Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Ely's Lack Of Walks Will Control Outcome



May 27th, Simulations...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Dodgers Cubs J.Ely vs T.Lilly Cubs 54.55% 49.54% LAN 1-0
Astros Brewers B.Myers vs D.Bush Brewers 56.52% 58.42% MIL 4-3
DBacks Rockies D.Haren vs J.Hammel DBacks 54.13% 39.37% COL 8-2
Nationals Giants C.Stammen vs B.Zito Giants 62.96% 60.59% SF 5-4
Cardinals Padres P.Walters vs W.LeBlanc Padres 56.52% 60.73% STL 8-3
Braves Marlins T.Hudson vs R.Nolasco Marlins 51.46% 53.86% ATL 8-3
Phillies Mets C.Hamels vs M.Pelfrey Phillies 54.34% 51.83% NYN 3-0
Pirates Reds C.Morton vs J.Cueto Reds 64.54% 64.97% CIN 8-2
A's Orioles G.Gonzalez vs J.Berken A's 54.55% 53.17% OAK 7-5
Royals Red Sox B.Bannister vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 64.29% 64.28% KC 4-3
White Sox Rays G.Floyd vs J.Niemann Rays 62.26% 54.46% TB 5-1
Yankees Twins J.Vazquez vs N.Blackburn Yankees 52.61% 47.65% MIN 8-2

Current ROI: 1.47%

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