Wednesday, December 03, 2008

Dodgers 2009 Offseason WAR

This offseason I will be keeping track of the Dodgers team WAR tally. That is, how many wins is the current Dodger roster expected to have based on summing the WAR (Wins Above Replacement) of each individual player. As free agent signings and possible trades occur, I will update this table. Where the Dodgers have a hole in their roster, I have added a replacement level player or something close to it. The primary source of player projections I am using is ZiPS, and where ZiPs is an extreme outlier, I then use either Marcel or Chone.

Analysis: The Dodgers signed Manny Ramirez. I have him worth 4.16 WAR using Chone projections, and docking him 5 runs for defense.

Last Updated: 04-MAR-2009
Hitters
Player Position Playing Time wOBA Offensive WAR Defensive WAR Baserunning WAR Position Adjustment Total WAR
R.Martin C 80% .355 1.15 0.0 0.01 3.0 3.40
B.Ausmus C 20% .288 -2.96 -0.4 0.0 3.0 -0.07
J.Loney 1B 85% .352 0.73 -0.5 0.0 1.0 1.05
Repl 1B 1B 15% .319 -1.00 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.00
O.Hudson 2B 75% .336 -0.18 0.5 0.0 2.0 1.74
M.Loretta 2B 25% .319 -1.18 -0.10 0.0 2.0 0.18
C.Blake 3B 75% .338 0.17 -0.4 0.0 2.3 0.79
B.Dewitt 3B 25% .314 -1.47 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.53
R.Furcal SS 75% .338 0.17 0.25 0.25 2.5 2.38
C.Hu SS 25% .287 -2.81 0.4 0.1 2.5 0.05
M.Ramirez LF 85% .402 3.90 -0.5 0.0 1.5 4.16
M.Kemp CF 85% .350 0.90 -0.5 0.5 2.5 2.89
A.Ethier RF 80% .362 1.59 0.1 0.0 1.5 2.55
J.Repko CF 25% .317 -1.27 0.25 0.0 2.5 0.36
J.Pierre LF/CF 25% .299 -2.07 0.1 0.75 1.5 0.07
Hitting Total 19.89

Pitchers
Name Pos IP HR BB SO FIP ERA Leverage WAR
C.Billingsley SP 204 14 73 195 3.25 0.0 4.06
H.Kuroda SP 171 14 42 103 3.80 0.0 2.42
C.Kershaw SP 175 17 76 135 4.22 0.0 1.69
R.Wolf SP 170 19 68 140 4.21 0.0 1.67
J.McDonald SP 70 11 29 48 5.11 0.0 0.02
E.Stults SP 60 9 22 39 4.95 0.0 0.12
J.Schmidt SP 40 5 16 33 4.38 0.0 0.32
R.Troncoso SP 50 6 19 38 4.38 0.0 0.40
J.Broxton RP 65 4 23 81 2.57 1.0 2.51
H.Guo RP 70 5 27 82 2.94 0.6 1.90
C.Wade RP 90 15 23 59 4.82 0.3 0.14
R.Troncoso RP 65 6 26 55 3.91 0.1 0.60
G.Mota RP 50 7 21 42 4.60 0.0 0.01
C.Vargas RP 50 6 20 39 4.40 0.0 0.12
J.McDonald RP 40 5 17 31 4.55 0.0 0.03
E.Stults RP 30 4 11 22 4.57 0.0 0.02
J.Schmidt RP 30 3 13 28 3.93 0.0 0.22
S.Elbert RP 15 3 7 10 5.87 0.0 -0.19
Bullpen 5.33
Starters 10.70
All Pitchers 16.03

Team Totals
Type WAR
Hitters 19.89
Rotation 10.70
Bullpen 5.33
Team Total 85.92

Sunday, October 26, 2008

Simulations, World Series Game #5

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Rays vs Phillies S.Kazmir vs C.Hamels Phillies 61.55% 9.84 7 Phillies

Saturday, October 25, 2008

Simulation, World Series Game #4

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Rays vs Phillies A.Sonnanstine vs J.Blanton Phillies 50.99 9.89 12 Phillies
Simulator Setup File Download (Old Version)
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Simulation for World Series, Game #3

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Rays vs Phillies M.Garza vs J.Moyer Phillies 57.03% 9.69 9 Phillies
Simulator Setup File Download (Old Version)
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds


What's at stake in Game #3?
Situation Rays Odds to win W.S. Phillies Odds to win W.S.
Current Odds 48.59% 51.41%
Rays Win Game #3 70.28% 29.72%
Phillies Win Game #3 31.93% 68.07%
Methodology: I calculated the win probabilites for each of the remaining possible games, then ran a program that plays out the 7 game series 1 million times, which outputs the number of times each team won the 7 game series. If you have your own win probabilites for each game, I'd be glad to run the numbers for you based on your own game predictions.

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Simulation for World Series, Game #2

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Phillies vs Rays B.Myers vs J.Shields Rays 63.06% 9.75 6 Rays
Simulator Setup File Download (Old Version)
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds


What's riding on tonight's game?
Situation Rays Odds to win W.S. Phillies Odds to win W.S.
Current Odds 46.78% 53.22%
Rays Win Game #2 59.97% 40.03%
Phillies Win Game #2 35.39% 74.85%
Methodology: I calculated the win probabilites for each of the remaining possible games, then ran a program that plays out the 7 game series 1 million times, which outputs the number of times each team won the 7 game series. If you have your own win probabilites for each game, I'd be glad to run the numbers for you based on your own game predictions.

Monday, October 20, 2008

Simulation for World Series Game #1

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Phillies vs Rays C.Hamels vs S.Kazmir Rays 51.45% 9.84 5 Phillies
Simulator Setup File Download (Old Version)
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Saturday, October 18, 2008

Simulation for ALCS Game #7

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Red Sox vs Rays J.Lester vs M.Garza Rays 50.18% 9.50 4 Rays
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Friday, September 26, 2008

Dodger Sims... Is On Vacation

Will be back in time for the World Series.
Go Rays, Dodgers and Angels
Enjoy the playoffs!!!
And I will enjoy my...
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation
Vacation

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, September 25th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Padres vs Dodgers J.Peavy vs E.Stults Dodgers 57.95% 7.63 12 Padres
DBacks vs Cardinals D.Davis vs J.Pineiro Cardinals 51.21% 8.54 15 Cardinals
Cubs vs Mets R.Harden vs P.Martinez Cubs 56.59% 8.66 13 Mets
Reds vs Astros J.Cueto vs R.Oswalt Astros 60.24% 8.97 14 Astros
Pirates vs Brewers Z.Duke vs J.Suppan Brewers 71.76% 9.10 6 Brewers
Rockies vs Giants J.de la Rosa vs B.Zito Rockies 61.60% 8.37 4 Rockies
Rays vs Tigers S.Kazmir vs A.Galarraga Rays 56.60% 11.16 12 Tigers
Indians vs Red Sox J.Sowers vs J.Lester Red Sox 73.05% 10.93 7 Red Sox
Yankees vs Blue Jays C.Pavano vs R.Halladay Blue Jays 63.70% 9.08 10 Blue Jays
White Sox vs Twins G.Floyd vs K.Slowey Twins 54.27% 9.94 13 Twins
Angels vs Mariners D.Moseley vs C.Jimenez Angels 53.72% 9.80 10 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Tuesday, September 23, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, September 24th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Padres vs Dodgers S.Estes vs C.Kershaw Dodgers 68.21% 8.40 16 Dodgers
Braves vs Phillies J.Reyes vs B.Myers Phillies 68.70% 10.43 14 Braves
Marlins vs Nationals J.Johnson vs T.Redding Marlins 60.79% 8.33 13 Marlins
Cubs vs Mets C.Zambrano vs O.Perez Cubs 53.84% 9.61 15 Cubs
Reds vs Astros R.Ramirez vs R.Wolf Astros 61.04% 9.33 5 Astros
Pirates vs Brewers P.Maholm vs C.Sabathia Brewers 72.81% 8.94 6 Brewers
DBacks vs Cardinals M.Scherzer vs A.Wainwright Cardinals 52.40% 7.60 6 Cardinals
Rockies vs Giants L.Hernandez vs J.Sanchez Rockies 51.37% 8.25 21 Rockies
A's vs Rangers D.Eveland vs M.Harrison Rangers 63.15% 10.60 18 Rangers
Rays vs Orioles E.Jackson vs R.Liz Rays 69.85% 13.06 17 Rays
Indians vs Red Sox F.Carmona vs P.Byrd Red Sox 59.03% 12.14 9 Red Sox
Royals vs Tigers B.Bannister vs N.Robertson Tigers 61.69% 10.53 14 Royals
Yankees vs Blue Jays P.Hughes vs A.Burnett Blue Jays 56.89% 9.34 8 Yankees
White Sox vs Twins M.Buehrle vs N.Blackburn White Sox 55.17% 9.61 5 Twins
Angels vs Mariners J.Garland vs F.Hernandez Mariners 59.99% 8.09 11 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Monday, September 22, 2008

Who Will Win The NL West? - DOUBLE UPDATED

I am using my simulator to determine the Dodgers' odds of winning the NL West. I simulated each remaining game for the Dodgers and Diamondbacks, using what should be the likely starters for the remainder of games. I then use a random number generator from 0 to 1 to determine if each game is a win or a loss for each of the two teams. I do this 1 million times, calculating how many times each team ends up winning the NL West. If the two teams tie for first place, I then do the same thing for a 163rd game. Below is a table showing the win probabilities and likely pitching matchups for each remaining game, with the results of my simulation.
Date Visitors Home Pitching Matchup Win Probability Result
9/23 Padres Dodgers W.LeBlanc vs C.Billingsley .7087 Win
9/23 DBacks Cardinals R.Johnson vs K.Lohse .4492 Loss
9/24 Padres Dodgers S.Estes vs C.Kershaw .6811 Win
9/24 DBacks Cardinals M.Scherzer vs A.Wainwright .4441 Loss
9/25 Padres Dodgers J.Peavy vs G.Maddux .6211 TBD
9/25 DBacks Cardinals D.Davis vs J.Pineiro .4841 Loss
9/26 Dodgers Giants H.Kuroda vs B.Hennessey .6400 TBD
9/26 Rockies DBacks J.Hirsh vs D.Haren .6566 TBD
9/27 Dodgers Giants D.Lowe vs M.Cain .5696 TBD
9/27 Rockies DBacks G.Reynolds vs B.Webb .7505 TBD
9/28 Dodgers Giants C.Billingsley vs T.Lincecum .4998 TBD
9/28 Rockies DBacks J.Jimenez vs R.Johnson .5384 TBD
9/29 DBacks Dodgers M.Scherzer vs C.Kershaw .5499 TBD
Note: All win probabilities are listed for the Dodgers or Diamondbacks, and for the Dodgers on the 9/29 game.
Team Divisions Titles
Dodgers 100.00%
DBacks 0.00%
1 million iterations were ran.

Update: It's all over folks. The Cardinals defeated the Diamondbacks three times in a row and on September 25th eliminated the Diamondbacks from contention. Good luck to the Dodgers in the playoffs.

Simulations for Tuesday, September 23rd

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Padres vs Dodgers W.LeBlanc vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 70.87% 7.42 11 Dodgers
Braves vs Phillies J.Reyes vs C.Hamels Phillies 74.77% 9.83 5 Braves
Marlins vs Nationals S.Olsen vs S.Martis Marlins 53.67% 9.46 13 Nationals
Cubs vs Mets S.Marshall vs J.Santana Mets 52.17% 9.04 8 Mets
Pirates vs Brewers J.Karstens vs D.Bush Brewers 68.40% 10.43 12 Brewers
Reds vs Astros E.Volquez vs W.Rodriguez Astros 52.01% 8.00 3 Reds
DBacks vs Cardinals R.Johnson vs K.Lohse Cardinals 55.08% 7.88 11 Cardinals
Rockies vs Giants U.Jimenez vs T.Lincecum Giants 51.72% 6.90 13 Rockies
Rays vs Orioles J.Shields vs G.Olson Rays 67.19% 10.95 7 Rays
Indians vs Red Sox C.Lee vs T.Wakefield Indians 52.12% 10.48 9 Red Sox
Royals vs Tigers Z.Greinke vs F.Garcia Tigers 57.87% 8.97 5 Royals
Yankees vs Blue Jays M.Mussina vs J.Litsch Yankees 57.56% 9.18 4 Yankees
A's vs Rangers J.Outman vs D.Nippert Rangers 69.53% 10.70 10 Rangers
White Sox vs Twins J.Vazquez vs S.Baker White Sox 55.32% 9.28 11 Twins
Rays vs Orioles M.Talbot vs A.Simon Rays 65.50% 11.66 12 Rays
Angels vs Mariners J.Weaver vs R.Feierabend Angels 58.84% 9.40 15 Mariners
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Sunday, September 21, 2008

Simulations for Monday, September 22nd

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Marlins vs Reds R.Nolasco vs A.Harang Marlins 56.34% 9.89 12 Reds
Braves vs Phillies J.Jurrjens vs J.Happ Phillies 53.36% 9.34 8 Phillies
Cubs vs Mets J.Marquis vs J.Niese Cubs 57.66% 9.52 14 Cubs
DBacks vs Cardinals B.Webb vs T.Wellemeyer DBacks 54.60% 7.44 6 DBacks
Rays vs Orioles D.Price vs B.Bass Rays 58.47% 10.56 6 Rays
Indians vs Red Sox Z.Jackson vs J.Beckett Red Sox 73.43% 10.59 7 Indians
Royals vs Tigers G.Meche vs Z.Miner Tigers 55.05% 8.38 8 Royals
A's vs Rangers G.Smith vs K.Millwood Rangers 70.94% 10.07 7 A's
Angels vs Mariners E.Santana vs R.Smith Angels 61.10% 8.21 3 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Simulations for Sunday, September 21st

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Giants vs Dodgers M.Cain vs D.Lowe Dodgers 68.73% 6.84 1 Giants
Cardinals vs Cubs B.Looper vs R.Dempster Cubs 70.21% 8.40 6 Cubs
Astros vs Pirates R.Oswalt vs R.Ohlendorf Astros 54.15% 8.92 8 Astros
Phillies vs Marlins J.Moyer vs C.Volstad Phillies 51.18% 9.61 7 Phillies
Brewers vs Reds S.McClung vs B.Arroyo Reds 51.83% 10.49 9 Brewers
Mets vs Braves M.Pelfrey vs J.Parr Mets 54.65% 8.76 13 Braves
Padres vs Nationals C.Baek vs O.Perez Nationals 53.95% 7.45 8 Padres
DBacks vs Rockies D.Haren vs G.Reynolds DBacks 56.91% 11.25 17 DBacks
Tigers vs Indians D.Willis vs S.Lewis Indians 52.63% 10.71 15 Indians
Orioles vs Yankees C.Waters vs A.Pettitte Yankees 74.36% 9.84 10 Yankees
Red Sox vs Blue Jays D.Matsuzaka vs S.Richmond Red Sox 57.17% 9.72 3 Red Sox
Twins vs Rays F.Liriano vs A.Sonnanstine Rays 64.72% 8.82 5 Twins
Angels vs Rangers J.Lackey vs S.Feldman Rangers 51.41% 11.08 10 Angels
White Sox vs Royals J.Danks vs B.Duckworth White Sox 67.95% 10.65 3 White Sox
Mariners vs A's B.Morrow vs S.Gallagher A's 59.54% 7.64 8 A's
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Friday, September 19, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, September 20th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Giants vs Dodgers B.Hennessey vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 72.71% 7.40 17 Dodgers
Cardinals vs Cubs J.Pineiro vs T.Lilly Cubs 64.10% 9.08 9 Cubs
Astros vs Pirates B.Moehler vs J.Barthmaier Pirates 51.49% 9.47 10 Pirates
Phillies vs Marlins J.Blanton vs A.Sanchez Marlins 53.12% 9.99 5 Phillies
Brewers vs Reds C.Sabathia vs J.Cueto Brewers 60.19% 9.61 7 Reds
Mets vs Braves P.Martinez vs J.Campillo Braves 55.23% 8.93 6 Braves
Padres vs Nationals C.Young vs J.Lanna Nationals 56.94% 7.49 7 Padres
DBacks vs Rockies D.Davis vs A.Cook Rockies 64.87% 10.11 8 DBacks
Tigers vs Indians J.Verlander vs J.Sowers Indians 52.38% 11.10 9 Indians
Orioles vs Yankees B.Burres vs A.Aceves Yankees 67.44% 10.91 1 Yankees
Red Sox vs Blue Jays J.Lester vs R.Halladay Blue Jays 57.03% 7.98 9 Blue Jays
Twins vs Rays K.Slowey vs S.Kazmir Rays 64.14% 8.29 9 Rays
Angels vs Rangers D.Moseley vs V.Padilla Rangers 56.51% 11.46 10 Angels
White Sox vs Royals G.Floyd vs K.Davies White Sox 54.05% 10.20 7 Royals
Mariners vs A's C.Silva vs K.Saarloos OAK 54,84 8.03 15 A's
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Thursday, September 18, 2008

Simulatoins for Friday, September 19th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Giants vs Dodgers B.Zito vs G.Maddux Dodgers 72.18% 7.70 8 Giants
Cardinals vs Cubs A.Wainwright vs C.Zambrano Cubs 60.17% 7.89 18 Cardinals
Astros vs Pirates R.Wolf vs I.Snell Pirates 53.28% 8.22 6 Astros
Phillies vs Marlins B.Myers vs J.Johnson Marlins 60.25% 9.00 22 Marlins
Brewers vs Reds J.Suppan vs R.Ramirez Reds 50.43% 11.23 13 Reds
Mets vs Braves O.Perez vs J.Reyes Braves 50.35% 9.11 14 Mets
Padres vs Nationals D.Hayhurst vs C.Balester Nationals 55.78% 7.57 17 Padres
DBacks vs Rockies M.Scherzer vs J.de la Rosa Rockies 61.96% 10.87 5 Rockies
Tigers vs Indians A.Galarraga vs F.Carmona Indians 59.86% 10.58 11 Indians
Orioles vs Yankees R.Liz vs F.Carmona Yankees 75.89% 12.27 5 Yankees
Red Sox vs Blue Jays P.Byrd vs A.Burnett Blue Jays 62.01% 9.93 7 Red Sox
Twins vs Rays N.Blackburn vs E.Jackson Rays 60.17% 9.48 12 Rays
Angels vs Rangers J.Garland vs M.Harrison Rangers 55.60% 10.99 28 Angels
White Sox vs Royals M.Buehrle vs B.Bannister White Sox 62.16% 10.66 13 White Sox
Mariners vs A's F.Hernandez vs D.Eveland A's 57.19% 6.9 2 A's
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, September 18th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Pirates C.Kershaw vs P.Maholm Doders 51.28% 8.53 7 Dodgers
Brewers vs Cubs D.Bush vs R.Harden Cubs 65.86% 8.84 13 Cubs
Astros vs Marlins A.Arias vs S.Olsen Marlins 66.99% 10.38 9 Marlins
Mets vs Nationals J.Santana vs T.Redding Mets 54.71% 8.43 9 Mets
Cardinals vs Reds K.Lohse vs E.Volquez Reds 61.07% 7.87 9 Cardinals
Phillies vs Braves C.Hamels vs M.Hampton Phillies 62.62% 9.23 7 Phillies
Giants vs DBacks T.Lincecum vs R.Johnson DBacks 56.55% 8.05 5 DBacks
Mariners vs Royals R.Feierabend vs Z.Greinke Royals 68.41% 9.23 12 Royals
Angels vs A's J.Saunders vs J.Outman Angels 56.18% 9.22 10 Angels
White Sox vs Yankees J.Vazquez vs M.Mussina Yankees 60.72% 8.20 11 Yankees
Orioles vs Blue Jays D.Cabrera vs J.Litsch Blue Jays 62.17% 10.30 5 Blue Jays
Twins vs Rays G.Perkins vs J.Shields Rays 72.24% 9.29 19 Twins
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Simulations for Wednesday, September 17th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Pirates C.Billingsley vs Z.Duke Dodgers 55.96% 8.33 23 Pirates
Padres vs Rockies J.Geer vs L.Hernandez Rockies 67.53% 10.59 1 Rockies
Astros vs Marlins B.Backe vs R.Nolasco Marlins 72.90% 9.40 16 Marlins
Mets vs Nationals B.Knight vs S.Martis Mets 57.34% 8.68 16 Mets
Cardinals vs Reds T.Wellemeyer vs A.Harang Reds 57.66% 8.98 3 Reds
Phillies vs Braves J.Happ vs J.Jurrjens Braves 53.21% 8.53 7 Phillies
Brewers vs Cubs B.Sheets vs J.Marquis Brewers 52.74% 8.53 8 Brewers
Giants vs DBacks J.Sanchez vs B.Webb DBacks 68.79% 8.19 13 DBacks
Twins vs Indians S.Baker vs C.Lee Indians 68.14% 7.81 10 Indians
White Sox vs Yankees L.Broadway vs P.Hughes Yankees 72.25% 10.67 6 Yankees
Orioles vs Blue Jays B.Bass vs D.Purcey Blue Jays 63.06% 10.40 15 Blue Jays
Red Sox vs Rays T.Wakefield vs M.Garza Rays 64.79% 10.15 13 Rays
Tigers vs Rangers F.Garcia vs D.Nippert Rangers 54.43% 11.32 21 Tigers
Mariners vs Royals R.Smith vs G.Meche Royals 62.00% 8.45 7 Royals
Angels vs A's J.Weaver vs G.Smith Angels 57.79% 8.88 5 A's
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Monday, September 15, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, September 16th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Pirates D.Lowe vs J.Karstens Dodgers 57.95% 8.78 8 Dodgers
Astros vs Marlins R.Oswalt vs C.Volstad Marlins 57.71% 8.64 6 Marlins
Mets vs Nationals M.Pelfrey vs O.Perez Mets 57.74% 8.06 1 Nationals
Cardinals vs Reds B.Looper vs B.Arroyo Reds 59.30% 9.36 9 Reds
Phillies vs Braves J.Moyer vs J.Parr Phillies 57.24% 9.44 15 Phillies
Brewers vs Cubs C.Sabathia vs R.Dempster Cubs 54.88% 8.75 9 Cubs
Padres vs Rockies S.Estes vs U.Jimenez Rockies 76.13% 10.41 13 Rockies
Giants vs DBacks M.Cain vs D.Haren DBacks 67.07% 8.29 2 DBacks
Twins vs Indians F.Liriano vs Z.Jackson Indians 53.66% 9.27 21 Indians
White Sox vs Yankees G.Floyd vs A.Pettitte Yankees 67.98% 9.38 8 White Sox
Orioles vs Blue Jays C.Waters vs S.Marcum Blue Jays 63.71% 10.51 2 Orioles
Red Sox vs Rays J.Beckett vs A.Sonnanstine Rays 54.54% 8.88 3 Rays
Tigers vs Rangers Z.Miner vs K.Millwood Rangers 62.70% 10.59 9 Rangers
Mariners vs Royals B.Morrow vs B.Duckworth Royals 52.59% 9.08 9 Royals
Angels vs A's J.Lackey vs S.Gallagher Angels 53.85% 8.11 8 A's
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Sunday, September 14, 2008

Simulations for Monday, September 15th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Pirates H.Kuroda vs R.Ohlendorf Dodgers 53.52% 8.58 10 Dodgers
Cubs vs Astros T.Lilly vs B.Moehler Cubs 57.42% 8.51 7 Cubs
Mets vs Nationals P.Martinez vs J.Lannan Mets 51.36% 8.41 9 Nationals
Padres vs Rockies W.LeBlanc vs U.Jimenez Rockies 74.10% 10.01 16 Padres
Giants vs DBacks B.Hennessey vs D.Davis DBacks 70.72% 10.08 DBacks 4
Twins vs Indians K.Slowey vs S.Lewis Indians 53.48% 8.95 4 Indians
White Sox vs Yankees M.Buehrle vs A.Aceves White Sox 53.98% 8.87 6 Yankees
Red Sox vs Rays D.Matsuzaka vs S.Kazmir Rays 63.22% 9.74 18 Red Sox
Tigers vs Rangers D.Willis vs B.McCarthy Rangers 63.06% 12.04 19 Rangers
Mariners vs Royals C.Silva vs K.Davies Royals 50.91% 9.56 3 Royals
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Saturday, September 13, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, September 14th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Rockies G.Maddux vs A.Cook Rockies 62.71% 10.26 1 Rockies
Braves vs Mets J.Campillo vs O.Perez Mets 55.08% 8.31 11 Braves
Nationals vs Marlins C.Balester vs A.Sanchez Marlins 69.40% 9.41 15 Marlins
Brewers vs Phillies D.Bush vs J.Blanton Phillies 60.52% 11.94 10 Phillies
Cardinals vs Pirates B.Thompson vs J.Davis Pirates 55.72% 9.60 9 Pirates
Giants vs Padres B.Zito vs C.Baek Padres 56.57% 6.61 14 Giants
Reds vs DBacks J.Cueto vs M.Scherzer DBacks 59.55% 11.27 3 Reds
Brewers vs Phillies J.Suppan vs B.Myers Phillies 60.11% 12.39 7 Phillies
Cubs vs Astros C.Zambrano vs R.Wolf Cubs 60.13% 8.93 5 Cubs
Royals vs Indians B.Bannister vs J.Sowers Indians 62.44% 10.78 16 Royals
Rays vs Yankees E.Jackson vs C.Pavano Yankees 58.72% 11.30 12 Yankees
Twins vs Orioles N.Blackburn vs R.Liz Twins 61.32% 10.31 10 Orioles
Blue Jays vs Red Sox R.Halladay vs J.Lester Red Sox 56.74% 8.32 7 Red Sox
Tigers vs White Sox J.Verlander vs J.Vazquez White Sox 62.87% 10.53 6 White Sox
Tigers vs White Sox K.Rogers vs J.Danks White Sox 65.97% 11.18 18 White Sox
Mariners vs Angels F.Hernandez vs E.Santana Angels 59.84% 7.64 7 Angels
Rangers vs A's V.Padilla vs E.Eveland A's 54.50% 8.42 11 A's
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Simulations for Saturday, September 13th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Rockies C.Kershaw vs J.de la Rosa Rockies 62.56% 11.25 6 Dodgers
Brewers vs Phillies M.Parra vs C.Hamels Phillies 55.87% 11.00 10 Phillies
Braves vs Mets M.Hampton vs J.Santana Mets 67.08% 8.45 5 Braves
Cardinals vs Pirates A.Wainwright vs J.Karstens Cardinals 50.49% 8.98 13 Pirates
Nationals vs Marlins T.Redding vs J.Johnson Marlins 69.48% 8.75 6 Marlins
Braves vs Mets J.Reyes vs J.Niese Mets 57.02% 8.52 5 Mets
Reds vs DBacks E.Volquez vs R.Johnson DBacks 55.53% 9.63 5 Reds
Giants vs Padres T.Lincecum vs C.Young Giants 56.79% 5.60 7 Giants
Blue Jays vs Red Sox A.Burnett vs P.Byrd Red Sox 52.76% 9.73 9 Blue Jays
Rays vs Yankees J.Shields vs M.Mussina Yankees 64.90% 8.93 8 Rays
Royals vs Indians Z.Greinke vs F.Carmona Indians 60.90% 9.08 11 Royals
Rangers vs A's S.Feldman vs J.Outman Rangers 54.23% 9.66 8 A's
Twins vs Orioles S.Baker vs D.Cabrera Twins 54.43% 9.45 14 Twins
Royals vs Indians R.Tejeda vs B.Bullington Indians 69.38% 10.69 12 Royals
Rays vs Yankees M.Garza vs S.Ponson Rays 53.30% 10.54 11 Yankees
Blue Jays vs Red Sox J.Litsch vs B.Colon Red Sox 64.29% 9.55 12 Red Sox
Twins vs Orioles G.Perkins vs G.Olson Twins 54.51% 10.07 18 Twins
Mariners vs Angels R.Feierabend vs J.Garland Angels 68.85% 9.87 7 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Thursday, September 11, 2008

Simulations for Friday, September 12th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Rockies C.Billingsley vs S.Francis Dodgers 55.42% 10.47 9 Dodgers
Cardinals vs Pirates J.Pineiro vs P.Maholm Pirates 59.44% 8.82 12 Pirates
Brewers vs Phillies M.Parra vs C.Hamels Phillies 56.37% 10.87 TBD ppd.
Nationals vs Marlins S.Martis vs S.Olsen Marlins 64.59% 10.45 3 Marlins
Braves vs Mets M.Hampton vs J.Santana Mets 68.14% 8.42 TBD ppd.
Cubs vs Astros J.Marquis vs A.Arias Cubs 61.66% 10.45 TBD ppd.
Reds vs DBacks A.Harang vs B.Webb DBacks 68.80% 9.93 5 DBacks
Giants vs Padres J.Sanchez vs J.Peavy Padres 55.97% 5.72 7 Giants
Twins vs Orioles S.Baker vs D.Cabrera Twins 54.90% 9.54 TBD ppd.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox D.Purcey vs T.Wakefield Red Sox 63.10% 10.26 7 Red Sox
Royals vs Indians G.Meche vs C.Lee Indians 65.06% 7.88 17 Indians
Rays vs Yankees M.Garza vs S.Ponson Yankees 52.19% 10.39 TBD ppd.
Tigers vs White Sox J.Verlander vs J.Danks White Sox 62.74% 10.72 TBD ppd.
Rangers vs A's S.Harrison vs G.Smith Rangers 52.53% 9.36 7 Rangers
Mariners vs Angels R.Smith vs J.Saunders Angels 64.68% 8.61 8 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, September 11th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Brewers vs Phillies B.Sheets vs J.Moyer Brewers 53.64% 10.84 9 Phillies
Rockies vs Braves U.Jimenez vs J.Jurrjens Rockies 55.21% 7.94 12 Braves
Pirates vs Astros Z.Duke vs R.Oswalt Astros 64.03% 9.02 6 Astros
Cubs vs Cardinals R.Harden vs T.Wellemeyer Cubs 56.11% 6.91 5 Cubs
Giants vs Padres M.Cain vs J.Geer Giants 52.25% 6.20 14 Padres
Royals vs Twins B.Duckworth vs F.Liriano Twins 61.25% 8.63 5 Royals
Indians vs Orioles Z.Jackson vs B.Bass Indians 52.36% 10.99 9 Orioles
Blue Jays vs White Sox S.Marcum vs G.Floyd White Sox 63.09% 10.59 10 Blue Jays
Rangers vs A's D.Nippert vs D.Braden A's 51.53% 8.54 7 Rangers
Mariners vs Angels B.Morrow vs J.Weaver Angels 60.96% 8.55 11 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Tuesday, September 09, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, September 10th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Padres D.Lowe vs S.Estes Dodgers 64.35% 6.63 9 Dodgers
Marlins vs Phillies R.Nolasco vs B.Myers Marlins 50.55% 11.35 10 Marlins
Nationals vs Mets O.Perez vs M.Pelfrey Mets 67.90% 8.31 23 Mets
Rockies vs Braves L.Hernandez vs J.Parr Braves 50.53% 9.31 14 Braves
Pirates vs Astros T.Gorzelanny vs B.Moehler Astros 67.06% 10.32 11 Astros
Reds vs Brewers B.Arroyo vs C.Sabathia Brewers 70.44% 9.26 7 Brewers
Cubs vs Cardinals T.Lilly vs B.Looper Cardinals 51.75% 8.40 7 Cubs
DBacks vs Giants D.Haren vs B.Hennessey DBacks 67.18% 7.75 7 Giants
Blue Jays vs White Sox R.Halladay vs M.Buehrle White Sox 51.72% 8.29 11 White Sox
Indians vs Orioles S.Lewis vs C.Waters Indians 57.66% 11.45 8 Indians
Rays vs Red Sox A.Sonnanstine vs J.Beckett Red Sox 64.83% 9.38 6 Rays
A's vs Tigers S.Gallagher vs A.Galarraga Tigers 56.02% 9.32 7 A's
Royals vs Twins K.Davies vs K.Slowey Twins 65.52% 8.57 8 Twins
Yankees vs Angels A.Pettitte vs D.Moseley Yankees 57.94% 9.85 6 Angels
Rangers vs Mariners K.Millwood vs B.Morrow Mariners 50.46% 8.46 15 Mariners
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Monday, September 08, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, September 9th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Padres H.Kuroda vs W.LeBlanc Dodgers 59.11% 6.74 8 Dodgers
Marlins vs Phillies C.Volstad vs K.Kendrick Marlins 50.02% 11.85 18 Marlins
Nationals vs Mets J.Lannan vs O.Perez Mets 58.68% 8.94 18 Mets
Rockies vs Braves A.Cook vs J.Campillo Rockies 50.14% 7.91 9 Braves
Pirates vs Astros R.Ohlendorf vs R.Wolf Astros 66.94% 9.63 12 Astros
Reds vs Brewers R.Ramirez vs J.Suppan Brewers 66.10% 11.06 9 Reds
Cubs vs Cardinals R.Dempster vs K.Lohse Cardinals 51.90% 7.18 7 Cardinals
DBacks vs Giants D.Davis vs B.Zito DBacks 62.20% 8.44 9 Giants
Blue Jays vs White Sox A.Burnett vs J.Vazquez White Sox 65.41% 8.47 4 Blue Jays
Blue Jays vs White Sox J.Litsch vs C.Richard White Sox 65.10% 10.14 10 Blue Jays
Indians vs Orioles J.Sowers vs J.Guthrie Orioles 53.87% 10.48 7 Indians
Rays vs Red Sox S.Kazmir vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 51.74% 10.02 9 Rays
A's vs Tigers D.Eveland vs N.Robertson Tigers 51.95% 10.09 5 A's
Royals vs Twins B.Bannister vs N.Blackburn Twins 63.47% 8.67 9 Twins
Yankees vs Angels J.Aceves vs E.Santana Angels 60.07% 9.73 8 Yankees
Rangers vs Mariners V.Padilla vs F.Hernandez Marines 61.39% 8.57 10 Rangers
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Sunday, September 07, 2008

Simulations for Monday, September 8th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Padres G.Maddux vs C.Baek Dodgers 56.79% 7.56 4 Padres
Marlins vs Phillies A.Sanchez vs J.Blanton Phillies 57.30% 11.22 14 Phillies
Pirates vs Astros I.Snell vs A.Arias Pirates 53.01% 10.37 5 Astros
Reds vs Brewers E.Volquez vs D.Bush Brewers 55.46% 10.25 9 Reds
DBacks vs Giants Y.Petit vs T.Lincecum Giants 50.38% 7.01 8 Giants
Indians vs Orioles F.Carmona vs G.Olson Indians 60.20% 11.37 17 Orioles
Rays vs Red Sox E.Jackson vs J.Lester Rays 66.96% 9.45 3 Red Sox
A's vs Tigers G.Gonzalez vs Z.Miner Tigers 56.87% 10.21 22 Tigers
Yankees vs Angels C.Pavano vs J.Garland Yankees 52.50% 9.85 13 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Saturday, September 06, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, September 7th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
DBacks vs Dodgers M.Scherzer vs C.Kershaw Dodgers 55.82% 10.29 8 Dodgers
Phillies vs Mets J.Moyer vs P.Martinez Phillies 54.84% 9.67 8 Phillies
Phillies vs Mets C.Hamels vs J.Santana Phillies 53.51% 8.46 9 Mets
Cubs vs Reds S.Marshall vs A.Harang Cubs 52.82% 11.18 7 Reds
Nationals vs Braves C.Balester vs J.Reyes Braves 58.40% 8.97 11 Nationals
Padres vs Brewers C.Young vs M.Parra Brewers 75.15% 10.24 11 Padres
Marlins vs Cardinals J.Johnson vs A.Wainwright Cardinals 51.65% 7.94 4 Cardinals
Astros vs Rockies W.Rodriguez vs J.de la Rosa Rockies 69.67% 8.89 12 Astros
Pirates vs Giants J.Karstens vs J.Sanchez Giants 59.45% 7.83 17 Giants
Rays vs Blue Jays M.Garza vs D.Purcey Rays 62.21% 11.20 1 Blue Jays
Red Sox vs Rangers P.Byrd vs B.McCarthy Rangers 61.48% 12.49 9 Red Sox
Indians vs Royals C.Lee vs Z.Greinke Indians 56.78% 7.85 4 Indians
Tigers vs Twins C.Lambert vs G.Perkins Twins 52.63% 10.36 12 Tigers
Angels vs White Sox J.Saunders vs J.Danks White Sox 66.41% 11.28 5 Angels
Yankees vs Mariners M.Mussina vs C.Silva Yankees 61.80% 9.07 7 Mariners
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Friday, September 05, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, September 6th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
DBacks vs Dodgers B.Webb vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 52.93% 7.89 9 Dodgers
Cubs vs Reds J.Marquis vs J.Cueto Cubs 56.39% 10.92 23 Cubs
Nationals vs Braves T.Redding vs M.Hampton Braves 55.48% 8.81 13 Nationals
Padres vs Brewers J.Peavy vs B.Sheets Brewers 71.71% 8.88 1 Brewers
Marlins vs Cardinals S.Olsen vs T.Wellemeyer Cardinals 57.98% 9.25 8 Cardinals
Astros vs Rockies R.Oswalt vs J.Francis Rockies 62.87% 8.93 2 Astros
Pirates vs Giants P.Maholm vs M.Cain Giants 54.24% 7.38 13 Giants
A's vs Orioles G.Smith vs G.Olson Orioles 50.49% 10.93 6 A's
Rays vs Blue Jays J.Shields vs S.Marcum Rays 59.20% 10.30 11 Blue Jays
Red Sox vs Rangers T.Wakefield vs M.Harrison Rangers 57.24% 12.14 23 Rangers
Indians vs Royals Z.Jackson vs G.Meche Royals 58.70% 9.10 4 Royals
Tigers vs Twins J.Verlander vs S.Baker Twins 52.65% 8.51 10 Tigers
Angels vs White Sox J.Lackey vs G.Floyd Angels 51.93% 11.68 13 White Sox
Yankees vs Mariners S.Ponson vs R.Rowland-Smith Yankees 52.05% 9.92 11 Yankees
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Thursday, September 04, 2008

Simulations for Friday, September 5th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
DBacks vs Dodgers D.Haren vs D.Lowe Dodgers 52.53% 8.46 7 Dodgers
Phillies vs Mets B.Myers vs M.Pelfrey Mets 54.71% 9.93 3 Phillies
Cubs vs Reds T.Lilly vs B.Arroyo Cubs 54.29% 11.91 12 Reds
Nationals vs Braves J.Bergmann vs J.Jurrjens Braves 63.20% 9.05 15 Braves
Padres vs Brewers J.Geer vs C.Sabathia Brewers 73.99% 9.95 5 Brewers
Marlins vs Cardinals R.Nolasco vs B.Looper Marlins 54.45% 9.59 5 Marlins
Astros vs Rockies B.Moehler vs U.Jimenez Rockies 69.44% 9.55 8 Rockies
Pirates vs Giants Z.Duke vs K.Correia Giants 54.70% 8.55 7 Pirates
A's vs Orioles D.Braden vs C.Waters A's 55.00% 10.92 13 A's
Rays vs Blue Jays A.Sonnanstine vs A.Burnett Blue Jays 52.41% 9.91 10 Blue Jays
Red Sox vs Rangers J.Beckett vs K.Millwood Rangers 51.52% 10.61 9 Red Sox
Indians vs Royals A.Reyes vs B.Duckworth Indians 50.08% 10.51 12 Indians
Tigers vs Twins A.Galarraga vs F.Liriano Twins 57.52% 8.82 12 Twins
Angels vs White Sox D.Moseley vs M.Buehrle White Sox 63.58% 12.68 12 White Sox
Yankees vs Mariners A.Pettitte vs B.Morrow Yankees 63.05% 10.36 5 Mariners
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Wednesday, September 03, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, September 4th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Pirates vs Reds T.Gorzelanny vs J.Fogg Reds 59.67% 11.68 14 Reds
Nationals vs Braves J.Bergmann vs J.Reyes Braves 59.30% 9.70 2 Braves
Padres vs Brewers S.Estes vs J.Suppan Brewers 66.66% 10.86 7 Padres
Angels vs Tigers E.Santana vs K.Rogers Angels 60.89% 10.37 8 Angels
A's vs Royals D.Eveland vs B.Bannister A's 53.80% 9.01 9 Royals
A's vs Royals D.Meyer vs K.Davies A's 50.83% 9.21 15 Royals
Twins vs Blue Jays K.Slowey vs J.Litsch Blue Jays 58.15% 9.26 9 Blue Jays
Yankees vs Rays D.Rasner vs S.Kazmir Rays 66.37% 10.44 12 Rays
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Tuesday, September 02, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, September 3rd

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Padres vs Dodgers W.LeBlanc vs H.Kuroda Dodgers 70.64% 8.28 10 Dodgers
Braves vs Marlins J.Campillo vs C.Volstad Marlins 59.34% 9.09 8 Marlins
Phillies vs Nationals J.Blanton vs O.Perez Phillies 61.05% 10.63 16 Nationals
Pirates vs Reds R.Ohlendorf vs E.Volquez Reds 72.30% 10.53 11 Pirates
Mets vs Brewers O.Perez vs D.Bush Brewers 63.77% 12.15 11 Mets
Astros vs Cubs R.Wolf vs R.Dempster Cubs 68.60% 9.59 4 Astros
Giants vs Rockies B.Zito vs A.Cook Rockies 76.00% 9.58 11 Giants
Cardinals vs DBacks K.Lohse vs D.Davis DBacks 59.49% 10.34 7 DBacks
Orioles vs Red Sox L.Cormier vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 78.74% 10.30 9 Red Sox
White Sox vs Indians J.Vazquez vs J.Sowers White Sox 57.38% 11.62 6 White Sox
Angels vs Tigers J.Garland vs Z.Miner Angels 52.63% 10.40 15 Tigers
Twins vs Blue Jays N.Blackburn vs A.Burnett Blue Jays 79.68% 7.89 9 Blue Jays
Yankees vs Rays C.Pavano vs E.Jackson Rays 50.85% 9.40 12 Yankees
Mariners vs Rangers F.Hernandez vs D.Nippert Rangers 55.15% 10.50 1 Rangers
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Monday, September 01, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, September 2nd

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Padres vs Dodgers C.Baek vs C.Kershaw Dodgers 63.93% 8.28 12 Dodgers
Braves vs Marlins C.Morton vs A.Sanchez Marlins 62.69% 9.57 30 Braves
Phillies vs Nationals C.Hamels vs J.Lannan Phillies 62.27% 9.64 4 Phillies
Pirates vs Reds I.Snell vs A.Harang Reds 62.80% 9.18 5 Pirates
Mets vs Brewers J.Niese vs M.Parra Brewers 65.19% 10.86 11 Mets
Astros vs Cubs B.Backe vs C.Zambrano Cubs 66.69% 9.62 16 Astros
Giants vs Rockies T.Lincecum vs L.Hernandez Rockies 53.92% 8.47 11 Rockies
Cardinals vs DBacks A.Wainwright vs Y.Petit DBacks 57.82% 9.37 10 Cardinals
Orioles vs Red Sox R.Liz vs J.Lester Red Sox 81.95% 10.52 16 Red Sox
White Sox vs Indians J.Danks vs F.Carmona White Sox 53.23% 8.91 12 Indians
Angels vs Tigers J.Saunders vs C.Lambert Angels 55.82% 9.96 9 Angels
Twins vs Blue Jays G.Perkins vs D.Purcey Blue Jays 59.77% 9.88 12 Blue Jays
Yankees vs Rays M.Mussina vs M.Garza Rays 62.61% 7.45 9 Yankees
Mariners vs Rangers R.Feierabend vs B.McCarthy Rangers 69.58% 11.24 10 Rangers
A's vs Royals G.Gonzalez vs Z.Greinke Royals 62.94% 7.46 7 Royals
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Sunday, August 31, 2008

Simulations for Monday, Sep 1st

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Padres vs Dodgers C.Young vs G.Maddux Dodgers 61.54% 9.07 7 Dodgers
Braves vs Marlins M.Hampton vs J.Johnson Marlins 53.20% 8.90 7 Marlins
Mets vs Brewers J.Santana vs B.Sheets Brewers 59.84% 9.27 6 Mets
Giants vs Rockies J.Sanchez vs J.de la Rosa Rockies 64.35% 9.96 4 Rockies
Phillies vs Nationals K.Kendrick vs T.Redding Nationals 50.33 9.18 11 Nationals
Astros vs Cubs R.Oswalt vs J.Marquis Cubs 60.34% 9.42 3 Astros
Cardinals vs DBacks J.Pineiro vs R.Johnson DBacks 54.30% 10.29 14 DBacks
Yankees vs Tigers S.Ponson vs J.Verlander Tigers 50.70% 10.93 6 Tigers
White Sox vs Indians C.Richard vs C.Lee Indians 56.76% 9.95 5 Indians
Orioles vs Red Sox G.Olson vs P.Byrd Red Sox 60.88% 11.08 11 Red Sox
Mariners vs Rangers C.Silva vs M.Harrison Rangers 65.48% 10.53 18 Mariners
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore
Las Vegas Hilton Odds

Saturday, August 30, 2008

Simulations for Sunday, August 31st

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs DBacks D.Lowe vs B.Webb DBacks 50.17% 8.85 9 Dodgers
Phillies vs Cubs J.Moyer vs C.Zambrano Cubs 63.15% 9.83 8 Phillies
Brewers vs Pirates C.Sabathia vs J.Karstens Brewers 56.53% 9.53 7 Brewers
Mets vs Marlins P.Martinez vs S.Olsen Marlins 51.72% 9.09 8 Mets
Giants vs Reds M.Cain vs B.Arroyo Reds 57.53% 7.65 12 Reds
Braves vs Nationals J.Jurrjens vs C.Balester Braves 50.67% 8.94 12 Nationals
Cardinals vs Astros T.Wellemeyer vs W.Rodriguez Astros 51.89 8.43 3 Astros
Rockies vs Padres J.Francis vs J.Peavy Padres 52.06% 5.98 3 Padres
White Sox vs Red Sox G.Floyd vs T.Wakefield Red Sox 63.41% 11.58 6 White Sox
Mariners vs Indians R.Rowland vs Z.Jackson Indians 58.08% 9.79 10 Mariners
Royals vs Tigers G.Meche vs A.Galarraga Tigers 58.39% 9.28 6 Tigers
Blue Jays vs Yankees R.Halladay vs A.Pettitte Yankees 61.52% 9.17 8 Blue Jays
Orioles vs Rays B.Burres vs J.Shields Rays 68.19% 9.43 14 Rays
Twins vs A's S.Baker vs G.Smith Twins 50.99% 8.45 16 Twins
Rangers vs Angels K.Millwood vs J.Lackey Angels 61.59% 9.91 7 Rangers
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore

Friday, August 29, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, August 30th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs DBacks C.Billingsley vs D.Haren Dodgers 52.02% 8.78 8 Dodgers
Phillies vs Cubs B.Myers vs T.Lilly Cubs 62.39 8.99 7 Phillies
Brewers vs Pirates J.Suppan vs P.Maholm Pirates 51.46% 9.97 14 Brewers
Mets vs Marlins M.Pelfrey vs R.Nolasco Marlins 58.32% 8.73 7 Marlins
Giants vs Reds K.Correia vs R.Ramirez Reds 54.00% 8.18 13 Reds
Braves vs Nationals J.Reyes vs J.Bergmann Braves 50.65% 8.81 17 Nationals
Cardinals vs Astros B.Looper vs B.Moehler Astros 51.19% 8.93 13 Astros
Rockies vs Padres U.Jimenez vs J.Geer Rockies 52.57% 6.56 13 Padres
White Sox vs Red Sox M.Buehrle vs M.Bowden Red Sox 58.13% 11.99 10 Red Sox
Mariners vs Indians J.Washburn vs A.Reyes Indians 63.73% 9.48 7 Mariners
Royals vs Tigers B.Duckworth vs K.Rogers Tigers 59.16% 10.40 16 Royals
Blue Jays vs Yankees J.Parrish vs D.Rasner Yankees 67.06% 10.38 13 Blue Jays
Orioles vs Rays C.Waters vs A.Sonnanstine Rays 65.23% 9.88 19 Rays
Twins vs A's F.Liriano vs D.Braden Twins 54.25% 8.20 5 A's
Rangers vs Angels S.Feldman vs J.Weaver Angels 61.15% 10.55 7 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Simulations for Friday, August 29th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs DBacks H.Kuroda vs D.Davis Dodgers 54.53% 9.64 12 DBacks
Phillies vs Cubs J.Blanton vs R.Harden Cubs 71.10% 8.78 5 Cubs
Brewers vs Pirates D.Bush vs T.Gorzelanny Brewers 59.32% 10.90 4 Brewers
Mets vs Marlins O.Perez vs C.Volstad Mets 52.00% 9.53 9 Mets
Giants vs Reds B.Zito vs E.Volquez Reds 60.59% 7.50 18 Reds
Braves vs Nationals J.Campillo vs O.Perez Braves 55.77% 8.32 10 Nationals
Cardinals vs Astros K.Lohse vs R.Wolf Astros 51.70% 8.89 5 Astros
Rockies vs Padres A.Cook vs D.Hayhurst Rockies 56.85% 9.48 13 Rockies
White Sox vs Red Sox J.Vazquez vs D.Matsuzaka Red Sox 58.26% 11.24 8 Red Sox
Mariners vs Indians F.Hernandez vs J.Sowers Indians 56.85% 9.48 5 Mariners
Royals vs Tigers K.Davies vs Z.Miner Tigers 62.02% 10.60 9 Tigers
Blue Jays vs Yankees A.Burnett vs C.Pavano Yankees 64.24% 9.36 3 Yankees
Orioles vs Rays J.Guthrie vs S.Kazmir Rays 65.78% 9.13 17 Rays
Twins vs A's K.Slowey vs D.Meyer Twins 54.22% 8.40 14 Twins
Rangers vs Angels D.Nippert vs E.Santana Angels 64.67% 10.22 4 Angels
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, August 28th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Nationals C.Kershaw vs J.Lannan Dodgers 53.23% 8.32 13 Nationals
Reds vs Astros A.Harang vs B.Backe Astros 57.68% 7.54 5 Astros
Marlins vs Braves A.Sanchez vs C.Morton Braves 52.53% 9.50 6 Braves
Phillies vs Cubs C.Hamels vs R.Dempster Cubs 58.16% 8.91 10 Cubs
Red Sox vs Yankees J.Lester vs M.Mussina Yankees 60.09% 9.92 5 Yankees
Blue Jays vs Rays J.Litsch vs E.Jackson Rays 56.99% 9.54 5 Rays
Rangers vs Angels B.McCarthy vs J.Garland Angels 55.30% 11.24 12 Angels
Twins vs A's N.Blackburn vs D.Eveland A's 50.10% 8.94 5 A's
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore

Simulations for Wednesday, August 27th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Nationals G.Maddux vs T.Redding Dodgers 60.05 8.48 9 Nationals
Cubs vs Pirates J.Marquis vs Z.Duke Cubs 62.32% 10.47 2 Cubs
Mets vs Phillies J.Santana vs K.Kendrick Phillies 50.16% 10.92 9 Mets
Marlins vs Braves J.Johnson vs M.Hampton Braves 54.33% 8.77 5 Marlins
Reds vs Astros J.Fogg vs R.Oswalt Astros 68.24% 7.82 5 Astros
Brewers vs Cardinals M.Parra vs A.Wainwright Cardinals 62.23% 8.58 8 Cardinals
DBacks vs Padres R.Johnson vs C.Baek DBacks 52.53% 6.58 9 Padres
Rockies vs Giants L.Hernandez vs T.Lincecum Giants 53.84% 7.60 5 Giants
White Sox vs Orioles J.Danks vs R.Liz White Sox 59.60% 11.14 14 Orioles
Indians vs Tigers F.Carmona vs J.Verlander Tigers 57.59% 9.17 16 Indians
Red Sox vs Yankees P.Byrd vs S.Ponson Yankees 60.03% 10.29 14 Red Sox
Blue Jays vs Rays D.Purcey vs M.Garza Rays 63.46% 8.75 1 Rays
Rangers vs Royals M.Harrison vs B.Bannister Royals 52.80% 10.32 5 Rangers
A's vs Angels G.Gonzalez vs J.Saunders Angels 58.50% 8.87 11 A's
Twins vs Mariners G.Perkins vs R.Feieraband Mariners 51.89% 9.08 11 Twins
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore

Monday, August 25, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, August 26th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Nationals D.Lowe vs C.Balester Dodgers 54.16 8.94 3 Nationals
Cubs vs Pirates C.Zambrano vs I.Snell Pirates 50.36% 9.09 23 Cubs
Mets vs Phillies P.Martinez vs J.Moyer Phillies 55.12% 10.47 15 Phillies
Marlins vs Braves S.Olsen vs J.Jurrjens Braves 61.23% 8.61 19 Braves
Reds vs Astros B.Arroyo vs W.Rodriguez Astros 61.14% 8.39 3 Reds
Brewers vs Cardinals B.Sheets vs T.Wellemeyer Cardinals 55.36% 8.17 12 Brewers
DBacks vs Padres B.Webb vs C.Reineke DBacks 55.51% 6.67 11 Padres
Rockies vs Giants J.de la Rosa vs M.Palmer Rockies 57.39% 8.4 9 Rockies
White Sox vs Orioles G.Floyd vs B.Burres White Sox 54.35% 11.16 11 White Sox
Indians vs Tigers C.Lee vs C.Lambert Indians 52.65% 9.83 14 Indians
Red Sox vs Yankees T.Wakefield vs A.Pettitte Yankees 63.07% 10.18 10 Red Sox
Blue Jays vs Rays R.Halladay vs J.Shields Rays 61.52% 8.43 8 Blue Jays
Rangers vs Royals K.Millwood vs Z.Greinke Royals 55.14% 9.76 3 Rangers
A's vs Angels G.Smith vs J.Lackey Angels 60.92% 8.89 6 Angels
Twins vs Mariners S.Baker vs R.Smith Mariners 45.19% 8.54 5 Mariners
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore

Sunday, August 24, 2008

Simulations for Monday, August 25th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Phillies C.Billingsley vs B.Myers Dodgers 52.01% 9.89 5 Phillies
Cubs vs Pirates T.Lilly vs J.Karstens Cubs 51.75% 9.29 15 Cubs
Astros vs Mets B.Moehler vs M.Pelfrey Mets 60.38% 8.31 10 Mets
DBacks vs Padres D.Haren vs J.Peavy DBacks 50.40% 6.40 6 Padres
Rockies vs Giants J.Francis vs M.Cain Giants 50.17% 7.95 6 Rockies
White Sox vs Orioles C.Richard vs C.Waters White Sox 55.36% 12.33 7 White Sox
Indians vs Tigers Z.Jackson vs A.Galarraga Tigers 60.30% 9.91 7 Indians
Rangers vs Royals S.Feldman vs G.Meche Royals 57.63% 9.76 13 Rangers
A's vs Angels D.Braden vs J.Weaver Angels 57.87% 9.03 3 A's
Twins vs Mariners F.Liriano vs M.Batista Twins 55.45% 9.11 6 Mariners
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
AccuScore

Simulations for Sunday, August 24th

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Phillies H.Kuroda vs J.Blanton Phillies 51.79% 9.73 7 Phillies
Nationals vs Cubs J.Bergmann vs R.Harden Cubs 71.08% 8.75 7 Cubs
Astros vs Mets R.Wolf vs O.Perez Mets 56.27% 8.46 10 Astros
Pirates vs Brewers P.Maholm vs C.Sabathia Brewers 68.88% 8.91 7 Brewers
Braves vs Cardinals J.Reyes vs B.Looper Cardinals 55.07% 8.35 9 Cardinals
Reds vs Rockies J.Cueto vs U.Jimenez Rockies 69.67% 9.96 7 Rockies
Marlins vs DBacks R.Nolasco vs D.Davis DBacks 55.16% 10.01 7 Marlins
Padres vs Giants J.Banks vs K.Correia Giants 56.75% 7.44 11 Giants
Yankees vs Orioles D.Rasner vs D.Cabrera Yankees 58.07% 11.02 15 Yankees
Red Sox vs Blue Jays D.Matsuzaka vs A.Burnett Red Sox 44.54% 9.83 11 Red Sox
Indians vs Rangers A.Reyes vs V.Padilla Rangers 59.23% 10.78 7 Indians
Tigers vs Royals K.Rogers vs B.Duckworth Tigers 51.58% 10.33 10 KC
Rays vs White Sox A.Sonnanstine vs M.Buehrle White Sox 56.59% 10.75 11 CWS
Twins vs Angels K.Slowey vs E.Santana Angels 58.08% 8.65 8 Angels
A's vs Mariners D.Meyer vs F.Hernandez Mariners 59.60% 8.45 12 Mariners
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
After having broke even with Vegas for the past two months, the simulator is now undergoing some fine tuning to improve it's results.

Saturday, August 23, 2008

Simulations for Saturday, August 23rd

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Phillies C.Kershaw vs C.Hamels Phillies 54.64% 9.51 11 Phillies
Nationals vs Cubs O.Perez vs R.Dempster Cubs 68.83% 9.27 11 Cubs
Astros vs Mets B.Backe vs J.Maine Mets 63.60% 8.75 11 Astros
Pirates vs Brewers T.Gorzelanny vs J.Suppan Brewers 68.47% 10.19 9 Brewers
Braves vs Cardinals J.Campillo vs K.Lohse Cardinals 53.66% 7.87 12 Braves
Reds vs Rockies E.Volquez vs A.Cook Rockies 66.11% 9.5 13 Rockies
Marlins vs DBacks C.Volstad vs Y.Petit DBacks 60.93% 10.6 8 DBacks
Padres vs Giants D.Hayhurst vs B.Zito Giants 55.50% 7.58 7 Giants
Yankees vs Orioles C.Pavano vs J.Guthrie Orioles 45.71% 10.58 8 Yankees
Red Sox vs Blue Jays J.Lester vs J.Litsch Red Sox 50.36 10.06 11 Blue Jays
Indians vs Rangers J.Sowers vs B.McCarthy Rangers 61.23 10.65 15 Indians
Tigers vs Royals Z.Miner vs K.Davies Tigers 53.35% 10.39 4 Tigers
Rays vs White Sox S.Kazmir vs J.Vazquez White Sox 53.99 10.91 8 Rays
Twins vs Angels N.Blackburn vs J.Garland Angels 55.70% 9.24 12 Angels
A's vs Mariners D.Eveland vs J.Washburn Mariners 52.51% 8.53 6 A's
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
After having broke even with Vegas for the past two months, the simulator is now undergoing some fine tuning to improve it's results.

Thursday, August 21, 2008

Simulations for Friday, August 22nd

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Dodgers vs Phillies G.Maddux vs K.Kendrick Phillies 50.53% 9.93% 9 Phillies
Nationals vs Cubs J.Lannan vs J.Marquis Cubs 64.60% 9.37 18 Nationals
Astros vs Mets R.Oswalt vs J.Santana Mets 56.95% 7.81 3 Mets
Pirates vs Brewers Z.Duke vs D.Bush Brewers 67.98% 9.60 14 Brewers
Braves vs Cardinals C.Morton vs A.Wainwright Cardinals 59.25% 8.00 21 Cardinals
Reds vs Rockies A.Harang vs L.Hernandez Rockies 63.71% 10.66 13 Reds
Marlins vs DBacks A.Sanchez vs R.Johnson DBacks 56.71% 10.10 9 Marlins
Padres vs Giants C.Baek vs T.Lincecum Giants 59.97% 6.56 5 Giants
Yankees vs Orioles M.Mussina vs R.Liz Yankees 65.86% 11.35 13 Yankees
Red Sox vs Blue Jays P.Byrd vs S.Marcum Blue Jays 51.78% 10.84 12 Red Sox
Indians vs Rangers F.Carmona vs M.Harrison Rangers 57.86% 10.75 12 Indians
Tigers vs Royals J.Verlander vs B.Bannister Tigers 51.04% 9.99 7 Tigers
Rays vs White Sox E.Jackson vs J.Danks White Sox 61.55% 10.95 13 Rays
Twins vs Angels G.Perkins vs J.Saunders Angels 60.75% 9.24 9 Twins
A's vs Mariners G.Gonzalez vs R.Feierabend A's 51.85% 8.82 12 Mariners
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
After having broke even with Vegas for the past two months, the simulator is now undergoing some fine tuning to improve it's results.

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Simulations for Thursday, August 21st

Teams Pitching Matchup Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Rockies vs Dodgers J.de la Rosa vs D.Lowe Dodgers 56.83% 9.22 4 Dodgers
Nationals vs Phillies T.Redding vs J.Moyer Phillies 62.16% 9.82 7 Nationals
Braves vs Mets M.Hampton vs P.Martinez Mets 52.27% 8.62 9 Mets
Reds vs Cubs J.Fogg vs C.Zambrano Cubs 67.68% 9.52 5 Cubs
Padres vs DBacks C.Reineke vs B.Webb DBacks 65.90% 9.13 TBD TBD
Marlins vs Giants J.Johnson vs M.Palmer Marlins 52.91% 8.00 7 Giants
Royals vs Indians Z.Greinke vs C.Lee Indians 59.87% 7.76 13 Indians
Yankees vs Blue Jays S.Ponson vs R.Halladay Blue Jays 56.46% 9.90 17 Blue Jays
Twins vs Angels S.Baker vs J.Lackey Angels 59.17% 8.89 3 Twins
A's vs Mariners G.Smith vs R.Smith Mariners 57.35% 8.42 2 Mariners
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
After having broke even with Vegas for the past two months, the simulator is now undergoing some fine tuning to improve it's results.

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Simulations for Wednesday, August 20th

Teams Pitching Matchup Sim Favorite Sim Odds Sim Total Runs Actual Total Runs Winner
Rockies vs Dodgers J.Francis vs C.Billingsley Dodgers 63.27% 8.83 7 Rockies
Nationals vs Phillies C.Balester vs B.Myers Phillies 63.41% 10.27 4 Phillies
Braves vs Mets J.Jurrjens vs M.Pelfrey Mets 53.60% 8.22 9 Mets
Astros vs Brewers W.Rodriguez vs M.Parra Brewers 65.23% 9.11 7 Brewers
Reds vs Cubs B.Arroyo vs T.Lilly Cubs 64.28% 9.43 3 Reds
Pirates vs Cardinals J.Davis vs T.Wellemeyer Cardinals 62.74% 8.04 13 Cardinals
Padres vs DBacks J.Peavy vs D.Haren DBacks 60.32% 8.80 14 DBacks
Marlins vs Giants S.Olsen vs M.Cain Giants 58.51% 7.74 11 Giants
Red Sox vs Orioles C.Buchholz vs C.Waters Red Sox 60.97% 11.30 17 Orioles
Royals vs Indians G.Meche vs Z.Jackson Royals 52.03% 8.85 13 Indians
Yankees vs Blue Jays A.Pettitte vs D.Purcey Yankees 53.52% 10.54 6 Yankees
Angels vs Rays J.Weaver vs M.Garza Rays 60.61% 8.87 6 Angels
Tigers vs Rangers N.Robertson vs K.Millwood Rangers 54.36% 10.81 10 Rangers
A's vs Twins D.Braden vs F.Liriano Twins 58.57% 7.53 4 Twins
Mariners vs White Sox R.Dickey vs G.Floyd White Sox 60.68% 11.10 18 White Sox
Simulator Setup File Download
Pinnacle Sports / Vegas Odds
After having broke even with Vegas for the past two months, the simulator is now undergoing some fine tuning to improve it's results.

Monday, August 18, 2008

Simulations for Tuesday, August 19th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Rockies vs Dodgers U.Jimenez vs H.Kuroda Dodgers -139 +131 8.0 55.34% 8.85/11 63%/9.1 Rockies
Nationals vs Phillies J.Bergmann vs J.Blanton Phillies -225 +207 8.8 64.70% 9.65/9 70%/8.2 Phillies
Braves vs Mets J.Reyes vs O.Perez Mets -191 +180 9.3 57.26% 8.37/10 63%/10.0 Mets
Astros vs Brewers B.Moehler vs B.Sheets Brewers -240 +222 7.8 67.67% 8.72/7 64%/7.8 Astros
Reds vs Cubs J.Cueto vs R.Harden Cubs -300 +270 TBD 69.14% 8.77/5 67%/8.8 Cubs
Pirates vs Cardinals I.Snell vs B.Looper Cardinals -191 +180 9.0 60.07% 8.23/5 71%/10.3 Pirates
Padres vs DBacks J.Banks s D.Davis DBacks -201 +185 9.3 62.96% 9.90/13 59%/9.7 DBacks
Marlins vs Giants R.Nolasco vs K.Correia Marlins -141 +133 8.0 48.44% 7.86/6 57%/8.9 Marlins
Red Sox vs Orioles D.Matsuzaka vs D.Cabrera Red Sox -157 +149 9.0 56.89% 10.35/9 59%/10.5 Red Sox
Royals vs Indians L.Hochevar vs A.Reyes Indians -164 +156 8.9 51.28% 8.89/13 60%/9.6 Indians
Yankees vs Blue Jays D.Rasner vs A.Burnett Blue Jays -125 +117 8.8 53.18% 10.33/3 52%/10.3 Blue Jays
Angels vs Rays E.Santana vs J.Shields Rays -113 +105 7.9 59.46% 8.87/6 49%/8.6 Rays
Tigers vs Rangers A.Galarraga vs V.Padilla Tigers -115 +107 10.9 46.06% 10.75/14 55%/10.8 Tigers
A's vs Twins S.Gallagher vs K.Slowey Twins -201 +185 8.3 55.90% 7.62/15 69%/8.9 Twins
Mariners vs White Sox F.Hernandez vs C.Richard Mariners -107 -101 9.2 47.80% 10.98/5 53%/10.1 White Sox
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $1446 -$712 $5645 12.92%
AccuScore $1080 -$530 $10967 119.35%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Atl($182), Pit($109), SF($252), KC($264), TB($227), Tex($181), Oak($231)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): LAD($192), Atl($111), Hou($119), Cin($136), Stl($260), SD($151), Min($111)

Sunday, August 17, 2008

Simulations for Monday, August 18th

Teams Pitching Matchup Vegas Fave Vegas ML Vegas O/U Sim Odds Sim/Actual Runs AccuScore Winner
Mets vs Pirates J.Maine vs P.Maholm Mets -132 +124 8.3 45.62% 8.76/7 50%/8.7 Pirates
Giants vs Braves B.Zito vs J.Campillo Braves -201 +185 8.4 62.45% 7.97/5 68%/9.2 Giants
Astros vs Brewers R.Wolf vs C.Sabathia Brewers -261 +241 7.4 64.99% 8.87/12 67%/8.3 Brewers
Red Sox vs Orioles J.Lester vs J.Guthrie Red Sox -119 +111 8.4 55.50% 9.63/9 48%/9.7 Red Sox
Angels vs Rays J.Garland vs A.Sonnanstine Rays -116 +108 9.2 62.38% 9.26/10 48%/9.5 Rays
Tigers vs Rangers K.Rogers vs S.Feldman Rangers -109 +101 11.6 54.02% 10.75/TBD 51%/12.5 TBD
A's vs Twins J.Duchscherer vs N.Blackburn Twins -127 +119 7.9 52.94% 7.57/5 53%/7.7 A's
Mariners vs White Sox J.Washburn vs M.Buehrle White Sox -201 +185 9.0 65.70% 10.32/18 69%/10.0 White Sox
Simulator Setup File Download
Method Amount Bet Gain/Loss Day Current Total Percent Gain
Xeifrank's Simulator $727 $487 $5157 3.16%
AccuScore $542 -$15 $10982 119.66%
Pinnacle Sports
I am now making ficticious bets to track how well my simulator is doing vs Vegas Odds and AccuScore. I will use the same betting method for both my simulator and AccuScore vs Vegas odds to see which method would win/lose more money. Odds will be taken from PinnacleSports.com and when not available from LV Hilton Sports Book. This method will begin keeping track on games starting 7/13/08. The Kelly Strategy will be used for all ML (Money Line) bets. Bet totals are listed below. I started each method with $5,000 units.
Today's Bets (Simulator): Pit($293), Hou($134), TB($300)
Today's Bets (AccuScore): Pit($161), Bal($145), LAA($125), CWS($111)