Monday, July 21, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, July 22nd

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs Rockies C.Kershaw vs U.Jimenez Rockies -138 +130 10.5 60.93% 9.66/11 64%/11.2 Rockies
Cubs vs DBacks J.Marquis vs Y.Petit DBacks -110 +102 9.5 50.59% 9.71/11 56%/8.9 DBacks
Nationals vs Giants J.Bergmann vs B.Zito Giants -114 +106 8.5 58.28% 7.76/9 53%/8.3 Giants
Padres vs Reds J.Peavy vs J.Cueto Padres -111 +103 8.5 51.54% 9.00/7 56%/8.0 Reds
Braves vs Marlins C.Morton vs R.VandenHurk Braves -115 +107 10.0 47.97% 9.96/4 54%/11.5 Marlins
Phillies vs Mets J.Blanton vs J.Santana Mets -170 +162 8.0 53.77% 8.22/14 61%/8.5 Phillies
Pirates vs Astros P.Maholm vs J.Cassel Astros -106 -102 10.0 57.81% 9.10/10 54%/9.8 Pirates
Brewers vs Cardinals J.Suppan vs K.Lohse Cardinals -134 +126 9.0 55.06% 8.36/7 61%/9.8 Brewers
Blue Jays vs Orioles S.Marcum vs G.Olson Blue Jays -110 +102 9.5 49.34% 9.46/18 58%/10.7 Blue Jays
Twins vs Yankees K.Slowey vs D.Rasner Yankees -131 +123 9.5 59.50% 9.22/10 54%/9.2 Yankees
A's vs Rays D.Braden vs A.Sonnanstine Rays -154 +146 9.0 56.11% 8.48/9 63%/9.3 A's
Tigers vs Royals K.Rogers vs K.Davies Tigers -119 +111 10.0 50.14% 10.25/8 52%/11.3 Tigers
Rangers vs White Sox L.Mendoza vs M.Buehrle White Sox -161 +153 9.5 56.61% 11.22/12 62%/11.8 White Sox
Indians vs Angels M.Ginter vs J.Weaver Angels -185 +173 9.0 62.88% 9.29/5 61%/9.1 Angels
Red Sox vs Mariners D.Matsuzaka vs R.Dickey Red Sox -157 +149 9.0 52.29% 8.30/6 55%/10.2 Red Sox
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $4445 $857 $7170 43.40%
AccuScore $4484 $133 $9820 96.40%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. I won't be posting all the bets made as that takes up too much of my time. I will only be posting how much money in total bets I am making for the day (ahead of time). I started each method with $5,000 units. At this time I bumped up the bankroll of AccuScore method to $6k due to their recent winnings.

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