Simulations will return on Monday 4/9
2012 MLB Simulations
| Away | Home | Away SP | Home SP | Vegas Fave | Vegas Win Prob | Vegas O/U | Sim Win Prob | Sim O/U |
| LAN | SD | C.Kershaw | E.Volquez | LAN | 58.93% | 5.8 | 57.23% | 5.59 |
| Skinny: Two fairly weak offenses, a pitchers park and Clayton Kershaw on the mound all point to a very low scoring game. As long as Volquez is half way decent, it should be a pretty easy under on this one. | ||||||||
| TOR | CLE | R.Romero | J.Masterson | TOR | 53.16% | 7.4 | 40.90% | 7.13 |
| Skinny: Justin Masterson is a better pitcher than given credit for here. He was basically a very similar pitcher to Ricky Romero in the 2011 season. Combine that with HFA and a decent lineup and the Indians make a nice underdog bet here. | ||||||||
| BOS | DET | J.Lester | J.Verlander | DET | 57.72% | 6.9 | 54.78% | 8.71 |
| Skinny: Two very good pitchers meet two good very lineups. Simulator confidently says to take the over on this one. | ||||||||
| ATL | NYN | T.Hanson | J.Santana | ATL | 50.62% | 6.8 | 47.62% | 7.58 |
| Skinny: Kind of hard to say what you are going to get from Johan Santana, but the simulator thinks that the Braves are a little overrated in this game. Take the Mets at home and the over. | ||||||||
| PHI | PIT | R.Halladay | E.Bedard | PHI | 61.32% | 6.6 | 60.51% | 6.40% |
| Skinny: Vegas and the simulator are in very good agreement on this game. Nothing to see here... move on. | ||||||||
| WAS | CHN | S.Strasburg | R.Dempster | WAS | 59.27% | NA | 54.60% | 6.91 |
| Skinny: A little bit of value on the ML with the Cubs playing at home. Cubs will need to get to the Nationals bullpen in a close game to win this one. | ||||||||
| MIA | CIN | M.Buehrle | J.Cueto | CIN | 58.07% | 7.8 | 58.17% | 7.93 |
| Skinny: Very little value here. Best to sit this one out. | ||||||||
No comments:
Post a Comment