Best Lineup - Houston Astros

Next up on my look at each teams most efficient lineup is the Houston Astros.  In this exercise the methodology is to use my simulator to find out which lineup wins the most games vs RH and LH pitchers.  I do this by making the team of interest the "away" team, playing against a "make believe" team whose stats don't change from one sim to the next. In fact no stats (or input projections) change for either team, the only difference from one simulation to the next is the lineup of the team of interest.  For player projections, I am using ZIPs projections which are available on Fangraphs. The lineup results will only be as good as the projections.  Keep in mind, the results are not intended to match what a certain teams manager is most likely to do during the season.  In fact, I know that many of the results will not happen due to manager philosophies and veteran favoritism but these are the most optimal lineups that the simulator spit out.  In some cases the top couple of lineups had very small differences in results. The starting nine players were taken from MLBDepthCharts website.

Previous teams:
AL: Angels | Rangers | Rays | Twins | Blue Jays | Indians | Athletics
NL: Mets | Cubs | Padres | Marlins | Reds | Giants | Brewers | Dodgers

                 Astros 2014 ZIPS Hitting Projections

	K%	BB%	AVE	OBP	SLG	OPS	wOBA
Dexter Fowler	28.3%	13.7%	0.247	0.354	0.382	0.736	0.328
L.J. Hoes	16.7%	8.4%	0.271	0.337	0.366	0.703	0.313
Jason Castro	24.9%	10.8%	0.256	0.337	0.439	0.776	0.335
Chris Carter	33.8%	11.4%	0.228	0.319	0.461	0.780	0.340
Marc Krauss	30.1%	10.3%	0.213	0.298	0.369	0.667	0.296
Robbie Grossman	27.1%	11.2%	0.228	0.321	0.330	0.651	0.289
Jonathan Villar	27.8%	7.3%	0.235	0.295	0.356	0.651	0.287
Jose Altuve	12.5%	5.1%	0.285	0.323	0.384	0.707	0.308
Matt Dominguez	15.8%	5.3%	0.249	0.294	0.395	0.689	0.300
Jesus Guzman	22.8%	8.5%	0.249	0.318	0.416	0.734	0.320
George Springer	31.1%	9.9%	0.237	0.319	0.439	0.758	0.335

See the results after the jump

MLB Simulation Results - March 31st

Away	Home	Favorite	Vegas ML	Vegas Win Exp	Vegas Total Runs	Sim Win Exp	Sim Total Runs
Texas	Houston	Texas	-160 / +150	60.78%	8.5 o100, u-120	59.66%	7.75

Most Likely Final Scores

1 HOU 3-2 6:1		51 TEX 7-6 37:1
2 TEX 3-2 7:1		52 TEX 8-4 37:1
3 HOU 2-1 7:1		53 TEX 9-2 40:1
4 HOU 4-3 7:1		54 TEX 9-3 43:1
5 TEX 2-1 8:1		55 HOU 5-0 44:1
6 TEX 4-3 8:1		56 HOU 7-4 44:1
7 TEX 4-2 9:1		57 HOU 7-3 47:1
8 TEX 3-1 9:1		58 TEX 9-1 47:1
9 HOU 5-4 11:1		59 TEX 8-5 47:1
10 TEX 4-1 11:1		60 HOU 7-5 47:1
11 TEX 5-3 12:1		61 HOU 7-2 49:1
12 TEX 5-2 12:1		62 TEX 8-0 50:1
13 TEX 5-4 12:1		63 TEX 9-4 56:1
14 HOU 3-1 12:1		64 TEX 8-6 59:1
15 HOU 4-2 13:1		65 HOU 7-1 59:1
16 TEX 2-0 14:1		66 HOU 6-0 63:1
17 TEX 5-1 14:1		67 TEX 10-2 63:1
18 HOU 1-0 15:1		68 TEX 10-3 66:1
19 TEX 1-0 15:1		69 HOU 8-7 66:1
20 TEX 3-0 16:1		70 TEX 10-1 68:1
21 TEX 6-3 16:1		71 TEX 9-0 68:1
22 TEX 6-2 16:1		72 TEX 9-5 74:1
23 HOU 5-3 16:1		73 HOU 8-2 76:1
24 HOU 4-1 17:1		74 TEX 8-7 76:1
25 TEX 6-4 18:1		75 HOU 8-3 77:1
26 TEX 6-1 18:1		76 HOU 8-4 79:1
27 HOU 6-5 18:1		77 HOU 8-5 82:1
28 TEX 4-0 18:1		78 TEX 10-4 85:1
29 HOU 5-2 19:1		79 TEX 11-2 89:1
30 HOU 2-0 19:1		80 TEX 9-6 94:1
31 TEX 6-5 20:1		81 HOU 8-6 94:1
32 TEX 5-0 22:1		82 HOU 8-1 97:1
33 TEX 7-2 22:1		83 HOU 7-0 98:1
34 HOU 3-0 22:1		84 TEX 10-0 99:1
35 TEX 7-3 23:1		85 TEX 10-5 100:1
36 TEX 7-1 24:1		86 TEX 11-1 104:1
37 TEX 7-4 25:1		87 TEX 11-3 106:1
38 HOU 5-1 26:1		88 TEX 11-4 120:1
39 HOU 6-4 26:1		89 HOU 9-3 120:1
40 TEX 6-0 26:1		90 HOU 9-2 124:1
41 HOU 6-3 27:1		91 TEX 9-7 128:1
42 TEX 8-2 30:1		92 HOU 9-4 132:1
43 HOU 6-2 31:1		93 TEX 11-0 135:1
44 TEX 7-5 31:1		94 TEX 12-2 135:1
45 HOU 4-0 31:1		95 TEX 10-6 144:1
46 TEX 8-3 33:1		96 TEX 12-3 145:1
47 TEX 8-1 33:1		97 HOU 9-8 145:1
48 HOU 7-6 34:1		98 HOU 8-0 152:1
49 TEX 7-0 35:1		99 HOU 9-1 156:1
50 HOU 6-1 37:1		100 TEX 12-1 159:1

May 27th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
CLE	CHA	Ubaldo Jimenez vs Gavin Floyd	CHA	TBD	56.86%	TBD
COL	CIN	Jamie Moyer vs Mat Latos	CIN	TBD	61.78%	TBD
HOU	LAN	J.A. Happ vs Chris Capuano	LAN	TBD	61.06%	TBD
TB	BOS	Jeremy Hellickson vs Clay Buchholz	BOS	TBD	52.96%	TBD
TOR	TEX	Kyle Drabek vs Yu Darvish	TEX	TBD	69.39%	TBD
WAS	ATL	Gio Gonzalez vs Brandon Beachy	WAS	TBD	50.68%	TBD
SD	NYN	Edinson Volquez vs R.A. Dickey	NYN	TBD	54.01%	TBD
SF	FLA	Matt Cain vs Ricky Nolasco	FLA	TBD	50.68%	TBD
CHN	PIT	Matt Garza vs Erik Bedard	PIT	TBD	56.35%	TBD
KC	BAL	Luke Hochevar vs Brian Matusz	BAL	TBD	56.48%	TBD
DET	MIN	Rick Porcello vs P.J. Walters	DET	TBD	52.03%	TBD
PHI	STL	Roy Halladay vs Adam Wainwright	STL	TBD	51.21%	TBD
NYA	OAK	Hiroki Kuroda vs Tom Milone	NYA	TBD	50.68%	TBD
LAA	SEA	C.J. Wilson vs Hector Noesi	LAA	TBD	59.15%	TBD
MIL	ARI	Randy Wolf vs Daniel Hudson	ARI	TBD	54.49%	TBD

Current ROI: 4.65%

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May 26th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
CLE	CHA	Derek Lowe vs Jake Peavy	CHA	61.09%	57.69%	TBD
COL	CIN	Jeremy Guthrie vs Mike Leake	CIN	57.26%	55.57%	TBD
HOU	LAN	Bud Norris vs Chad Billingsley	LAN	52.61%	56.58%	TBD
TB	BOS	David Price vs Josh Beckett	BOS	51.92%	50.54%	TBD
TOR	TEX	Henderson Alvarez vs Colby Lewis	TEX	61.98%	65.33%	TBD
WAS	ATL	Stephen Strasburg vs Mike Minor	WAS	52.38%	53.03%	TBD
DET	MIN	Max Scherzer vs Carl Pavano	DET	56.71%	50.91%	TBD
NYA	OAK	C.C. Sabathia vs Bartolo Colon	NYA	61.69%	58.00%	TBD
KC	BAL	Felipe Paulino vs Wei-Yin Chen	BAL	52.83%	57.06%	TBD
SD	NYN	Clayton Richard vs Johan Santana	NYN	60.00%	61.15%	TBD
SF	FLA	Madison Bumgarner vs Mark Buehrle	FLA	51.92%	54.05%	TBD
LAA	SEA	Jerome Williams vs Felx Hernandez	SEA	55.75%	54.97%	TBD
CHN	PIT	Paul Maholm vs Kevin Correia	PIT	53.27%	54.13%	TBD
PHI	STL	Kyle Kendrick vs Jaime Garcia	STL	60.00%	63.75%	TBD
MIL	ARI	Zach Greinke vs Wade Miley	MIL	52.61%	65.07%	TBD

Current ROI: 5.81%

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May 25th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
CLE	CHA	Jeanmar Gomez vs Jose Quintana	CLE	51.81%	51.76%	TBD
COL	CIN	Chris Friedrich vs Johnny Cueto	CIN	60.86%	61.40%	TBD
HOU	LAN	Lucas Harrell vs Clayton Kershaw	LAN	68.25%	64.99%	TBD
TB	BOS	Alex Cobb vs Jon Lester	BOS	59.60%	59.75%	TBD
TOR	TEX	Brandon Morrow vs Derek Holland	TEX	56.62%	60.56%	TBD
WAS	ATL	Ross Detwiler vs Tim Hudson	ATL	60.55%	55.98%	TBD
CHN	PIT	Ryan Dempster vs A.J. Burnett	PIT	53.16%	53.22%	TBD
KC	BAL	Bruce Chen vs Jason Hammel	BAL	56.80%	59.49%	TBD
SD	NYN	Anthony Bass vs Dillon Gee	NYN	53.16%	51.37%	TBD
SF	FLA	Tim Lincecum vs Josh Johnson	FLA	57.54%	56.11%	TBD
DET	MIN	Drew Smyly vs Anthony Swarzak	DET	56.80%	51.86%	TBD
PHI	STL	Cliff Lee vs Kyle Lohse	PHI	53.16%	44.36%	TBD
MIL	ARI	Yovanni Gallardo vs Ian Kennedy	ARI	54.44%	46.48%	TBD
NYA	OAK	Ivan Nova vs Tyson Ross	NYA	57.36%	52.76%	TBD
LAA	SEA	Ervin Santana vs Blake Beavan	LAA	54.65%	52.41%	TBD

Current ROI: 5.62%

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April 22nd Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
BAL	LAA	Wei-Yin Chen vs Dan Haren	LAA	60.94%	64.11%	TBD
MIN	TB	Francisco Liriano vs Jeff Niemann	TB	61.54%	61.91%	TBD
NYA	BOS	C.C. Sabathia vs Daniel Bard	NYA	55.95%	56.76%	TBD
PHI	SD	Joe Blanton vs Anthony Bass	SD	51.46%	52.08%	TBD
TOR	KC	Ricky Romero vs Danny Duffy	TOR	51.46%	50.25%	TBD
TEX	DET	Colby Lewis vs Drew Smyly	TEX	55.75%	47.47%	TBD
SF	NYN	Tim Lincecum vs Dillon Gee	SF	54.13%	52.98%	Ppd
FLA	WAS	Josh Johnson vs Gio Gonzalez	FLA	NA	56.02%	Ppd
STL	PIT	Kyle Lohse vs Erik Bedard	STL	54.13%	49.65%	TBD
LAN	HOU	Chad Billingsley vs Wandy Rodriguez	LAN	55.16%	54.65%	TBD
COL	MIL	Jeremy Guthrie vs Yovanni Gallardo	MIL	59.02%	54.30%	TBD
CIN	CHN	Johnny Cueto vs Randy Wells	CIN	58.68%	61.95%	TBD
CLE	OAK	Justin Masterson vs Tyson Ross	OAK	51.69%	46.11%	TBD
ATL	ARI	Randall Delgado vs Ian Kennedy	ARI	58.68%	60.74%	TBD
CHA	SEA	John Danks vs Kevin Millwood	CHA	51.46%	50.71%	TBD

Yahoo Baseball Scoreboard

April 21st Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
BAL	LAA	Jake Arrieta vs Jered Weaver	LAA	64.91%	64.67%	TBD
MIN	TB	Carl Pavano vs James Shields	TB	64.91%	62.35%	TBD
NYA	BOS	Freddy Garcia vs Felix Doubront	BOS	53.70%	51.70%	TBD
PHI	SD	Roy Halladay vs Cory Luebke	PHI	58.16%	57.47%	TBD
TOR	KC	Drew Hutchison vs Luis Mendoza	TOR	51.22%	48.65%	TBD
CIN	CHN	Mike Leake vs Paul Maholm	CIN	54.75%	51.34%	TBD
FLA	WAS	Anibal Sanchez vs Stephen Strasburg	WAS	60.00%	51.30%	TBD
TEX	DET	Matt Harrison vs Rick Porcello	TEX	50.00%	54.53%	TBD
TEX	DET	Neftali Feliz vs Justin Verlander	DET	59.51%	52.55%	TBD
SF	NYN	Ryan Vogelsong vs Mike Pelfrey	NYN	51.22%	48.25%	TBD
CHA	SEA	Phil Humber vs Blake Beavan	CHA	51.22%	53.71%	TBD
LAN	HOU	Clayton Kershaw vs Kyle Weiland	LAN	66.27%	65.85%	TBD
STL	PIT	Jake Westbrook vs Kevin Correia	STL	55.75%	53.30%	TBD
COL	MIL	Drew Pomeranz vs Marco Estrada	MIL	55.75%	52.21%	TBD
ATL	ARI	Tommy Hanson vs Joe Saunders	ATL	52.61%	54.50%	TBD
CLE	OAK	Jeanmar Gomez vs Brandon McCarthy	OAK	56.33%	57.98%	TBD

Yahoo Baseball Scoreboard

April 20th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
BAL	LAA	Brian Matusz vs Jerome Williams	LAA	59.27%	60.14%	TBD
MIN	TB	Liam Hendriks vs Matt Moore	TB	63.44%	67.26%	TBD
NYA	BOS	Ivan Nova vs Clay Buchholz	NYA	50.25%	51.51%	TBD
PHI	SD	Cole Hamels vs Edinson Volquez	PHI	55.85%	52.08%	TBD
TOR	KC	Kyle Drabek vs Luke Hochevar	KC	50.25%	54.49%	TBD
CIN	CHN	Homer Bailey vs Chris Volstad	CIN	53.60%	54.73%	TBD
FLA	WAS	Carlos Zambrano vs Ross Detwiler	WAS	52.94%	46.16%	TBD
STL	PIT	Lance Lynn vs Charlie Morton	STL	55.65%	47.12%	TBD
TEX	DET	Matt Harrison vs Rick Porcello	TEX	50.74%	54.50%	TBD
SF	NYN	Barry Zito vs John Niese	NYN	56.04%	56.82%	TBD
LAN	HOU	Ted Lilly vs J.A. Happ	LAN	55.46%	57.21%	TBD
COL	MIL	Jhoulys Chacin vs Shaun Marcum	COL	56.04%	48.94%	TBD
ATL	ARI	Brandon Beachy vs Trevor Cahill	ATL	52.72%	57.47%	TBD
CLE	OAK	Ubaldo Jimenez vs Graham Godfrey	CLE	52.94%	51.21%	TBD
CHA	SEA	Chris Sale vs Hector Noesi	CHA	53.81%	48.06%	TBD

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August 14th Simulations

Dodgers Look To Sweep Astros ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Astros	Dodgers	J.Lyles vs H.Kuroda	Dodgers	64.85%	61.78%	LAN 7-0
COL	STL	Esmil Rogers vs Edwin Jackson	STL	TBD	59.85%	TBD
SF	FLA	Ryan Vogelsong vs Chris Volstad	SF	TBD	53.49%	TBD
LAA	TOR	Dan Haren vs Brett Cecil	LAA	TBD	53.08%	TBD
BOS	SEA	Tim Wakefield vs Charles Furbush	BOS	TBD	58.28%	TBD
PIT	MIL	Charlie Morton vs Shaun Marcum	MIL	TBD	60.66%	TBD
KC	CHA	Jeff Francis vs John Danks	CHA	TBD	57.49%	TBD
Nationals	Phillies	C.Wang vs R.Halladay	Phillies	73.61%	75.04%	TBD
MIN	CLE	Kevin Slowey vs David Huff	CLE	TBD	52.98%	TBD
TEX	OAK	Matt Harrison vs Rich Harden	TEX	TBD	55.68%	TBD
NYN	ARI	Chris Capuano vs Jason Marquis	ARI	TBD	57.39%	TBD
TB	NYA	James Shields vs A.J. Burnett	NYA	TBD	58.55%	TBD
SD	CIN	Wade LeBlanc vs Dontrelle Willis	CIN	TBD	61.48%	TBD
CHN	ATL	Matt Garza vs Brandon Beachy	ATL	TBD	57.54%	TBD
DET	BAL	Doug Fister vs Jo-Jo Reyes	DET	TBD	56.89%	TBD

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August 13th Simulations

The Kershaw, The Bad and The Ugly ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Astros	Dodgers	W.Rodriguez vs C.Kershaw	Dodgers	67.21%	63.90%	LAN 6-1
Twins	Indians	Brian Duensing vs Josh Tomlin	Twins	57.54%	50.67%	TBD
Nationals	Phillies	John Lannan vs Roy Oswalt	Phillies	67.00%	61.65%	TBD
Padres	Reds	Tim Stauffer vs Homer Bailey	Reds	55.06%	57.92%	TBD
Mets	DBacks	Mike Pelfrey vs Daniel Hudson	DBacks	61.54%	66.85%	TBD
Royals	White Sox	Luke Hochevar vs Jake Peavy	White Sox	59.76%	66.16%	TBD
Rangers	Athletics	C.Lewis vs T.Cahill	Rangers	51.81%	48.21%	TBD
Rockies	Cardinals	Jason Hammel vs Jaime Garcia	Cardinals	63.17%	66.99%	TBD
Red Sox	Mariners	Josh Beckett vs Felx Hernandez	Red Sox	57.54%	57.34%	TBD
Cubs	Braves	Randy Wells vs Derek Lowe	Braves	62.62%	63.30%	TBD
Pirates	Brewers	Kevin Correia vs Marco Estrada	Brewers	60.86%	66.16%	TBD
Giants	Marlins	Tim Lincecum vs Javier Vazquez	Giants	57.17%	57.13%	TBD
Tigers	Orioles	Max Scherzer vs Jeremy Guthrie	Tigers	55.06%	52.23%	TBD
Angels	Blue Jays	Jered Weaver vs Ricky Romero	Angels	52.94%	50.86%	TBD
Rays	Yankees	J.Hellickson vs P.Hughes	Yankees	56.99%	63.65%	TBD

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August 12th Simulations

Dodgers Hope To Be A Pain In The Astros ...

HummaKavula breaks down the Astros/Dodgers series in a masterful poem over at TBLA.

Oh, there’s a chance, I’ll accept,
but unlikely the Dodgers get swept.
It’s most likely you’ll see
them take two of three
In the battle of who’s more inept.

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Astros	Dodgers	B.Norris vs N.Eovaldi	Dodgers	TBD	57.11%	LAN 1-0
Angels	Blue Jays	E.Santana vs B.Morrow	Blue Jays	TBD	59.12%	TBD
Royals	White Sox	B.Chen vs Z.Stewart	White Sox	TBD	59.64%	TBD
Tigers	Orioles	B.Penny vs A.Simon	Orioles	TBD	50.76%	TBD
Giants	Marlins	M.Cain vs R.Nolasco	Giants	TBD	52.35%	TBD
Cubs	Braves	C.Zambrano vs M.Minor	Braves	TBD	59.86%	TBD
Red Sox	Mariners	J.Lackey vs B.Beavan	Red Sox	TBD	59.66%	TBD
Rangers	Athletics	C.Wilson vs B.McCarthy	Rangers	TBD	54.21%	TBD
Rays	Yankees	D.Price vs C.Sabathia	Yankees	TBD	68.13%	TBD
Padres	Reds	M.Latos vs B.Arroyo	Reds	TBD	51.72%	TBD
Twins	Indians	C.Pavano vs J.Masterson	Indians	TBD	58.06%	TBD
Mets	DBacks	D.Gee vs I.Kennedy	DBacks	TBD	64.52%	TBD
Nationals	Phillies	L.Hernandez vs C.Hamels	Phillies	TBD	69.22%	TBD
Rockies	Cardinals	A.Cook vs K.Lohse	Cardinals	TBD	58.89%	TBD
Pirates	Brewers	P.Maholm vs Z.Greinke	Brewers	TBD	63.95%	TBD

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June 19th Simulations

Dodgers Meet Pathetic ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Astros	Dodgers	B.Norris vs H.Kuroda	Dodgers	59.27%	56.72%	LAN 1-0
Royals	Cardinals	D.Duffy vs J.Garcia	Cardinals	TBD	74.72%	STL 5-4
Giants	Athletics	M.Cain vs T.Cahill	Athletics	TBD	56.79%	OAK 2-1
Padres	Twins	D.Moseley vs F.Liriano	Twins	TBD	60.68%	MIN 5-4
Orioles	Nationals	C.Jakubauskas vs T.Gorzelanny	Nationals	TBD	57.50%	BAL 7-4
Yankees	Cubs	C.Sabathia vs R.Wells	Yankees	TBD	64.25%	NYA 10-4
White Sox	DBacks	P.Humber vs J.Collmenter	DBacks	TBD	56.49%	CHA 8-2
Pirates	Indians	J.Karstens vs J.Masterson	Indians	TBD	68.04%	CLE 5-2
Marlins	Rays	C.Volstad vs J.Shields	Rays	TBD	69.35%	TB 2-1
Blue Jays	Reds	C.Villanueva vs B.Arroyo	Reds	TBD	60.94%	CIN 2-1
Phillies	Mariners	C.Hamels vs J.Vargas	Phillies	TBD	54.65%	SEA 2-0
Brewers	Red Sox	Y.Gallardo vs T.Wakefield	Red Sox	TBD	63.03%	BOS 12-3
Tigers	Rockies	J.Verlander vs A.Cook	Tigers	TBD	52.71%	DET 9-1
Angels	Mets	T.Chatwood vs J.Niese	Mets	TBD	60.81%	LAA 7-3
Rangers	Braves	A.Ogando vs J.Jurrjens	Braves	TBD	50.14%	ATL 4-2

Run Total Picks Of The Day!
HOU vs LAN, Under 7.0 -105, 1.5 units WIN
MIL vs BOS, Over 9.0 -115, 1.0 units WIN
Daily Profit: 2.3 units

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June 18th Simulations

Dodgers Try To Rub Out A Win ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Astros	Dodgers	W.Rodriguez vs R.DeLaRosa	Dodgers	55.16%	51.28%	HOU 7-0
Giants	Athletics	J.Sanchez vs G.Moscoso	Athletics	50.00%	53.48%	OAK 4-2
Pirates	Indians	P.Maholm vs C.Carrasco	Indians	58.68%	60.29%	CLE 5-1
White Sox	DBacks	J.Danks vs Z.Duke	White Sox	51.46%	42.11%	CHA 6-2
Orioles	Nationals	B.Matusz vs J.Zimmerman	Nationals	59.18%	64.66%	WAS 4-2
Padres	Twins	T.Stauffer vs S.Baker	Twins	57.08%	52.37%	MIN 1-0
Royals	Cardinals	V.Mazzaro vs J.Westbrook	Cardinals	60.94%	69.21%	STL 5-4
Tigers	Rockies	P.Coke vs U.Jimenez	Rockies	59.84%	59.25%	COL 5-4
Phillies	Mariners	V.Worley vs F.Hernandez	Mariners	57.63%	61.98%	PHI 5-1
Brewers	Red Sox	R.Wolf vs J.Lester	Red Sox	63.64%	73.48%	MIL 4-2
Blue Jays	Reds	B.Morrow vs E.Volquez	Reds	54.34%	52.26%	MIL 4-2
Rangers	Braves	M.Harrison vs D.Lowe	Braves	51.46%	51.45%	TEX 5-4
Marlins	Rays	R.Nolasco vs A.Cobb	Rays	57.08%	58.17%	TB 7-4
Yankees	Cubs	A.Burnett vs R.Dempster	Yankees	57.63%	51.98%	NYA 4-3
Angels	Mets	D.Haren vs M.Pelfrey	Angels	54.75%	53.32%	NYN 6-1

Run Total Picks Of The Day!
HOU vs LAN, Over 7.0 -105, 0.6 units Push
Daily Profit: 0.0 units

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May 23rd Simulation

Banged Up ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Astros	C.Kershaw vs B.Norris	Dodgers	55.46%	51.59%	HOU 4-3
Mariners	Twins	J.Vargas vs C.Pavano	Twins	50.86%	47.43%	SEA 8-7
Rays	Tigers	J.Hellickson vs P.Coke	Tigers	51.34%	54.31%	DET 6-3
Cardinals	Padres	K.Lohse vs D.Moseley	Cardinals	56.24%	56.39%	STL 3-1
Red Sox	Indians	C.Buchholz vs J.Masterson	Red Sox	53.60%	47.76%	CLE 3-2
Reds	Phillies	B.Arroyo vs C.Hamels	Phillies	61.17%	63.99%	PHI 10-3
Athletics	Angels	J.Outman vs J.Weaver	Angels	64.85%	59.92%	LAA 4-1
Blue Jays	Yankees	C.Villanueva vs B.Colon	Yankees	61.46%	70.01%	TOR 7-3
White Sox	Rangers	J.Danks vs A.Ogando	Rangers	59.76%	59.10%	TEX 4-0
Nationals	Brewers	T.Gorzelanny vs Y.Gallardo	Brewers	62.62%	60.47%	MIL 11-3

Run Total Picks of The Day!
CIN vs PHI, Under 7.5 -118, bet 1.4 units. LOSS
TB vs DET, Under 8 +100, bet 0.5 units. LOSS
BOS vs CLE, Under 8.5 -110, bet 2.2 units. WIN
CHA vs TEX, Under 8.5 -118, bet 0.8 units. WIN
OAK vs LAA, Over 7 +105, bet 0.5 units. LOSS
Daily Profit: 0.2 units

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