April 24th Simulations

Dodgers Dogs In Rubber Game ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Cubs	H.Kuroda vs C.Zambrano	Cubs	54.55%	59.94%	LAN 7-3
White Sox	Tigers	J.Danks vs M.Scherzer	Tigers	54.55%	56.79%	DET 3-0
Rockies	Marlins	U.Jimenez vs J.Johnson	Marlins	57.63%	55.88%	FLA 6-3
DBacks	Mets	A.Galarraga vs J.Niese	Mets	57.98%	63.88%	NYN 8-4
Red Sox	Angels	J.Lackey vs M.Palmer	Red Sox	57.26%	58.82%	BOS 7-0
Nationals	Pirates	J.Marquis vs K.Correia	Pirates	55.56%	52.88%	WAS 6-3
Royals	Rangers	B.Chen vs C.Wilson	Rangers	67.21%	72.70%	TEX 8-7
Reds	Cardinals	S.LeCure vs J.Westbrook	Cardinals	52.61%	53.04%	STL 3-0
Astros	Brewers	W.Rodriguez vs R.Wolf	Brewers	59.51%	51.21%	MIL 4-1
Rays	Blue Jays	J.Shields vs R.Romero	Blue Jays	56.52%	58.49%	TB 2-0
Phillies	Padres	R.Halladay vs W.LeBlanc	Phillies	65.28%	56.42%	PHI 3-1
Indians	Twins	C.Carrasco vs C.Pavano	Twins	54.55%	55.15%	MIN 4-3
Athletics	Mariners	B.Anderson vs D.Fister	Athletics	55.56%	53.99%	OAK 5-2
Braves	Giants	B.Beachy vs J.Sanchez	Giants	55.95%	65.58%	ATL 9-6
Yankees	Orioles	F.Garcia vs C.Tillman	Yankees	54.34%	50.70%	NYA 6-3

Seasonal ROI: 0.01%

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April 19th Simulations

Dodgers Undefeated With Jerry Sands ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Braves	Dodgers	B.Beachy vs H.Kuroda	Dodgers	52.61%	55.62%	ATL 10-1
Indians	Royals	Jeanmar Gomez vs Bruce Chen	Royals	53.27%	52.54%	KC 5-4
Yankees	Blue Jays	A.J. Burnett vs Kyle Drabek	Yankees	50.98%	54.11%	TOR 6-5
Diamondbacks	Reds	Armando Galarraga vs Sam LeCure	Reds	60.00%	65.87%	ARI 5-4
Red Sox	Athletics	John Lackey vs Brett Anderson	Athletics	53.05%	62.65%	OAK 5-0
Tigers	Mariners	Phil Coke vs Doug Fister	Tigers	51.69%	45.32%	SEA 13-3
Nationals	Cardinals	John Lannan vs Jake Westbrook	Cardinals	59.68%	53.82%	Ppd.
Padres	Cubs	Dustin Moseley vs James Russell	Cubs	53.05%	55.02%	Ppd.
Giants	Rockies	Jonathan Sanchez vs Ubaldo Jimenez	Rockies	59.68%	54.06%	SF 6-3
Twins	Orioles	Carl Pavano vs Jake Arrieta	Orioles	50.74%	60.91%	BAL 11-0
Astros	Mets	Wandy Rodriguez vs John Niese	Mets	55.56%	55.68%	HOU 6-1
Brewers	Phillies	Randy Wolf vs Roy Halladay	Phillies	67.21%	68.07%	MIL 9-0
Pirates	Marlins	Paul Maholm vs Josh Johnson	Marlins	65.16%	61.96%	FLA 6-0
Angels	Rangers	Matt Palmer vs Colby Lewis	Rangers	63.37%	64.88%	LAA 15-4
White Sox	Rays	John Danks vs James Shields	White Sox	51.22%	49.95%	TB 2-1

Seasonal ROI: 0.23%

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Cherry Garcia or Kreamy Kuroda

April 14th Simulations ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Cardinals	Dodgers	J.Garcia vs H.Kuroda	Dodgers	55.16%	45.35%	STL 9-5
Skinny: Jaime Garcia is one of the pitchers that my simulator loves much more than the betting public obviously does. Let's see who is right!
Results: Well, the simulator called this result right. Of course one game sample sizes mean squat. But I'll take it.

Seasonal ROI: -1.28%

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April 3rd, Giants vs Dodgers Simulation

April 3rd Simulations ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Giants	Dodgers	B.Zito vs H.Kuroda	Dodgers	57.45%	57.50%	LAN 7-5
Skinny: Dodgers advantage in this game is mostly due to the starting pitching matchup. Zito has the tendancy to walk more batters and give up more HRs than Kuroda.

Seasonal ROI: 23.54%

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Simulation contest over at True Blue LA

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