Angels vs Dodgers - May 28th Simulation Results

September 3rd - Padres vs Dodgers Simulation Results

                   |     Wins     Losses           RS         RA
  Dodgers  +-----------------------------------------------------------------
                   |    63964     36036       454244    348511


Hitters

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Will Venable	4.375	1.225	0.794	0.280	0.037	0.114	0.372	0.354	0.348	0.970	0.337
Everth Cabrera	4.288	1.113	0.769	0.290	0.019	0.034	0.356	0.262	0.283	1.020	0.296
Chase Headley	4.129	1.156	0.775	0.267	0.006	0.108	0.507	0.211	0.383	1.063	0.338
Carlos Quentin	4.101	0.990	0.619	0.234	0.002	0.135	0.514	0.177	0.292	0.861	0.301
Yasmal Grandal	4.042	1.077	0.784	0.259	0.006	0.028	0.328	0.187	0.264	0.823	0.297
Yonder Alonso	3.887	1.142	0.737	0.320	0.003	0.083	0.417	0.166	0.320	0.688	0.346
Cameron Maybin	3.843	0.998	0.716	0.213	0.018	0.050	0.334	0.181	0.232	0.898	0.295
Alexi Amarista	3.725	1.007	0.675	0.249	0.021	0.063	0.422	0.162	0.262	0.680	0.316
Pitchers Spot	3.753	0.500	0.405	0.083	0.002	0.010	0.181	0.089	0.118	1.692	0.149
Dodgers
Mark Ellis	4.296	1.267	0.870	0.301	0.018	0.078	0.341	0.312	0.372	0.623	0.344
Shane Victorino	4.159	1.260	0.841	0.264	0.053	0.102	0.426	0.372	0.369	0.504	0.360
Adrian Gonzalez	4.160	1.340	0.928	0.266	0.005	0.141	0.650	0.242	0.316	0.713	0.374
Matt Kemp	3.987	1.347	0.836	0.316	0.027	0.168	0.690	0.283	0.384	0.735	0.410
Hanley Ramirez	3.890	1.256	0.791	0.313	0.022	0.131	0.667	0.253	0.377	0.648	0.389
Andre Ethier	3.818	1.107	0.787	0.212	0.007	0.100	0.547	0.178	0.336	0.831	0.342
Luis Cruz	3.804	1.127	0.701	0.334	0.007	0.085	0.507	0.187	0.237	0.574	0.345
A.J. Ellis	3.559	1.046	0.735	0.232	0.007	0.072	0.445	0.156	0.381	0.678	0.349
Pitchers Spot	3.675	0.601	0.474	0.110	0.003	0.013	0.194	0.115	0.167	1.314	0.186

Pitchers

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Andrew Werner	5.676	3.733	1.970	7.173	0.629	93.547	4.366
Luke Gregerson	0.382	0.386	0.097	0.385	0.029	6.009	2.919
Dale Thayer	0.402	0.316	0.091	0.465	0.032	6.321	3.327
Brad Brach	0.581	0.667	0.250	0.590	0.064	9.827	3.634
Tom Layne	0.298	0.291	0.089	0.319	0.027	4.806	3.326
Cory Burns	0.235	0.227	0.088	0.252	0.019	3.879	3.466
Joe Thatcher	0.655	0.636	0.230	0.699	0.046	10.726	3.231
Nick Vincent	0.405	0.365	0.124	0.468	0.045	6.604	3.746
Dodgers
Joe Blanton	6.550	5.905	1.560	6.715	0.468	101.816	3.041
Brandon League	0.447	0.423	0.122	0.415	0.017	6.917	2.625
Ronald Belisario	0.371	0.406	0.113	0.332	0.020	5.857	2.616
Randy Choate	0.588	0.706	0.190	0.498	0.036	9.341	2.555
Javy Guerra	0.239	0.245	0.095	0.222	0.011	3.889	2.933
Matt Guerrier	0.146	0.130	0.053	0.146	0.010	2.347	3.360
Shawn Tolleson	0.576	0.561	0.232	0.570	0.049	9.446	3.560
Jamey Wright	0.322	0.319	0.138	0.310	0.015	5.303	3.120

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

August 21st - Giants vs Dodgers Simulation Box Score

                   |    Wins     Losses          RS         RA
  Dodgers  +------------------------------------------------------
                   |    57685    42315       393160   346818

  Vegas Odds:
              Money Line:  Dodgers -113/+108 (Dodgers have a 52.49% chance of winning)
              Run Total:   Over 7-1/2 +102, Under 7-1/2 -112

Hitting

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Angel Pagan	4.421	1.226	0.879	0.263	0.036	0.049	0.290	0.334	0.332	0.947	0.317
Marco Scutaro	4.328	1.230	0.934	0.235	0.011	0.050	0.365	0.237	0.256	0.613	0.312
Pablo Sandoval	4.257	1.216	0.799	0.318	0.014	0.085	0.445	0.200	0.294	0.902	0.332
Buster Posey	4.053	1.162	0.804	0.252	0.001	0.105	0.489	0.179	0.391	1.003	0.343
Hunter Pence	4.051	1.030	0.718	0.201	0.009	0.101	0.445	0.180	0.296	1.233	0.304
Brandon Belt	3.808	0.972	0.640	0.231	0.014	0.087	0.431	0.159	0.452	1.049	0.324
Gregor Blanco	3.723	0.951	0.677	0.172	0.018	0.084	0.407	0.172	0.426	1.031	0.318
Brandon Crawford	3.554	0.868	0.597	0.204	0.013	0.054	0.382	0.158	0.478	0.868	0.312
Pitchers Spot	3.785	0.405	0.328	0.065	0.001	0.010	0.153	0.080	0.141	2.129	0.127
Dodgers
Shane Victorino	4.145	1.173	0.787	0.244	0.053	0.089	0.322	0.366	0.474	0.683	0.348
Mark Ellis	4.072	1.078	0.760	0.233	0.018	0.068	0.404	0.233	0.398	0.870	0.317
Matt Kemp	3.999	1.192	0.762	0.248	0.025	0.157	0.565	0.243	0.425	1.083	0.372
Andre Ethier	3.827	1.070	0.684	0.258	0.007	0.121	0.543	0.199	0.520	0.961	0.358
Hanley Ramirez	3.801	1.095	0.706	0.245	0.023	0.121	0.533	0.217	0.416	0.918	0.358
James Loney	3.727	1.076	0.741	0.242	0.007	0.086	0.502	0.178	0.395	0.602	0.347
Luis Cruz	3.729	0.986	0.641	0.265	0.006	0.074	0.460	0.147	0.258	0.807	0.312
A.J. Ellis	3.466	0.891	0.640	0.181	0.007	0.063	0.387	0.127	0.418	0.960	0.318
Pitchers Spot	3.611	0.440	0.353	0.073	0.003	0.012	0.146	0.087	0.181	1.847	0.149

Pitching

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Tim Lincecum	5.859	5.983	2.375	6.040	0.568	97.373	3.633
Sergio Romo	0.431	0.548	0.091	0.370	0.028	6.662	2.125
Jeremy Affeldt	0.420	0.383	0.143	0.429	0.020	6.746	3.018
Santiago Casilla	0.620	0.603	0.243	0.659	0.070	10.275	3.909
Javier Lopez	0.283	0.229	0.140	0.305	0.016	4.782	3.813
Clay Hensley	0.226	0.187	0.116	0.244	0.017	3.843	4.071
Jose Mijares	0.573	0.510	0.266	0.616	0.046	9.658	3.866
George Kontos	0.315	0.287	0.111	0.340	0.025	5.143	3.492
Dodgers
Joe Blanton	6.394	6.728	1.870	6.323	0.452	101.998	2.892
Kenley Jansen	0.446	0.754	0.144	0.296	0.032	7.181	1.708
Brandon League	0.403	0.347	0.139	0.415	0.016	6.465	3.031
Javy Guerra	0.613	0.586	0.272	0.611	0.029	10.170	3.237
Randy Choate	0.266	0.303	0.119	0.240	0.017	4.413	3.102
Ronald Belisario	0.158	0.166	0.057	0.148	0.008	2.547	2.827
Shawn Tolleson	0.635	0.568	0.295	0.677	0.054	10.690	3.914
Jamey Wright	0.346	0.322	0.170	0.350	0.016	5.830	3.426

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

August 16th - Dodgers vs Pirates Simulation Box Score

                   |    Wins    Losses          RS         RA
  Dodgers  +-----------------------------------------------------
                   |   53484   46516        395378   341144

  Vegas Odds
             Money Line:  Pirates -123/+118 or Pirates have a 54.65% chance of winning
             Run Total:      Over 7-1/2 -110, Under 7-1/2 +100

Starting Pitching Matchup

Name	IP	SO	BB	K/9	BB/9	GB/FB	HR/9	HR/FB	LOB%	BABIP	LD%	ERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA
A.J. Burnett	138.1	119	42	7.74	2.73	2.20	0.91	13.90%	77.50%	0.273	19.30%	3.32	3.69	3.45	3.50
Joe Blanton	144.1	123	21	7.67	1.31	1.28	1.43	15.00%	66.80%	0.297	22.10%	4.61	3.96	3.45	3.45

Hitters

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Shane Victorino	4.453	1.299	0.872	0.255	0.069	0.103	0.358	0.385	0.356	0.833	0.346
Mark Ellis	4.39	1.19	0.847	0.248	0.025	0.07	0.429	0.243	0.26	1.028	0.308
Matt Kemp	4.313	1.313	0.863	0.261	0.037	0.151	0.562	0.262	0.288	1.222	0.361
Andre Ethier	4.152	1.191	0.755	0.301	0.01	0.125	0.556	0.212	0.376	1.139	0.35
Hanley Ramirez	4.101	1.202	0.785	0.273	0.025	0.119	0.524	0.235	0.296	1.074	0.348
James Loney	3.994	1.191	0.817	0.282	0.01	0.081	0.497	0.194	0.31	0.733	0.345
Luis Cruz	3.978	1.042	0.701	0.269	0.029	0.043	0.407	0.163	0.192	0.965	0.295
A.J. Ellis	3.655	0.975	0.712	0.191	0.009	0.063	0.393	0.147	0.417	1.052	0.323
Pitchers Spot	3.847	0.457	0.369	0.074	0.003	0.011	0.15	0.086	0.134	2.121	0.137
Pirates
Starling Marte	4.215	1.092	0.793	0.196	0.023	0.103	0.278	0.26	0.289	1.103	0.303
Travis Snider	4.085	1.068	0.732	0.22	0.005	0.11	0.362	0.216	0.286	1.163	0.312
Andrew McCutchen	3.963	1.194	0.782	0.226	0.044	0.142	0.477	0.238	0.353	0.944	0.367
Garrett Jones	3.927	1.122	0.668	0.277	0.029	0.148	0.561	0.186	0.325	0.872	0.356
Neil Walker	3.788	1.127	0.746	0.282	0.019	0.08	0.452	0.174	0.348	0.897	0.352
Pedro Alvarez	3.686	0.993	0.617	0.246	0.011	0.119	0.483	0.116	0.35	1.015	0.337
Rod Barajas	3.651	0.799	0.566	0.168	0.003	0.061	0.314	0.096	0.243	0.928	0.261
Clint Barmes	3.612	0.879	0.614	0.198	0.014	0.053	0.302	0.105	0.161	0.868	0.275
Pitchers Spot	3.541	0.456	0.369	0.073	0.004	0.01	0.126	0.076	0.136	1.767	0.148

Pitchers

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Joe Blanton	6.307	6.826	1.649	6.286	0.624	100.088	3.106
Kenley Jansen	0.483	0.807	0.132	0.320	0.035	7.633	1.612
Brandon League	0.413	0.354	0.110	0.433	0.024	6.482	3.050
Javy Guerra	0.576	0.518	0.211	0.600	0.042	9.369	3.442
Randy Choate	0.256	0.279	0.092	0.245	0.018	4.154	2.992
Ronald Belisario	0.203	0.200	0.060	0.204	0.016	3.227	3.172
Shawn Tolleson	0.418	0.401	0.154	0.445	0.055	6.874	4.080
Jamey Wright	0.189	0.172	0.082	0.196	0.013	3.136	3.577
Pirates
A.J. Burnett	6.310	6.963	1.589	6.678	0.480	101.314	2.736
Joel Hanrahan	0.422	0.538	0.130	0.389	0.029	6.833	2.480
Jason Grilli	0.428	0.631	0.140	0.371	0.034	7.034	2.257
Tony Watson	0.632	0.671	0.215	0.711	0.073	10.530	3.605
Juan Cruz	0.276	0.301	0.122	0.290	0.025	4.683	3.543
Chad Qualls	0.157	0.120	0.048	0.198	0.018	2.579	4.082
Chris Resop	0.690	0.674	0.234	0.781	0.069	11.405	3.567
Jeff Locke	0.349	0.272	0.151	0.442	0.039	5.977	4.387

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

August 11th - Dodgers vs Marlins Simulation Box Score

                                 Simulation Results
                  |    Wins     Losses          RS        RA
  Dodgers  +-----------------------------------------------
                  |    57362    42638       468359  376082

  Vegas Results:
                      Money Line: Dodgers -125/+120 or 55.05% chance of winning
                      Run Total: Over 8 -115, Under 8 +105 (or around 8.3 runs)

Hitters

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Shane Victorino	4.509	1.371	0.864	0.272	0.113	0.122	0.438	0.441	0.426	0.648	0.372
Mark Ellis	4.46	1.275	0.894	0.264	0.041	0.076	0.503	0.293	0.317	0.813	0.329
Matt Kemp	4.378	1.418	0.901	0.291	0.065	0.162	0.658	0.316	0.342	0.981	0.388
Andre Ethier	4.193	1.285	0.789	0.341	0.017	0.137	0.655	0.252	0.458	0.906	0.378
Hanley Ramirez	4.164	1.287	0.822	0.298	0.039	0.127	0.608	0.272	0.355	0.864	0.371
James Loney	4.054	1.249	0.837	0.311	0.015	0.086	0.571	0.233	0.374	0.585	0.361
Luis Cruz	4.065	1.122	0.726	0.3	0.047	0.049	0.487	0.198	0.229	0.769	0.317
A.J. Ellis	3.675	1.039	0.751	0.206	0.014	0.069	0.452	0.18	0.518	0.839	0.348
Pitchers Spot	3.945	0.579	0.467	0.093	0.006	0.012	0.201	0.118	0.159	1.717	0.167
Marlins
Bryan Petersen	4.153	1.138	0.767	0.227	0.034	0.11	0.336	0.326	0.492	0.992	0.343
Donovan Solano	4.197	1.113	0.728	0.275	0.055	0.054	0.35	0.292	0.275	0.954	0.31
Jose Reyes	4.012	1.288	0.843	0.275	0.106	0.065	0.47	0.307	0.414	0.512	0.381
Carlos Lee	3.93	1.122	0.781	0.238	0.016	0.086	0.562	0.196	0.381	0.532	0.34
Giancarlo Stanton	3.822	1.042	0.617	0.25	0.012	0.164	0.596	0.174	0.402	1.19	0.353
Greg Dobbs	3.845	1.113	0.783	0.245	0.014	0.072	0.442	0.157	0.281	0.713	0.332
Justin Ruggiano	3.723	1.038	0.659	0.264	0.039	0.075	0.415	0.153	0.265	0.871	0.331
John Buck	3.512	0.839	0.6	0.17	0.005	0.063	0.355	0.12	0.371	1.017	0.296
Pitchers Spot	3.628	0.468	0.376	0.077	0.005	0.011	0.148	0.095	0.161	1.795	0.153

Pitchers

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Joe Blanton	6.172	5.987	1.963	6.463	0.519	99.61	3.307
Kenley Jansen	0.487	0.75	0.163	0.359	0.031	7.867	1.949
Brandon League	0.403	0.311	0.13	0.434	0.019	6.422	3.233
Javy Guerra	0.582	0.463	0.253	0.638	0.035	9.674	3.685
Randy Choate	0.274	0.27	0.126	0.274	0.016	4.587	3.382
Ronald Belisario	0.227	0.2	0.081	0.24	0.015	3.679	3.392
Shawn Tolleson	0.478	0.417	0.212	0.524	0.052	8.018	4.211
Jamey Wright	0.213	0.178	0.115	0.23	0.012	3.659	3.893
Marlins
Ricky Nolasco	6.017	4.933	1.761	7.151	0.541	97.618	3.607
Heath Bell	0.376	0.379	0.157	0.383	0.026	6.25	3.33
Steven Cishek	0.404	0.452	0.149	0.4	0.025	6.648	2.858
Mike Dunn	0.625	0.701	0.312	0.628	0.04	10.74	3.285
Ryan Webb	0.31	0.267	0.113	0.345	0.017	5.093	3.287
Carlos Zambrano	0.18	0.159	0.098	0.202	0.014	3.134	4.113
Chris Thatcher	0.754	0.69	0.376	0.908	0.125	13.192	5.015
Chad Gaudin	0.549	0.542	0.211	0.608	0.053	9.168	3.645

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

August 5th Cubs vs Dodgers Simulation Box Scores

                  |   Wins      Losses         RS          RA
  Dodgers +---------------------------------------------------------
                  |   65786     34214       424168    310787

Hitters

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
David DeJesus	4.286	1.221	0.833	0.278	0.039	0.071	0.286	0.258	0.398	0.811	0.337
Starlin Castro	4.364	1.285	0.987	0.199	0.033	0.066	0.336	0.216	0.144	0.823	0.315
Anthony Rizzo	4.163	1.157	0.782	0.253	0.006	0.116	0.455	0.174	0.324	0.742	0.331
Alfonso Soriano	4.155	1.021	0.631	0.251	0.005	0.134	0.491	0.162	0.207	1.136	0.297
Bryan LaHair	3.946	1.028	0.737	0.183	0.005	0.104	0.421	0.158	0.348	1.074	0.314
Steve Clevenger	3.917	1.006	0.742	0.242	0.003	0.020	0.281	0.137	0.255	0.772	0.286
Darwin Barney	3.868	1.083	0.776	0.252	0.016	0.040	0.317	0.139	0.160	0.577	0.305
Luis Valbuena	3.704	0.914	0.610	0.235	0.005	0.064	0.333	0.126	0.239	0.735	0.290
Pitchers Spot	3.707	0.477	0.388	0.078	0.002	0.008	0.138	0.087	0.121	1.748	0.144
Dodgers
Shane Victorino	4.243	1.277	0.876	0.242	0.053	0.106	0.365	0.407	0.377	0.540	0.357
Mark Ellis	4.169	1.205	0.863	0.248	0.023	0.072	0.449	0.275	0.318	0.642	0.332
Matt Kemp	4.094	1.359	0.900	0.272	0.033	0.153	0.611	0.295	0.342	0.776	0.393
Andre Ethier	3.914	1.218	0.768	0.315	0.010	0.125	0.612	0.237	0.447	0.727	0.381
Hanley Ramirez	3.880	1.224	0.806	0.279	0.021	0.118	0.577	0.254	0.351	0.677	0.375
James Loney	3.777	1.164	0.794	0.283	0.008	0.079	0.540	0.207	0.361	0.470	0.360
Luis Cruz	3.780	1.054	0.703	0.278	0.027	0.045	0.458	0.172	0.224	0.613	0.317
Matt Treanor	3.587	0.918	0.681	0.204	0.003	0.030	0.364	0.144	0.310	0.689	0.296
Pitchers Spot	3.647	0.581	0.469	0.097	0.004	0.012	0.188	0.112	0.159	1.357	0.180

Pitchers

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Justin Germano	5.963	4.104	1.863	7.111	0.514	96.125	3.882
Carlos Marmol	0.360	0.437	0.202	0.308	0.022	6.184	3.235
James Russell	0.391	0.320	0.130	0.447	0.039	6.357	3.839
Shawn Camp	0.608	0.458	0.167	0.695	0.043	9.652	3.436
Jairo Asencio	0.273	0.219	0.103	0.305	0.024	4.477	3.883
Manny Corpas	0.227	0.160	0.070	0.261	0.017	3.629	3.703
Scott Maine	0.540	0.557	0.239	0.554	0.049	9.078	3.641
Casey Coleman	0.278	0.235	0.114	0.320	0.031	4.657	4.210
Dodgers
Joe Blanton	6.633	5.589	1.405	6.838	0.473	101.687	3.077
Kenley Jansen	0.461	0.779	0.114	0.284	0.023	7.164	1.209
Brandon League	0.383	0.331	0.090	0.370	0.016	5.849	2.717
Javy Guerra	0.572	0.517	0.189	0.553	0.029	9.051	3.035
Randy Choate	0.238	0.279	0.066	0.194	0.010	3.696	2.258
Ronald Belisario	0.143	0.141	0.039	0.135	0.008	2.229	2.769
Shawn Tolleson	0.534	0.511	0.180	0.533	0.049	8.569	3.496
Jamey Wright	0.296	0.271	0.115	0.287	0.014	4.780	3.156

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July 16th Simulation Results

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	ML Bets
ARI	CIN	Wade Miley vs Bronson Arroyo	CIN	55.26%	55.98%	- - -
CHA	BOS	Dylan Axelrod vs Aaron Cook	BOS	55.26%	53.11%	CHA, 0.6u
CLE	TB	Zach McAllister vs Alex Cobb	TB	56.24%	55.12%	CLE, 0.3u
HOU	SD	J.A. Happ vs Kip Wells	SD	53.60%	51.20%	- - -
PHI	LAN	Joe Blanton vs Nathan Eovaldi	PHI	51.34%	52.44%	- - -
SEA	KC	Jason Vargas vs Jonathan Sanchez	KC	51.57%	54.88%	KC, 1.2u
LAA	DET	Ervin Santana vs Rick Porcello	DET	53.16%	56.33%	DET, 1.0u
TOR	NYA	Henderson Alvarez vs Phil Hughes	NYA	63.03%	59.77%	TOR, 0.8u
WAS	FLA	Edwin Jackson vs Carlos Zambrano	FLA	50.74%	50.02%	- - -
BAL	MIN	Chris Tillman vs Scott Diamond	MIN	54.02%	55.25%	MIN, 0.2u
STL	MIL	Lance Lynn vs Michael Fiers	MIL	52.27%	52.96%	- - -
PIT	COL	Jeff Karstens vs Jeff Francis	COL	53.81%	49.18%	PIT, 1.6u

Today's Run Total Bets:
STL vs MIL, Under 8.5 +100, 1.5 units
HOU vs SD, Over 7 +105, 0.5 units
CLE vs TB, Under 8.5 +100, 1.5 units

Previous Day: No bets.
Current ML ROI: 3.27%

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