Saturday, July 19, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, July 20th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Dodgers vs DBacks D.Lowe vs B.Webb DBacks -142 +134 7.5 53.62% 8.59/11 54%/7.7 Dodgers
Pirates vs Rockies Z.Duke vs A.Cook Rockies -179 +171 10.0 62.21% 9.77/14 68%/10.6 Rockies
Brewers vs Giants M.Parra vs T.Lincecum Giants -123 +115 7.5 53.77% 7.60/11 56%/8.7 Brewers
Padres vs Cardinals C.Baek vs J.Garcia Cardinals -139 +131 9.5 58.06% 7.44/14 58%/9.0 Cardinals
Phillies vs Marlins C.Hamels vs J.Johnson Phillies -144 +136 8.5 50.49% 9.09/5 64%/9.2 Marlins
Mets vs Reds M.Pelfrey vs E.Volquez Reds -131 +123 9.0 53.45% 8.83/12 56%/8.8 Mets
Nationals vs Braves O.Perez vs J.Reyes Braves -183 +175 9.0 64.23% 7.97/21 58%/9.1 Nationals
Cubs vs Astros R.Dempster vs B.Backe Cubs -128 +120 8.5 52.34% 9.54/9 50%/10.2 Cubs
Blue Jays vs Rays J.Parrish vs E.Jackson Rays -143 +135 9.0 56.78% 8.93/13 57%/10.1 Blue Jays
Indians vs Mariners C.Lee vs C.Silva Indians -132 +124 8.5 52.59% 7.76/8 53%/8.1 Indians
Tigers vs Orioles J.Verlander vs B.Burres Tigers -130 +122 9.5 55.76% 10.20/6 61%/10.5 Tigers
Royals vs White Sox B.Bannister vs J.Danks White Sox -161 +153 9.0 64.41% 10.13/15 62%/9.4 Royals
Red Sox vs Angels T.Wakefield vs J.Garland Angels -114 +106 8.5 49.29% 9.72/8 55%/9.7 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2235 $450 $5857 17.14%
AccuScore $3221 $458 $10343 106.86%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. I won't be posting all the bets made as that takes up too much of my time. I will only be posting how much money in total bets I am making for the day (ahead of time). I started each method with $5,000 units. At this time I bumped up the bankroll of AccuScore method to $6k due to their recent winnings.

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