Tuesday, December 16, 2014

2015 Dodgers Best Lineup (vs RHP)


The Dodgers have made quite a few changes to their roster this month and I figured it would be a good idea to run the currently projected starters through my simulator to see which lineups it thought were the best.  First off, I looked at the best lineup vs RHP.  After a few iteration it became obvious that the lineups the simulator liked the most had the threesome of Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal hitting somewhere in the 3-4-5 spots in the lineup.  So in this exercise I took all the possible lineups with those three hitting in the 3-4-5 spots in any order with the added caveat of not allowing any left handed hitters to hit back to back (170 total permutations).  For input, I used 2015 Steamer projections.  I simulated each game 100,000 times.  While yes, there is a margin of error but you will definitely see what the simulator feels is the best lineups grouped near the top.  If you aren't familiar with it, my simulator simulates actual baseball games and takes pretty much everything you can imagine into account.  Keep in mind this is just an exercise and I am not advocating using these top lineups nor am I expecting the team to do so.  But I do believe that lineup construction is something that teams should worry about a little bit more as over the course of the season an NL team could easily add another win or two to their total.  As a side note, the lineup that MLB Depth Charts lists as the most likely lineup ranks #42.


                                                           Best Lineups
RankLineupWins Behind
1Pederson-Rollins-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Crawford-Kendrick-Uribe-Pitcher0.00
2Pederson-Kendrick-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Rollins-Crawford-Uribe-Pitcher0.33
3Rollins-Crawford-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Pederson-Kendrick-Uribe-Pitcher0.40
4Pederson-Rollins-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Crawford-Kendrick-Uribe-Pitcher0.43
5Kendrick-Crawford-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Rollins-Pederson-Uribe-Pitcher0.44
6Pederson-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Crawford-Rollins-Uribe-Pitcher0.48
7Rollins-Pederson-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Crawford-Uribe-Kendrick-Pitcher0.52
8Rollins-Crawford-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Pederson-Uribe-Kendrick-Pitcher0.58
9Crawford-Rollins-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Uribe-Pederson-Kendrick-Pitcher0.63
10Crawford-Rollins-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Pederson-Kendrick-Uribe-Pitcher0.66
11Pederson-Rollins-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Crawford-Kendrick-Uribe-Pitcher0.67
12Crawford-Rollins-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Pederson-Kendrick-Uribe-Pitcher0.68
13Pederson-Rollins-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Crawford-Kendrick-Uribe-Pitcher0.70
14Pederson-Kendrick-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Rollins-Crawford-Uribe-Pitcher0.81
15Crawford-Kendrick-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Rollins-Pederson-Uribe-Pitcher0.83
16Pederson-Rollins-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Uribe-Crawford-Kendrick-Pitcher0.83
17Pederson-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Rollins-Crawford-Uribe-Pitcher0.85
18Pederson-Rollins-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Kendrick-Crawford-Uribe-Pitcher0.91
19Kendrick-Crawford-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Pederson-Rollins-Uribe-Pitcher0.91
20Crawford-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Rollins-Pederson-Uribe-Pitcher0.92
21Rollins-Crawford-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Pederson-Kendrick-Uribe-Pitcher0.92
22Pederson-Rollins-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Uribe-Crawford-Kendrick-Pitcher0.93
23Pederson-Rollins-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Crawford-Uribe-Kendrick-Pitcher0.94
24Crawford-Rollins-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Kendrick-Pederson-Uribe-Pitcher0.95
25Pederson-Kendrick-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Rollins-Crawford-Uribe-Pitcher0.98
26Pederson-Uribe-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Crawford-Rollins-Kendrick-Pitcher0.99
27Pederson-Uribe-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Rollins-Crawford-Kendrick-Pitcher1.03
28Pederson-Uribe-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Rollins-Crawford-Kendrick-Pitcher1.05
29Crawford-Rollins-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Pederson-Kendrick-Uribe-Pitcher1.05
30Uribe-Pederson-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Crawford-Rollins-Kendrick-Pitcher1.06
31Kendrick-Pederson-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Rollins-Crawford-Uribe-Pitcher1.15
32Crawford-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Pederson-Rollins-Uribe-Pitcher1.19
33Kendrick-Pederson-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Uribe-Crawford-Rollins-Pitcher1.21
34Kendrick-Pederson-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Crawford-Rollins-Uribe-Pitcher1.23
35Pederson-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Crawford-Uribe-Rollins-Pitcher1.26
36Rollins-Pederson-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Uribe-Crawford-Kendrick-Pitcher1.29
37Crawford-Rollins-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Kendrick-Pederson-Uribe-Pitcher1.30
38Kendrick-Pederson-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Rollins-Crawford-Uribe-Pitcher1.32
39Crawford-Rollins-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Kendrick-Pederson-Uribe-Pitcher1.34
40Pederson-Uribe-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Rollins-Crawford-Kendrick-Pitcher1.42
41Crawford-Kendrick-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Rollins-Pederson-Uribe-Pitcher1.45
42Rollins-Crawford-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Kendrick-Pederson-Uribe-Pitcher1.47
43Uribe-Pederson-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Kendrick-Crawford-Rollins-Pitcher1.47
44Uribe-Crawford-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Pederson-Rollins-Kendrick-Pitcher1.49
45Rollins-Pederson-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Uribe-Crawford-Kendrick-Pitcher1.49
46Kendrick-Rollins-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Pederson-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher1.56
47Pederson-Rollins-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Kendrick-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher1.57
48Pederson-Rollins-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Kendrick-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher1.58
49Pederson-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Rollins-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher1.58
50Uribe-Crawford-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Pederson-Rollins-Kendrick-Pitcher1.58
51Crawford-Rollins-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Uribe-Pederson-Kendrick-Pitcher1.60
52Uribe-Pederson-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Rollins-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher1.60
53Pederson-Uribe-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Rollins-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher1.65
54Kendrick-Rollins-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Pederson-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher1.65
55Uribe-Kendrick-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Pederson-Rollins-Crawford-Pitcher1.72
56Pederson-Uribe-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Kendrick-Crawford-Rollins-Pitcher1.72
57Rollins-Pederson-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Uribe-Crawford-Kendrick-Pitcher1.72
58Pederson-Uribe-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Rollins-Crawford-Kendrick-Pitcher1.72
59Crawford-Rollins-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Uribe-Pederson-Kendrick-Pitcher1.74
60Crawford-Rollins-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Uribe-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher1.74
61Rollins-Pederson-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Crawford-Uribe-Kendrick-Pitcher1.77
62Pederson-Rollins-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Uribe-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher1.78
63Kendrick-Crawford-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Rollins-Pederson-Uribe-Pitcher1.78
64Rollins-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Crawford-Uribe-Pederson-Pitcher1.78
65Crawford-Rollins-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Uribe-Pederson-Kendrick-Pitcher1.79
66Kendrick-Crawford-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Pederson-Uribe-Rollins-Pitcher1.79
67Crawford-Kendrick-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Pederson-Uribe-Rollins-Pitcher1.80
68Pederson-Kendrick-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Uribe-Crawford-Rollins-Pitcher1.80
69Rollins-Pederson-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Kendrick-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher1.80
70Kendrick-Uribe-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Pederson-Rollins-Crawford-Pitcher1.81
71Crawford-Kendrick-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Rollins-Pederson-Uribe-Pitcher1.81
72Uribe-Rollins-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Pederson-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher1.82
73Pederson-Uribe-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Crawford-Kendrick-Rollins-Pitcher1.84
74Pederson-Uribe-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Crawford-Kendrick-Rollins-Pitcher1.85
75Pederson-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Rollins-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher1.86
76Crawford-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Pederson-Uribe-Rollins-Pitcher1.87
77Kendrick-Crawford-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Rollins-Uribe-Pederson-Pitcher1.87
78Pederson-Rollins-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Uribe-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher1.91
79Pederson-Rollins-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Uribe-Crawford-Kendrick-Pitcher1.94
80Rollins-Crawford-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Uribe-Pederson-Kendrick-Pitcher1.94
81Rollins-Kendrick-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Crawford-Uribe-Pederson-Pitcher1.95
82Crawford-Uribe-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Rollins-Pederson-Kendrick-Pitcher1.95
83Crawford-Uribe-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Rollins-Pederson-Kendrick-Pitcher1.96
84Crawford-Rollins-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puit-Kendrick-Uribe-Pederson-Pitcher1.99
85Uribe-Pederson-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Kendrick-Rollins-Crawford-Pitcher2.01
86Rollins-Uribe-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Pederson-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher2.03
87Pederson-Rollins-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Uribe-Crawford-Kendrick-Pitcher2.05
88Pederson-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Uribe-Rollins-Crawford-Pitcher2.06
89Kendrick-Rollins-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Crawford-Uribe-Pederson-Pitcher2.07
90Crawford-Uribe-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Rollins-Pederson-Kendrick-Pitcher2.09
91Pederson-Rollins-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Uribe-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher2.10
92Pederson-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Uribe-Crawford-Rollins-Pitcher2.11
93Kendrick-Rollins-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Pederson-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher2.11
94Crawford-Uribe-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Kendrick-Pederson-Rollins-Pitcher2.14
95Uribe-Crawford-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Rollins-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher2.14
96Pederson-Rollins-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Uribe-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher2.14
97Pederson-Kendrick-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Rollins-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher2.14
98Crawford-Uribe-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Pederson-Kendrick-Rollins-Pitcher2.15
99Rollins-Crawford-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Kendrick-Uribe-Pederson-Pitcher2.16
100Uribe-Crawford-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Kendrick-Pederson-Rollins-Pitcher2.17
101Rollins-Uribe-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Crawford-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher2.20
102Rollins-Pederson-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Kendrick-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher2.23
103Uribe-Crawford-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Rollins-Pederson-Kendrick-Pitcher2.23
104Pederson-Rollins-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Kendrick-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher2.24
105Kendrick-Crawford-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Rollins-Uribe-Pederson-Pitcher2.24
106Pederson-Kendrick-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Rollins-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher2.28
107Uribe-Pederson-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Rollins-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher2.29
108Kendrick-Uribe-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Pederson-Rollins-Crawford-Pitcher2.32
109Crawford-Rollins-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Uribe-Pederson-Kendrick-Pitcher2.33
110Crawford-Uribe-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Rollins-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher2.33
111Uribe-Rollins-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Crawford-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher2.34
112Rollins-Pederson-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Uribe-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher2.35
113Pederson-Uribe-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Rollins-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher2.35
114Kendrick-Crawford-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Uribe-Pederson-Rollins-Pitcher2.35
115Crawford-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Uribe-Rollins-Pederson-Pitcher2.36
116Uribe-Pederson-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Rollins-Crawford-Kendrick-Pitcher2.37
117Pederson-Uribe-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Rollins-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher2.39
118Crawford-Uribe-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Pederson-Rollins-Kendrick-Pitcher2.40
119Crawford-Uribe-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Rollins-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher2.42
120Crawford-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Rollins-Uribe-Pederson-Pitcher2.43
121Kendrick-Rollins-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Crawford-Uribe-Pederson-Pitcher2.47
122Crawford-Uribe-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Rollins-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher2.47
123Crawford-Kendrick-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Uribe-Rollins-Pederson-Pitcher2.49
124Kendrick-Crawford-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Uribe-Pederson-Rollins-Pitcher2.49
125Uribe-Kendrick-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Crawford-Rollins-Pederson-Pitcher2.50
126Pederson-Kendrick-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Uribe-Crawford-Rollins-Pitcher2.52
127Kendrick-Rollins-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Pederson-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher2.52
128Rollins-Kendrick-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Crawford-Uribe-Pederson-Pitcher2.53
129Pederson-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Uribe-Rollins-Crawford-Pitcher2.53
130Kendrick-Pederson-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Rollins-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher2.56
131Pederson-Kendrick-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Rollins-Uribe-Crawford-Pitcher2.57
132Kendrick-Uribe-Grandal-Gonzalez-Puig-Crawford-Rollins-Pederson-Pitcher2.60
133Crawford-Rollins-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Uribe-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher2.63
134Kendrick-Crawford-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Rollins-Uribe-Pederson-Pitcher2.63
135Uribe-Rollins-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Pederson-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher2.64
136Crawford-Rollins-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Kendrick-Uribe-Pederson-Pitcher2.66
137Crawford-Rollins-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Uribe-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher2.67
138Uribe-Crawford-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Rollins-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher2.69
139Uribe-Rollins-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Crawford-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher2.70
140Rollins-Uribe-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Crawford-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher2.70
141Kendrick-Pederson-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Uribe-Rollins-Crawford-Pitcher2.71
142Pederson-Rollins-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Uribe-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher2.71
143Pederson-Uribe-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Kendrick-Crawford-Rollins-Pitcher2.73
144Uribe-Pederson-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Kendrick-Rollins-Crawford-Pitcher2.76
145Kendrick-Crawford-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Rollins-Uribe-Pederson-Pitcher2.77
146Pederson-Kendrick-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Uribe-Rollins-Crawford-Pitcher2.77
147Pederson-Uribe-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Rollins-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher2.78
148Uribe-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Pederson-Rollins-Crawford-Pitcher2.79
149Crawford-Uribe-Gonzalez-Grandal-Puig-Kendrick-Rollins-Pederson-Pitcher2.79
150Rollins-Crawford-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Uribe-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher2.79
151Pederson-Kendrick-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Uribe-Crawford-Rollins-Pitcher2.80
152Crawford-Uribe-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Kendrick-Pederson-Rollins-Pitcher2.83
153Crawford-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Uribe-Rollins-Pederson-Pitcher2.86
154Rollins-Crawford-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Uribe-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher2.90
155Crawford-Kendrick-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Uribe-Rollins-Pederson-Pitcher2.94
156Crawford-Uribe-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Kendrick-Rollins-Pederson-Pitcher2.94
157Uribe-Crawford-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Kendrick-Rollins-Pederson-Pitcher2.96
158Rollins-Crawford-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Uribe-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher3.00
159Kendrick-Uribe-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Crawford-Rollins-Pederson-Pitcher3.00
160Crawford-Uribe-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Rollins-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher3.01
161Pederson-Rollins-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Uribe-Kendrick-Crawford-Pitcher3.03
162Uribe-Crawford-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Rollins-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher3.04
163Kendrick-Uribe-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Pederson-Rollins-Crawford-Pitcher3.05
164Crawford-Uribe-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Rollins-Kendrick-Pederson-Pitcher3.12
165Pederson-Uribe-Puig-Gonzalez-Grandal-Kendrick-Rollins-Crawford-Pitcher3.12
166Crawford-Uribe-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Kendrick-Pederson-Rollins-Pitcher3.16
167Crawford-Rollins-Puig-Grandal-Gonzalez-Kendrick-Uribe-Pederson-Pitcher3.21
168Kendrick-Uribe-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Crawford-Rollins-Pederson-Pitcher3.31
169Uribe-Kendrick-Gonzalez-Puig-Grandal-Crawford-Rollins-Pederson-Pitcher3.32
170Crawford-Uribe-Grandal-Puig-Gonzalez-Kendrick-Rollins-Pederson-Pitcher3.44

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