Bullpen Warfare

August 17th, Simulations of interest...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Actual
Rockies	Dodgers	J.Chacin vs C.Kershaw	Dodgers	62.26%	59.95%	LAN 6-0
Marlins	Pirates	R.Nolasco vs Z.Duke	Marlins	57.45%	56.21%	FLA 6-0
Giants	Phillies	B.Zito vs R.Oswalt	Phillies	59.68%	59.89%	PHI 9-3
Nationals	Braves	S.Olsen vs M.Minor	Braves	63.24%	52.10%	ATL 10-2
Mets	Astros	J.Santana vs N.Figueroa	Mets	61.39%	59.86%	HOU 4-3
Padres	Cubs	J.Garland vs R.Wells	Padres	52.61%	42.81%	SD 1-0
Brewers	Cardinals	D.Bush vs J.Garcia	Cardinals	64.29%	65.18%	MIL 3-2
Reds	DBacks	B.Arroyo vs D.Hudson	Reds	52.15%	45.70%	CIN 6-2
Mariners	Orioles	L.French vs K.Millwood	Orioles	54.95%	53.35%	SEA 4-0
Tigers	Yankees	J.Verlander vs C.Sabathia	Yankees	63.24%	61.31%	NYA 6-2
Rangers	Rays	T.Hunter vs M.Garza	Rays	58.68%	58.30%	TB 10-1
Angels	Red Sox	J.Weaver vs C.Buchholz	Red Sox	56.52%	52.14%	BOS 6-0
White Sox	Twins	J.Danks vs S.Baker	Twins	53.70%	51.56%	MIN 7-6
Indians	Royals	J.Gomez vs Z.Greinke	Royals	63.24%	66.80%	KC 2-1
Blue Jays	A's	B.Morrow vs D.Braden	A's	52.15%	47.83%	TOR 6-2

Current ROI: 1.92%

Simulator odds of winning the NL West

Rank	Team	8/17	8/16	8/15	8/14	8/13	8/12	8/11	8/10	8/9	8/8	8/7
1	Padres	72.20%	67.49%	58.05%	65.64%	57.10%	55.65%	54.39%	48.41%	51.11%	45.95%	47.35%
2	Giants	24.39%	27.55%	36.49%	29.45%	37.17%	35.50%	33.67%	41.04%	37.03%	43.97%	44.19%
3	Dodgers	2.04%	3.27%	4.13%	3.14%	4.25%	6.41%	9.78%	7.72%	8.63%	7.31%	5.25%
4	Rockies	1.37%	1.69%	1.32%	1.77%	1.48%	2.43%	2.16%	2.83%	3.23%	2.78%	3.21%

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