Cardinals vs Red Sox - World Series Game 6 Simulation Results

                                 Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Cardinals	Red Sox	Occurrences		Rank	Cardinals	Red Sox	Occurrences
1	2	3	46999		51	0	6	5999
2	1	2	42946		52	7	5	5618
3	3	4	38604		53	5	7	5295
4	3	2	31632		54	8	2	5002
5	2	1	29386		55	8	3	4855
6	1	3	26044		56	7	0	4782
7	4	5	25588		57	7	6	4773
8	4	3	25509		58	8	1	4687
9	3	1	24553		59	2	8	4549
10	0	1	24505		60	3	8	4438
11	2	4	24284		61	8	4	4241
12	4	2	23464		62	1	8	4058
13	4	1	19553		63	0	7	4032
14	0	2	18971		64	4	8	3684
15	1	4	18844		65	8	5	3471
16	2	0	17124		66	7	8	3422
17	5	2	16992		67	9	2	3249
18	2	5	16953		68	5	8	3121
19	5	3	16898		69	8	0	3114
20	5	4	16834		70	9	3	2932
21	3	5	16698		71	2	9	2878
22	1	0	16525		72	9	1	2862
23	0	3	15380		73	3	9	2745
24	3	0	15106		74	8	6	2736
25	5	1	14806		75	0	8	2612
26	5	6	14668		76	6	8	2582
27	1	5	13277		77	1	9	2539
28	4	0	13106		78	9	4	2513
29	6	2	11928		79	4	9	2273
30	0	4	11608		80	8	7	2170
31	6	3	11600		81	9	5	2157
32	3	6	11574		82	9	0	1906
33	2	6	10701		83	10	2	1880
34	6	1	10696		84	10	3	1799
35	6	4	10389		85	2	10	1736
36	4	6	10098		86	10	1	1706
37	5	0	9960		87	5	9	1703
38	6	5	9508		88	0	9	1692
39	1	6	9212		89	9	6	1669
40	0	5	8388		90	3	10	1632
41	7	2	8029		91	1	10	1556
42	7	3	7639		92	8	9	1538
43	6	7	7575		93	10	4	1538
44	6	0	7299		94	6	9	1491
45	7	1	7074		95	4	10	1390
46	2	7	6994		96	10	5	1237
47	3	7	6785		97	9	7	1228
48	7	4	6619		98	7	9	1145
49	4	7	6430		99	10	0	1117
50	1	7	6244		100	5	10	1078

World Series Remaining Game Odds

With a maximum of two games remaining in the 2013 World Series this is the last installment of the reverse engineered game odds.  The only unknown left is the odds for Game #7.  The Game #6 odds and the final series winner odds are both out and from those two knowns we can reverse engineer what the Game #7 odds are (or should be).

     Individual Game Odds

Game #	Red Sox	Cardinals
Game 1	100%	0%
Game 2	0%	100%
Game 3	0%	100%
Game 4	100%	0%
Game 5	100%	0%
Game 6	53.16%	46.84%
Game 7	55.75%	44.25%
Series	79.27%	20.73%

And using the nifty spreadsheet calculator that one of my readers made for me, we can also see the chances that each team wins the series in X number of games.  There are only three possible outcomes left obviously and they are the Red Sox winning in six or seven games or the Cardinals winning in seven games.  Here is another table showing those odds.

Result	Chance %	Odds
	79.27%
Red Sox in 4	0.0%	NA
Red Sox in 5	0.0%	NA
Red Sox in 6	53.16%	0.88
Red Sox in 7	26.11%	2.83
	20.73%
Cardinals in 4	0.0%	NA
Cardinals in 5	0.0%	NA
Cardinals in 6	0.0%	NA
Cardinals in 7	20.73%	3.82

Red Sox vs Cardinals - World Series Game 5 Simulation Results

                                       Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Red Sox	Cardinals	Occurrences		Rank	Red Sox	Cardinals	Occurrences
1	1	2	4605		51	7	3	565
2	2	3	4516		52	7	1	558
3	3	4	3443		53	6	0	552
4	2	1	3214		54	1	8	502
5	3	2	3180		55	5	7	495
6	0	1	2873		56	7	5	485
7	1	3	2820		57	3	8	453
8	4	3	2422		58	7	6	424
9	3	1	2362		59	0	8	418
10	2	4	2359		60	2	9	396
11	1	4	2255		61	7	0	377
12	0	2	2239		62	8	3	375
13	4	5	2233		63	8	2	374
14	1	0	2142		64	1	9	367
15	4	2	2117		65	4	8	351
16	0	3	1986		66	8	1	348
17	2	0	1793		67	3	9	343
18	4	1	1771		68	5	8	316
19	2	5	1748		69	8	4	308
20	0	4	1672		70	0	9	304
21	1	5	1659		71	8	5	277
22	3	5	1558		72	7	8	276
23	5	4	1533		73	4	9	256
24	3	0	1512		74	9	2	254
25	5	2	1481		75	8	0	249
26	5	3	1471		76	1	10	231
27	5	1	1253		77	8	6	228
28	2	6	1249		78	2	10	225
29	5	6	1216		79	6	8	225
30	0	5	1188		80	9	3	216
31	4	0	1167		81	9	1	211
32	1	6	1150		82	0	10	204
33	3	6	1132		83	3	10	198
34	6	3	1003		84	8	7	198
35	6	2	958		85	9	4	193
36	4	6	918		86	5	9	165
37	1	7	912		87	9	5	164
38	6	4	857		88	4	10	162
39	0	6	854		89	9	0	159
40	6	5	844		90	10	3	149
41	5	0	828		91	6	9	144
42	2	7	814		92	2	11	143
43	6	1	792		93	10	1	141
44	3	7	704		94	1	11	137
45	4	7	636		95	9	6	135
46	0	7	606		96	8	9	128
47	7	4	597		97	10	2	127
48	6	7	595		98	9	7	123
49	7	2	578		99	0	11	118
50	2	8	571		100	3	11	113

Red Sox vs Cardinals - World Series Game 4 Simulation Results

                                       Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Red Sox	Cardinals	Occurrences		Rank	Red Sox	Cardinals	Occurrences
1	2	3	4134		51	7	1	665
2	1	2	3603		52	7	6	629
3	3	4	3391		53	5	7	598
4	3	2	2866		54	6	0	569
5	2	1	2674		55	0	7	561
6	4	3	2535		56	2	8	542
7	1	3	2373		57	8	3	530
8	4	5	2328		58	8	2	528
9	2	4	2280		59	3	8	514
10	3	1	2163		60	1	8	493
11	4	2	2153		61	8	4	465
12	1	4	1964		62	8	5	447
13	0	1	1903		63	4	8	444
14	5	4	1774		64	8	1	441
15	4	1	1701		65	7	0	433
16	2	5	1685		66	1	9	420
17	0	2	1672		67	0	8	376
18	3	5	1652		68	7	8	376
19	5	3	1643		69	5	8	370
20	5	2	1619		70	3	9	366
21	1	0	1593		71	2	9	360
22	2	0	1562		72	8	6	351
23	0	3	1544		73	9	3	340
24	1	5	1534		74	8	0	315
25	5	6	1496		75	9	2	308
26	5	1	1372		76	9	4	301
27	3	0	1342		77	6	8	300
28	0	4	1250		78	9	1	292
29	6	3	1209		79	4	9	290
30	2	6	1175		80	8	7	272
31	3	6	1150		81	2	10	251
32	6	2	1118		82	1	10	240
33	6	4	1108		83	0	9	233
34	1	6	1085		84	9	5	221
35	6	5	1083		85	4	10	214
36	4	0	1059		86	3	10	207
37	0	5	1044		87	10	2	206
38	4	6	1023		88	5	9	205
39	6	1	909		89	10	3	200
40	6	7	817		90	8	9	196
41	5	0	807		91	9	6	196
42	1	7	803		92	6	9	182
43	2	7	793		93	10	4	179
44	3	7	779		94	10	1	172
45	7	4	761		95	2	11	158
46	0	6	759		96	3	11	157
47	7	3	759		97	9	0	157
48	4	7	713		98	9	7	149
49	7	2	698		99	0	10	148
50	7	5	667		100	10	5	141

Red Sox vs Cardinals - World Series Game Three Simulation Results

                                       Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Red Sox	Cardinals	Occurrences		Rank	Red Sox	Cardinals	Occurrences
1	2	3	42948		51	7	5	5988
2	1	2	39386		52	4	7	5746
3	3	4	34579		53	8	2	5340
4	3	2	34437		54	8	3	5065
5	2	1	31669		55	7	0	4965
6	4	3	27558		56	7	6	4930
7	3	1	25972		57	5	7	4921
8	1	3	25255		58	8	1	4567
9	4	2	24954		59	8	4	4314
10	4	5	23285		60	2	8	4309
11	2	4	23199		61	0	7	4220
12	0	1	21848		62	3	8	3973
13	4	1	20504		63	1	8	3933
14	1	4	19894		64	8	5	3770
15	1	0	18953		65	9	2	3396
16	2	0	18407		66	4	8	3313
17	5	2	18295		67	9	3	3118
18	5	3	18030		68	8	0	3091
19	0	2	17869		69	7	8	3048
20	5	4	17791		70	8	6	2962
21	2	5	16750		71	9	1	2951
22	3	5	16213		72	5	8	2838
23	3	0	16131		73	9	4	2740
24	0	3	15911		74	0	8	2668
25	5	1	14740		75	2	9	2637
26	1	5	14168		76	3	9	2536
27	5	6	13207		77	1	9	2466
28	4	0	12717		78	8	7	2355
29	0	4	12516		79	6	8	2297
30	6	3	12475		80	9	5	2069
31	6	2	12189		81	9	0	2041
32	6	4	11058		82	4	9	2002
33	2	6	10874		83	10	2	1900
34	3	6	10684		84	10	3	1839
35	6	1	10537		85	10	1	1815
36	6	5	10108		86	9	6	1761
37	5	0	9662		87	2	10	1657
38	4	6	9613		88	10	4	1615
39	1	6	9589		89	0	9	1598
40	0	5	9303		90	5	9	1591
41	7	2	8209		91	3	10	1532
42	7	3	7940		92	1	10	1475
43	7	4	7458		93	6	9	1314
44	7	1	7135		94	10	5	1314
45	6	0	7028		95	10	0	1238
46	6	7	6862		96	9	7	1230
47	2	7	6788		97	8	9	1202
48	3	7	6475		98	4	10	1178
49	1	7	6343		99	11	2	1149
50	0	6	6312		100	11	3	1092