ZIPS Simulation: DBacks vs Dodgers

Each pitching matchup is game simulated 2500 times, using input stats from ZIPS. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers
Pitcher	Schmidt	Lowe	Penny	Wolf	Billingsley	Guo
Webb	.551	.517	.540	.563	.563	.536
Johnson	.552	.549	.534	.580	.556	.537
Hernandez	.450	.447	.466	.522	.470	.445
Davis	.487	.495	.479	.549	.534	.486
Gonzalez	.444	.462	.455	.484	.489	.440

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Diamondbacks	0	0	0	0	1	5	7	2
Dodgers	0	0	0	0	0	4	5	6

ZIPS Simulation: Padres vs Giants

Each pitching matchup simulated 2500 times. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column.
Padres vs Giants
Pitcher	Cain	Zito	Lowry	Morris	Sanchez
Peavy	.633	.634	.644	.650	.675
Young	.613	.614	.614	.616	.621
Maddux	.592	.595	.597	.606	.624
Hensley	.580	.598	.587	.591	.622
Wells	.549	.550	.556	.571	.593

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Padres	0	1	4	8	8	2	2	0
Giants	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

ZIPS Simulation: Rockies vs Dodgers

Each pitching matchup simulated 2500 times. Most likely lineup was used for both teams (RotoTimes). Winning percentage is listed for the pitcher on the left most column.
Rockies vs Dodgers
Pitcher	Cook	Francis	Fogg	Kim	Lopez
Schmidt	.645	.652	.687	.682	.697
Lowe	.593	.613	.639	.616	.648
Penny	.614	.621	.660	.614	.654
Wolf	.569	.593	.617	.604	.629
Billingsley	.602	.604	.661	.610	.665
Guo	.622	.637	.679	.668	.692

Standard error: 0.01

	> .675	> .650	> .625	> .600	> .575	> .550	> .525	> .500
Rockies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Dodgers	5	6	5	11	2	1	0	0

Current project

I am currently using my baseball simulator program to project win expectancy for every NL West starting pitching matchup using ZIPS for player projections and RotoTimes for most likely lineups, starting rotations and bullpens. Each pitching matchup is game simulated 2500 times. Each team plays half of it's games at home and half of it's games on the road. I will be posting the results on a team vs team basis. I will begin posting results the last week of January. vr, Xeifrank