Saturday, August 07, 2010

Loney Is Money



August 8th, Simulations of interest...



Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Actual
Nationals Dodgers J.Marquis vs T.Lilly Dodgers 64.79% 54.63% LAN 8-3
Cardinals Marlins J.Suppan vs S.West Cardinals 51.92% 49.51% TBD
Reds Cubs T.Wood vs T.Diamond Reds 57.08% 53.01% CIN 11-4
Astros Brewers W.Wright vs Y.Gallardo Brewers 67.53% 73.88% MIL 11-6
Mets Phillies R.Dickey vs R.Halladay Phillies 67.85% 59.30% PHI 6-5
Giants Braves J.Sandhez vs D.Lowe Braves 56.52% 53.90% ATL 6-3
Royals Mariners K.Davies vs J.Vargas Mariners 57.63% 60.79% SEA 3-2
Angels Tigers T.Bell vs R.Porcello Tigers 57.45% 55.53% DET 9-4
Twins Indians B.Duensing vs D.Huff Twins 60.32% 50.46% MIN 5-4
Rangers A's C.Lewis vs T.Cahill A's 54.13% 49.95% OAK 3-2
Rockies Pirates E.Rogers vs P.Maholm Pirates 50.50% 52.38% COL 8-4
Padres DBacks M.Latos vs J.Saunders Padres 59.18% 56.68% SD 10-1
Rays Blue Jays A.Sonnanstine vs B.Morrow Blue Jays 55.75% 65.42% TOR 1-0


Current ROI: 3.78%

Simulator odds of winning the NL West
Rank Team 8/8 8/7 8/6 8/5 8/4 8/3 8/2 8/1 7/31 7/30 7/29
1 Padres 45.95% 47.35% 53.32% 44.39% 45.82% 51.91% 46.30% 45.00% 49.89% 54.38% 47.70%
2 Giants 43.97% 44.19% 37.09% 42.90% 44.33% 38.63% 41.17% 38.84% 32.21% 26.98% 31.89%
3 Dodgers 7.31% 5.25% 7.00% 9.48% 7.41% 6.33% 8.98% 12.80% 15.26% 16.69% 18.76%
4 Rockies 2.78% 3.21% 2.59% 3.22% 2.44% 3.13% 3.55% 3.35% 2.64% 1.95% 1.65%


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