Saturday, May 16, 2015

Best Daily Fantasy Baseball Pitcher Starts 5/16


Taking a break from posting but you can find me at @Dodgersims on twitter to read my takes.



Saturday 5/16 Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher Rankings

RankPitcherTeam Win ChanceOpp Expected RSResult
1Zack Greinke67.74%2.83TBD
2Felix Hernandez62.26%2.95TBD
3Max Scherzer55.95%3.17TBD
4Jesse Chavez60.32%3.48TBD
5Jake deGrom57.45%3.47TBD
6Mike Leake59.02%3.67TBD
7Mat Latos53.70%3.69TBD
8Andrew Cashner44.05%3.57TBD
9Danny Salazar55.95%4.29TBD
10David Price50.98%4.06TBD
11Alex Colome51.92%4.10TBD
11Danny Duffy51.22%4.13TBD
13Ubaldo Jimenez55.16%4.33TBD
14Alex Wood46.30%3.97TBD
15Gerrit Cole50.74%4.15TBD
16Tyler Lyons49.02%4.14TBD
17Archie Bradley50.50%4.26TBD
18Rick Porcello37.74%3.79TBD
19Jon Lester49.26%4.21TBD
20Scott Feldman53.49%4.45TBD
21C.C. Sabathia48.78%4.23TBD
21Trevor May48.08%4.26TBD
23Jerome Williams49.50%4.30TBD
24Matt Garza42.55%4.03TBD
25John Danks39.68%4.30TBD
26Ryan Vogelsong40.98%4.41TBD
27Marco Estrada46.51%4.77TBD
28Jorge de la Rosa32.26%4.11TBD
29Matt Shoemaker44.84%4.80TBD
30Colby Lewis44.05%4.83TBD
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Thursday, May 14, 2015

Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/15

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Friday 5/15/2015 Best Fantasy Pitcher Starts
RankPitcherTeam Win ChanceOpp Expected RSResult
1Clayton Kershaw74.03%2.64TBD
2Bartolo Colon58.59%3.47TBD
3Madison Bumgarner58.76%3.64TBD
4Jordan Zimmerman53.16%3.50TBD
5David Phelps56.43%3.74TBD
5Dallas Keuchel58.42%3.81TBD
7Michael Pineda53.60%3.60TBD
7Jesse Hahn53.60%3.67TBD
9Carlos Martinez56.80%3.85TBD
10J.A. Happ50.86%3.82TBD
11Kyle Hendricks52.72%3.94TBD
12Chase Anderson54.44%4.03TBD
13Clay Buchholz49.14%3.88TBD
14Odrisame Despaigne46.84%3.72TBD
15Phil Hughes50.62%3.95TBD
16Jake Odorizzi49.38%4.00TBD
17Chris Young46.40%3.87TBD
18Carlos Rodon46.40%3.94TBD
19Wei-Yin Chen54.65%4.35TBD
20Wandy Rodriguez54.02%4.42TBD
21Jeff Locke47.28%4.16TBD
22Kyle Lohse41.41%4.12TBD
23Julio Teheran43.57%4.25TBD
24Chad Billingsley45.56%4.41TBD
25Jason Marquis41.24%4.35TBD
26Shane Greene43.20%4.41TBD
27R.A. Dickey41.58%4.52TBD
28Bruce Chen45.98%4.79TBD
28Jered Weaver45.35%4.77TBD
30Eddie Butler25.97%4.46TBD
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Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/14

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Top Fantasy baseball starting pitchers for Thursday 5/14

RankPitcherTeam Win ChanceOpp Expected RSResult
1Brett Anderson65.81%3.46TBD
2Johnny Cueto61.46%3.31TBD
3Tyson Ross53.16%3.59TBD
4Anibal Sanchez61.83%3.90TBD
5Roenis Elias54.44%3.72TBD
5Travis Wood54.85%3.70TBD
7Vance Worley54.02%3.88TBD
8Doug Fister46.84%3.59TBD
9Michael Wacha51.34%3.82TBD
10Chase Whitley51.81%4.04TBD
11Trevor Bauer48.66%3.92TBD
12Erasmo Ramirez48.19%4.19TBD
13Joe Kelly45.56%4.06TBD
13Jonathon Niese45.15%4.08TBD
15Aaron Harang45.98%4.20TBD
16Jeremy Guthrie53.16%4.68TBD
17Roberto Hernandez50.37%4.55TBD
18Drew Hutchison49.63%4.58TBD
19Tim Lincecum38.54%4.18TBD
20Ross Detwiler46.84%4.99TBD
21Mike Pelfrey38.17%4.97TBD
22Chad Bettis34.19%4.80TBD

Note:  These rankings take into account how many runs the opposing team is expected to score and what are the chances that the starting pitcher will get a "win".

Tuesday, May 12, 2015

Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/13

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Wednesday 5/13/2015 Best Fantasy Pitcher Starts

For those of you who like to stream starting pitchers in fantasy baseball, here is a list of the best starts of the day.

RankPitcherTeam Win ChanceOpp Expected RSResult
1Sonny Gray58.07%3.53TBD
2Hector Santiago60.40%3.67TBD
3Carlos Frias58.93%3.63TBD
4Francisco Liriano53.60%3.43TBD
5Matt Harvey52.94%3.64TBD
6Corey Kluber55.26%3.83TBD
7Raisel Iglesias57.36%4.02TBD
8Cole Hamels46.40%3.69TBD
9Taijuan Walker50.37%3.83TBD
10James Shields49.63%3.86TBD
11Jason Hammel47.06%3.86TBD
12Gio Gonzalez56.99%4.27TBD
13Kyle Lobstein57.17%4.38TBD
14Nathan Karns50.37%4.05TBD
15Yordano Ventura54.85%4.22TBD
16Adam Warren49.63%4.08TBD
17Miguel Gonzalez52.94%4.27TBD
18Jimmy Nelson51.10%4.21TBD
19Brad Oberholtzer52.27%4.38TBD
20Jose Quintana48.90%4.30TBD
21John Lackey44.74%4.26TBD
22Wade Miley41.93%4.15TBD
23Tim Hudson47.73%4.58TBD
23Aaron Sanchez47.06%4.53TBD
25Jarred Cosart41.07%4.35TBD
26Yovani Gallardo45.15%4.65TBD
27Eric Stults42.64%4.67TBD
28Jordan Lyles39.60%4.53TBD
29Jeremy Hellickson43.01%4.91TBD
30Ricky Nolasco42.83%5.06TBD
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Monday, May 11, 2015

Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/12

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Tuesday 5/12/2015 Best Fantasy Pitcher Starts

For those of you who like to stream starting pitchers in fantasy baseball, here is a list of the best starts of the day.  

RankPitcherTeam Win ChanceOpp Expected RSResult
1C.J. Wilson63.57%3.56TBD
2A.J. Burnett59.43%3.77TBD
3Anthony DeSclafani58.25%3.80TBD
4Jake Arrieta57.36%3.70TBD
5Michael Bolsinger56.62%3.73TBD
6James Paxton55.26%3.78TBD
7Chris Archer52.94%3.68TBD
8Collin McHugh57.36%3.96TBD
9Stephen Strasburg58.07%4.02TBD
10Alfredo Simon57.54%4.04TBD
11Chris Sale53.60%3.91TBD
12Edinson Volquez54.23%4.09TBD
13Carlos Carrasco52.04%4.05TBD
14Drew Pomeranz50.62%4.06TBD
15Nathan Eovaldi47.06%3.90TBD
16Chris Tillman54.65%4.32TBD
17Justin Masterson49.38%4.11TBD
18Lance Lynn47.96%4.22TBD
19Mike Fiers46.40%4.20TBD
20Ian Kennedy44.74%4.20TBD
21Dan Haren43.38%4.26TBD
22Noah Syndergaard42.64%4.30TBD
23Nick Martinez45.77%4.45TBD
24Michael Foltynewicz41.75%4.49TBD
25Chris Heston42.64%4.60TBD
26Mark Buehrle45.35%4.74TBD
27Sean O'Sullivan40.57%4.56TBD
28Kyle Gibson42.46%4.70TBD
29Rubby De La Rosa41.93%4.73TBD
30Kyle Hendricks36.43%4.70TBD
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Sunday, May 10, 2015

Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/11

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  Monday 5/11/2015 Best Fantasy Pitcher Starts
For those of you who like to stream starting pitchers in fantasy baseball, here is a list of the best starts of the day.  

RankPitcherTeam Win ChanceOpp Expected RSResult
1Zack Greinke67.21%3.04TBD
2Gerrit Cole62.19%3.41TBD
3Jon Lester58.42%3.52TBD
4Scott Kazmir55.65%3.67TBD
5Mike Leake57.54%3.74TBD
6Alex Colome53.38%3.66TBD
7Max Scherzer56.14%3.85TBD
8Danny Duffy53.60%4.16TBD
9Ubaldo Jimenez53.60%4.27TBD
10C.C. Sabathia46.62%3.92TBD
11Wily Peralta50.12%4.18TBD
12Jeff Samardzija49.88%4.19TBD
13Odrisamer Despaigne44.35%4.11TBD
14Jake deGrom41.58%4.18TBD
15Colby Lewis46.40%4.47TBD
16Josh Collmenter43.86%4.35TBD
17Shelby Miller42.46%4.35TBD
18Marco Estrada46.40%4.59TBD
19Jerome Williams37.81%4.37TBD
20Tom Koehler32.79%4.36TBD
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Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/10

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Sunday 5/10/2015 Best Fantasy Pitcher Starts

For those of you who like to stream starting pitchers in fantasy baseball, here is a list of the best starts of the day.  Starters were not named for SD/ARI game when this post was published thus they are left out of the table (Update: Cashner (SD) would slot at #15 and Hudson (ARI) at #21 with those below them moving down).

RankPitcherTeam Win ChanceOpp Expected RSResult
1Felix Hernandez62.34%3.14TBD
2Clayton Kershaw64.03%3.58TBD
3Jordan Zimmerman61.83%3.42TBD
4Jake Odorizzi60.63%3.42TBD
5Garrett Richards59.10%3.72TBD
6Bartolo Colon58.59%3.77TBD
7Michael Pineda60.71%3.82TBD
8Danny Salazar60.55%3.91TBD
9Shane Greene56.90%3.94TBD
10Ryan Vogelsong52.04%3.96TBD
11Jeff Locke51.10%4.00TBD
12Tyler Lyons48.90%4.09TBD
13Mat Latos47.96%4.13TBD
14R.A. Dickey53.81%4.43TBD
15Kyle Hendricks50.62%4.45TBD
16Matt Garza49.38%4.51TBD
17Jesse Chavez37.66%4.04TBD
18John Danks51.81%4.76TBD
19Wandy Rodriguez39.37%4.24TBD
20Chad Billingsley41.41%4.49TBD
21Chris Young43.10%4.53TBD
22Alex Wood38.17%4.36TBD
23Scott Feldman40.90%4.47TBD
24Clay Buchholz46.19%4.78TBD
25Odrisamer Despaigne48.19%4.94TBD
26Bud Norris39.29%4.74TBD
27Trevor May39.45%4.84TBD
28Jorge de la Rosa35.97%4.78TBD
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Saturday, May 09, 2015

Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/9

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Saturday 5/9/2015 Best Fantasy Pitcher Starts

For those of you who like to stream starting pitchers in fantasy baseball, here is a list of the best starts of the day.

RankPitcherTeam Win ChanceOpp Expected RSResult
1Madison Bumgarner61.46%3.02TBD
2Doug Fister59.27%3.51TBD
3Clayton Kershaw61.46%3.82TBD
4Johnny Cueto57.45%3.74TBD
5J.A. Happ52.04%3.78TBD
6Matt Andriese56.33%3.92TBD
7Anibal Sanchez59.76%4.11Loss, 6ip 5er 9h 2k 3bb
8Jonathon Niese52.27%3.86TBD
9Dallas Keuchel50.62%3.81TBD
10Matt Shoemaker49.38%3.86TBD
11Carlos Martinez50.12%3.99TBD
12Vance Worley49.88%4.00TBD
13Chase Whitley53.38%4.18Loss, 5.2ip 5er 6h 5k 2bb
14Jesse Hahn47.96%3.94TBD
15Aaron Harang47.73%4.04TBD
16Tyson Ross50.62%4.30TBD
17Odrisamer Despaigne51.10%4.33TBD
18Drew Hutchison53.60%4.49TBD
19David Phelps38.54%3.82TBD
20Chase Anderson49.38%4.35TBD
21Kyle Lohse48.90%4.42TBD
22Bruce Chen50.86%4.58TBD
23Wei-Yin Chen46.62%4.47Win, 7ip 1er 5h 7k 1bb
24Phil Hughes49.14%4.66TBD
25Julio Teheran40.73%4.23TBD
26Hector Noesi42.55%4.34TBD
27Ross Detwiler43.67%4.45TBD
28Joe Kelly46.40%4.83TBD
29Jorge de la Rosa38.54%4.82TBD
30Jeremy Guthrie40.24%5.01Win, 7.1ip 2er 8h 3k 1bb


Notes:
- Missed second game of White Sox/Reds doubleheader
- Rankings take into account run environment and chance of pitcher getting a win.
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Thursday, May 07, 2015

Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/8

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Friday 5/8/2015 Best Fantasy Pitcher Starts

For those of you who like to stream starting pitchers in fantasy baseball, here is a list of the best starts of the day.

RankPitcherResult
1Gio GonzalezTBD
2Matt HarveyTBD
3David PriceTBD
4Francisco LirianoTBD
5Tim LincecumTBD
6Sonny GrayTBD
7Jered WeaverTBD
8Trevor BauerTBD
9Cole HamelsTBD
10Michael WachaTBD
11Adam WarrenTBD
12Taijuan WalkerTBD
13Nathan KarnsTBD
14Jimmy NelsonTBD
15Jarred CosartTBD
16Odrisamer DespaigneTBD
17James ShieldsTBD
18Alex SanchezTBD
19Yovani GallardoTBD
20Jeremy HellicksonTBD
21Hector NoesiTBD
22Brett AndersonTBD
23Yordano VenturaTBD
24Miguel GonzalezTBD
25Jason MarquisTBD
26Roberto HernandezTBD
27Mike PelfreyTBD
28Eric StultsTBD
29Wade MileyTBD
30Eddie ButlerTBD
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Wednesday, May 06, 2015

Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/7

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Thursday 5/7/2015 Best Fantasy Pitcher Starts

For those of you who like to stream starting pitchers in fantasy baseball, here is a list of the best starts of the day.

RankPitcherResult
1Chris ArcherTBD
2A.J. BurnettTBD
3Tim HudsonTBD
4John LackeyTBD
5Nathan EovaldiTBD
6Corey KluberTBD
7Jose QuintanaTBD
8Hector SantiagoTBD
9Collin McHughTBD
10Dan HarenTBD
11Edinson VolquezTBD
12Mike FiersTBD
13Jake ArrietaTBD
14Drew PomeranzTBD
15Ricky NolascoTBD
15Carlos FriasTBD
17Anthony DeSlafaniTBD
18Rubby De La RosaTBD
19Nick MartinezTBD
20Odrisamer DespaigneTBD
21Kyle LobsteinTBD
22Chris TillmanTBD
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Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/6

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Wednesday 5/6/2015 Best Fantasy Pitcher Starts

For those of you who like to stream starting pitchers in fantasy baseball, here is a list of the best starts of the day.

RankPitcherResult
1Max ScherzerWIN, 7ip, 10h, 5er, 10k, 0bb
2Gerrit ColeTBD
3Chris SaleTBD
4Lance LynnTBD
5Chris HestonLoss, 5ip, 11h, 5er, 4k, 3bb
6Danny DuffyTBD
7Jake deGromTBD
8Michael FoltynewiczTBD
8C.J. WilsonTBD
10Ubaldo JimenezTBD
11Scott KazmirTBD
12Jon LesterTBD
13Justin MastersonTBD
14Ian KennedyWin, 7ip, 6h, 1er, 5k, 0bb
15Joe WielandTBD
16Samuel DedunoTBD
17Mike LeakeTBD
18Carlos CarrascoTBD
19Jerome WilliamsTBD
20Kyle GibsonTBD
21C.C. SabathiaTBD
22Mark BuehrleTBD
23Roenis EliasTBD
24Alex ColomeTBD
25Wily PeraltaTBD
26Alfredo SimonTBD
27Tom KoehlerLoss, 6ip, 7h, 5er, 5k ,1bb
28Tyler MatzekLoss, 2ip, 3h, 4er, 2k, 6bb
29Colby LewisTBD
30Josh CollmenterWin, 7ip, 10h, 5er, 5k, 0bb
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Note: I did not include 2nd game of Rockies/DBacks doubleheader, but both pitchers would be ranked at or near the bottom of the table.
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Monday, May 04, 2015

Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/5

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Tuesday 5/5/2015 Best Fantasy Pitcher Starts

For those of you who like to stream starting pitchers in fantasy baseball, here is a list of the best starts of the day.

RankPitcherResult
1Stephen StrasburgTBD
2Shelby MillerTBD
3Zack GreinkeTBD
4Garrett RichardsTBD
5Andrew CashnerTBD
6Bartolo ColonTBD
7Jeff LockeTBD
8Scott FeldmanTBD
9Rick PorcelloTBD
10Jason VargasTBD
11Tyler LyonsTBD
11Michael PinedaTBD
13Jeff SamardzijaTBD
14Ryan VogelsongTBD
15Danny SalazarTBD
16Bud NorrisTBD
17Jesse ChavezTBD
18Tyler MatzekTBD
19Trevor MayTBD
20Chad BillingsleyTBD
21Kyle HendricksTBD
22James PaxtonTBD
23Shane GreeneTBD
24Michael LorenzenTBD
25Marco EstradaTBD
26Matt GarzaTBD
27Drew SmylyTBD
28Mat LatosTBD
29Wandy RodriguezTBD
30Josh CollmenterTBD
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Sunday, May 03, 2015

Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/4

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Monday 5/4/2015 Best Fantasy Pitcher Starts

For those of you who like to stream starting pitchers in fantasy baseball, here is a list of the best starts of the day.

RankPitcherResult
1Clayton KershawTBD
2Dallas KeuchelTBD
3Madison BumgarnerTBD
4Jordan ZimmermanTBD
5Carlos MartinezTBD
6Alex WoodTBD
7Felix HernandezTBD
8Tyson RossTBD
9Phil HughesTBD
10Clay BuchholzTBD
11Matt ShoemakerTBD
12Jesse HahnTBD
13Aaron HarangTBD
14R.A. DickeyTBD
15Travis WoodTBD
16Taylor MatzekTBD
17Kyle LohseTBD
18David PhelpsTBD
19Jake OdorizziTBD
20Chase WhitleyTBD
21Ross DetwilerTBD
22Josh CollmenterTBD
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Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/3

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Sunday 5/3/2015 Best Fantasy Pitcher Starts

For those of you who like to stream starting pitchers in fantasy baseball, here is a list of the best starts of the day.

RankPlayerResult
1James ShieldsWin
2Johnny CuetoLoss
3Jarred CosartLoss
4Michael WachaND
5Brett AndersonND
5Sonny GrayWin
7Dillon GeeLoss
8Trevor BauerND
9Doug FisterWin
10Tim LincecumWin
11Julio TeheranWin
12Mike PelfreyND
13Jered WeaverLoss
14Wei-Yin ChenND
15Nathan KarnsND
16Joe KellyTBD
17Jason HammelND
18Anibal SanchezWin
19Jason VargasND
20J.A. HappND
21Drew HutchisonND
22Roberto HernandezND
23Vance WorleyND
24Kyle KendrickLoss
25Yovani GallardoLoss
26Chase AndersonND
27John DanksLoss
28Adam WarrenTBD
29Severino GonzalezWin
30Jimmy NelsonND
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Saturday, May 02, 2015

Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/2

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Saturday 5/2/2015 Best Fantasy Pitcher Starts

For those of you who like to stream starting pitchers in fantasy baseball, here is a list of the best starts of the day.

RankPitcherResult
1Jake ArrietaTBD
2Chris ArcherTBD
3Brandon MorrowTBD
4Corey KluberTBD
5Gio GonzalezTBD
6Collin McHughTBD
6Scott BakerTBD
8Dan HarenTBD
9John LackeyTBD
10David PriceTBD
11Drew PomeranzTBD
12Cole HamelsTBD
13Tim HudsonTBD
13Eric StultsTBD
15Francisco LirianoTBD
16Hector SantiagoTBD
16Jason MarquisTBD
18Jonathon NieseTBD
19Edinson VolquezTBD
20Ricky NolascoTBD
21Nathan EovaldiTBD
22Miguel GonzalezTBD
23Jorge de la RosaTBD
24Jeremy HellicksonTBD
24Taijuan WalkerTBD
26John DanksTBD
27Nick MartinezTBD
28Mike FiersTBD
29Aaron SanchezTBD
30Wade MileyTBD
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Friday, May 01, 2015

Early Season Look At Park Factors

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The chart below takes a look at the early park factor results from the first month of games. Listed in the chart are the actual park factors and the park factors that Vegas is using in its Over/Under numbers. I am able to reverse engineer the park factors that Vegas is using and compare them to the actual. There is a ton of noise on the actual park factors but it is fun to compare nonetheless.  The chart is sorted by the largest difference between the actual and Vegas park factors.

TeamActual PFVegas PFDelta
Indians1.5140.9260.588
Astros0.5501.1010.551
Braves1.3550.9440.411
Nationals0.6110.9340.323
Orioles1.1360.8410.295
White Sox0.8051.0840.279
Athletics1.2050.9450.260
Dodgers1.1910.9810.210
Royals0.9301.1240.194
Phillies0.8651.0570.192
Twins1.2011.0110.190
Cubs0.7500.9230.173
Giants0.8491.0080.159
Marlins0.8821.0320.150
Yankees1.0780.9440.134
Rockies1.0141.1440.130
Mets1.0920.9650.127
Cardinals1.2141.0870.127
Angels1.1161.0080.108
Rangers0.9921.0940.102
Red Sox0.9771.0690.092
Reds1.0110.9190.092
Padres0.9120.8210.091
Brewers1.1541.0690.085
Pirates1.0310.9500.081
Blue Jays0.9971.0720.075
Dbacks1.1251.1810.056
Mariners0.8760.9250.049
Tigers0.9941.0310.037
Rays0.9710.9480.023
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Best Daily Fantasy Pitcher Starts 5/1

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Friday 5/1/2015 Best Fantasy Pitcher Starts

For those of you who like to stream starting pitchers in fantasy baseball, here is a list of the best starts of the day.

RankPitcherResult
1Jon LesterTBD
2Ian KennedyTBD
3Ton KoehlerTBD
4Matt HarveyTBD
5Chris HestonTBD
6Carlos FriasTBD
7Max ScherzerTBD
8Lance LynnTBD
9Scott KazmirTBD
10Anthony DeSclafaniTBD
11Carlos CarrascoTBD
12C.J. WilsonTBD
13Alex ColomeTBD
14Kyle GibsonTBD
15Mike FoltynewiczTBD
16Justin MastersonTBD
17Chris TillmanTBD
18Jose QuintanaTBD
19Samuel DedunoTBD
20Chris YoungTBD
21A.J. BurnettTBD
22Eddie ButlerTBD
23Mark BuehrleTBD
24Roenis EliasTBD
25Kyle LobsteinTBD
26C.C. SabathiaTBD
27Wily PeraltaTBD
28Jerome WilliamsTBD
29Rubby De la RosaTBD
30Colby LewisTBD
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