Xizzles

I am debuting my very own projection system. Tonight the cover is off of the Xizzles, my very own baseball projection system. The algorithm for the system will not be made public but it is based off of a system that follows the following guidelines.

1) Keep it as simple as possible.
2) Automation
3) More recent performance weighted heavier.
4) Regression to the mean.
5) Age adjustments.

The system will not focus on opportunity based stats like RBIs, Runs, SB and Saves which are heavily dependent upon how the manager uses the player, where in the lineup a player bats, or the performance of the players hitting in front of him. Instead it will focus on rate stats (like HR/AB) and then borrow playing time projections (number of at bats or innings pitched) from some of the popular forecasting systems available. Since this is the initial roll out of the Xizzles, I will obviously be looking at ways to improve the system and visitor (do I have any visitors?) input is welcome. Here are the 2010 Xizzles for a few of the 2010 Los Angeles Dodgers hitters.

2010 Los Angeles Dodgers (last updated 12/17/09)

Name	Pos	AB	Hits	1B	2B	3B	HR	AVE	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA	BABIP
Matt Kemp	CF	600.0	176.6	117.0	27.2	5.7	26.7	0.294	0.348	0.492	0.840	0.363	0.341
Andre Ethier	RF	580.0	161.3	87.5	40.9	3.3	29.5	0.278	0.357	0.513	0.870	0.374	0.298
Manny Ramirez	LF	510.0	147.8	86.4	32.7	2.4	26.3	0.290	0.404	0.518	0.921	0.401	0.332
Casey Blake	3B	500.0	137.6	89.4	25.4	5.2	17.6	0.275	0.356	0.452	0.808	0.354	0.331
Rafael Furcal	SS	600.0	164.2	122.1	27.4	5.3	9.4	0.274	0.341	0.384	0.725	0.325	0.306
Blake DeWitt	3B	400.0	103.3	63.7	25.1	2.5	12.0	0.258	0.321	0.424	0.745	0.326	0.281
Russell Martin	C	515.0	131.2	101.3	20.0	0.1	9.7	0.255	0.347	0.351	0.698	0.319	0.284
James Loney	1B	550.0	156.1	114.2	24.8	2.5	14.6	0.284	0.359	0.417	0.776	0.345	0.302
Jamey Carroll	2B	200.0	53.0	44.3	6.4	1.1	1.2	0.265	0.337	0.326	0.662	0.304	0.328
Jason Repko	CF	175.0	40.9	24.9	11.5	1.4	3.0	0.234	0.286	0.367	0.653	0.288	0.275
Xavier Paul	RF	175.0	46.1	30.3	9.1	0.3	6.4	0.263	0.326	0.429	0.755	0.330	0.297