing better to do than harass people who were flying these kites. They drove around in vans yelling at people to take down their kites, that flying them was against the rules/law. My wife got into it a little bit with the group that was yelling at us, and she asked the first group of police officers "... don't you have anything more important to do!?". This registered an embarrassing laugh from them and they left us alone. Later a more obnoxious and forceful group of officers came through with blaring loudspeakers and we had to take our kite down. It was nothing more than a game of cat and mouse though. The police would leave and the vendors and kites would be up all over the place. Then the police would come through with their blaring loudspeakers and the cycle started all over again. By then the sun had set and the red illuminating lights on the Bird's Nest came on. It was a beautiful site to see the lights shining on the unique mangling of concrete that was the Bird's Nest. The Water Cube, which is powered and lighted up with the use of solar power began to slowly light up in a shimmering blue as the sun went down. It was as if you were watching a blue sunrise. More wonderful pictures were taken.

The other main sightseeing places we visited in Beijing in these four days (really only three when you consider travel time in and out of the city) were visiting the newly built Olympic Forest Park. Once again we took a tram ride around the park as this day was probably the hottest day in Beijing. We were not overly impressed with the park. It looked as if it was thrown together kind of haphazzardly, not the usual standard for a Chinese park. There were loudspeakers interrupting the sounds of nature, playing classical music rather loudly in a forced and failed attempt at serenity. If you like trees a lot, then you might enjoy this park, but I don't recommend visiting it.

The next park we visited was much more interesting and beautiful and full of ancient Chinese history and archeticture, Beihai Gongyuan (or Beihai Park). The park was the former imperial garden and part of the Forbidden City and open to the public for the last 85 years. The highlights of the park is the beautiful lake surrounded by a concourse lined with beautiful weeping trees, with Qionghua Island in its middle, with a large pagoda/temple on the top of its hill. We rented a paddle boat and made our way out to the island. The other highlight of the park was the Five Dragon Pavillion, which housed the famous Nine Dragon Wall. The wall was built 250 years ago and is one of three walls of its kind in China.

Across the street from Beihai Park was the Hutong or Old Beijing (Lao Beijing) area. The hutongs are the very old housing areas that are hundreds of years old and still standing today. Many of the hutongs have been unfortunately torn down and replaced with more modern structures in the name of so-called progress. The hutongs are basically narrow alley ways that can barely fit a car in, many of the alley ways are too narrow for cars and can only be traversed on foot or bicycle. We rented a bicycle rickshaw for a relaxing tour. It was interesting to see all the old alley ways and amazing to see how people live a modern day life within the hutongs of Beijing. On the outskirts of the hutongs is another beautiful lake rimmed with bars and restaraunts. Needless to say, this was where many of the foriegners gathered for a mid day stroll or meal and a nighttime visit to a bar or two. We had a wonderful lakeside lunch at one of the restaraunts and did some shopping along a few of the touristy streets. One of the interesting items that many vendors had for sale, was a t-shirt with Obama's picture on it wearing a Mao suit and a red star cap.

There is one restaraunt that I must mention that we dined at in these first four days in Beijing. The restaraunt trip was a surprise, shrouded in secrecy as something that I'd really like and I was not disappointed. It was a unique Mongolian restaraunt with an outdoor setting. Each dining party had their own Mongolian canvas hut to eat in. The hut was built to look like the typical house of a Mongolian nomad. The inside had a table large enough to seat about a dozen people and the inside was ringed with beautiful and ornate Mongolian artifacts. I was awed at this dining experience. It didn't matter how good or bad the food was, I was very impressed. The food (lamb) was prepared in a large kitchen house which you could walk to and watch them prepare all the food. At some point during the meal, a group of a half dozen Mongolian people in full Mongolian formal dress came into our hut and played/sang three beautiful Mongolian songs. It was a life time dining experience. My daughter and I were very happy when they sang this song as their finale, as it is the only Mongolian song we know and it is a great kids song. They did a great cover of the song too! I love listening to Chinese and Mongolian ethnic music.

Mixed in with all these park visits and wonderful meals was a visit to a family friend (seems like there are an unlimited number of family friends, I think that is a good thing though) on the southern outskirts of Beijing. The area was very trashy and we had to go over a few dirt roads to get there. Needless to say, I was expecting this to be a rather uncomfortable visit. Upon arrival at the friend's apartment (everyone lives in apartments or flats), things all of a sudden looked much nicer and the interior of the apartment was quite nice and the family friend very kind and generous. This is a theme that you will see all over China. A place (restaraunt, house, park etc...) will look like crap on the outside, whether it is a pile of rubble, garbage or a sewage smell, 9 out of 10 times the inside will be grandiose. The Chinese do a great job of decorating their interiors, it is almost as if you are in a palace (ok, maybe 8 out of 10). Restaraunt interiors will have the look and feel of a five star hotel, with the hostess often taking you on a labyrinth up stairs and down hallways to your own private group dining room. The most beautifully decorated restaraunts I have ever been to have been in China with out a doubt. Back to the visit to the family friend... it turns out this family friend is a doctor who specializes in AIDS. According to him, he has developed/discovered a cure to the AIDS virus. Feeling that I was bored out of my mind on this visit, the doctor kindly showed me a 45 minute DVD video (in quasi English) about the development, testing and actual usage of his discovery. The cure uses Chinese medicine and I have no idea how the medicine is made. My bull-shit meter was on high the whole time, but I left with atleast an open mind. Supposedly, he will be travelling to the US in the near future to pitch his cure at a United Nations AIDS meeting in New York. He asked my wife to be his translator while he is here... we'll see how that goes.

Note: More trip details will be intermingled with simulations for the next week.

Wednesday, June 09, 2010

Dodger Sims Is On Vacation


Will Return on June 26th

Thanks for visiting Dodger Sims, the author of this site is currently on a two week vacation to China. In 2008, I visited these wonderful places in China with my family. The highlight of the trip will be visiting wonderful sites such as The Summer Palace, Beihai Park and the quaint and narrow Hutongs (ancient alleys) of Beijing. In Beijing, our hotel will be right next to the Bird's Nest (Olympic Stadium), so a tour will likely be in the works. The last time we visited, it was three weeks after the Olympics were over and they were charging US$100 per person to tour the stadium. My guess is that the entrance fee is more like US$10 nowadays. They are actually having trouble finding a use for the stadium and a plan is in the works to turn it into a shopping and entertainment center.

In the neighboring Hebei Province, I will be visiting the beautiful Baiyangdian Lake, which is filled with blooming lotus flowers. A stopover in Handan to visit family and friends and to of course devour some Hot Pot, Dan Dan Mian (Spicy Noodles) and jiaozi (dumplings), while making a trip or two to the many beautiful parks the city has to offer. The parks in the US just cannot compare to the parks in China. Many of the parks, like Congtai Park in Handan are built from ancient fortresses, with many small picturesque lakes, rock and flower gardens and magificently crafted stone bridges built in the surrounding area. Many of the parks with man made lakes have huge water shows, similar to what one would see in Las Vegas. Congtai Park also houses a large amusement area for children, paddle boats, and a small zoo where you can hand feed monkeys and a large flock of pigeons. One thing you don't see in parks in China are basketball and tennis courts. Every now and then I spot an outdoor basketball court or soccer field, though they are pretty rare. They are usually packed, as both basketball and soccer are very popular in China. I've only seen one tennis court that was in decent shape in China, and that was at a five star hotel we were staying at in Beijing three years ago.

The following baseball links should help you out for following baseball, be it checking out scores, odds or Dodgers game chats.

Tuesday, June 08, 2010

One Spot Earns Top Spot In NL West



June 9th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Cardinals Dodgers A.Wainwright vs C.Kershaw Dodgers 52.61% 52.41% LAN 4-3
Marlins Phillies J.Johnson vs R.Halladay Phillies 61.24% 60.08% Ppd.
Pirates Nationals B.Lincoln vs J.Lannan Nationals 58.16% 63.10% WAS 7-5
Padres Mets M.Latos vs J.Santana Mets 59.02% 56.24% Ppd.
Giants Reds J.Sanchez vs A.Harang Reds 53.05% 49.82% CIN 6-3
Cubs Brewers C.Zambrano vs R.Wolf Brewers 50.98% 50.95% CHN 9-4
Astros Rockies F.Paulino vs A.Cook Rockies 63.50% 58.64% HOU 6-2
Braves DBacks K.Kawakami vs I.Kennedy DBacks 53.49% 50.91% ARI 2-1
Yankees Orioles C.Sabathia vs C.Tillman Yankees 70.24% 65.45% NYA 4-2
Red Sox Indians C.Buchholz vs J.Masterson Red Sox 61.39% 54.32% CLE 11-0
Blue Jays Rays S.Marcum vs D.Price Rays 58.51% 47.63% TB 10-1
Mariners Rangers I.Snell vs C.Wilson Rangers 65.28% 69.08% TEX 12-2
Royals Twins K.Davies vs C.Pavano Twins 62.83% 60.68% MIN 6-2
Tigers White Sox R.Porcello vs F.Garcia White Sox 53.05% 49.91% CHA 15-3
Angels A's J.Saunders vs D.Braden A's 55.36% 55.14% LAA 7-1

Current ROI: 2.55%

MLB Scoreboard
MLB Handicapping Matchup Reports

Monday, June 07, 2010

DeWitt Destroys Cardinals



June 8th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Cardinals Dodgers C.Carpenter vs H.Kuroda Cardinals 54.13% 49.28% LAN 1-0
Marlins Phillies C.Volstad vs K.Kendrick Phillies 57.63% 60.84% PHI 10-8
Pirates Nationals J.Karstens vs S.Strasburg Nationals 66.67% 67.84% WAS 5-2
Padres Mets C.Richard vs M.Pelfrey Mets 58.33% 52.80% NYN 2-1
Giants Reds M.Cain vs S.LeCure Giants 56.71% 55.11% SF 3-0
Cubs Brewers T.Lilly vs Y.Gallardo Brewers 58.16% 62.00% MIL 3-2
Astros Rockies B.Moehler vs J.Francis Rockies 66.67% 65.81% HOU 4-3
Braves DBacks K.Medlen vs E.Jackson Braves 50.98% 52.98% ATL 7-5
Yankees Orioles P.Hughes vs K.Millwood Yankees 68.75% 66.53% NYA 12-7
Red Sox Indians T.Wakefield vs D.Huff Red Sox 60.47% 54.76% BOS 3-2
Blue Jays Rays B.Tallet vs J.Niemann Rays 66.10% 59.74% TB 9-0
Mariners Rangers F.Hernandez vs C.Lewis Rangers 53.05% 53.07% TEX 7-1
Royals Twins Z.Greinke vs K.Slowey Twins 56.52% 52.40% MIN 7-3
Tigers White Sox A.Galarraga vs G.Floyd White Sox 53.49% 59.13% DET 7-2
Angels A's J.Weaver vs V.Mazzaro Angels 60.00% 60.87% OAK 10-1

Current ROI: 2.94%

MLB Scoreboard
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MLB Draft Results

Sunday, June 06, 2010

Pujols Ready To Feast On Dodgers Pitching



June 7th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Cardinals Dodgers B.Hawksworth vs C.Monasterios Dodgers 59.68% 56.73% LAN 12-4
Cubs Pirates C.Silva vs D.Eveland Cubs 58.85% 56.02% CHN 6-1
Padres Phillies W.LeBlanc vs C.Hamels Phillies 64.16% 62.30% SD 3-1
Giants Reds B.Zito vs J.Cueto Reds 55.95% 52.06% SF 6-5
Astros Rockies W.Rodriguez vs J.Hammel Rockies 61.98% 60.78% COL 5-1
Braves DBacks D.Lowe vs D.Haren DBacks 54.13% 53.40% ARI 7-4
Red Sox Indians D.Matsuzaka vs F.Carmona Red Sox 59.68% 54.32% BOS 4-1
Mariners Rangers C.Lee vs S.Feldman Mariners 52.38% 57.64% SEA 4-2
Angels A's S.Kazmir vs B.Sheets A's 55.56% 49.47% LAA 4-2

Current ROI: 2.69%

MLB Scoreboard
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MLB Draft Results

Dodgers Rely On Ely



June 6th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Braves Dodgers T.Hudson vs J.Ely Dodgers 52.38% 64.42% ATL 5-4
Marlins Mets R.Nolasco vs H.Takahashi Mets 51.46% 45.33% NYN 7-6
Giants Pirates T.Lincecum vs R.Ohlendorf Giants 62.12% 60.34% SF 6-5
Padres Phillies K.Correia vs J.Blanton Phillies 59.18% 52.69% SD 6-5
Reds Nationals B.Arroyo vs C.Stammen Reds 51.92% 47.37% CIN 5-4
Cubs Astros R.Wells vs B.Myers Cubs 52.61% 57.21% HOU 6-3
Rockies DBacks U.Jimenez vs R.Lopez Rockies 66.56% 65.39% COL 3-2
Brewers Cardinals M.Parra vs J.Garcia Cardinals 65.99% 65.56% MIL 4-3
Yankees Blue Jays J.Vazquez vs B.Morrow Yankees 56.33% 46.92% NYA 4-3
Red Sox Orioles J.Lackey vs B.Matsuz Red So 60.63% 46.74% BAL 4-3
Indians White Sox J.Westbrook vs M.Buehrle White Sox 60.63% 64.20% CHA 8-7
Tigers Royals J.Bonderman vs B.Bannister Tigers 53.70% 54.37% KC 7-2
Rays Rangers M.Garza vs R.Harden Rays 56.90% 49.82% TB 9-5
Twins A's N.Blackburn vs G.Gonzalez A's 58.33% 55.12% OAK 5-4
Angels Mariners J.Pineiro vs J.Vargas Mariners 53.49% 46.18% LAA 9-4

Current ROI: 2.36%

MLB Scoreboard
MLB Handicapping Matchup Reports

Saturday, June 05, 2010

MMMBop The Braves



June 5th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Braves Dodgers T.Hanson vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 53.05% 56.40% ATL 9-3
Brewers Cardinals C.Narveson vs A.Ottavino Cardinals 59.51% 47.82% STL 5-4
Marlins Mets N.Robertson vs J.Niese Mets 53.92% 50.54% NYN 6-1
Giants Pirates T.Wellemeyer vs P.Maholm Pirates 51.92% 58.48% PIT 6-3
Padres Phillies J.Garland vs J.Moyer Phillies 57.63% 57.41% PHI 6-2
Reds Nationals M.Leake vs L.Atilano Reds 54.95% 55.29% CIN 5-1
Cubs Astros R.Dempster vs R.Oswalt Astros 51.92% 55.63% CHN 8-5
Rockies DBacks J.Chacin vs D.Willis Rockies 53.49% 55.80% ARI 4-3
Yankees Blue Jays A.Pettitte vs R.Romero Yankees 53.92% 40.53% TOR 3-2
Angels Mariners E.Santana vs R.Rowland Angels 54.55% 57.47% LAA 11-2
Rays Rangers J.Shields vs T.Hunter Rays 55.16% 54.58% TEX 6-1
Red Sox Orioles J.Lester vs J.Guthrie Red Sox 64.79% 62.25% BOS 8-2
Indians White SOx M.Talbot vs J.Peavy White Sox 60.94% 65.92% CLE 3-1
Tigers Royals J.Verlander vs L.Hochevar Tigers 59.84% 54.34% DET 4-2
Twins A's F.Liriano vs T.Cahill Twins 55.56% 63.35% MIN 4-3

Current ROI: 2.50%

MLB Handicapping Matchup Reports

Thursday, June 03, 2010

Scoring Drought Rather Offensive



June 4th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Braves Dodgers K.Kawakami vs C.Kershaw Dodgers 58.68% 69.66% LAN 5-4
Giants Pirates J.Sanchez vs Z.Duke Giants 55.75% 54.98% SF 6-4
Padres Phillies M.Latos vs R.Halladay Phillies 68.05% 67.49% PHI 3-2
Reds Nationals A.Harang vs L.Hernandez Nationals 51.92% 52.95% WAS 4-2
Marlins Mets A.Sanchez vs R.Dickey Mets 50.98% 43.73% NYN 4-3
Cubs Astros C.Zambrano vs F.Paulino Dubs 55.36% 47.09% HOU 3-1
Brewers Cardinals R.Wolf vs A.Wainwright Cardinals 68.75% 65.94% STL 8-0
Rockies DBacks A.Cook vs I.Kennedy DBacks 53.05% 46.61% ARI 7-6
Red Sox Orioles C.Buchholz vs C.Tillman Red Sox 63.64% 64.02% BOS 11-0
Yankees Blue Jays A.Burnett vs B.Cecil Yankees 55.56% 45.86% TOR 6-1
Rays Rangers W.Davis vs C.Wilson Rangers 53.05% 65.56% TEX 9-6
Tigers Royals M.Scherzer vs B.Chen Tigers 57.45% 49.28% KC 7-3
Indians White Sox J.Masterson vs J.Danks White Sox 67.32% 60.90% CLE 10-1
Twins A's S.Baker vs D.Braden Twins 50.74% 51.37% MIN 5-4
Angels Mariners J.Saunders vs I.Snell Angels 52.61% 50.71% LAA 7-1

Current ROI: 0.87%

World Cup Odds
World Cup Schedule
World Cup picks

Wednesday, June 02, 2010

Fight Like A Brave



June 3rd, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Braves Dodgers K.Medlen vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 56.14% 58.01% ATL 4-3
Nationals Astros J.Martin vs B.Moehler Nationals 52.61% 50.61% HOU 6-4
Brewers Marlins C.Capuano vs J.Johnson Marlins 69.70% 68.01% FLA 3-2
Indians Tigers D.Huff vs R.Porcello Tigers 66.10% 64.87% DET 12-6
Orioles Yankees K.Millwood vs C.Sabathia Red Sox 74.09% 63.95% NYA 6-3
A's Red Sox B.Anderson vs T.Wakefield Red Sox 55.56% 48.74% OAK 9-8
Angels Royals J.Weaver vs Z.Greinke Royals 53.49% 52.62% LAA 5-4
Rangers White Sox C.Lewis vs F.Garcia Rangers 53.05% 47.25% CHA 4-3
Twins Mariners C.Pavano vs F.Hernandez Mariners 56.33% 48.64% SEA 4-1

Current ROI: 1.01%

MLB Scoreboard

Dodgers Pitchers Shine



June 2nd, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
DBacks Dodgers E.Jackson vs C.Monasterios Dodgers 58.68% 55.22% LAN 1-0
Cubs Pirates C.Zambrano vs Z.Duke Cubs 56.33% 51.77% Ppd
Phillies Braves K.Kendrick vs D.Lowe Braves 57.08% 54.55% ATL 2-1
Brewers Marlins Y.Gallardo vs C.Volstad Brewers 51.69% 53.66% MIL 7-4
Nationals Astros J.Lannan vs W.Rodriguez Astros 51.92% 56.33% HOU 5-1
Reds Cardinals S.LeCure vs C.Carpenter Cardinals 69.51% 65.46% STL 4-1
Mets Padres J.Santana vs C.Richard Mets 53.92% 46.00% SD 5-1
Rockies Giants J.Francis vs M.Cain Giants 55.16% 60.29% TBD
Indians Tigers F.Carmona vs A.Galarraga Tigers 57.26% 54.34% DET 3-0
Orioles Yankees B.Bergesen vs P.Hughes Yankees 75.61% 71.15% NYA 9-1
Rays Blue Jays D.Price vs S.Marcum Blue Jays 51.46% 63.63% TB 7-3
A's Red Sox B.Sheets vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 59.51% 63.39% BOS 6-4
Angels Royals S.Kazmir vs K.Davies Royals 50.50% 53.70% LAA 7-2
Rangers White Sox S.Feldman vs G.Floyd White Sox 54.13% 58.71% TEX 9-5
Twins Mariners K.Slowey vs C.Lee Mariners 58.51% 63.72% SEA 2-1

Current ROI: 1.24%

MLB Scoreboard

Tuesday, June 01, 2010

Second Place In June



June 1st, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
DBacks Dodgers D.Haren vs J.Ely Dodgers 55.16% 66.16% LAN 1-0
Cubs Pirates T.Lilly vs J.Karstens Cubs 58.16% 56.07% PIT 3-2
Phillies Braves C.Hamels vs T.Hudson Braves 56.33% 49.47% ATL 7-3
Brewers Marlins D.Bush vs R.Nolasco Marlins 61.98% 61.77% FLA 6-4
Nationals Astros C.Stammen vs B.Myers Astros 54.34% 45.87% HOU 8-7
Reds Cardinals J.Cueto vs P.Walters Cardinals 53.27% 50.83% CIN 9-8
Mets Padres M.Pelfrey vs W.LeBlanc Padres 50.74% 52.74% NYN 4-2
Rockies Giants J.Hammel vs B.Zito Giants 56.33% 50.79% COL 2-1
Indians Tigers J.Westbrook vs J.Bonderman Tigers 62.96% 67.70% CLE 3-2
Orioles Yankees B.Matusz vs J.Vazquez Yankees 68.94% 54.16% NYA 3-1
Rays Blue Jays J.Nieman vs B.Tallet Rays 58.33% 51.38% TB 7-6
A's Red Sox G.Gonzalez vs J.Lackey Red Sox 59.51% 54.58% BOS 9-4
Angels Royals J.Pineiro vs B.Bannister Angels 51.22% 54.34% KC 6-3
Rangers White Sox R.Harden vs M.Buehrle White Sox 53.49% 60.71% TEX 9-6
Twins Mariners N.Blackburn vs J.Vargas Mariners 51.22% 52.56% SEA 7-1

Current ROI: 2.78%

MLB Scoreboard

Sunday, May 30, 2010

Billingsley Poised To Beat NL West Doormat



May 31st, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
DBacks Dodgers R.Lopez vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 63.50% 69.24% LAN 5-4
Phillies Braves J.Blanton vs T.Hanson Braves 59.02% 60.75% ATL 9-3
Brewers Marlins C.Narveson vs N.Robertson Marlins 54.75% 51.19% FLA 13-5
Cubs Pirates R.Wells vs R.Ohlendorf Cubs 55.95% 55.96% PIT 2-1
Nationals Astros L.Atilano vs R.Oswalt Astros 61.69% 60.55% WAS 14-4
Rockies Giants U.Jimenez vs T.Lincecum Giants 50.50% 54.58% COL 4-0
Reds Cardinals B.Arroyo vs J.Garcia Cardinals 59.18% 64.11% STL 12-4
Mets Padres H.Takahashi vs K.Correia Padres 53.92% 59.97% SD 18-6
A's Tigers T.Cahill vs J.Verlander Tigers 62.96% 67.99% OAK 4-1
Indians Yankees M.Talbot vs A.Pettitte Yankees 70.76% 68.36% NYA 11-2
Angels Royals E.Santana vs L.Hochevar Royals 50.50% 57.29% LAA 7-1
Rays Blue Jays M.Garza vs B.Morrow Rays 56.14% 46.55% TOR 3-2
Twins Mariners F.Liriano vs D.Fister Twins 52.61% 51.42% MIN 5-4

Current ROI: 2.42%

MLB Scoreboard

Saturday, May 29, 2010

Kuroda Cooks Up A Loss



May 30th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Rockies C.Kershaw vs J.Chacin Rockies 50.74% 49.76% LAN 4-3
Phillies Marlins J.Moyer vs A.Sanchez Marlins 54.55% 59.17% FLA 1-0
Astros Reds F.Paulino vs M.Leake Reds 65.28% 54.30% HOU 2-0
Pirates Braves P.Maholm vs K.Kawakami Braves 61.24% 56.40% ATL 5-2
Mets Brewers R.Dickey vs R.Wolf Brewers 56.90% 61.18% NYN 10-4
Cardinals Cubs A.Wainwright vs R.Dempster Cardinals 52.15% 53.84% STL 9-1
Nationals Padres L.Hernandez vs J.Garland Padres 60.00% 55.10% SD 3-2
DBacks Giants I.Kennedy vs T.Wellemeyer DBacks 50.74% 50.07% SF 6-5
A's Tigers D.Braden vs A.Galarraga Tigers 54.95% 49.16% DET 10-2
Indians Yankees J.Masterson vs A.Burnett Yankees 72.97% 62.22% NYA 7-3
Orioles Blue Jays J.Guthrie vs R.Romero Blue Jays 63.64% 66.80% TOR 6-1
Royals Red Sox G.Meche vs J.Lester Red Sox 73.96% 73.29% BOS 8-1
White Sox Rays J.Peavy vs J.Shields Rays 63.24% 57.27% CHA 8-5
Mariners Angels I.Snell vs J.Saunders Angels 59.02% 54.90% LAA 9-7
Rangers Twins D.Holland vs S.Baker Twins 57.63% 62.25% MIN 6-3

Current ROI: 2.10%

MLB Scoreboard

Friday, May 28, 2010

Dodgers Cooking Up Something Good



May 29th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Rockies H.Kuroda vs A.Cook Rockies 54.13% 51.76% COL 11-3
Cardinals Cubs A.Ottavino vs D.Silva Cubs 56.52% 55.78% CHN 5-0
Phillies Marlins R.Halladay vs J.Johnson Phillies 54.34% 50.53% PHI 1-0
Astros Reds B.Moehler vs A.Harang Reds 62.69% 56.86% CIN 12-2
Pirates Braves B.Buress vs K.Medlan Braves 66.22% 66.14% ATL 6-3
Mets Brewers F.Nieve vs M.Parra Brewers 54.55% 64.16% MIL 8-6
Nationals Padres J.Martin vs M.Latos Padres 61.83% 58.91% SD 4-2
DBacks Giants B.Buckner vs J.Sanchez Giants 60.32% 64.63% SF 12-1
Indians Yankees D.Huff vs C.Sabathia Yankees 75.00% 67.34% NYA 13-11
Orioles Blue Jays C.Tillman vs B.Cecil Blue Jays 64.29% 65.62% TOR 5-2
Mariners Angels I.Snell vs J.Weaver Angels 65.52% 64.96% LAA 5-1
Rangers Twins C.Wilson vs C.Pavano Twins 56.52% 51.10% MIN 8-3
A's Tigers B.Anderson vs R.Porcello Tigers 55.56% 51.10% OAK 6-0
Royals Red Sox Z.Greinke vs C.Buchholz Red So 56.90% 56.24% BOS 1-0
White Sox Rays J.Danks vs W.Davis Rays 57.67% 47.94% TB 8-5

Current ROI: 1.70%

MLB Scoreboard

Thursday, May 27, 2010

All We Need Is A Miracle



May 28th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Rockies C.Monasterios vs J.Francis Rockies 59.84% 59.74% LAN 5-4
Cardinals Cubs C.Carpenter vs R.Wells Cardinals 56.33% 48.10% STL 7-1
Phillies Marlins K.Kendrick vs C.Volstad Marlins 53.92% 48.88% PHI 3-2
Astros Reds W.Rodriguez vs S.LeCure Reds 53.70% 47.13% CIN 15-6
Pirates Braves Z.Duke vs D.Lowe Braves 62.26% 60.21% ATL 7-3
Mets Brewers J.Santana vs Y.Gallardo Brewers 51.22% 58.19% MIL 2-0
Nationals Padres J.Lannan vs C.Richard Padres 57.63% 62.10% WAS 5-3
DBacks Giants E.Jackson vs M.Cain Giants 55.95% 60.97% SF 5-0
A's Tigers B.Sheets vs D.Willis Tigers 52.61% 57.48% OAK 5-4
Indians Yankees F.Carmona vs P.Hughes Yankees 70.06% 65.73% NYA 8-2
Orioles Blue Jays K.Millwood vs S.Marcum Blue Jays 63.64% 64.01% TOR 5-0
Royals Red Sox K.Davies vs T.Wakefield Red Sox 64.16% 59.75% KC 12-5
White Sox Rays F.Garcia vs D.Price Rays 67.95% 63.63% CHA 4-2
Rangers Twins C.Lewis vs K.SLowey Twins 53.70% 54.94% MIN 2-1
Mariners Angels C.Lee vs S.Kazmir Mariners 51.22% 56.44% SEA 8-3

Current ROI: 1.59%

MLB Scoreboard

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Ely's Lack Of Walks Will Control Outcome



May 27th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Cubs J.Ely vs T.Lilly Cubs 54.55% 49.54% LAN 1-0
Astros Brewers B.Myers vs D.Bush Brewers 56.52% 58.42% MIL 4-3
DBacks Rockies D.Haren vs J.Hammel DBacks 54.13% 39.37% COL 8-2
Nationals Giants C.Stammen vs B.Zito Giants 62.96% 60.59% SF 5-4
Cardinals Padres P.Walters vs W.LeBlanc Padres 56.52% 60.73% STL 8-3
Braves Marlins T.Hudson vs R.Nolasco Marlins 51.46% 53.86% ATL 8-3
Phillies Mets C.Hamels vs M.Pelfrey Phillies 54.34% 51.83% NYN 3-0
Pirates Reds C.Morton vs J.Cueto Reds 64.54% 64.97% CIN 8-2
A's Orioles G.Gonzalez vs J.Berken A's 54.55% 53.17% OAK 7-5
Royals Red Sox B.Bannister vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 64.29% 64.28% KC 4-3
White Sox Rays G.Floyd vs J.Niemann Rays 62.26% 54.46% TB 5-1
Yankees Twins J.Vazquez vs N.Blackburn Yankees 52.61% 47.65% MIN 8-2

Current ROI: 1.47%

MLB Scoreboard

Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Dodgers Drop The Ball



May 26th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Cubs C.Billingsley vs T.Gorzelanny Cubs 51.46% 55.95% LAN 8-5
Braves Marlins T.Hanson vs N.Robertson Braves 57.45% 55.67% ATL 7-3
Phillies Mets J.Blanton vs H.Takahashi Phillies 52.38% 52.37% NYN 5-0
Pirates Reds R.Ohlendorf vs B.Arroyo Reds 62.41% 60.30% CIN 4-0
Astros Brewers R.Oswalt vs C.Narveson Brewers 51.92% 55.05% HOU 5-0
DBacks Rockies R.Lopez vs U.Jimenez Rockies 70.59% 72.56% COL 7-3
Cardinals Padres J.Garcia vs K.Correia Cardinals 53.05% 51.92% SD 2-1
Nationals Giants L.Atilano vs T.Lincecum Giants 72.97% 68.56% WAS 7-3
White Sox Indians M.Buehrle vs J.Westbrook White Sox 53.27% 51.68% CHA 5-4
Rangers Royals S.Feldman vs L.Hochevar Rangers 52.38% 48.08% KC 5-2
Tigers Mariners J.Bonderman vs J.Vargas Mariners 53.05% 55.50% SEA 5-4
A's Orioles T.Cahill vs B.Matusz Orioles 53.70% 59.70% OAK 6-1
Blue Jays Angels B.Morrow vs J.Pineiro Angels 58.33% 59.29% TOR 6-5
Red Sox Rays J.Lackey vs M.Garza Rays 60.00% 58.67% BOS 11-3
Yankees Twins A.Pettitte vs F.Liriano Twins 53.05% 58.44% NYA 3-2

Current ROI: 1.98%

MLB Scoreboard

Dempster Diving



May 25th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Cubs C.Kershaw vs R.Dempster Cubs 50.98% 50.98% CHN 3-0
Braves Marlins K.Kawakami vs A.Sanchez Marlins 54.55% 57.79% FLA 6-4
Phillies Mets J.Moyer vs R.Dickey Phillies 55.95% 55.31% NYN 8-0
Pirates Reds P.Maholm vs M.Leake Reds 62.55% 59.71% PIT 2-1
Astros Brewers F.Paulino vs R.Wolf Brewers 60.32% 52.54% MIL 6-1
DBacks Rockies I.Kennedy vs J.Chacin Rockies 56.52% 60.34% COL 3-2
Cardinals Padres J.Garcia vs J.Garland Cardinals 56.14% 53.88% SD 1-0
Nationals Giants L.Hernandez vs T.Wellemeyer Giants 52.83% 45.54% SF 4-2
A's Orioles D.Braden vs J.Guthrie A's 51.46% 53.65% BAL 5-1
White Sox Indians J.Peavy vs M.Talbot White Sox 56.14% 58.17% CLE 7-3
Red Sox Rays J.lester vs J.Shields Rays 51.69% 47.89% BOS 2-0
Yankees Twins A.Burnett vs S.Baker Yankees 50.74% 42.91% Ppd
Rangers Royals R.Harden vs G.Meche Rangers 56.71% 48.34% TEX 8-7
Blue Jays Angels R.Romero vs E.Santana Blue Jays 50.98% 56.68% LAA 8-3
Tigers Mariners J.Verlander vs D.Fister Tigers 54.34% 47.10% SEA 5-3

Current ROI: 2.34%

MLB Scoreboard

Sunday, May 23, 2010

On The Road



May 24th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Pirates Reds B.Buress vs A.Harang Reds 63.24% 60.15% CIN 7-5
White Sox Indians J.Danks vs J.Masterson White Sox 57.45% 50.07% CHA 7-2
Red Sox Rays C.Buchholz vs W.Davis Rays 55.56% 49.43% BOS 6-1
Blue Jays Angels B.Cecil vs J.Saunders Angels 54.55% 55.52% TOR 6-0

Current ROI: 2.61%

MLB Scoreboard

Saturday, May 22, 2010

Quality Starts R Us



May 23rd, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Tigers Dodgers R.Porcello vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 61.54% 60.56% DET 6-2
Braves Pirates K.Medlen vs Z.Duke Braves 54.75% 53.79% PIT 3-2
Reds Indians H.Bailey vs D.Huff Reds 55.56% 52.99% CIN 4-3
Red Sox Phillies T.Wakefield vs R.Halladay Phillies 65.40% 70.23% BOS 8-3
Orioles Nationals K.Millwood vs J.Lannan Nationals 53.05% 55.03% WAS 4-3
Marlins White Sox J.Johnson vs F.Garcia Marlins 56.33% 55.34% FLA 13-0
Rays Astros D.Price vs B.Norris Rays 62.26% 52.90% TB 10-6
Cubs Rangers C.Silva vs C.WIlson Rangers 62.55% 63.75% CHN 5-4
Brewers Twins M.Estrada vs C.Pavano Twins 64.79% 65.86% MIL 4-3
Rockies Royals A.Cook vs Z.Greinke Royals 57.63% 56.29% COL 11-7
Angels Cardinals J.Weaver vs C.Carpenter Cardinals 58.85% 61.40% STL 6-5
Giants A's J.Sanchez vs B.Sheets A's 51.46% 52.94% OAK 3-0
Padres Mariners M.Latos vs F.Hernandez Mariners 57.45% 55.70% SD 8-1
Blue Jays DBacks S.Marcum vs B.Buckner Blue Jays 54.95% 54.89% TOR 12-4
Yankees Mets C.Sabathia vs J.Santana Yankees 57.45% 49.56% NYN 6-4

Current ROI: 2.42%

MLB Scoreboard

Friday, May 21, 2010

Tied To Be First



May 22nd, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Tigers Dodgers A.Galarraga vs J.Ely Dodgers 58.85% 62.78% LAN 6-4
Braves Pirates D.Lowe vs C.Morton Braves 59.02% 53.14% ATL 4-2
Marlins White Sox C.Volstad vs G.Floyd White Sox 54.55% 60.09% CHA 4-1
Angels Cardinals S.Kazmir vs K.Lohse Cardinals 58.33% 59.76% LAA 10-7
Giants A's M.Cain vs G.Gonzalez A's 51.22% 60.13% OAK 1-0
Orioles Nationals B.Bergesen vs C.Stammen Nationals 58.16% 61.94% WAS 7-6
Rockies Royals J.Francis vs K.Davies Rockies 54.13% 49.88% COL 3-0
Brewers Twins Y.Gallardo vs K.Slowey Twins 56.14% 51.59% MIN 8-7
Rays Astros J.Niemann vs W.Rodriguez Rays 58.68% 48.91% TB 4-2
Reds Indians J.Cueto vs F.Carmona Indians 51.22% 50.10% CIN 6-4
Cubs Rangers R.Wells vs D.Holland Rangers 60.32% 45.90% CHN 5-4
Yankees Mets P.Hughes vs M.Pelfrey Yankees 60.63% 52.95% NYN 5-3
Red Sox Phillies D.Matsuzaka vs K.Kendrick Phillies 57.81% 57.58% BOS 5-0
Blue Jays DBacks D.Eveland vs E.Jackson DBacks 56.33% 57.54% DBacks 8-5
Padres Mariners C.Richard vs I.Snell Padres 51.92% 53.35% SD 2-1

Current ROI: 1.77%

NFL undrafted free agents

Thursday, May 20, 2010

The Dontrelle Of A New Winning Streak



May 21th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Tigers Dodgers D.Willis vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 63.37% 64.99% LAN 4-1
Braves Pirates T.Hudson vs R.Ohlendorf Braves 60.16% 56.20% ATL 7-0
Reds Indians B.Arroyo vs J.Westbrook Reds 53.49% 51.48% CIN 7-4
Red Sox Phillies J.Lackey vs C.Hamels Phillies 56.71% 61.11% PHI 5-1
Orioles Nationals D.Hernandez vs S.Olsen Nationals 61.39% 67.31% BAL 5-3
Yankees Mets J.Vazquez vs H.Takahashi Yankees 60.32% 53.88% NYA 2-1
Rays Astros M.Garza vs B.Myers Rays 63.37% 60.01% HOU 2-1
Cubs Rangers T.Lilly vs C.Lewis Rangers 57.63% 51.37% TEX 2-1
Marlins White Sox R.Nolasco vs M.Buehrle White Sox 51.69% 49.71% CHA 8-0
Brewers Twins D.Bush vs N.Blackburn Twins 62.12% 58.08% MIN 15-3
Rockies Royals J.Hammel vs B.Bannister Rockies 51.92% 57.76% KC 9-2
Angels Cardinals J.Pineiro vs B.Penny Cardinals 59.18% 54.08% STL 9-5
Blue Jays DBacks B.Morrow vs D.Haren DBacks 61.24% 56.49% ARI 8-6
Giants A's B.Zito vs T.Cahill Giants 52.15% 55.63% OAK 6-1
Padres Mariners W.LeBlanc vs C.Lee Mariners 62.69% 62.07% SEA 15-8

Current ROI: 2.65%

baseball whip

Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Can't Win Em All



May 20th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Padres Dodgers K.Correia vs C.Kershaw Dodgers 61.54% 63.89% LAN 4-1
Reds Braves M.Leake vs T.Hanson Braves 60.16% 66.19% ATL 10-9
Cubs Phillies R.Dempster vs J.Blanton Phillies 53.92% 52.04% PHI 5-4
Marlins Cardinals N.Robertson vs A.Wainwright Cardinals 69.23% 68.03% STL 4-2
Brewers Pirates C.Narveson vs P.Maholm Brewers 53.27% 48.87% MIL 4-3
Mets Nationals J.Maine vs L.Atilano Nationals 53.92% 59.61% NYN 10-7
Rockies Astros U.Jimenez vs R.Oswalt Rockies 58.16% 54.19% COL 4-0
Giants DBacks T.Lincecum vs R.Lopez Giants 62.69% 61.22% ARI 8-7
Tigers A's J.Bonderman vs T.Ross Tigers 53.92% 52.80% DET 5-2
Royals Indians L.Hochever vs M.Talbot Indians 55.36% 45.25% KC 9-3
Blue Jays Mariners R.Romero vs J.Vargas Blue Jays 54.95% 52.71% SEA 4-3
Rays Yankees J.Shields vs A.Pettitte Yankees 57.98% 57.46% TB 8-6
Twins Red Sox F.Liriano vs J.Lester Red Sox 57.45% 51.28% BOS 6-2
Orioles Rangers B.Matusz vs S.Feldman Rangers 57.98% 49.32% TEX 13-7
Angels White Sox E.Santana vs M.Buehrle White Sox 53.92% 57.98% LAA 6-5

Current ROI: 3.55%

Odds to win the World Series

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

NL West Tightens Up



May 19th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Padres Dodgers J.Garland vs R.Ortiz Dodgers 54.13% 52.76% SD 10-5
Brewers Pirates R.Wolf vs B.Buress Brewers 59.68% 49.42% PIT 6-4
Cubs Phillies T.Gorzelanny vs J.Moyer Phillies 57.08% 44.56% CHN 4-1
Mets Nationals R.Dickey vs L.Hernandez Nationals 58.68% 60.92% WAS 5-3
Reds Braves A.Harang vs K.Kawakami Braves 56.52% 56.00% ATL 5-4
Rockies Astros G.Smith vs F.Paulino Rockies 53.27% 40.49% HOU 7-3
Marlins Cardinals A.Sanchez vs J.Garcia Cardinals 62.41% 60.00% FLA 5-1
Giants DBacks T.Wellemeyer vs I.Kennedy DBacks 59.51% 58.74% ARI 13-1
Royals Indians G.Meche vs J.Masterson Indians 56.52% 58.48% KC 8-5
Rays Yankees W.Davis vs A.Burnett Yankees 59.68% 61.71% TB 10-6
Twins Red Sox S.Baker vs C.Buchholz Red Sox 55.56% 49.46% BOS 3-2
Orioles Rangers J.Guthrie vs R.Harden Rangers 61.54% 53.71% TEX 4-3
Angels White Sox J.Saunders vs J.Danks White Sox 58.51% 63.95% LAA 3-2
Tigers A's J.Verlander vs D.Braden Tigers 54.55% 49.78% DET 5-1
Blue Jays Mariners B.Cecil vs D.Fister Mariners 55.56% 56.78% TOR 3-2

Current ROI: 2.94%

MLB Scoreboard

Monday, May 17, 2010

Eight! Eight! I Forget What Eight Was For



May 18th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Astros Dodgers B.Norris vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 67.74% 62.45% LAN 7-3
Brewers Reds M.Parra vs H.Bailey Reds 56.52% 54.18% CIN 5-4
DBacks Marlins B.Buckner vs J.Johnson Marlins 65.64% 69.31% FLA 8-0
Pirates Phillies Z.Duke vs R.Halladay Phillies 76.69% 73.22% PIT 2-1
Mets Braves J.Santana vs K.Medlan Mets 52.15% 42.64% ATL 3-2
Rockies Cubs J.Chacin vs C.Silva Cubs 53.49% 54.91% CHN 6-2
Nationals Cardinals J.Lannan vs C.Carpenter Cardinals 72.22% 63.87% STL 3-2
Giants Padres J.Sanchez vs M.Latos Padres 51.46% 47.62% SF 7-6
Twins Blue Jays C.Pavano vs S.Marcum Blue Jays 53.92% 50.55% TOR 11-2
White Sox Tigers F.Garcia vs R.Porcello Tigers 56.52% 54.42% CHA 6-2
Indians Rays D.Huff vs D.Price Rays 70.59% 72.83% TB 6-2
Royals Orioles Z.Greinke vs K.Millwood Royals 52.15% 55.98% BAL 4-3
Red Sox Yankees J.Beckett vs C.Sabathia Yankees 64.91% 58.29% BOS 7-6
Angels Rangers J.Weaver vs C.Wilson Rangers 54.95% 61.74% TEX 8-7
Mariners A's F.Hernandez vs B.Sheets Mariners 56.14% 52.04% OAK 6-5

Current ROI: 1.95%

MLB Scoreboard

Sunday, May 16, 2010

Backseat To Purple And Gold



May 17th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Astros Dodgers W.Rodriguez vs J.Ely Dodgers 61.39% 54.81% LAN 6-2
Pirates Phillies C.Morton vs K.Kendrick Phillies 68.05% 63.15% PHI 12-2
DBacks Marlins E.Jackson vs C.Volstad Marlins 59.18% 56.77% ARI 5-1
Brewers Reds Y.Gallardo vs J.Cueto Reds 50.74% 50.85% CIN 6-3
Mets Braves M.Pelfrey vs D.Lowe Braves 57.63% 56.86% NYN 3-2
Rockies Cubs A.Cook vs R.Wells Cubs 57.98% 59.72% CHN 4-2
Nationals Cardinals C.Stammen vs K.Lohse Cardinals 60.78% 55.34% STL 6-2
Giants Padres M.Cain vs C.Richard Giants 53.92% 46.06% SD 3-1
Royals Orioles K.Davies vs B.Bergesen Orioles 56.52% 53.46% KC 4-3
White Sox Tigers F.Garcia vs R.Porcello Tigers 57.81% 53.48% Ppd
Red Sox Yankees D.Matsuzaka vs P.Hughes Yankees 65.28% 66.89% NYA 11-9
Twins Blue Jays K.Slowey vs D.Eveland Twins 53.49% 43.94% MIN 8-3
Indians Rays F.Carmona vs J.Niemann Rays 66.67% 63.94% TB 4-3
Angels Rangers S.Kazmir vs D.Holland Rangers 57.98% 56.01% TEX 4-3
Mariners A's R.Smith vs G.Gonzalez A's 57.98% 63.93% OAK 8-4

Current ROI: 1.99%

MLB Scoreboard

Saturday, May 15, 2010

Home Sweet San Diego



May 16th, Simulations...











































































































Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Padres C.Billingsley vs W.LeBlanc Dodgers 52.15% 47.88% LAN 1-0
Mets Marlins J.Niese vs R.Nolasco Marlins 63.24% 63.14% FLA 10-8
Cardinals Reds B.Penny vs B.Arroyo Cardinals 55.56% 53.21% CIN 7-2
DBacks Braves D.Haren vs T.Hudson Braves 54.13% 51.58% ATL 13-1
Pirates Cubs R.Ohlendorf vs T.Lilly Cubs 70.15% 63.32% CHN 4-3
Nationals Rockies S.Olsen vs J.Francis Rockies 56.71% 51.94% COL 2-1
Astros Giants B.Myers vs B.Zito Giants 62.55% 64.57% SF 4-3
Red Sox Tigers J.Lackey vs A.Galarraga Red Sox 59.18% 57.28% DET 5-1
Twins Yankees N.Blackburn vs S.Mitre Yankees 57.81% 52.94% MIN 6-3
Rangers Blue Jays C.Lewis vs B.Morrow Rangers 53.49% 44.48% TOR 5-2
Indians Orioles J.Westbrook vs D.Hernandez Indians 53.05% 44.13% CLE 5-1
Mariners Rays C.Lee vs M.Garza Rays 57.81% 53.32% TB 2-1
White Sox Royals G.Floyd vs B.Bannister White Sox 51.22% 53.56% KC 5-3
A's Angels T.Cahill vs J.Pineiro Angels 60.78% 67.61% LAA 4-0

Current ROI: 2.10%


Friday, May 14, 2010

The War Of 18-17



May 15th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Padres C.Kershaw vs K.Correia Dodgers 54.75% 53.17% LAN 4-1
Pirates Cubs P.Maholm vs R.Dempster Cubs 68.75% 66.53% PIT 4-3
Nationals Rockies L.Hernandez vs U.Jimenez Rockies 70.93% 69.29% COL 6-2
Astros Giants R.Oswalt vs T.Lincecum Giants 68.15% 63.60% SF 2-1
Phillies Brewers J.Blanton vs C.Narveson Brewers 51.69% 50.99% PHI 10-6
Cardinals Reds A.Wainwright vs M.Leake Cardinals 59.51% 59.48% CIN 4-3
DBacks Braves R.Lopez vs T.Hanson Braves 67.21% 68.79% ARI 11-1
Mets Marlins J.Maine vs N.Robertson Marlins 53.70% 57.98% FLA 7-5
Nationals Rockies L.Atilano vs J.Hammel Rockies 60.63% 63.40% COL 4-3
Twins Yankees F.Liriano vs A.Pettitte Yankees 56.33% 55.26% NYA 7-1
Rangers Blue Jays S.Feldman vs R.Romero Blue Jays 57.98% 63.92% TOR 6-0
Mariners Rays J.Vargas vs J.Shields Rays 67.21% 60.03% TB 2-1
Red Sox Tigers J.lester vs D.Willis Red Sox 60.63% 54.50% DET 7-6
Indians Orioles M.Talbot vs B.Matusz Orioles 57.45% 67.17% CLE 8-2
White Sox Royals J.Peavy vs L.Hochevar White Sox 57.45% 48.57% CHA 5-4
A's Angels J.Duchscherer vs E.Santana Angels 56.90% 58.54% LAA 12-3

Current ROI: 2.44%

Most Profitable MLB Teams To Bet On

Thursday, May 13, 2010

Little Pitcher In Big Game



May 14th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Padres R.Ortiz vs J.Garland Padres 57.45% 55.47% LAN 4-3
Pirates Cubs B.Buress vs T.Gorzelanny Cubs 66.67% 68.83% PIT 10-6
Mets Marlins O.Perez vs A.Sanchez Marlins 57.81% 60.88% FLA 7-2
Cardinals Reds J.Garcia vs A.Harang Cardinals 54.13% 53.49% STL 4-3
DBacks Braves I.Kennedy vs K.Kawakami Braves 55.75% 58.04% ATL 6-5
Phillies Brewers J.Blanton vs R.Wolf Brewers 54.75% 51.70% PHI 9-5
Nationals Rockies L.Hernandez vs U.Jimenez Rockies 69.88% 68.92% PPd
Astros Giants F.Paulino vs T.Wellemeyer Giants 58.16% 47.33% SF 8-2
Indians Orioles J.Masterson vs J.Guthrie Orioles 53.70% 52.84% BAL 8-1
Red Sox Tigers C.Buchholz vs M.Scherzer Red Sox 53.49% 51.49% BOS 7-2
Twins Yankees S.Baker vs A.Burnett Yankees 61.54% 57.14% NYA 8-4
Rangers Blue Jays R.Harden vs B.Cecil Blue Jays 51.46% 57.89% TOR 16-10
Mariners Rays D.Fister vs W.Davis Rays 63.24% 55.44% SEA 4-3
White Sox Royals M.Buehrle vs G.Meche White Sox 54.95% 53.30% KC 6-1
A's Angels D.Braden vs J.Saunders Angels 53.27% 43.86% LAA 4-0

Current ROI: 3.30%

Doc's Sports Betting Blog

Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Resting at .500



May 13th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Astros Cardinals B.Norris vs C.Carpenter Cardinals 72.22% 66.12% HOU 4-1
Padres Giants M.Latos vs J.Sanchez Giants 60.32% 65.77% SD 1-0
Mets Marlins J.Santana vs J.Johnson Marlins 54.55% 59.16% FLA 2-1
Nationals Rockies J.Lannan vs J.Chacin Rockies 65.16% 58.75% TBD
Yankees Tigers C.Sabathia vs J.Verlander Yankees 55.56% 47.91% DET 6-0
Mariners Orioles F.Hernandez vs K.Millwood Mariners 56.52% 48.66% BAL 6-5
A's Rangers B.Sheets vs C.Wilson Rangers 62.26% 70.92% TEX 2-1
Indians Royals D.Huff vs Z.Greinke Royals 65.52% 69.13% KC 6-4

Current ROI: 2.03%

Probable Pitchers

Desert Hospitality



May 12th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers DBacks H.Kuroda vs E.Jackson Dodgers 52.83% 57.85% LAN 6-3
Reds Pirates H.Bailey vs Z.Duke Pirates 52.15% 52.58% CIN 5-0
Braves Brewers D.Lowe vs Y.Gallardo Brewers 61.24% 58.58% ATL 9-2
Nationals Mets C.Stammen vs M.Pelfrey Mets 61.83% 56.07% WAS 6-4
Marlins Cubs C.Volstad vs C.Silva Cubs 54.13% 57.53% CHN 4-3
Phillies Rockies R.Halladay vs A.Cook Phillies 62.96% 59.39% COL 4-3
Phillies Rockies J.Moyer vs J.Hammel Phillies 51.92% 42.29% Ppd
Astros Cardinals W.Rodriguez vs K.Lohse Cardinals 63.10% 54.54% HOU 9-6
Padres Giants C.Richard vs M.Cain Giants 63.10% 58.43% SD 5-2
Yankees Tigers J.Vazquez vs R.Porcello Yankees 58.51% 51.69% DET 2-0
Yankees Tigers P.Hughes vs J.Bonderman Yankees 62.69% 60.47% NYA 8-0
White Sox Twins J.Danks vs C.Pavano Twins 56.90% 55.49% MIN 3-2
Blue Jays Red Sox S.Marcum vs T.Wakefield Red Sox 51.22% 50.69% TOR 3-2
Rays Angels D.Price vs J.Weaver Angels 51.22% 52.73% TB 4-3
Mariners Orioles R.Smith vs B.Bergessen Orioles 52.15% 54.18% BAL 5-2
A's Rangers G.Gonzalez vs D.Holland Rangers 54.75% 46.82% TEX 10-1
Indians Royals F.Carmona vs K.Davies Royals 50.74% 54.37% CLE 4-0

Current ROI: 1.94%

Probable Pitchers

Monday, May 10, 2010

Ely Man II



May 11th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers DBacks J.Ely vs D.Haren DBacks 60.78% 58.55% LAN 13-3
Reds Pirates J.Cueto vs C.Morton Reds 54.55% 50.69% CIN 9-0
Nationals Mets S.Olsen vs J.Niese Mets 57.26% 52.35% NYN 8-6
Marlins Cubs R.Nolasco vs R.Wells Cubs 52.15% 60.97% FLA 3-2
Braves Brewers T.Hudson vs D.Bush Braves 53.27% 50.89% ATL 11-3
Astros Cardinals B.Myers vs B.Penny Cardinals 68.25% 66.08% HOU 6-3
Phillies Rockies R.Halladay vs A.Cook Phillies 63.24% 59.12% Ppd
Padres Giants W.LeBlanc vs B.Zito Giants 60.00% 59.45% SD 3-2
Mariners Orioles C.Lee vs D.Hernandez Mariners 59.35% 59.69% SEA 5-1
Yankees Tigers J.Vazquez vs R.Porcello Yankees 56.52% 51.53% Ppd
Blue Jays Red Sox D.Eveland vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 62.41% 50.87% BOS 6-1
A's Rangers T.Cahill vs C.Lewis Rangers 62.69% 59.41% OAK 7-6
White Sox Twins F.Garcia vs K.Slowey Twins 61.54% 53.40% CHA 5-2
Indians Royals J.Westbrook vs B.Bannister Royals 51.22% 56.48% CLE 8-2
Rays Angels J.Niemann vs S.Kazmir Rays 52.38% 52.34% TB 7-2

Current ROI: 2.01%

Probable Pitchers

Sunday, May 09, 2010

In The Zona



May 10th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers DBacks C.Billingsley vs R.Lopez Dodgers 54.13% 55.80% LAN 7-3
Reds Pirates B.Arroyo vs R.Ohlendorf Reds 53.05% 52.40% CIN 2-1
Nationals Mets L.Atilano vs J.Maine Mets 60.63% 52.96% WAS 3-2
Marlins Cubs N.Robertson vs T.Lilly Cubs 60.00% 64.57% FLA 4-2
Braves Brewers T.Hanson vs D.Davis Braves 56.52% 50.91% ATL 8-2
Phillies Rockies K.Kendrick vs G.Smith Rockies 51.69% 52.11% PHI 9-5
Yankees Tigers S.Mitre vs D.Willis Yankees 54.13% 48.99% DET 5-4
Blue Jays Red Sox B.Morrow vs J.Lackey Red Sox 62.55% 60.93% BOS 7-6
Rays Angels M.Garza vs J.Pineiro Rays 58.85% 46.41% LAA 5-4

Current ROI: 1.97%

Probable Pitchers

Saturday, May 08, 2010

Kerplunk



May 9th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Rockies Dodgers U.Jimenez vs C.Kershaw Rockies 54.55% 47.36% LAN 2-0

Current ROI: 1.97%

Today's Scoreboard

Friday, May 07, 2010

Manny Reasons For Dodgers Fans To Be Happy



May 8th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Xeifrank Win Prob Actual
Rockies Dodgers J.Chacin vs C.Haeger Dodgers 52.61% 54.92% COL 8-0

Current ROI (as of Friday): 1.97%

Fangraphs unveils great new stat.

Thursday, May 06, 2010

Rockies vs Dodgers - Simulation



May 7th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Xeifrank Win Prob Actual
Rockies Dodgers E.Rogers vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 62.12% 62.80% LAN 6-5
Cardinals Pirates C.Carpenter vs Z.Duke Cardinals 68.25% 60.38% STL 4-3
Braves Phillies D.Lowe vs J.Moyer Phillies 55.75% 53.72% PHI 7-0
Marlins Nationals C.Volstad vs C.Stammen Marlins 53.27% 43.25% FLA 4-2
Giants Mets J.Sanchez vs M.Pelfrey Mets 53.70% 49.03% NYN 6-4
Cubs Reds C.Silva vs H.Bailey Reds 50.74% 52.78% CHN 14-7
Padres Astros M.Latos vs B.Norris Padres 54.13% 38.57% SD 7-0
Brewers DBacks Y.Gallardo vs E.Jackson Brewers 55.56% 53.06% MIL 3-2
Tigers Indians J.Bonderman vs D.Huff Tigers 50.74% 52.56% PPD
Yankees Red Sox P.Hughes vs J.Beckett Red Sox 51.69% 52.17% NYA 10-3
Royals Rangers Z.Greinke vs C.Wilson Rangers 54.34% 55.49% TEX 4-1
Orioles Twins K.Millwood vs F.Liriano Twins 69.14% 66.44% PPD
Blue Jays White Sox S.Marcum vs M.Buehrle White Sox 51.92% 50.43% TOR 7-4
Rays A's D.Price vs G.Gonzalez Rays 59.68% 51.31% TB 4-1
Angels Mariners J.Weaver vs F.Hernandez Mariners 58.51% 55.38% LAA 8-0

Current ROI (as of Wednesday): 1.97%

Look at the score updated LA Dodgers schedule includes winning and losing pitchers for each team.

Wednesday, May 05, 2010

Home Cooking Ails Dodgers



May 6th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Xeifrank Win Prob Actual
Brewers Dodgers D.Bush vs J.Ely Dodgers 54.95% 57.82% LAN 7-3
Cardinals Phillies K.Lohse vs R.Halladay Phillies 69.23% 61.61% PHI 7-2
Cubs Pirates R.Wells vs Z.Duke Cubs 59.18% 61.72% PIT 11-1
Braves Nationals T.Hudson vs S.Olsen Braves 57.08% 47.98% WAS 3-2
Giants Marlins M.Cain vs R.Nolasco Marlins 55.36% 51.86% SF 6-3
DBacks Astros D.Haren vs W.Rodriguez DBacks 56.33% 45.23% ARI 6-3
Angels Red Sox S.Kazmir vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 57.45% 50.82% BOS 11-6
Royals Rangers K.Davies vs M.Harrison Rangers 59.35% 54.32% TEX 13-12
Orioles Twins B.Bergesen vs C.Pavano Twins 69.60% 69.09% BAL 2-0
Blue Jays White Sox D.Eveland vs J.Danks White Sox 64.79% 56.41% TOR 2-0
Rays Mariners J.Niemann vs R.Smith Rays 57.63% 57.98% TB 8-0

Current ROI (as of Wednesday): 2.05%

Check out the Sports Betting Champ system review at Doc's Sports.

Converting From A Win Percentage To A Money Line


I was recently asked if there was a formula for converting a win percentage to a Money Line. For example, if we think a team has a 65% chance of winning a game, what would the "fair" money line be for that game?

Money lines are generally given as a negative number for the favorite and a positive number for the underdog. There are cases that both teams will be listed with a negative number if the odds are very even and there is juice on the game. A site that has a dime juice, will have the money line listed as -105/-105 on a 50/50 game. Without the juice, both teams would be listed as +100 or -100 (same thing).

Now back to our request for a formula for converting from win percentage to money line. Since the favorite will be listed as a negative number and the underdog as a positive number, we have to use two similar but slightly different formulas. One for the favorite and one for the underdog.

Depending on what type of juice you’d be expecting you’d add/subtract an offset in. With a dime juice you’d subtract a nickel (from -150 to -155) from the favorite and subtract a nickel from the dog too (+150 to +145). Let's ignore the juice for now, as it can easily be added in at the end of the process.

P = Probability of the team winning
X = Money Line (not adjusted for juice)

Favorites: X = -100P / (1 – P)

Underdog X = (100 – 100P) / P

Example, Team A has a 65% chance of winning and Team B has a 35% chance of winning.

ML for Team A would be:
= (-100 * .65) / (1 – .65)
= -65 / .35
= -185.7

ML for Team B would be:
= (100 – (100 * .35)) / .35
= (100 – 35) / .35
= 65 / .35
= +185.7

Let's round it off a little bit and call this a -186/+186 game. So if a team was listed on the money line as -186 favorite (with no juice) they would have a 65% chance of winning according to the money line. If you were to add a dime juice to this line you would end up with something like -191/+181. But keep in mind that juice tends to increase as a team becomes a larger and larger favorite.

Feel free to use my handy Money Line to Win Percentage Calculator, via Google Docs.

Bad To The Bone



May 5th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Xeifrank Win Prob Actual
Brewers Dodgers D.Davis vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 64.66% 63.88% LAN 11-3
Mets Reds J.Niese vs J.Cueto Reds 55.16% 51.61% CIN 5-4
Cubs Pirates T.Lilly vs C.Morton Cubs 60.00% 58.31% PIT 4-2
Cardinals Phillies B.Penny vs K.Kendrick Cardinals 53.05% 54.25% PHI 4-0
Braves Nationals T.Hanson vs L.Atilano Braves 58.33% 55.78% ATL 7-6
Giants Marlins B.Zito vs N.Robertson Giants 56.52% 56.87% SF 3-2
DBacks Astros R.Lopez vs B.Myers DBacks 50.01% 50.48% HOU 4-2
Rockies Padres A.Cook vs C.Richard Padres 53.92% 55.77% COL 6-5
Blue Jays Indians B.Morrow vs F.Carmona Indians 53.70% 53.48% TOR 5-4
Orioles Yankees D.Hernandez vs A.Pettitte Yankees 73.68% 68.61% NYA 7-5
Tigers Twins R.Porcello vs K.Slowey Twins 60.32% 56.90% MIN 5-4
Rangers A's C.Lewis vs T.Cahill Rangers 55.75% 48.82% OAK 4-1
Angels Red Sox J.Pineiro vs J.Lackey Red Sox 62.26% 50.48% BOS 3-1
Royals White Sox B.Bannister vs F.Garcia White Sox 57.26% 57.02% CHA 9-2
Rays Mariners M.Garza vs C.Lee Rays 51.46% 48.30% TB 8-3

Current ROI (as of Tuesday): 3.22%

View Doc's Sports baseball betting system for more infomation about picking winners.

Monday, May 03, 2010

The Chronicles Of Narveson



May 4th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Xeifrank Win Prob Actual
Brewers Dodgers C.Narveson vs C.Kershaw Dodgers 65.52% 69.81% MIL 11-6
Cubs Pirates R.Dempster vs P.Maholm Cubs 59.35% 57.10% PIT 3-2
Cardinals Phillies A.Wainwright vs C.Hamels Cardinals 50.98% 54.08% PHI 2-1
Braves Nationals K.Kawakami vs L.Hernandez Braves 51.69% 48.01% WAS 6-3
Mets Reds J.Maine vs B.Arroyo Reds 56.33% 59.34% NYN 5-4
Giants Marlins T.Lincecum vs A.Sanchez Giants 62.69% 60.06% SF 9-6
DBacks Astros I.Kennedy vs R.Oswalt Astros 52.38% 61.64% ARI 1-0
Rockies Padres G.Smith vs W.LeBlanc Padres 56.33% 59.07% SD 3-2
Blue Jays Indians R.Romero vs J.Westbrook Blue Jays 54.34% 54.96% TOR 8-5
Orioles Yankees B.Matusz vs A.Burnett Yankees 68.75% 62.21% NYA 4-1
Angels Red Sox E.Santana vs J.Lester Red Sox 63.24% 63.78% BOS 5-1
Tigers Twins D.Willis vs N.Blackburn Twins 56.33% 52.65% MIN 4-3
Royals White Sox L.Hochevar vs G.Floyd White Sox 62.96% 60.06% KC 7-2
Rangers A's S.Feldman vs V.Mazzaro Rangers 50.98% 52.65% OAK 7-6
Rays Mariners J.Shields vs J.Vargas Rays 56.14% 50.61% TB 5-2

Current ROI (as of Monday): 5.12%

Check out a list of sports betting systems that work all at Doc's Sports.

Sabathia, Yanks Huge Favorites Today



May 3rd, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Xeifrank Win Prob Actual
Cardinals Phillies J.Garcia vs J.Blanton Cardinals 52.61% 52.33% STL 6-3
Mets Reds O.Perez vs M.Leake Reds 58.16% 54.19% CIN 3-2
DBacks Astros C.Valdez vs F.Paulino Astros 51.46% 57.15% ARI 9-1
Rockies Padres U.Jimenez vs K.Correia Rockies 57.26% 54.31% COL 5-2
Blue Jays Indians B.Cecil vs M.Talbot Indians 52.38% 50.18% TOR 5-1
Orioles Yankees J.Guthrie vs C.Sabathia Yankees 75.00% 68.48% NYA 4-1
Angels Red Sox J.Saunders vs C.Buchholz Red Sox 62.55% 60.51% BOS 17-8
Royals White Sox G.Meche vs J.Peavy White Sox 63.37% 61.86% CHA 5-1
Tigers Twins M.Scherzer vs S.Baker Twins 56.90% 58.89% MIN 10-4
Rangers A's R.Harden vs D.Braden A's 57.26% 60.38% TEX 4-2

Current ROI (as of Saturday): 6.53%

BtB Prediction Contest

Saturday, May 01, 2010

Undefeated In May



May 2nd, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Xeifrank Win Prob Actual
Pirates Dodgers J.Karstens vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 70.67% 65.38% LAN 9-3
Nationals Marlins J.Lannan vs J.Johnson Marlins 65.87% 62.28% FLA 9-3
Astros Braves B.Norris vs D.Lowe Braves 62.83% 56.24% ATL 7-1
Reds Cardinals A.Harang vs C.Carpenter Cardinals 70.59% 65.34% STL 6-0
DBacks Cubs E.Jackson vs T.Gorzelanny Cubs 59.18% 61.63% CHN 10-5
Brewers Padres R.Wolf vs J.Garland Brewers 51.69% 48.51% SD 8-0
Rockies Giants J.Chacin vs J.Sanchez Giants 61.09% 64.56% COL 4-1
Mets Phillies J.Santana vs J.Moyer Mets 56.71% 53.34% PHI 11-5
Twins Indians F.Liriano vs D.Huff Twins 60.63% 54.66% MIN 8-3
Angels Tigers J.Weaver vs J.Verlander Tigers 54.55% 54.48% DET 5-1
White Sox Yankees M.Buehrle vs P.Hughes Yankees 66.78% 58.03% NYA 12-3
A's Blue Jays B.Sheets vs S.Marcum Blue Jays 57.81% 61.55% TOR 9-3
Red Sox Orioles J.Beckett vs K.Millwood Red Sox 59.18% 50.77% BAL 3-2
Royals Rays Z.Greinke vs W.Davis Rays 56.52% 48.05% TB 1-0
Rangers Mariners C.Wilson vs D.Fister Mariners 52.15% 49.59% TEX 3-1

Current ROI (as of Saturday): 8.37%