Dbacks vs Dodgers - Friday's Simulation Results

                                         *** Simulation Results ***

                                 Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Dbacks	Dodgers	Occurrences		Rank	Dbacks	Dodgers	Occurrences
1	1	2	51809		51	0	7	4922
2	2	3	51391		52	4	7	4885
3	3	4	37346		53	7	5	4410
4	2	1	35686		54	1	8	4161
5	3	2	35670		55	8	2	4142
6	0	1	31453		56	2	8	4069
7	1	3	30920		57	5	7	4015
8	3	1	26103		58	7	0	3962
9	4	3	25959		59	8	3	3839
10	2	4	25317		60	7	6	3798
11	0	2	24691		61	8	1	3719
12	4	2	23528		62	3	8	3497
13	1	4	22950		63	8	4	3253
14	4	5	22695		64	0	8	2966
15	1	0	21737		65	4	8	2724
16	0	3	20729		66	2	9	2588
17	2	0	19718		67	8	5	2526
18	4	1	19386		68	9	2	2524
19	2	5	16959		69	1	9	2512
20	3	0	16347		70	8	0	2468
21	5	3	15847		71	7	8	2418
22	5	2	15790		72	9	3	2298
23	3	5	15780		73	5	8	2240
24	0	4	15680		74	9	1	2176
25	1	5	15338		75	3	9	2112
26	5	4	15271		76	8	6	1997
27	5	1	13247		77	9	4	1911
28	4	0	12303		78	0	9	1907
29	5	6	11654		79	6	8	1694
30	0	5	11355		80	4	9	1583
31	2	6	10607		81	8	7	1566
32	1	6	10415		82	2	10	1531
33	6	2	10285		83	1	10	1521
34	3	6	10009		84	9	0	1489
35	6	3	9989		85	9	5	1464
36	6	4	9017		86	10	2	1410
37	6	1	8984		87	10	3	1292
38	5	0	8868		88	10	1	1271
39	4	6	8441		89	5	9	1245
40	6	5	8121		90	3	10	1209
41	0	6	7666		91	0	10	1144
42	7	2	6638		92	9	6	1117
43	2	7	6591		93	10	4	1071
44	1	7	6574		94	2	11	969
45	7	3	6220		95	1	11	930
46	6	0	6021		96	6	9	928
47	7	1	5861		97	8	9	928
48	3	7	5779		98	4	10	910
49	6	7	5426		99	11	2	841
50	7	4	5414		100	10	0	838

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks - Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores 4/12

                                    Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Dodgers	Dbacks	Occurrences		Rank	Dodgers	Dbacks	Occurrences
1	3	4	34617		51	1	7	6575
2	2	3	32838		52	8	4	6564
3	4	5	29064		53	1	0	6549
4	4	3	23934		54	3	8	6505
5	3	2	23462		55	8	2	6403
6	1	2	22402		56	8	5	6367
7	5	6	21473		57	2	8	6237
8	5	4	19662		58	4	8	6122
9	2	4	18671		59	0	5	5918
10	4	2	18544		60	8	6	5846
11	5	3	17505		61	5	0	5770
12	3	5	17130		62	5	8	5766
13	2	1	16518		63	8	7	5412
14	1	3	15871		64	6	8	5264
15	3	1	15176		65	8	1	5093
16	5	2	14925		66	9	3	4814
17	2	5	14709		67	1	8	4757
18	6	5	14247		68	6	0	4755
19	6	7	13959		69	3	9	4720
20	6	4	13567		70	9	2	4573
21	1	4	13553		71	0	6	4554
22	4	1	13171		72	8	9	4546
23	6	3	13065		73	9	4	4444
24	4	6	12922		74	2	9	4406
25	3	6	12682		75	4	9	4344
26	6	2	11456		76	9	5	4013
27	2	6	11449		77	5	9	3794
28	1	5	11111		78	9	6	3765
29	5	1	10759		79	7	0	3750
30	7	4	9669		80	9	1	3554
31	7	6	9626		81	0	7	3433
32	7	3	9403		82	6	9	3393
33	7	5	9392		83	10	3	3334
34	3	7	9047		84	1	9	3329
35	4	7	8932		85	3	10	3305
36	0	1	8775		86	9	7	3216
37	7	2	8652		87	10	2	3132
38	6	1	8617		88	10	4	3130
39	1	6	8595		89	4	10	3015
40	5	7	8541		90	2	10	2984
41	2	7	8491		91	7	9	2973
42	7	8	8346		92	9	8	2922
43	0	2	8072		93	8	0	2797
44	0	3	7956		94	10	5	2707
45	3	0	7658		95	5	10	2603
46	2	0	7507		96	0	8	2592
47	0	4	7063		97	10	1	2487
48	4	0	6804		98	1	10	2327
49	7	1	6804		99	11	3	2241
50	8	3	6744		100	9	10	2235

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers - June 10th Simulation Results

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers - May 8th Simulation Results

September 2nd - Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Simulation Box Score

                   |    Wins      Losses           RS          RA
  Dodgers  +---------------------------------------------------------
                   |   58527      41473       396799     340685

Hitters

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Chris Young	4.332	1.052	0.620	0.324	0.008	0.099	0.322	0.224	0.367	1.102	0.304
Aaron Hill	4.274	1.122	0.706	0.289	0.012	0.115	0.384	0.189	0.278	0.759	0.316
Jason Kubel	4.193	0.992	0.651	0.174	0.010	0.157	0.431	0.158	0.312	1.561	0.299
Paul Goldschmidt	4.083	1.147	0.666	0.336	0.004	0.140	0.481	0.186	0.319	1.087	0.347
Justin Upton	3.943	1.095	0.758	0.229	0.009	0.098	0.415	0.193	0.359	1.064	0.332
Miguel Montero	3.814	0.951	0.703	0.162	0.007	0.079	0.372	0.144	0.378	1.227	0.303
Chris Johnson	3.874	1.066	0.702	0.263	0.007	0.093	0.436	0.141	0.210	1.083	0.319
Jake Elmore	3.693	0.953	0.670	0.224	0.008	0.050	0.355	0.139	0.277	0.862	0.300
Pitchers Spot	3.736	0.473	0.378	0.083	0.001	0.011	0.166	0.074	0.142	1.799	0.147
Dodgers
Mark Ellis	4.288	1.221	0.853	0.291	0.018	0.059	0.292	0.291	0.332	0.685	0.327
Shane Victorino	4.147	1.222	0.829	0.263	0.051	0.078	0.369	0.359	0.334	0.544	0.345
Adrian Gonzalez	4.142	1.286	0.909	0.265	0.005	0.107	0.571	0.228	0.293	0.767	0.355
Matt Kemp	3.986	1.285	0.821	0.309	0.027	0.128	0.595	0.268	0.345	0.799	0.384
Hanley Ramirez	3.886	1.197	0.773	0.303	0.022	0.099	0.576	0.242	0.342	0.711	0.365
Andre Ethier	3.801	1.062	0.764	0.213	0.007	0.078	0.486	0.170	0.311	0.885	0.326
Luis Cruz	3.783	1.084	0.690	0.323	0.007	0.064	0.443	0.174	0.214	0.622	0.328
A.J. Ellis	3.549	1.000	0.714	0.225	0.007	0.053	0.393	0.144	0.345	0.737	0.330
Pitchers Spot	3.644	0.557	0.441	0.104	0.003	0.010	0.171	0.105	0.151	1.420	0.173

Pitchers

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Wade Miley	6.075	4.590	1.779	7.146	0.494	97.675	3.623
J.J. Putz	0.429	0.529	0.076	0.383	0.027	6.582	2.097
David Hernandez	0.398	0.521	0.135	0.352	0.024	6.480	2.398
Brad Ziegler	0.608	0.458	0.183	0.679	0.019	9.679	2.994
Matt Lindstrom	0.276	0.223	0.098	0.305	0.017	4.480	3.437
Matt Albers	0.211	0.185	0.086	0.234	0.022	3.515	4.012
Bryan Shaw	0.505	0.446	0.194	0.553	0.043	8.333	3.702
Mike Zagurski	0.230	0.218	0.117	0.263	0.030	4.004	4.543
Dodgers
Chris Capuano	6.391	7.381	1.620	6.139	0.641	101.172	2.955
Brandon League	0.452	0.449	0.127	0.419	0.019	7.049	2.604
Ronald Belisario	0.407	0.474	0.126	0.366	0.026	6.485	2.631
Randy Choate	0.613	0.780	0.208	0.540	0.047	9.936	2.659
Javy Guerra	0.256	0.275	0.103	0.236	0.014	4.181	2.972
Matt Guerrier	0.151	0.142	0.055	0.151	0.012	2.444	3.467
Shawn Tolleson	0.627	0.639	0.243	0.629	0.062	10.305	3.598
Jamey Wright	0.386	0.403	0.158	0.370	0.022	6.346	3.079

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

July 31st Simulation Results

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
LAA	TEX	Jered Weaver vs Derek Holland	TEX	TBD	50.77%	TBD
ARI	LAN	Wade Miley vs Chris Capuano	LAN	TBD	57.29%	TBD
CLE	KC	Derek Lowe vs Luke Hochevar	KC	TBD	57.07%	TBD
DET	BOS	Justin Verlander vs Josh Beckett	DET	TBD	52.77%	TBD
FLA	ATL	Ricky Nolasco vs Kris Medlen	ATL	TBD	57.96%	TBD
SD	CIN	Jason Marquis vs Homer Bailey	CIN	TBD	54.98%	TBD
BAL	NYA	Chris Tillman vs Ivan Nova	NYA	TBD	60.37%	TBD
PHI	WAS	Cliff Lee vs Stephen Strasburg	WAS	TBD	56.59%	TBD
PIT	CHN	A.J. Burnett vs Ryan Dempster	CHN	TBD	52.55%	TBD
CHA	MIN	Francisco Liriano vs Scott Diamond	MIN	TBD	53.10%	TBD
HOU	MIL	Dallas Keuchel vs Yovanni Gallardo	MIL	TBD	67.53%	TBD
STL	COL	Kyle Lohse vs Jeff Francis	STL	TBD	50.39%	TBD
TB	OAK	James Shields vs Tom Milone	TB	TBD	51.47%	TBD
TOR	SEA	Aaron Laffey vs Jason Vargas	TOR	TBD	50.36%	TBD
NYN	SF	Matt Harvey vs Tim Lincecum	SF	TBD	57.25%	TBD

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

July 5th Simulation Results

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
BAL	LAA	Jake Arrieta vs Garrett Richards	LAA	59.60%	55.44%	TBD
CHN	ATL	Matt Garza vs Mike Minor	ATL	55.06%	63.06%	TBD
CIN	SD	Mat Latos vs Edinson Volquez	CIN	56.99%	55.57%	TBD
TB	CLE	Jeremy Hellickson vs Josh Tomlin	CLE	51.34%	60.65%	TBD
TEX	CHA	Matt Harrison vs Jose Quintana	TEX	56.04%	56.98%	TBD
MIN	DET	Scott Diamond vs Rick Porcello	DET	58.25%	56.15%	TBD
FLA	MIL	Mark Buehrle vs Michael Fiers	MIL	55.26%	54.92%	TBD
HOU	PIT	Bud Norris vs Jeff Karstens	PIT	57.17%	52.65%	TBD
SF	WAS	Matt Cain vs Ross Detwiler	SF	54.02%	54.98%	TBD
KC	TOR	Luke Hochevar vs Henderson Alvarez	TOR	56.43%	46.67%	TBD
PHI	NYN	Cole Hamels vs R.A. Dickey	NYN	55.46%	50.89%	TBD
COL	STL	Chris Friedrich vs Lance Lynn	STL	65.64%	63.73%	TBD
LAN	ARI	Nathan Eovaldi vs Wade Miley	ARI	61.83%	64.75%	TBD

Previous Day: No bets
Current ROI: 4.00%

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

May 15th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
ARI	LAN	Wade Miley vs Chad Billingsley	LAN	56.99%	55.54%	TBD
CIN	ATL	Johnny Cueto vs Tim Hudson	ATL	52.04%	54.38%	TBD
DET	CHA	Max Scherzer vs Jake Peavy	CHA	55.26%	49.84%	TBD
KC	TEX	Vin Mazzaro vs Colby Lewis	TEX	69.70%	67.58%	TBD
OAK	LAA	Bartolo Colon vs Ervin Santana	LAA	59.76%	59.56%	TBD
SEA	BOS	Blake Beavan vs Josh Beckett	BOS	64.22%	65.65%	TBD
HOU	PHI	Jordan Lyles vs Cliff Lee	PHI	72.41%	72.42%	TBD
SD	WAS	Anthony Bass vs Stephen Strasburg	WAS	68.15%	62.23%	TBD
CLE	MIN	Derek Lowe vs Jason Marquis	CLE	56.24%	54.50%	TBD
CHN	STL	Paul Maholm vs Kyle Lohse	STL	63.70%	67.12%	TBD
NYA	BAL	C.C. Sabathia vs Wei-Yin Chen	NYA	59.60%	57.67%	TBD
TB	TOR	David Price vs Henderson Alvarez	TB	50.25%	48.44%	TBD
MIL	NYN	Zach Greinke vs Dillon Gee	MIL	56.99%	55.75%	TBD
PIT	FLA	Kevin Correia vs Josh Johnson	FLA	64.60%	68.15%	TBD
COL	SF	Jeremy Guthrie vs Tim Lincecum	SF	58.76%	NA	TBD

Current ROI: 8.41%

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