Saturday, July 30, 2011

July 30th Simulations



25-25 Vision ...


Diamondbacks vs Dodgers
Favorite: Dodgers, ML: -128 +123 55.65% Simulator: 63.05%
Vegas Over/Under: 7 Over -107 Under -103
Simulator Over/Under: 7.54 Over: 50.46% Under: 49.54%
Top 5 Most Likely Scores: LAN 3-2, LAN 2-1, LAN 4-3, LAN 3-1, LAN 5-4
Micah Owings: IP 5.85, SO 3.82, BB 1.95, HR 0.60, FIP 4.22
Chad Billingsley: IP 6.35, SO 7.33, BB 2.03, HR 0.42, FIP 2.70
Final Score: ARI 6-4 #35th Most Likely Score

Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Final Score
Orioles Yankees C.Tillman vs B.Colon Yankees TBD 64.28% NYA 8-3
Orioles Yankees Z.Britton vs I.Nova Yankees TBD 57.59% NYA 17-3
TEX TOR Derek Holland vs Brad Mills TEX 53.16% 52.98% TEX 3-0
MIN OAK Nick Blackburn vs Guillermo Moscoso OAK 55.85% 51.58% OAK 8-3
BOS CHA Jon Lester vs Phil Humber BOS 58.07% 54.48% BOS 10-2
KC CLE Felipe Paulino vs Justin Masterson CLE 60.24% 59.95% CLE 5-2
FLA ATL Anibal Sanchez vs Tim Hudson ATL 58.42% 53.65% ATL 5-1
TB SEA Alex Cobb vs Michael Pineda SEA 52.04% 54.30% SEA 3-2
CHN STL Rodrigo Lopez vs Kyle Lohse STL 62.76% 65.03% STL 13-5
HOU MIL J.A. Happ vs Yovanni Gallardo MIL 71.35% 67.55% MIL 6-2
Giants Reds M.Bumgarner vs M.Leake Reds 52.72% 44.07% CIN 7-2
LAA DET Dan Haren vs Duane Below LAA 54.85% 50.09% LAA 5-1
NYN WAS R.A. Dickey vs Jason Marquis NYN 50.62% 48.73% WAS 3-0
Pirates Phillies J.McDonald vs C.Lee Phillies 70.76% 70.82% PHI 7-4
Rockies Padres U.Jimenez vs A.Harang Rockies 55.06% 56.53% COL 10-6


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