Simulations for Thursday, May 31st

Simulations for Wednesday, May 30th. Current prediction record is 80-53.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Nationals	M.Hendrickson vs M.Bowie	Dodgers	50.75	Nationals
Padres vs Pirates	G.Maddux vs S.Chacon	Pirates	50.55	Padres
Giants vs Mets	M.Cain vs O.Hernandez	Mets	58.05	Mets
Cardinals vs Rockies	B.Thompson vs A.Cook	Rockies	59.60	Cardinals

Simulations for Wednesday, May 30th

Simulations for Wednesday, May 30th. Current prediction record is 78-50.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
* Dodgers vs Nationals	D.Lowe vs M.Bacsik	Dodgers	57.85	Dodgers
Padres vs Pirates	C.Young vs P.Maholm	Padres	56.75	Padres
Giants vs Mets	B.Zito vs T.Glavine	Mets	56.85	Giants
Cardinals vs Rockies	T.Wellemeyer vs J.Hirsh	Rockies	63.80	Cardinals
DBacks vs Phillies	R.Johnson vs J.Moyer	Phillies	55.85	DBacks
* - Sim was reran with Bacsik's ZIPS projections due to small sample size of 2007 innings pitched

Simulations for Tuesday, May 29th

Simulations for Tuesday, May 29th. Current prediction record is 74-49.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Nationals	B.Penny vs J.Simontacchi	Dodgers	58.65	Dodgers
Padres vs Pirates	D.Wells vs T.Gorzelanny	Pirates	60.60	Pirates
Giants vs Mets	T.Lincecum vs O.Perez	Mets	58.35	Mets
Cardinals vs Rockies	B.Looper vs R.Lopez	Rockies	58.75	Rockies
DBacks vs Phillies	M.Owings vs J.Lieber	Phillies	55.15	DBacks

Simulations for Monday, May 28th

Simulations for Monday, May 28th. Current prediction record is 73-48.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Cardinals vs Rockies	K.Wells vs J.Francis	Rockies	53.50	Rockies
DBacks vs Phillies	D.Davis vs F.Garcia	Phillies	53.40	DBacks

Simulations for Sunday, May 27th

Simulations for Sunday, May 27th. Current prediction record is 70-47.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Cubs vs Dodgers	R.Hill vs R.Wolf	Dodgers	53.25	Dodgers
Rockies vs Giants	T.Buchholz vs N.Lowry	Giants	54.25	Rockies
Brewers vs Padres	J.Suppan vs J.Peavy	Padres	59.75	Padres
Astros vs DBacks	R.Oswalt vs L.Hernandez	DBacks	51.15	DBacks

Simulations for Saturday, May 26th

Simulations for Saturday, May 26th. Current prediction record is 67-46.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Cubs vs Dodgers	C.Zambrano vs M.Hendrickson	Dodgers	61.09	Cubs
Rockies vs Giants	A.Cook vs M.Morris	Rockies	51.50	Rockies
Brewers vs Padres	C.Vargas vs J.Germano	Padres	70.75	Padres
Astros vs DBacks	C.Sampson vs B.Webb	DBacks	55.05	DBacks

Simulations for Friday, May 25th

Simulations for Friday, May 25th. Current prediction record is 65-44.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Cubs vs Dodgers	T.Lilly vs D.Lowe	Cubs	51.70	Dodgers
Rockies vs Giants	J.Hirsh vs M.Cain	Giants	51.00	Rockies
Brewers vs Padres	D.Bush vs G.Maddux	Padres	57.50	Padres
Astros vs DBacks	W.Williams vs E.Gonzalez	DBacks	50.70	DBacks

Simulations for Thursday, May 24th

Simulations for Thursday, May 24th. Current prediction record is 63-44.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Cubs vs Padres	J.Marquis vs C.Young	Cubs	51.05	Cubs
Astros vs DBacks	W.Rodriguez vs M.Owings	DBacks	51.10	DBacks

Simulations for Wednesday, May 23rd

Simulations for Wednesday, May 23rd. Current prediction record is 59-44.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Brewers vs Dodgers	C.Capuano vs B.Penny	Dodgers	57.60	Dodgers
Astros vs Giants	M.Albers vs B.Zito	Giants	52.80	Giants
Rockies vs DBacks	J.Francis vs D.Davis	Rockies	55.20	Rockies
Cubs vs Padres	S.Marshall vs D.Wells	Padres	50.90	Padres

Simulations for Tuesday, May 22nd

Simulations for Tuesday, May 22nd. Current prediction record is 57-42.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Brewers vs Dodgers	B.Sheets vs R.Wolf	Dodgers	53.05	Dodgers
Astros vs Giants	R.Oswalt vs T.Lincecum	Astros	54.30	Giants
Rockies vs DBacks	J.Fogg vs L.Hernandez	DBacks	53.60	Rockies
Cubs vs Padres	R.Hill vs J.Peavy	Padres	57.23	Padres

Simulations for Monday, May 21st

Simulations for Monday, May 21st. Current prediction record is 56-40.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Brewers vs Dodgers	J.Suppan vs B.Tomko	Dodgers	59.55	Brewers
Rockies vs DBacks	A.Cook vs B.Webb	DBacks	68.22	DBacks
Astros vs Giants	C.Sampson vs N.Lowry	Astros	53.67	Giants

Simulations for Sunday, May 20th

Simulations for Sunday, May 20th. Current prediction record is 55-39.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Angels	D.Lowe vs K.Escobar	Angels	55.80	Angels
Giants vs A's	M.Morris vs J.Kennedy	A's	54.55	Giants

Simulations for Saturday, May 19th

Simulations for Saturday, May 19th. Current prediction record is 53-37.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Angels	M.Hendrickson vs J.Weaver	Angels	51.20	Angels
Giants vs A's	M.Cain vs D.Haren	Giants	53.30	A's
Padres vs Mariners	G.Maddux vs H.Ramirez	Padres	54.15	Mariners
Royals vs Rockies	G.Meche vs T.Buccholz	Rockies	52.80	Rockies

Simulations for Friday, May 18th

Simulations for Friday, May 18th. Current prediction record is 51-36.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Angels	B.Penny vs E.Santana	Dodgers	53.95	Angels
Giants vs A's	B.Zito vs C.Gaudin	A's	52.65	A's
Padres vs Mariners	C.Young vs M.Batista	Padres	54.84	Padres

Simulations for Thursday, May 17th

Simulations for Thursday, May 17th. Current prediction record is 51-34.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
DBacks vs Rockies	L.Hernandez vs J.Fogg	Rockies	52.50	DBacks
Giants vs Astros	T.Lincecum vs R.Oswalt	Astros	60.75	Giants

Simulations for Wednesday, May 16th

Simulations for Wednesday, May 16th. Current prediction record is 48-33.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Cardinals vs Dodgers	K.Wells vs R.Wolf	Dodgers	57.06	Dodgers
Reds vs Padres	B.Arroyo vs J.Peavy	Padres	63.00	Padres
DBacks vs Rockies	B.Webb vs A.Cook	DBacks	56.67	Rockies
Giants vs Astros	N.Lowry vs M.Albers	Astros	60.83	Astros

Simulations for Tuesday, May 15th

Simulations for Tuesday, May 15th. Current prediction record is 45-32.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Cardinals vs Dodgers	A.Wainwright vs D.Lowe	Dodgers	58.38	Dodgers
Reds vs Padres	A.Harang vs D.Wells	Padres	51.72	Reds
DBacks vs Rockies	R.Johnson vs J.Hirsh	DBacks	59.83	DBacks
Giants vs Astros	M.Morris vs W.Williams	Astros	62.16	Astros

Simulations for Monday, May 14th

Simulations for Monday, May 14th. Current prediction record is 43-31.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Cardinals vs Dodgers	B.Thompson vs B.Tomko	Dodgers	59.10	Cardinals
Reds vs Padres	M.Belisle vs G.Maddux	Padres	57.16	Padres
Cubs vs Mets	J.Marquis vs T.Glavine	Mets	54.52	Mets

Simulations for Saturday, May 12th

Simulations for Saturday, May 12th. Current prediction record is 42-30.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Reds vs Dodgers	K.Lohse vs B.Penny	Dodgers	62.11	Dodgers
Cardinals vs Padres	B.Looper vs C.Young	Padres	TBA	Cardinals

Simulations for Friday, May 11th

Simulations for Friday, May 11th. Current prediction record is 40-29.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Reds vs Dodgers	B.Arroyo vs R.Wolf	Dodgers	56.16	Dodgers
Giants vs Rockies	T.Lincecum vs J.Fogg	Rockies	56.33	Giants
Cardinals vs Padres	K.Wells vs J.Peavy	Padres	57.00	Padres

Simulations for Thursday, May 10th

Simulations for Thursday, May 10th. Current prediction record is 38-29.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Marlins	D.Lowe vs S.Mitre	Marlins	51.22	Marlins
Giants vs Rockies	N.Lowry vs A.Cook	Rockies	58.44	Rockies

Simulations for Wednesday, May 9th

Simulations for Wednesday, May 9th. Current prediction record is 36-29.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Marlins	B.Tomko vs D.Willis	Dodgers	53.21	Dodgers
Mets vs Giants	J.Maine vs M.Morris	Mets	54.24	Mets

Simulations for Tuesday, May 8th

Simulations for Tuesday, May 8th. Current prediction record is 35-28.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Marlins	M.Hendrickson vs W.Obermueller	Dodgers	53.44	Marlins
Mets vs Giants	T.Glavine vs M.Cain	Mets	54.78	Mets

Simulations for Monday, May 7th

Simulations for Monday, May 7th. Current prediction record is 34-28.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Marlins	B.Penny vs R.Nolasco	Dodgers	55.00	Dodgers

Simulations for Sunday, May 6th

Simulations for Sunday, May 6th. Current prediction record is 31-28.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Braves	R.Wolf vs K.Davies	Braves	53.77	Braves
Phillies vs Giants	C.Hamels vs T.Lincecum	Phillies	56.72	Phillies
Padres vs Marlins	J.Peavy vs S.Olsen	Padres	51.15	Padres

Simulations for Saturday, May 5th

Simulations for Saturday, May 5th. Current prediction record is 30-24.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Braves	D.Lowe vs T.Hudson	Braves	54.33	Dodgers
Padres vs Marlins	D.Wells vs S.Mitre	Marlins	50.27	Padres
Mets vs DBacks	J.Sosa vs B.Webb	Arizona	55.66	Mets
Philles vs Giants	J.Lieber vs N.Lowry	Phillies	51.28	Giants
Rockies vs Reds	A.Cook vs A.Harang	Rockies	50.11	Rockies

Simulations for Friday, May 4th

Simulations for Friday, May 4th. Current prediction record is 26-23.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Braves	B.Tomko vs J.Smoltz	Braves	55.94	Braves
Padres vs Marlins	G.Maddux vs D.Willis	Marlins	51.55	Marlins
Rockies vs Reds	J.Hirsh vs M.Belisle	Rockies	50.28	Rockies
Mets vs DBacks	J.Maine vs R.Johnson	DBacks	52.94	Mets
Phillies vs Giants	J.Moyer vs M.Morris	Giants	50.44	Giants

Simulations for Thursday, May 3rd

Simulations for Thursday, May 3rd. Current prediction record is 26-22.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Phillies vs Giants	A.Eaton vs M.Cain	Giants	51.94	Phillies

Simulations for Wednesday, May 2nd

Simulations for Wednesday, May 2nd. Current prediction record is 23-22.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
DBacks vs Dodgers	D.Davis vs M.Hendrickson	Dodgers	53.50	Dodgers
Rockies vs Giants	S.Francis vs B.Zito	Giants	66.05	Giants
Nationals vs Padres	M.Chico vs C.Hensley	Padres	63.55	Padres

Simulations for Tuesday, May 1st

Simulations for Tuesday, May 1st. Current prediction record is 21-20.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
DBacks vs Dodgers	L.Hernandez vs B.Penny	Dodgers	61.38	Dodgers
Rockies vs Giants	T.Buchholz vs R.Ortiz	Giants	70.88	Rockies
Nationals vs Padres	S.Hill vs C.Young	Padres	58.22	Padres
Reds vs Astros	B.Arroyo vs M.Albers	Astros	57.94	Reds

Simulations for Monday, April 30th

Simulations for Monday, April 30th. Current prediction record is 18-19.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
DBacks vs Dodgers	B.Webb vs R.Wolf	DBacks	51.11	DBacks
Rockies vs Giants	J.Fogg vs N.Lowry	Giants	53.94	Giants
Nationals vs Padres	J.Patterson vs J.Peavy	Padres	57.72	Nationals
Cardinals vs Brewers	K.Wells vs J.Suppan	Brewers	53.33	Brewers

Simulations for Friday, April 27th

Simulations for Friday, April 27th. Current prediction record is 16-17.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Padres	M.Hendrickson vs C.Hensley	Padres	61.83	Dodgers
Giants vs DBacks	B.Zito vs D.Davis	DBacks	58.83	DBacks
Braves vs Rockies	C.James vs J.Francis	Braves	65.67	Braves
Red Sox vs Yankees	D.Matsuzaka vs A.Pettitte	Yankees	53.62	Red Sox

Simulations for Thursday, April 26th

Simulations for Thursday, April 26th. Current prediction record is 16-14.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Giants vs Dodgers	R.Ortiz vs B.Penny	Dodgers	64.88	Giants
Padres vs DBacks	C.Young vs L.Hernandez	Padres	50.50	DBacks
Blue Jays vs Yankees	A.Burnett vs P.Hughes	Yankees	64.38	Blue Jays

Simulations for Wednesday, April 25th

Simulations for Wednesday, April 25th. Current prediction record is 15-12.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Giants vs Dodgers	N.Lowry vs R.Wolf	Dodgers	53.11	Giants
Padres vs DBacks	J.Peavy vs B.Webb	DBacks	57.16	DBacks
Rockies vs Mets	J.Fogg vs M.Pelfrey	Mets	79.33	Rockies

Simulations for Tuesday, April 24th

Simulations for Tuesday, April 24th. Current prediction record is 14-10.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Giants vs Dodgers	M.Morris vs D.Lowe	Dodgers	64.00	Giants
Padres vs DBacks	D.Wells vs R.Johnson	DBacks	64.72	Padres
Rockies vs Mets	A.Cook vs O.Hernandez	Mets	68.66	Mets

Simulations for Monday, April 23rd

Simulations for Monday, April 23rd. Current prediction record is 13-8.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Braves vs Marlins	K.Davies vs D.Willis	Marlins	50.66	Marlins
Tigers vs Angels	M.Maroth vs J.Weaver	Angels	54.44	Tigers
A's vs Orioles	D.Haren vs E.Bedard	Orioles	52.50	A's

Simulations for Sunday, April 22nd

Simulations for Sunday, April 22nd. Current prediction record is 12-7.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Pirates vs Dodgers	T.Gorzelanny vs B.Tomko	Dodgers	55.78	Pirates
Braves vs Mets	J.Smoltz vs T.Glavine	Braves	53.87	Braves

Simulations for Saturday, April 21st

Simulations for Saturday, April 21st. Current prediction record is 10-4.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Pirates vs Dodgers	I.Snell vs B.Penny	Dodgers	56.27	Dodgers
DBacks vs Giants	E.Gonzalez vs B.Zito	Giants	51.48%	Giants
Padres vs Rockies	C.Hensley vs S.Francis	Rockies	51.27%	Padres
Yankees vs Red Sox	J.Karstens vs J.Beckett	Yankees	51.00%	Red Sox
Astros vs Brewers	W.Rodriguez vs C.Capuano	Astros	50.33%	Brewers

Simulations for Friday, April 20th

Simulations for friday, April 20th. Current prediction record is 7-3.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Pirates vs Dodgers	T.Armas vs R.Wolf	Dodgers	54.54	Dodgers
DBacks vs Giants	D.Davis vs R.Ortiz	DBacks	54.55	Giants
Padres vs Rockies	C.Young vs J.Fogg	Padres	52.44	Padres
Yankees vs Red Sox	A.Pettitte vs C.Schilling	Red Sox	53.84	Red Sox

Simulations for Thursday April 19th

Simulations for Thursday April 19th. Current prediction record is 5-2.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Rockies	M.Hendrickson vs A.Cook	Rockies	57.27	Dodgers
Cardinals vs Giants	K.Wells vs N.Lowry	Giants	53.41	Giants
DBacks vs Padres	L.Hernandez vs J.Peavy	Padres	60.86	Padres

Simulations for Wednesday April 18th

Simulations for Wednesday April 18th. Current prediction record is 3-2.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Rockies	D.Lowe vs R.Lopez	Rockies	50.05	Rockies
DBacks vs Padres	B.Webb vs D.Wells	Tie	50.00	DBacks
Cardinals vs Giants	R.Keisler vs M.Morris	Giants	53.44	Giants

Simulations for Tuesday April 17th

Simulations for Monday April 16th. Current prediction record is 2-0.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks	B.Tomko vs M.Owings	Diamondbacks	52.72	Dodgers
Padres vs Cubs	G.Maddux vs W.Miller	Cubs	53.77	Padres
Giants vs Rockies	M.Cain vs J.Hirsh	Rockies	51.33	Rockies

Simulations for Monday April 16th...

Simulations for Monday April 16th.
Teams Playing	Pitching Matchup	Favored Team	Expected Chance of Winning	Outcome
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks	B.Penny vs E.Gonzalez	Dodgers	50.33	Dodgers
Padres vs Cubs	C.Hensley vs J.Marquis	Cubs	50.72	Cubs

Simulation Madness

2007 Pre-Season Simulation Championship Tournament
each round is best 4 out of 7 games.
1R	2R	QF	SF	Finals	Champion
(16) WAS - 2
	(1) STL - 4
(1) STL - 4
		(1) STL - 3
(9) MIL - 4
	(9) MIL - 1
(8) HOU - 1
			(4) CHN - 4
(13) SF - 0
	(4) CHN - 4
(4) CHN - 4
		(4) CHN - 4
(12) FLA - 4
	(12) FLA - 3
(5) PHI - 2
				(4) CHN - 2
(14) PIT - 4
	(14) PIT - 3
(3) SD - 3
		(11) ATL - 3
(11) ATL - 4
	(11) ATL - 4
(6) ARI - 0
			(2) NYM - 2
(10) CIN - 1
	(7) LAD - 2
(7) LAD - 4
		(2) NYM - 4
(15) COL - 3
	(2) NYM - 4
(2) NYM - 4
					Boston
BYE
	(1) DET - 1
(1) DET
		(9) CLE - 3
(9) CLE - 4
	(9) CLE - 4
(8) LAA - 1
			(4) MIN - 3
(12) BAL - 3
	(5) TOR - 2
(5) TOR - 4
		(4) MIN - 4
(13) TB - 2
	(4) MIN - 3
(4) MIN - 4
				(3) BOS - 4
(11) SEA - 0
	(6) OAK - 3
(6) OAK - 4
		(3) BOS - 4
(14) KC - 3
	(3) BOS - 4
(3) BOS - 4
			(3) BOS - 4
(10) TEX- 2
	(7) CWS - 1
(7) CWS - 4
		(2) NYY - 2
BYE
	(2) NYY - 4
(2) NYY

2007 NL West Overview

All the data is in from my NL West head to head simulations. Each team was pitted against each other, with each pitcher facing each pitcher in a 2500 game simulation. The simulation was not measuring Pitcher A vs Pitcher B, it was measuring Pitcher A + Offese A + Bullpen A vs Pitcher B + Offense B + Bullpen B. My findings are not meant as gospel, they are only meant to provide another data source for predicting how the NL West will finish.

Summary:

San Diego Padres: The Padres dominated the simulations with a rotation that went four deep (Peavy, Young, Maddux and Hensley). Only Brandon Webb and Randy Johnson were able to breakthrough against the foursome. The Padres success came from their pitching, both the starting rotation and the bullpen. The offense was adequate enough for the NL West. The Padres are the favorite to win the NL West.

Arizona Diamondbacks: The youth has thawed out. The Diamondbacks are ready to throw their young guns to the fire. The offense is littered with talent and inexperience. Past his prime, outfielder Luis Gonzalez is pitching his tent at Chavez Ravine. The youth is talented and should be able to hold it's own in the NL West. The acquisition of Randy Johnson and Doug Davis solidify a rotation that was being carried by Cy Young winner Brandon Webb. The Diamondbacks biggest concern has to be their depth, and with Johnson's injury history alot of the team's success will hinge on his health. Webb and Peavy will get most of the aclilades, but a healthy Johnson could prove to be just as good. The Diamondbacks are predicted for a 2nd place tie.

Los Angeles Dodgers: Youth is also on the Dodgers menu, but the regular chef is at home trimming his mustache. Therefore the Dodgers have served up a five course meal of Juan Pierre, an over-ripe Luis Gonzalez, a tender slab of Randy Wolf, two scoops of Nomar with a cherry on top. The Dodgers will benefit from their depth, but will also suffer from the more talented youth that will be blocked for atleast another year (Loney, Kemp and LaRoche). Guo should be in the starting rotation and Billingsley should eventually find his way into the rotation too. The Dodger offense will struggle to score runs but luckily for them the rotation is solid for the most part and the bullpen should have atleast three very good arms. The Dodgers depth should help put the Dodgers on equal footing as the Diamondbacks in the final standings.

San Francisco Giants: Starting pitching should be a wash from last year with the departure of Schmidt and the addition of Zito and Sanchez to the starting rotation. The bullpen was awful last year, and in good news, should regress back towards the mean this year (that is of course if they trade Benitez). The Giants do have some good young arms in their system, wake me up when Tim Lincecum gets called up. A good impression is not what you get from the Giants lineup. When Bonds is healthy the offense is average but when he's not... the Giants better hope for rain. Any finish above fourth place will be a surprise. Last place is more likely than 2nd place.

Colorado Rockies: Fresh new faces at both the top and bottom of the order. This years Rockies are not your grandmothers Rockies. Taveras and Kaz Matsui attempt to match the top of the Dodgers order slap single for slap single. The Rockies offense won't strike fear into many teams and the pitching staff will strike fear into those sitting in the left field bleachers. The Rockies jettisonned one of their best starting pitchers in Jeff Francis to the Houston Astros, in a deal that will have short term woes but long term gains (Hirsh). The Rockies shouldn't be much of a factor in the NL West in 2007. They should have solid ownership of the NL West cellar for most of the season. Well, maybe they are your grandmothers Rockies afterall.

ZIPS Simulation: Giants vs Rockies

Each pitching matchup simulated 2500 times. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column. Half of the games played at home, half on the road. This simulation is a measure of Pitcher A + Offense A + Bullpen A vs Pitcher B + Offense B + Bullpen B, not just Pitcher A vs Pitcher B.
Giants vs Rockies
Pitcher	Cook	Francis	Fogg	Kim	Lopez
Cain	.605	.593	.663	.627	.658
Zito	.577	.597	.646	.636	.662
Lowry	.568	.578	.631	.586	.633
Morris	.561	.556	.588	.573	.611
Sanchez	.544	.566	.638	.583	.621

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Giants	0	3	6	3	7	5	1	0
Rockies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

ZIPS Simulation: Diamondbacks vs Rockies

Each pitching matchup simulated 2500 times. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column. Half of the games played at home, half on the road. This simulation is a measure of Pitcher A + Offense A + Bullpen A vs Pitcher B + Offense B + Bullpen B, not just Pitcher A vs Pitcher B.
Diamondbacks vs Rockies
Pitcher	Cook	Francis	Fogg	Kim	Lopez
Webb	.626	.663	.701	.656	.709
Johnson	.624	.653	.675	.651	.712
Hernandez	.582	.553	.659	.585	.637
Davis	.613	.646	.687	.658	.693
Ed.Gonzalez	.499	.572	.583	.568	.583

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Diamondbacks	5	7	3	2	4	3	0	0
Rockies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

ZIPS Simulation: Padres vs Dodgers

Each pitching matchup is game simulated 2500 times, using input stats from ZIPS. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column. These simulations are meant to measure Pitcher A + Offense A + Bullpen A vs Pitcher B + Offense B + Bullpen B. Not just Pitcher A vs Pitcher B.
Padres vs Dodgers
Pitcher	Schmidt	Lowe	Penny	Wolf	Billingsley	Guo
Peavy	.550	.536	.563	.592	.607	.554
Young	.519	.502	.535	.578	.572	.541
Maddux	.524	.509	.540	.573	.569	.526
Hensley	.518	.528	.518	.548	.548	.527
Wells	.487	.473	.476	.524	.528	.490

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Padres	0	0	0	1	2	5	11	7
Dodgers	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3

ZIPS Simulation: Padres vs Diamondbacks

Each pitching matchup simulated 2500 times. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column. The sim is not measuring Pitcher A vs Pitcher B, it is measuring (Pitcher A + Offense A + Bullpen A) vs (Pitcher B + Offense B + Bullpen B).
Padres vs Diamondbacks
Pitcher	Webb	Johnson	Hernandez	Davis	Ed.Gonzalez
Peavy	.531	.535	.620	.572	.606
Young	.490	.465	.592	.524	.566
Maddux	.506	.502	.591	.546	.581
Hensley	.508	.484	.580	.535	.584
Wells	.435	.445	.538	.512	.547

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Padres	0	0	0	2	5	2	6	5
Diamondbacks	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2

ZIPS Simulation: Giants vs Dodgers

Each pitching matchup is game simulated 2500 times, using input stats from ZIPS. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column. Think of this as Pitcher A + Offense A vs Pitcher B + Offense B, not Pitcher A vs Pitcher B.
Dodgers vs Giants
Pitcher	Cain	Zito	Lowry	Morris	Sanchez
Schmidt	.560	.565	.568	.581	.587
Lowe	.570	.583	.564	.563	.593
Penny	.560	.539	.574	.575	.582
Wolf	.532	.527	.525	.529	.560
Billingsley	.512	.527	.524	.527	.549
Guo	.534	.547	.539	.562	.586

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Dodgers	0	0	0	0	6	11	10	3
Giants	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

ZIPS Simulation: Diamondbacks vs Giants

Each pitching matchup simulated 2500 times. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column.
Diamondbacks vs Giants
Pitcher	Cain	Zito	Lowry	Morris	Sanchez
Webb	.603	.605	.597	.621	.626
Johnson	.597	.598	.624	.636	.632
Hernandez	.530	.531	.543	.529	.568
Davis	.560	.540	.570	.563	.595
Ed.Gonzalez	.542	.520	.520	.518	.585

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Diamondbacks	0	0	3	4	5	4	6	3
Giants	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

ZIPS Simulation: Padres vs Rockies

Each pitching matchup simulated 2500 times. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column. Half of the games played at home, half on the road.
Padres vs Rockies
Pitcher	Cook	Francis	Fogg	Kim	Lopez
Peavy	.660	.651	.728	.676	.711
Young	.617	.631	.703	.651	.719
Maddux	.591	.593	.650	.584	.659
Hensley	.632	.646	.697	.678	.715
Wells	.515	.516	.618	.536	.608

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Padres	8	4	4	3	3	0	1	2
Rockies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

ZIPS Simulation: DBacks vs Dodgers

Each pitching matchup is game simulated 2500 times, using input stats from ZIPS. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers
Pitcher	Schmidt	Lowe	Penny	Wolf	Billingsley	Guo
Webb	.551	.517	.540	.563	.563	.536
Johnson	.552	.549	.534	.580	.556	.537
Hernandez	.450	.447	.466	.522	.470	.445
Davis	.487	.495	.479	.549	.534	.486
Gonzalez	.444	.462	.455	.484	.489	.440

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Diamondbacks	0	0	0	0	1	5	7	2
Dodgers	0	0	0	0	0	4	5	6

ZIPS Simulation: Padres vs Giants

Each pitching matchup simulated 2500 times. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column.
Padres vs Giants
Pitcher	Cain	Zito	Lowry	Morris	Sanchez
Peavy	.633	.634	.644	.650	.675
Young	.613	.614	.614	.616	.621
Maddux	.592	.595	.597	.606	.624
Hensley	.580	.598	.587	.591	.622
Wells	.549	.550	.556	.571	.593

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Padres	0	1	4	8	8	2	2	0
Giants	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

ZIPS Simulation: Rockies vs Dodgers

Each pitching matchup simulated 2500 times. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column.
Rockies vs Dodgers
Pitcher	Cook	Francis	Fogg	Kim	Lopez
Schmidt	.645	.652	.687	.682	.697
Lowe	.593	.613	.639	.616	.648
Penny	.614	.621	.660	.614	.654
Wolf	.569	.593	.617	.604	.629
Billingsley	.602	.604	.661	.610	.665
Guo	.622	.637	.679	.668	.692

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Rockies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Dodgers	5	6	5	11	2	1	0	0

Current project

I am currently using my baseball simulator program to project win expectancy for every NL West starting pitching matchup using ZIPS for player projections and RotoTimes for most likely lineups, starting rotations and bullpens. Each pitching matchup is game simulated 2500 times. Each team plays half of it's games at home and half of it's games on the road. I will be posting the results on a team vs team basis. I will begin posting results the last week of January. vr, Xeifrank

World Series Game 5: Detroit vs St Louis

Game 5: Justin Verlander vs Jeff Weaver
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Detroit	3.503	45.2%	.4863
St Louis	3.6	55.8%	.5137
Slight Advantage: Cardinals

World Series Game 4: Detroit vs St Louis

Game 4: Jeremy Bonderman vs Jeff Suppan
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Detroit	3.468	46.5%	.5045
St Louis	3.437	53.5%	.4955
Slight Advantage: Tigers (Toss Up)

World Series Game 3: Detroit vs St Louis

Game 3: Nate Robertson vs Chris Carpenter
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Detroit	3.01	37.8%	.3899
St Louis	3.77	62.6%	.6101
Advantage: Cardinals

World Series Game 2: St Louis vs Detroit

Game 2: Jeff Weaver vs Kenny Rogers
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
St Louis	5.188	62.6%	.6523
Detroit	3.788	37.4%	.3477
Big Advantage: Cardinals

World Series Game 1: St Louis vs Detroit

Game 1: Anthony Reyes vs Justin Verlander
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
St Louis	4.622	52.8%	.5568
Detroit	4.124	47.2%	.4432
Advantage: Cardinals

NLCS Game 7: St Louis vs New York

Game 7: Jeff Suppan vs Oliver Perez
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
St Louis	5.27	51.1%	.556
New York	4.71	48.9%	.444
Advantage: Cardinals

NLCS Game 6: Carpenter vs Maine

Game 6: Carpenter vs Maine
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
St Louis	4.40	49.2%	.529
New York	4.16	50.8%	.471
Slight Advantage: Cardinals

NLCS Game 5: New York vs St Louis

Game 5 Glavine vs Weaver
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
New York	5.27	53.3%	.582
St Louis	4.67	46.7%	.418
Advantage: Mets

NLCS Game 4: New York vs St Louis

Game 4 Perez vs Reyes
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
New York	4.5	40%	.475
St Louis	4.73	60%	.525
Slight Advantage: Cardinals

NLCS Game 2: St Louis vs New York

Game 2: Carpenter vs Maine
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
St Louis	4.36	43.3%	.474
New York	4.6	56.6%	.526
Slight Advantage: Mets

ALCS Game 3: Oakland vs Detroit

Game 3: Harden vs Rogers
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Oakland	3.93	46.7	.483
Detroit	4.07	53.3%	.517
Slight Advantage: Detroit

ALCS Game 2: Detroit vs Oakland

Game 2: Verlander vs Loaiza
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Detroit	4.28	44%	.455
Oakland	4.68	56%	.545
Slight Advantage: A's

NLCS Game 1: St Louis vs New York

Game 1: Weaver vs Glavine
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
St Louis	5.78	46%	.518
New York	5.58	54%	.482
Slight Advantage: Cardinals

ALCS Game 1: Detroit vs Oakland

Game 1: Robertson vs Zito
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Detroit	4.58	52%	.536
Oakland	4.26	48%	.464
Slight Advantage: Tigers

Game 4: San Diego vs St Louis

Game 4: Williams vs Carpenter
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
San Diego	4.16	56%	.561
St Louis	3.68	44%	.439
Advantage: Padres

Game 4: New York vs Detroit

Game 4: Wright vs Bonderman
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
New York	7.20	64%	.707
Detroit	4.64	36%	.293
Big Advantage: Yankees

Game 3: San Diego vs St Louis

Game 3: Young vs Suppan
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
San Diego	5.40	72%	.726
St Louis	3.32	28%	.274
Big Advantage: Padres

Game 3: New York vs Detroit

Game 3: Johnson vs Rogers
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
New York	7.75	72.5%	.698
Detroit	5.10	27.5%	.302
Big Advantage: Yankees

Game 3: New York vs Los Angeles

Game 3: Trachsel vs Maddux
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
New York	5.16	60%	.601
Los Angeles	4.20	40%	.399
Advantage: Mets

Note: Sim ran again after Nomar injury was reported.

Game 3: Minnesota vs Oakland

Game 3: Radke vs Haren
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Minnesota	4.80	52%	.526
Oakland	4.56	48%	.474
Slight Advantage: Twins

St Louis vs San Diego

Game 1: Carpenter vs Peavy
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
St Louis	4.88	64%	.643
San Diego	3.64	36%	.357
Advantage: Cardinals
Game 2: Weaver vs Wells
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
St Louis	5.24	52%	.548
San Diego	4.76	48%	.452
Advantage: Cardinals
Outcomes		Odds
Cardinals lead 2-0		35.2%
Series tied 1-1		48.7%
Padres lead 2-0		16.1%

Detroit vs New York

Game 1: Robertson vs Wang
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Detroit	5.32	52%	.440
New York	6.0	48%	.560
Advantage: Yankees
Game 2: Verlander vs Mussina
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Detroit	4.32	40%	.366
New York	5.68	60%	.634
Advantage: Yankees
Outcomes		Odds
Yankees lead 2-0		35.5%
Series tied 1-1		48.4%
Tigers lead 2-0		16.1%

Los Angeles vs New York

Game 1: Lowe vs Maine
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Los Angeles	4.12	40%	.420
New York	4.84	60%	.580
Advantage: Mets
Game 2: Guo vs Glavine
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Los Angeles	5.64	44%	.518
New York	5.44	56%	.482
Slight Advantage: Dodgers
Outcomes		Odds
Mets lead 2-0		28.0%
Series tied 1-1		50.2%
Dodgers lead 2-0		21.8%

Oakland vs Minnesota

Game 1: Zito vs Santana
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Oakland	5.24	56%	.508
Minnesota	5.16	44%	.492
Slight Advantage: A's
Game 2: Loaiza vs Boonser
Team	Average Runs	% Games won	Pyth.
Oakland	4.8	44%	.526
Minnesota	4.56	56%	.474
Slight Advantage: A's
Outcomes		Odds
A's lead 2-0		30.5%
Series tied 1-1		46.2%
Twins lead 2-0		23.3%

2006 Playoff Sims

I will be using the baseball game simulator program that I wrote to simulate playoff game outcomes. I will run a sample size of 25 (now up to 1,000 games for the World Series) games for each game. I will run the first two games of each series, then I will simulate each remaining game the day of or the night before that game is to be played. How does the software work? A text file of hitting and pitching stats is used to determine the likeliehood of each at bat outcome. Hitting outcomes are determined on an at-bat by at-bat basis and not a pitch by pitch basis. The software uses a random number generator to determine if the batter gets on base. If his OBP is .400 and the random number is less than .400 then he gets on base. Once he is on base then this same random number is used to determine what kind of hit it is, or if it is a walk based on single, double, triple, HR and walk rates. A constant vs LHP vs RHP split is used to account for lefty pitcher vs lefty hitter type of situations. Good pitchers are given an advantage over bad pitchers in that they begin the game with a number that is subtracted off of the hitters OBP/batting average etc... This number is decreased for each batter the pitcher faces, thus simulating a pitcher getting tired the more pitches he throws. Artificial intelligence algorithms determine when to steal, sac bunt, pinch hit, bring in a new pitcher or throw a beach ball onto the field. Lineups and pitching matchups are selectable and there is an option for using a DH instead of having the pitcher bat, for American League simulated games. This is all I can think of as far as a description goes for now. If you have any questions, please send them to: xeifrank@yahoo.com vr, Xei

Simulated Game: 7/2 ... Dodgers vs Angels

Dodgers: 0-4-0
Angels.: 1-7-0

Dodgers: 0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0
.Angels: 0-0-0-0-0-0-0-1-X

What a difference a day makes! This time the Dodgers were on the losing end of a CG shutout. J.Lackey was sharp in only allowing Dodger hitters 4 hits while striking out 8 batters. The games only run came on an RBI single by G.Anderson which netted O.Cabrera. The Dodgers staged a brief rally in the 9th inning, when R.Martin got a 2 out walk followed by a pinch hit double by O.Saenz that moved Martin to third base. Shortstop R.Furcal then ended the game by grounding out to 2nd.
WP: J.Lackey
LP: J.Broxton

HR: None
Dodgers Team OPS: 0.432
.Angels Team OPS: 0.747

Simulated Game: 7/1 ... Dodgers vs Angels

Dodgers: 13-16-0
Angels.: 0-9-0

Dodgers: 4-0-1-3-0-2-0-2-1
.Angels: 0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0

Dodger bats got healthy, victimizing the struggling K.Escobar for 8 earned runs in 3+ innings. The big blows were a first inning three run homer by M.Kemp and a 2 run shot by J.Kent in the 4th inning. The newly acquired M.Hendrickson scattered 9 hits, forcing Angels hitters to hit into 3 double plays, while going the distance. Nomar Garciappara had four hits, scored 4 runs and drove in three.
WP: M.Hendrickson
LP: K.Escobar

HR: M.Kemp, J.Kent
Dodgers Team OPS: 1.125
Angels Team OPS: 0.697

Simulated Game: 6/30 ... Dodgers vs Angels

Dodgers: 5-13-0
Angels.: 6-11-0

Dodgers: 2-0-0-0-2-0-1-0-0
.Angels: 0-3-1-0-0-1-1-0-X

The Dodgers got off to a quick start as JD Drew drove in two runs in the first inning. The game see-sawed back and forth. K.Morales clubbed a 3-Run HR in the 2nd inning and V.Guerrero doubled home the go-ahead run in the bottom of the 7th inning.
WP: B.Donnelly
LP: D.Baez
Save: F.Rodriguez
HR: K.Morales
Dodgers Team OPS: 0.852
Angels Team OPS: 0.838

Simulated Game: 6/28 ... Dodgers vs Twins

Dodgers: 4-9-0
Twins..: 3-10-0

Dodgers: 1-0-0-0-0-0-1-1-0-1
Twins..: 1-0-0-1-0-0-0-1-0-0

Odalis Perez held his own against J.Santana and the Dodgers were able to break through against the Twins bullpen to win in 10 innings. R.Furcal went 4 for 5 with three singles and a home run to lead off the game with. N.Punto and J.Mauer both went 3 for 5 for the Twins in a losing cause.
WP: J.Broxton
LP: W.Eyre
Save: T.Saito
HR: R.Furcal, J.Cruz
Dodger Team OPS: 0.684
.Twins Team OPS: 0.658

Simulated Game: 6/27 ... Dodgers vs Twins

Dodgers: 5-15-0
Twins..: 3-5-0

Dodgers: 1-1-0-0-0-0-0-1-2
Twins..: 0-0-0-1-0-1-0-0-1

The Dodgers pounded out 13 singles and 2 doubles and were able to score late in beating the Twins 5-3. J.Cruz went 3 for 5 with 3 singles and JD Drew went 3 for 5 with 2 singles and a double. The Twins managed only 5 hits. D.Lowe went 7 strong innings for the win. Liriano struck out 4 but walked 5 in only 4+ innings of work.
WP: D.Lowe
LP: W.Eyre
Hold: J.Broxton Save: T.Saito
HR: M.Cuddyer
Dodger Team OPS: 0.878
.Twins Team OPS: 0.585

Simulated Game... 6/26... Dodgers vs Twins

Dodgers: 10-16-0
Twins..: 0-3-0

Dodgers: 0-0-1-4-1-0-0-3-1
Twins..: 0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0-0

Chad Billingsley scattered three hits over 7 innings and the Dodgers offense lit up Carlos Silva. Catcher R.Martin went 3 for 5 with a home run and 4 RBIs. C.Izturis chipped in with 3 singles and 2 RBIs.
WP: Chad Billingsley
LP: Carlos Silva

HR: R.Martin. Dodger Team OPS: 0.925 Twins Team OPS: 0.267

Simulated Game: 6/23... Pirates vs Dodgers

Pirates: 6-8-0
Dodgers: 4-9-0

Pirates: 0-1-0-1-0-4-0-0-0
Dodgers: 2-0-0-0-0-2-0-0-0

The Dodgers got out to an early 2-0 lead on RBI singles by Lofton and Garciappara. The Pirates clawed their way back and evened the score on a solo HR by Jason Bay. The big blow came in the top of the 6th when Tomko (left in to pitch) surrendered a 3 run HR to Jose Castillo. The Dodgers rallied for two runs in the bottom of the inning but the rally was cut short when Furcal was thrown out trying to steal. Oliver Perez pitched 5 innings and picked up the win. Mike Gonzalez got the save.
WP: Oliver Perez
LP: Brett Tomko
SV: Mike Gonzalez

HR: Garciappara, Bay, Castillo

Series #17

Rockies vs NC Dodgers

Pitching Matchup

Results

Game 1

B.Kim vs J.Seo

NC Dodgers win 8-1

Game summary: >JD Drew went 4 for 5, scored three runs, drove in 3 runs and DJ Houlton pitched a CG 5-hitter. .
Game 2

S.Kim vs B.Tomko

NC Dodgers win 10-3

Game summary: R.Furcal had a single, double and a triple. K.Lofton had a single, double and a grand slam HR as the Dodger top of the order walloped the Rockies pitchers. .
Game 3

J.Jennings vs B.Penny

Rockies win 3-2

Game summary: Matt Holiday hit a 3-run HR and J.Jennings quieted down the Dodgers bats. .
.
PD Dodgers vs Padres

Pitching Matchup

Results

Game 1

O.Perez vs S.Estes

PD Dodgers win 3-0, 10inn.

Game summary: Antonio Perez's 3-Run HR in the top of the 10th was the difference maker. .
Game 2

D.Houlton vs C.Park

Padres win 5-4, 10 inn.

Game summary: The Padres scored two in the bottom of the 9th to tie and then one in the 10th to win. J.Drew hit a 3-Run HR in the losing cause. .
Game 3

B.Penny vs J.Peavy

Padres win 3-2

Game summary: The big blow came on a 2-Run HR by R.Klesko in the 6th. .
.
DBacks vs Giants

Pitching Matchups

Results

Game 1

B.Halsey vs M.Cain

Giants win 3-2

Game summary: Barry Bonds slugged a 2-Run HR in the bottom of the 8th to beat the DBacks. .
Game 2

M.Batista vs B.Hennessey

Giants win 5-3

Game summary: The Giants came from behind getting a solor HR from R.Durham and a 3-Run double from Barry Bonds. .
Game 3

B.Webb vs J.Schmidt

Giants win 10-9

Game summary: P.Feliz had a grandslam and L.Niekro had a 3-Run HR. T.Clark hit two HRs in a losing cause.

NL West Standings

Standings
Team	W	L	GB	Streak
PD Dodgers	32	19	_	Lost 1
Giants	28	23	4	Won 9
DBacks	27	24	5	Lost1
NC Dodgers	25	26	7	Lost 1
Padres	24	27	8	Won 2
Rockies	17	34	15	Lost 1

Series #16

Padres vs NC Dodgers

Pitching Matchup

Results

Game 1

J.Peavy vs B.Penny

NC Dodgers win 4-3, 10inn.

Game summary: The NC Dodgers scored 2 in the bottom of the 10th to win. Drew and Cruz both hit solo HRs. Piazza's go ahead solo shot in the top of the 10th was all for naught. .
Game 2

C.Young vs D.Lowe

Padres win 4-0

Game summary: Chris Young scattered 6 hits, all of them singles in shutting down the NC Dodger offense. M.Cameron had a single and walked twice for the Pads. .
Game 3

W.Williams vs O.Perez

Padres win 4-2

Game summary: M.Cameron hit a two run HR and W.Williams pitched 7 strong innins. .
.
Rockies vs Giants

Pitching Matchup

Results

Game 1

J.Jennings vs J.Schmidt

Giants win 2-1, 10inn.

Game summary: B.Bonds singled, doubled and hit a HR in the Giants exciting come from behind win. The Giants scored one in the bottom of the 9th to tie and one in the 10th to win. .
Game 2

J.Francis vs N.Lowry

Giants win 4-2

Game summary: Ray Durham drove in 3 runs and B.Bonds did not hit a HR. .
Game 3

A.Cook vs M.Morris

Giants win 6-5

Game summary: The Rockies bullpen blew a 4 run lead. M.Alou's 3 run HR in the bottom of the 8th pulled the Giants to within one run and R.Durham's 2 run walkoff ended the game. .
.
PD Dodgers vs DBacks

Pitching Matchups

Results

Game 1

B.Penny vs B.Webb

DBacks win 9-0

Game summary: B.Webb pitched a 6-hit shutout and T.Clark contributed with a 2-run HR. .
Game 2

D.Lowe vs O.Hernandez

DBacks win 10-3

Game summary: S.Green doubled and homered as the DBacks bats pummelled Dodger pitching for the second game in a row. .
Game 3

J.Weaver vs R.Ortiz

DBacks win 1-0

Game summary: R.Ortiz pitched a 3-hit shutout and J.Estrada had 3 hits.

Series #15

NC Dodgers vs Padres

Pitching Matchup

Results

Game 1

O.Perez vs W.Williams

NC Dodgers win 4-1

Game summary: Bill Mueller went 3 for 3 with 2 singles, 1 double, 1 walk and drove in three runs. JD Drew chipped in with a solo HR and O.Perez kept the Padre bats silent. .
Game 2

J.Seo vs S.Estes

NC Dodgers win 7-3

Game summary: J.Cruz drove in 2 runs, K.Lofton had a double and a triple. M.Cameron, M.Piazza and K.Greene all hit solo HRs in a losing cause. .
Game 3

B.Tomko vs C.Park

Padres win 4-2

Game summary: R.Klesko hit a 2-run HR and B.Giles went 4 for 4 as the Dodgers had trouble with the arm angles of C.Park. .
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Giants vs Rockies

Pitching Matchup

Results

Game 1

M.Morris vs A.Cook

Giants win 2-0

Game summary: R.Winn led off the game with a HR. B.Bonds added another solo HR in the 8th inning. M.Morris sparkled on the mound, hurling a 3-hit shutout. .
Game 2

M.Cain vs B.Kim

Giants win 6-5

Game summary: B.Bonds clubbed 2 more HRs and the Giants held off the late charging Rockies. .
Game 3

B.Hennessey vs S.Kim

Giants win 4-2

Game summary: B.Bonds hit yet another HR and drove in 3 runs as the Giants completed a three game sweep of the Rockies. .
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DBacks vs PD Dodgers

Pitching Matchups

Results

Game 1

R.Ortiz vs J.Weaver

PD Dodgers win 9-1

Game summary: JD Drew had a HR and drove in 4 runs while J.Weaver scattered 9 hits and only allowed one run in pitching a complete game. .
Game 2

B.Halsey vs O.Perez

PD Dodgers win 8-4

Game summary: H.Choi and O.Robles each hit 3-run HRs, offsetting the 2 HRs from T.Clark and the Dodgers made it 30 hits in the last two games. .
Game 3

M.Batista vs D.Houlton

PD Dodgers win 3-2, 13inn.

Game summary: T.Clark hit 2 more HRs, but it was not enough as the PD Dodgers continue to make mence meat out of the NL West competition.

Series #13

DBacks vs NC Dodgers

Pitching Matchup

Results

Game 1

O.Hernandez vs D.Lowe

DBacks win 5-2

Game summary: C.Tracy and E.Byrnes each hit solo HRs. .
Game 2

R.Ortiz vs O.Perez

DBacks win 11-5

Game summary: T.Clark belted a 3-Run HR and S.Green slugged a 2-Run HR as Arizona laid waste to Odalis Perez. .
Game 3

B.Halsey vs J.Seo

NC Dodgers win 4-2

Game summary: N.Garciaparra drove in 2 runs, scored 2 runs and closer E.Gagne shut the door in the 9th inning. .
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Giants vs PD Dodgers

Pitching Matchup

TBA

N.Lowry vs D.Lowe

PD Dodgers win 4-0

Game summary: J.Cruz drove in 2 runs, A.Perez had 2 hits and D.Lowe blanked the Giants on 7 hits. .

M.Morris vs J.Weaver

PD Dodgers win 5-3

Game summary: J.Kent hit a 3-Run HR in the first inning and J.Weaver took a shutout into the 9th inning. .

M.Cain vs O.Perez

PD Dodgers win 6-5

Game summary: M.Bradley reached base four times and H.Choi hit a 2-Run HR and scored three runs. .
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Rockies vs Padres

Pitching Matchup

Results

J.Francis vs C.Young

Padres win 3-1

Game summary: D.Roberts had 2 singles and a solo HR, offsetting the perfect 4 for 4 performance from T.Helton and 3 for 4 performance from C.Sullivan. .

A.Cook vs W.Williams

Rockies win 4-3

Game summary: C.Barmes went 5 for 5 with 3 singles, a double and a 2-Run HR leading the Rockies to victory. .

B.Kim vs S.Estes

Padres win 4-1

Game summary: K.Greene had a double and a 2-Run HR, M.Cameron chipped in with a solo HR, S.Estes gave up 1 run and scattered 5 hits over 7-2/3 innings and S.Linebrink got the final four outs and recorded the save.

Series #12

NC Dodgers vs Giants

Pitching Matchup

Results

Game 1

J.Seo vs M.Cain

Giants win 8-7, 10inn

Game summary: The Dodgers clawed there way back from an early 7-0 victory only to lose it in 10 innings. R.Winn, B.Bonds and L.Niekro all hit HRs for the Giants. .
Game 2

B.Tomko vs B.Hennessey

NC Dodgers win 2-1

Game summary: J.Drew hit what turned out to be the game winning HR in the top of the 9th. .
Game 3

B.Penny vs J.Schmidt

NC Dodgers win 6-1

Game summary: J.Cruz hit 3 doubles, R.Furcal went yard and B.Penny pitched a brilliant 8 innings. .
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DBacks vs Padres

Pitching Matchup

TBA

B.Halsey vs S.Estes

Padres win 4-3

Game summary: B.Giles' two run HR was the difference maker, and K.Greene had two doubles as the Padres made the most of their 6 hits. .

M.Batista vs C.Park

Padres win 4-3

Game summary: R.Klesko and M.Piazza hit back to back HRs in the bottom of the 9th to win the game. .

B.Webb vs J.Peavy

DBacks win 2-1

Game summary: A brilliant pitching duel between B.Webb and J.Peavy came down to the BB, as E.Byrnes scored both of the DBacks runs without getting a hit. .
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PD Dodgers vs Rockies

Pitching Matchup

Results

O.Perez vs B.Kim

PD Dodgers win 5-3

Game summary: J.Cruz had a single and three doubles, and H.Choi pitched in with a single and two walks. .

D.Houlton vs S.Kim

Rockies win 4-3, 12inn.

Game summary: G.Atkins hit a HR and drove in all four Rockies runs. .

B.Penny vs J.Jennings

PD Dodgers win 2-1

Game summary: The Dodgers outhit the Rockies 5-4. M.Bradley hit a solo HR in the first inning and J.Drew had two hits.

Series #11

NC Dodgers vs Padres

Pitching Matchup

Results

Game 1

B.Penny vs J.Peavy

Padres win 6-1

Game summary: R.Klesko and K.Greene each slugged two run HRs and J.Peavy held the Dodgers to 6 hits. .
Game 2

D.Lowe vs C.Young

Padres win 4-2

Game summary: D.Roberts tripled and homered, D.Navarro and K.Lofton each had three hits to no avail. .
Game 3

O.Perez vs W.Williams

NC Dodgers win 5-3

Game summary: K.Lofton and J.Cruz each had three hits to offset a 2-HR performance by B.Giles, as the Dodgers salvaged the third game of the series. .
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Giants vs Rockies

Pitching Matchup

TBA

J.Schmidt vs J.Jennings

Giants win 3-2

Game summary: R.Winn pounded out three hits, L.Niekro added a solo HR and J.Schmidt held the Rockies to only four hits. .

N.Lowry vs J.Francis

Giants win 5-1

Game summary: O.Vizquel, B.Bonds and M.Alou each went yard and N.Lowry held the Rockies to only one run. .

M.Morris vs A.Cook

Rockies win 1-0

Game summary: The Rockies scrapped for a first inning run and A.Cook made it hold up, blanking the Giants on 3 hits. .
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DBacks vs PD Dodgers

Pitching Matchup

Results

B.Webb vs B.Penny

PD Dodgers win 3-2, 13inn.

Game summary: The Dodgers scored one in the bottom of the 9th to tie the game and then one in the 13th to end a thrilling game. .

O.Hernandez vs D.Lowe

DBacks win 8-7

Game summary: The Dodgers rallied back from a 7-1 deficit, only to see the DBacks score one in the top of the 9th to win the game. J.Drew and H.Choi each drove in three runs for the Dodgers. J.Estrada and E.Byrnes each had four hits for the DBacks. .

R.Ortiz vs J.Weaver

PD Dodgers win 12-6

Game summary: The Dodgers scored 9 runs in the first two innings and never looked back. H.Choi, M.Bradley and D.Navarro each slugged HRs, Navarro's was a first inning grand slam. The Dodgers took over first place in the standings.

Series #10

Padres vs NC Dodgers

Pitching Matchup

Results

W.Williams vs O.Perez

NC Dodgers win 11-3

Game summary: Kenny Lofton went 4 for 5 and scored 3 runs.

S.Estes vs J.Seo

NC Dodgers win 3-2

Game summary: Jose CruzJr went 2 for 4 and scored 2 runs, meanwhile J.Seo took a shutout into the 9th inning and was bailed out by closer E.Gagne.

C.Park vs B.Tomko

Padres win 10-4

Game summary: M.Bellhorn had 3 hits, R.Klesko drove in 3 runs and the Padres knocked B.Tomko out in the 1st inning. C.Park pitched a CG. .
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Rockies vs Giants

Pitching Matchup

Results

A.Cook vs M.Morris

Rockies win 8-3

Game summary: C.Barmes banged out 4 hits, including a HR and M.Holliday also went deep.
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B.Kim vs M.Cain

Giants win 5-4

Game summary: Both M.Alou and M.Matheny each went 3 for 4. Closer A.Benitez had to come put out a fire in the 9th after a 3 run HR by M.Holliday made it a 1 run game.
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S.Kim vs B.Hennessey

Giants win 3-1

Game summary: B.Bonds' 2 run HR in the first inning proved to be the difference.
.
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PD Dodgers vs DBacks

Pitching Matchup

Results

J.Weaver vs R.Ortiz

DBacks win 7-3

Game summary: Leadoff man C.Counsell reached base four times, and S.Green's grand slam in the 5th inning iced the game.
.

O.Perez vs B.Halsey

PD Dodgers win 6-1

Game summary: J.Drew went 3 for 4 and O.Perez pitched a solid 8+ innings.
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D.Houlton vs M.Batista

PD Dodgers win 6-1

Game summary: H.Choi had 2 walks, 2 doubles and 2 RBIs, D.Houlton limited the DBacks to only 5 hits, as the PD Dodgers caught up to the DBacks in the standings.

Series #9

Choi goes 3 for 5, with 2 HRs

Giants vs NC Dodgers
Pitching Matchup	Results	Game MVP
B.Hennessey vs B.Tomko	Giants win 5-4	R.Durham
The Giants scored 5 runs in the top of the first. The big blow coming on a two run homerun by Ray Durham. The Giants then held on to win by one run.
J.Schmidt vs B.Penny	Giants win 3-1	L.Niekro
Niekro and Bonds both hit solo HRs. The Dodgers had 10 singles and a PH double by H.Choi.
N.Lowry vs D.Lowe	NC Dodgers win 2-1	D.Lowe
B.Mueller wins the game with a walkoff HR.
Padres vs DBacks
C.Park vs M.Batista	DBacks win 7-0	M.Batista
C.Tracy went 3 for 4 with a HR and 5 RBIs.
J.Peavy vs B.Webb	DBacks win 7-2	C.Counsell
C.Counsell hits two solo HRs. DBacks win 12th straight!
C.Young vs O.Hernandez	Padres win 2-0, 11inn	R.Klesko
R.Klesko hits a 2 run HR in the 11th to win it.
Rockies vs PD Dodgers
S.Kim vs D.Houlton	PD Dodgers win 9-1	H.Choi
J.Jennings vs B.Penny	Rockies win 5-1	J.Jennings
Atkins and Torrealba each go 3 for 4.
J.Francis vs D.Lowe	PD Dodgers win 6-1	J.Kent
J.Kent goes 2 for 3 with 3 runs, Cruz goes 3 for 4

Series #8

NC Dodgers vs DBacks
Pitching Matchup	Results	Game MVP
D.Lowe vs O.Hernandez	DBacks win 7-2	C.Tracy
O.Perez vs R.Ortiz	DBacks win 8-4	L.Gonzalez
J.Seo vs B.Halsey	DBacks win 7-6	E.Byrnes
PD Dodgers vs Giants
D.Lowe vs N.Lowry	Giants win 5-4	R.Durham
J.Weaver vs M.Morris	PD Dodgers win 16-3	J.Kent
O.Perez vs M.Cain	Giants win 7-4	L.Niekro
Padres vs Rockies
C.Young vs J.Francis	Padres win 2-1	V.Castilla
W.Williams vs A.Cook	Padres win 4-3	B.Giles
S.Estes vs B.Kim	Padres win 5-4	B.Giles

Series #7

NC Dodgers vs PD Dodgers
Pitching Matchup	Results	Game MVP
J.Seo vs O.Perez	PD Dodgers win 10-3	J.Drew
B.Tomko vs D.Houlton	PD Dodgers win 2-1	A.Perez
B.Penny vs B.Penny	PD Dodgers win 2-1	H.Choi
DBacks vs Rockies
B.Halsey vs B.Kim	DBacks win 3-1	B.Halsey
M.Batista vs S.Kim	DBacks win 5-3	J.Estrada
B.Webb vs J.Jennings	DBacks win 6-4	J.Estrada
Giants vs Padres
M.Cain vs S.Estes	Giants win 3-2	M.Matheny
B.Hennessey vs C.Park	Giants win 3-2	M.Matheny
J.Schmidt vs J.Peavy	Padres win 6-4	B.Giles

Series #6

Rockies vs NC Dodgers
Pitching Matchup	Results	Game MVP
J.Jennings vs B.Penny	NC Dodgers win 4-3	J.Drew
J.Francis vs D.Lowe	Rockies win 3-0	J.Francis
A.Cook vs O.Perez	Rockies win 3-2	B.Hawpe
PD Dodgers vs Padres
B.Penny vs J.Peavy	PD Dodgers win 4-2, 14inn	J.Kent
D.Lowe vs C.Young	Padres win 7-2	B.Giles
J.Weaver vs W.Williams	PD Dodgers win 2-1	M.Bradley
DBacks vs Giants
B.Webb vs J.Schmidt	DBacks win 4-1	B.Webb
O.Hernandez vs N.Lowry	DBacks win 9-3	J.Estrada
R.Ortiz vs M.Morris	DBacks win 7-4	T.Clark