Sunday, July 27, 2008

Simulations for Monday, July 28th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Giants vs Dodgers K.Correia vs H.Kuroda Dodgers -191 +180 8.0 60.89% 8.45/13 68%/8.5 Giants
Rockies vs Pirates V.DeLosSantos vs I.Snell Rockies -107 -101 9.5 47.18% 9.36/12 53%/10.6 Pirates
Angels vs Red Sox J.Weaver vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox -156 +148 9.0 59.35% 10.20/12 53%/10.3 Angels
Tigers vs Indians K.Rogers vs P.Byrd Tigers -116 +108 10.5 56.91% 9.41/5 51%/10.2 Indians
Orioles vs Yankees J.Guthrie vs M.Mussina Yankees -162 +154 9.0 61.14% 9.64/17 65%/9.0 Orioles
Rays vs Blue Jays J.Shields vs A.Burnett Blue Jays -112 +104 7.5 45.42% 9.43/4 47%/8.3 Blue Jays
Cardinals vs Braves B.Looper vs C.Morton Cardinals -109 +101 9.5 45.89% 8.47/15 54%/9.3 Cardinals
Mets vs Marlins J.Maine vs R.Nolasco Mets -116 +108 9.0 44.69% 8.96/10 49%/8.9 Marlins
Reds vs Astros J.Cueto vs R.Oswalt Astros -150 +142 8.5 64.30% 8.74/9 65%/9.2 Astros
Cubs vs Brewers T.Lilly vs C.Sabathia Brewers -169 +161 7.5 63.25% 9.98/10 66%/8.4 Cubs
Mariners vs Rangers F.Hernandez vs S.Feldman Mariners -107 -101 9.5 37.83% 9.93/12 47%/10.7 Mariners
White Sox vs Twins M.Buehrle vs K.Slowey Twins -111 +103 8.5 49.20% 7.88/7 51%/9.2 Twins
DBacks vs Padres M.Owings vs G.Maddux Padres -114 +106 8.0 54.21% 6.75/13 51%/8.3 Padres
Royals vs A's Z.Greinke vs D.Braden A's -116 +108 8.5 53.28% 8.22/6 48%/9.5 Royals
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $2131 -$388 $7439 48.78%
AccuScore $1856 $46 $9767 95.34%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): SF($111), Det($174), TB($273), Atl($217), Fla($349), Hou($270), Tex($608), Pit($129)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($174), LAA($277), NYY($209)TB($195), Fla($141), Hou($317), Mil($216), Tex($138), KC($189)

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