Cardinals vs Dodgers - NLDS Game 2 Simulation Results

Away	Home	Away Pitcher	Home Pitcher	Favorite	Away RS	Home RS	Win %	Total Runs
Cardinals	Dodgers	Lance Lynn	Zach Greinke	Dodgers	3.10	4.03	63.2572	7.13

                                       Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Cardinals	Dodgers	Occurrences		Rank	Cardinals	Dodgers	Occurrences
1	2	3	48798		51	7	2	5686
2	1	2	46130		52	7	4	5527
3	3	4	38320		53	3	8	5360
4	1	3	29091		54	0	8	5169
5	0	1	28194		55	5	7	4980
6	3	2	26629		56	7	5	4946
7	2	1	26013		57	7	1	4623
8	4	5	25848		58	7	6	4591
9	2	4	25111		59	2	9	4503
10	0	2	23969		60	1	9	4497
11	1	4	23862		61	4	8	4250
12	0	3	22085		62	6	0	4102
13	4	3	21297		63	7	8	3833
14	2	5	19514		64	8	3	3749
15	3	1	19220		65	3	9	3733
16	4	2	18548		66	0	9	3656
17	0	4	17950		67	8	2	3631
18	1	5	17554		68	5	8	3470
19	3	5	16821		69	8	4	3444
20	5	6	15098		70	1	10	3040
21	1	0	14606		71	8	1	3005
22	5	4	14223		72	2	10	2977
23	4	1	14066		73	8	5	2967
24	0	5	14036		74	4	9	2894
25	5	3	13721		75	7	0	2691
26	1	6	12928		76	8	6	2547
27	2	0	12866		77	0	10	2459
28	2	6	12832		78	3	10	2456
29	5	2	12745		79	6	8	2456
30	3	6	12114		80	9	3	2340
31	0	6	10412		81	9	2	2240
32	3	0	10248		82	9	4	2132
33	5	1	10000		83	8	7	2127
34	4	6	9600		84	5	9	2070
35	2	7	9234		85	1	11	1945
36	1	7	9133		86	2	11	1934
37	6	3	8959		87	9	1	1862
38	6	4	8693		88	4	10	1833
39	6	2	8502		89	8	0	1802
40	6	5	8337		90	9	5	1783
41	3	7	8000		91	8	9	1694
42	4	0	7863		92	3	11	1646
43	6	7	7794		93	0	11	1591
44	0	7	7603		94	6	9	1572
45	6	1	6976		95	9	6	1471
46	4	7	6924		96	10	3	1402
47	1	8	6602		97	10	2	1352
48	2	8	6319		98	1	12	1337
49	5	0	5856		99	5	10	1305
50	7	3	5749		100	2	12	1255

Chances of each team scoring X number of runs

Runs Scored	Cardinals	Dodgers
0	13.99%	6.28%
1	17.27%	11.66%
2	17.33%	15.12%
3	14.72%	15.90%
4	11.62%	14.22%
5	8.57%	11.43%
6	5.98%	8.36%
7	4.04%	5.85%
8	2.61%	3.95%
9	1.62%	2.65%
10	0.96%	1.72%

Note: Based on 1 million games simulated

Red Sox vs Cardinals - World Series Game 4 Simulation Results

                                       Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Red Sox	Cardinals	Occurrences		Rank	Red Sox	Cardinals	Occurrences
1	2	3	4134		51	7	1	665
2	1	2	3603		52	7	6	629
3	3	4	3391		53	5	7	598
4	3	2	2866		54	6	0	569
5	2	1	2674		55	0	7	561
6	4	3	2535		56	2	8	542
7	1	3	2373		57	8	3	530
8	4	5	2328		58	8	2	528
9	2	4	2280		59	3	8	514
10	3	1	2163		60	1	8	493
11	4	2	2153		61	8	4	465
12	1	4	1964		62	8	5	447
13	0	1	1903		63	4	8	444
14	5	4	1774		64	8	1	441
15	4	1	1701		65	7	0	433
16	2	5	1685		66	1	9	420
17	0	2	1672		67	0	8	376
18	3	5	1652		68	7	8	376
19	5	3	1643		69	5	8	370
20	5	2	1619		70	3	9	366
21	1	0	1593		71	2	9	360
22	2	0	1562		72	8	6	351
23	0	3	1544		73	9	3	340
24	1	5	1534		74	8	0	315
25	5	6	1496		75	9	2	308
26	5	1	1372		76	9	4	301
27	3	0	1342		77	6	8	300
28	0	4	1250		78	9	1	292
29	6	3	1209		79	4	9	290
30	2	6	1175		80	8	7	272
31	3	6	1150		81	2	10	251
32	6	2	1118		82	1	10	240
33	6	4	1108		83	0	9	233
34	1	6	1085		84	9	5	221
35	6	5	1083		85	4	10	214
36	4	0	1059		86	3	10	207
37	0	5	1044		87	10	2	206
38	4	6	1023		88	5	9	205
39	6	1	909		89	10	3	200
40	6	7	817		90	8	9	196
41	5	0	807		91	9	6	196
42	1	7	803		92	6	9	182
43	2	7	793		93	10	4	179
44	3	7	779		94	10	1	172
45	7	4	761		95	2	11	158
46	0	6	759		96	3	11	157
47	7	3	759		97	9	0	157
48	4	7	713		98	9	7	149
49	7	2	698		99	0	10	148
50	7	5	667		100	10	5	141

Cardinals vs Dodgers - Simulation Results NLCS Game #4

                                           Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Cardinals	Dodgers	Occurrences		Rank	Cardinals	Dodgers	Occurrences
1	2	3	47593		51	4	7	5743
2	1	2	45843		52	7	0	5119
3	3	4	37546		53	7	5	5073
4	3	2	32889		54	8	2	4861
5	2	1	32175		55	5	7	4685
6	0	1	26993		56	8	1	4659
7	1	3	26242		57	8	3	4645
8	3	1	25777		58	2	8	4494
9	4	3	24897		59	7	6	4422
10	4	5	23715		60	0	7	4222
11	2	4	23270		61	1	8	4010
12	4	2	23148		62	8	4	3910
13	0	2	20166		63	3	8	3894
14	1	4	20038		64	4	8	3309
15	1	0	19628		65	8	0	3294
16	4	1	19421		66	8	5	3151
17	2	0	18995		67	9	2	3124
18	0	3	16564		68	7	8	3084
19	3	0	16546		69	9	1	3048
20	5	2	16208		70	9	3	2906
21	2	5	16185		71	5	8	2835
22	3	5	16180		72	0	8	2710
23	5	3	16170		73	2	9	2671
24	5	4	16055		74	8	6	2535
25	5	1	14543		75	1	9	2514
26	1	5	14020		76	3	9	2456
27	5	6	13413		77	9	4	2441
28	4	0	13388		78	6	8	2209
29	0	4	12681		79	9	0	2171
30	6	2	11328		80	8	7	2043
31	6	3	10590		81	10	2	2034
32	2	6	10570		82	4	9	2001
33	3	6	10537		83	9	5	1925
34	6	1	10135		84	10	1	1837
35	5	0	9768		85	10	3	1737
36	6	4	9653		86	2	10	1716
37	1	6	9428		87	0	9	1704
38	0	5	9345		88	3	10	1559
39	4	6	9132		89	1	10	1506
40	6	5	8882		90	5	9	1484
41	7	2	7527		91	10	4	1482
42	6	0	7235		92	9	6	1427
43	7	1	7133		93	8	9	1369
44	7	3	7039		94	10	0	1353
45	2	7	6749		95	6	9	1222
46	6	7	6682		96	4	10	1202
47	0	6	6512		97	9	7	1172
48	3	7	6264		98	11	2	1167
49	1	7	6150		99	11	1	1128
50	7	4	6137		100	10	5	1119

Pirates vs Cardinals - NLDS Game #2 Simulation Results

Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Pirates	Cardinals	Occurrences		Rank	Pirates	Cardinals	Occurrences
1	1	2	47488		51	2	8	5936
2	2	3	46126		52	7	4	5384
3	3	4	35998		53	0	8	5198
4	0	1	32110		54	6	0	5095
5	1	3	29872		55	3	8	4935
6	3	2	29245		56	7	1	4809
7	2	1	28892		57	5	7	4800
8	0	2	25235		58	7	5	4586
9	2	4	24689		59	1	9	4335
10	4	5	22910		60	2	9	4154
11	1	4	22583		61	7	6	3966
12	3	1	22562		62	4	8	3705
13	0	3	22119		63	8	3	3535
14	4	3	22065		64	0	9	3485
15	4	2	20544		65	3	9	3433
16	1	0	18798		66	8	2	3430
17	2	5	18428		67	8	4	3271
18	4	1	17354		68	7	0	3129
19	0	4	16930		69	5	8	3073
20	2	0	16766		70	7	8	2901
21	1	5	15985		71	1	10	2899
22	3	5	15804		72	8	1	2862
23	5	2	14615		73	8	5	2804
24	5	3	14508		74	2	10	2764
25	5	4	13940		75	4	9	2484
26	3	0	13796		76	0	10	2378
27	0	5	13208		77	3	10	2377
28	5	6	12807		78	6	8	2185
29	5	1	12093		79	8	6	2112
30	1	6	11997		80	9	3	1933
31	2	6	11739		81	1	11	1884
32	3	6	11565		82	8	0	1842
33	4	0	10818		83	9	4	1824
34	0	6	9723		84	9	2	1819
35	6	2	9685		85	5	9	1803
36	6	3	9509		86	4	10	1793
37	4	6	8974		87	8	7	1793
38	1	7	8696		88	2	11	1767
39	6	4	8569		89	0	11	1600
40	2	7	8301		90	9	5	1598
41	6	5	8033		91	3	11	1533
42	6	1	7929		92	9	1	1519
43	5	0	7886		93	6	9	1404
44	0	7	7182		94	9	6	1268
45	3	7	7084		95	8	9	1206
46	6	7	6503		96	5	10	1204
47	4	7	6251		97	1	12	1202
48	1	8	6063		98	4	11	1148
49	7	3	6053		99	2	12	1116
50	7	2	6018		100	10	3	1023

Cardinals vs Dodgers - May 24th Simultion Results

May 18th Simulations Results

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
LAA	SD	Jered Weaver vs Jeff Suppan	LAA	61.98%	62.20%	TBD
ARI	KC	Joe Saunders vs Luis Mendoza	ARI	53.92%	NA	TBD
ATL	TB	Tommy Hanson vs James Shields	TB	55.75%	53.00%	TBD
FLA	CLE	Carlos Zambrano vs Justin Masterson	CLE	53.70%	61.23%	TBD
STL	LAN	Lance Lynn vs Ted Lilly	STL	53.27%	55.58%	TBD
CHA	CHN	Phil Humber vs Jeff Samardzija	CHN	54.13%	51.43%	TBD
BAL	WAS	Jake Arrieta vs Edwin Jackson	WAS	53.05%	56.13%	TBD
BOS	PHI	Daniel Bard vs Cole Hamels	PHI	58.16%	60.87%	TBD
CIN	NYA	Bronson Arroyo vs Andy Pettitte	NYA	57.45%	64.41%	TBD
PIT	DET	Charlie Morton vs Justin Verlander	DET	68.75%	73.87%	TBD
NYN	TOR	John Niese vs Ricky Romero	TOR	58.85%	62.71%	TBD
TEX	HOU	Neftali Feliz vs Wandy Rodriguez	TEX	60.00%	65.76%	TBD
MIN	MIL	Scott Diamond vs Marco Estrada	MIL	56.90%	60.00%	TBD
SEA	COL	Kevin Millwood vs Alex White	COL	56.14%	NA	TBD
OAK	SF	Jarrod Parker vs Barry Zito	SF	51.92%	51.55%	TBD

Current ROI: 8.17%
Notes: Half bets on interleague

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