Dodgers vs Rockies - Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores 9/4

Rank	Dodgers	Rockies	Occurrences		Rank	Dodgers	Rockies	Occurrences
1	3	4	26029		51	8	5	6685
2	4	5	24929		52	1	8	6631
3	2	3	22290		53	0	3	6202
4	5	6	21096		54	5	9	6186
5	6	7	16201		55	0	4	6161
6	4	3	16107		56	8	4	6008
7	5	4	15617		57	3	10	5845
8	3	5	15375		58	2	10	5809
9	2	4	14934		59	1	9	5744
10	3	2	13536		60	6	9	5680
11	2	5	13498		61	7	2	5617
12	6	5	13258		62	5	1	5489
13	4	6	13215		63	4	10	5452
14	1	2	13132		64	0	5	5443
15	3	6	13104		65	8	3	5359
16	5	3	12426		66	0	2	5125
17	6	4	11614		67	0	6	5036
18	1	3	11484		68	7	9	5030
19	2	6	11370		69	5	10	4829
20	7	8	11224		70	9	6	4712
21	4	2	11190		71	3	11	4610
22	1	4	11102		72	9	8	4598
23	3	7	10635		73	1	10	4596
24	4	7	10583		74	9	10	4559
25	5	7	10340		75	9	5	4547
26	7	6	10221		76	9	7	4546
27	1	5	10134		77	2	11	4512
28	6	3	9952		78	8	2	4500
29	2	7	9716		79	0	1	4488
30	7	5	9281		80	0	7	4451
31	5	2	9177		81	6	1	4428
32	7	4	8833		82	9	4	4363
33	1	6	8827		83	4	11	4322
34	3	8	8769		84	6	10	4194
35	4	8	8419		85	9	3	4077
36	2	8	8140		86	0	8	3961
37	2	1	8101		87	7	10	3723
38	5	8	8092		88	5	11	3720
39	1	7	7659		89	7	1	3597
40	3	1	7503		90	1	11	3551
41	6	8	7492		91	3	12	3493
42	8	9	7443		92	9	2	3479
43	8	7	7289		93	2	12	3361
44	7	3	7251		94	4	12	3341
45	6	2	7191		95	10	5	3265
46	3	9	7136		96	0	9	3230
47	2	9	6937		97	10	4	3203
48	8	6	6823		98	8	10	3165
49	4	9	6730		99	10	6	3135
50	4	1	6708		100	10	7	3118

Dodgers vs Rockies - Simulation Results 9/4

Dodgers vs Rockies - Top 50 Most Likely Final Scores 9/3

Rank	Dodgers	Rockies	Occurrences
1	2	3	36251
2	3	4	33412
3	1	2	28272
4	3	2	26103
5	4	5	25437
6	4	3	24351
7	2	1	20811
8	4	2	19816
9	2	4	19773
10	1	3	19703
11	5	4	18593
12	3	1	17402
13	5	3	17370
14	5	6	16890
15	5	2	15893
16	1	4	15713
17	3	5	15171
18	4	1	14697
19	2	5	14436
20	0	1	13227
21	6	3	13162
22	6	4	12854
23	6	5	12293
24	6	2	12006
25	5	1	11833
26	0	2	11817
27	0	3	11616
28	1	5	11597
29	3	6	10737
30	4	6	10344
31	2	6	10278
32	2	0	9901
33	6	7	9851
34	7	3	9733
35	1	0	9522
36	0	4	9413
37	7	4	9351
38	3	0	9209
39	6	1	9027
40	7	2	9006
41	1	6	8321
42	7	5	8173
43	4	0	8084
44	7	6	7499
45	7	1	7085
46	3	7	7071
47	2	7	7068
48	4	7	6992
49	0	5	6918
50	8	3	6899

Dodgers vs Rockies - Simulation Results 9/3

Dodgers vs Rockies - Top 50 Most Likely Final Scores 9/2

Rank	Dodgers	Rockies	Occurrences
1	2	3	32066
2	3	4	29458
3	3	2	28434
4	1	2	26169
5	4	3	24367
6	2	1	23642
7	4	2	23432
8	3	1	22532
9	4	5	21721
10	4	1	20776
11	5	2	19516
12	5	3	18610
13	5	1	17805
14	5	4	16949
15	6	2	15791
16	3	0	15773
17	4	0	15138
18	6	3	15005
19	6	1	14836
20	5	6	14340
21	2	0	14244
22	2	4	14197
23	1	3	13170
24	7	2	12918
25	5	0	12831
26	6	4	12816
27	7	1	12579
28	0	1	11753
29	7	3	11529
30	1	0	11487
31	6	0	11462
32	3	5	11180
33	6	5	11070
34	8	1	10146
35	8	2	10046
36	7	4	9791
37	7	0	9657
38	1	4	9322
39	2	5	9211
40	8	3	8768
41	6	7	8658
42	0	2	8379
43	8	0	7869
44	9	2	7774
45	9	1	7693
46	7	5	7624
47	4	6	7511
48	8	4	7105
49	3	6	6839
50	9	3	6586

Dodgers vs Rockies - Simulation Results 9/2

July 3rd, National League West Vegas Odds

Las Vegas odds for each National League West team for games played on Wednesday, July 3rd.  According to the odds, the Dodgers have a good chance to gain ground on the other National League West teams.

Away	Home	Away Starter	Home Starter	Favorite	Win Expectancy	Over/Under
Padres	Red Sox	Edinson Volquez	Jon Lester	Red Sox	64.1%	9.8
Giants	Reds	Barry Zito	Tony Cingrani	Reds	63.6%	8.9
Dbacks	Mets	Randall Delgado	Matt Harvey	Mets	64.3%	6.7
Dodgers	Rockies	Zack Greinke	Tyler Chatwood	Dodgers	52.5%	9.2

The Better Offense - Rockies or Dodgers

So there is this Buster Olney guy who gets paid money to write about baseball.  Recently, he put up an article where he ranked the best offenses in baseball.  More than a few Dodgers fans were up in arms when Buster ranked the Rockies offense a few spots ahead of the Dodgers offense.  I was asked by a couple followers on twitter to run the numbers through my simulator where I can take into effect things like the enormously friendly park that the Rockies hit in.

This is a pretty easy exercise for me to run in my simulator.  What I did is get park neutral offensive stats for both the Rockies and Dodgers lineups.  I took the 8 starting hitters for each teams, as listed at MLBdepthCharts website and gave each team what the simulator thought was its most efficient lineup.  I then gave each team the exact same starting pitcher, bullpen, bench and made all park factors league average.  I then ran five million individual game simulations, pitting the two teams together.  I let each team be the away/home team and repeated the above process for both a right handed and left handed starting pitcher.

So the only difference is the two hitting lineups, everything else is held constant.  The metric to determine the better offense can now be measured in how many of the five million games each team won.  Here are the results...

August 8th - Rockies vs Dodgers Simulation Box Score

                   |    Wins     Losses         RS        RA
  Dodgers  +-----------------------------------------------------------
                   |    62395    37605      404394  312679

  Vegas Odds: Money Line - Dodgers -195/+187 or 65.64% win expectancy
                         Run Total - Over 7-1/2 +108, Under 7-1/2 -118

Hitting

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Eric Young	4.335	1.074	0.809	0.188	0.009	0.068	0.244	0.308	0.321	1.197	0.288
Josh Rutledge	4.293	1.071	0.757	0.249	0.020	0.044	0.319	0.245	0.198	1.052	0.278
Dexter Fowler	4.046	1.080	0.759	0.216	0.045	0.060	0.383	0.239	0.413	1.214	0.322
Carlos Gonzalez	3.996	1.195	0.787	0.248	0.022	0.138	0.561	0.234	0.389	1.085	0.365
Tyler Colvin	3.972	0.967	0.599	0.231	0.017	0.120	0.510	0.185	0.314	1.035	0.306
Ramon Hernandez	3.900	0.931	0.722	0.186	0.001	0.022	0.335	0.119	0.238	1.010	0.265
Jordan Pacheco	3.866	1.026	0.758	0.223	0.006	0.038	0.320	0.118	0.154	0.818	0.287
Jonathan Herrera	3.678	0.922	0.654	0.209	0.012	0.047	0.287	0.123	0.249	0.893	0.290
Pitchers Spot	3.693	0.394	0.323	0.062	0.001	0.008	0.114	0.071	0.129	2.081	0.125
Dodgers
Shane Victorino	4.232	1.258	0.855	0.248	0.060	0.095	0.360	0.387	0.393	0.576	0.354
Mark Ellis	4.139	1.182	0.820	0.275	0.020	0.067	0.446	0.262	0.347	0.658	0.332
Matt Kemp	4.058	1.330	0.858	0.299	0.029	0.144	0.599	0.272	0.377	0.796	0.392
Andre Ethier	3.978	1.117	0.784	0.231	0.008	0.095	0.515	0.203	0.352	0.985	0.333
Hanley Ramirez	3.843	1.193	0.757	0.306	0.018	0.112	0.548	0.243	0.385	0.703	0.375
Juan Rivera	3.794	1.083	0.721	0.260	0.005	0.096	0.527	0.179	0.311	0.573	0.339
Luis Cruz	3.753	1.061	0.686	0.310	0.022	0.042	0.412	0.182	0.245	0.629	0.324
A.J. Ellis	3.509	0.986	0.732	0.203	0.007	0.045	0.383	0.149	0.386	0.751	0.330
Pitchers Spot	3.628	0.562	0.445	0.103	0.003	0.011	0.180	0.109	0.169	1.391	0.178

Pitching

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	FIP
Jeff Francis	5.930	4.179	2.011	7.017	0.489	3.880
Rafael Betancourt	0.403	0.499	0.078	0.350	0.024	2.064
Matt Belisle	0.424	0.416	0.073	0.420	0.019	2.328
Rex Brothers	0.590	0.713	0.281	0.551	0.046	3.229
Josh Roenicke	0.282	0.204	0.126	0.314	0.018	3.944
Matt Reynolds	0.222	0.215	0.073	0.244	0.032	4.137
Adam Ottavino	0.538	0.585	0.232	0.547	0.055	3.652
Mike Ekstrom	0.300	0.250	0.093	0.332	0.025	3.525
Dodgers
Chad Billingsley	6.645	7.444	1.581	6.235	0.408	2.471
Kenley Jansen	0.464	0.811	0.116	0.283	0.020	1.032
Brandon League	0.403	0.362	0.103	0.407	0.016	2.687
Javy Guerra	0.594	0.554	0.206	0.596	0.028	2.994
Randy Choate	0.251	0.292	0.081	0.219	0.010	2.368
Ronald Belisario	0.146	0.147	0.039	0.139	0.008	2.672
Shawn Tolleson	0.532	0.538	0.181	0.537	0.044	3.275
Jamey Wright	0.249	0.238	0.097	0.244	0.010	3.005

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard
Jeff Francis v Chad Billingsley - Tale of The Tape

August 7th - Rockies vs Dodgers Simulation Box Score

                                   Simulator Output
                   |   Wins      Losses       RS           RA
  Dodgers  +---------------------------------------------------
                   |   57865     42135     408570    359697

Vegas Odds: Money Line... Dodgers -164/+158 or 61.69% win expectancy
                       Run Totals ... Over 7-1/2 -105, Under 7-1/2 +105

Hitting

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Eric Young	4.372	1.141	0.857	0.198	0.010	0.076	0.282	0.348	0.395	1.036	0.307
Josh Rutledge	4.357	1.135	0.801	0.263	0.022	0.049	0.367	0.280	0.242	0.924	0.294
Dexter Fowler	4.064	1.145	0.804	0.228	0.047	0.067	0.439	0.272	0.497	1.062	0.344
Carlos Gonzalez	4.018	1.258	0.822	0.259	0.023	0.155	0.644	0.256	0.467	0.954	0.387
Tyler Colvin	4.008	1.015	0.624	0.242	0.017	0.131	0.582	0.209	0.376	0.908	0.323
Ramon Hernandez	3.947	0.979	0.755	0.198	0.001	0.025	0.390	0.136	0.289	0.885	0.279
Jordan Pacheco	3.934	1.071	0.792	0.231	0.008	0.040	0.356	0.136	0.185	0.711	0.297
Jonathan Herrera	3.732	0.972	0.687	0.219	0.013	0.054	0.328	0.143	0.301	0.782	0.305
Pitchers Spot	3.772	0.471	0.384	0.076	0.002	0.009	0.146	0.088	0.157	1.840	0.146
Dodgers
Shane Victorino	4.241	1.263	0.861	0.249	0.060	0.092	0.343	0.404	0.408	0.553	0.355
Mark Ellis	4.191	1.187	0.852	0.244	0.023	0.068	0.437	0.265	0.305	0.688	0.324
Matt Kemp	4.113	1.324	0.882	0.269	0.032	0.141	0.581	0.287	0.332	0.837	0.380
Andre Ethier	3.931	1.187	0.752	0.309	0.009	0.116	0.583	0.226	0.437	0.788	0.370
Hanley Ramirez	3.896	1.194	0.789	0.275	0.021	0.110	0.553	0.248	0.340	0.733	0.364
James Loney	3.797	1.146	0.785	0.280	0.008	0.073	0.517	0.204	0.350	0.509	0.352
Luis Cruz	3.792	1.033	0.694	0.272	0.024	0.042	0.435	0.170	0.218	0.654	0.309
A.J. Ellis	3.567	0.977	0.746	0.179	0.007	0.045	0.388	0.141	0.343	0.791	0.317
Pitchers Spot	3.662	0.555	0.453	0.090	0.003	0.010	0.170	0.106	0.149	1.451	0.171

Pitching

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	FIP
Alex White	5.958	4.145	1.970	7.067	0.483	3.855
Rafael Betancourt	0.425	0.478	0.095	0.392	0.026	2.424
Matt Belisle	0.421	0.397	0.081	0.432	0.019	2.478
Rex Brothers	0.586	0.712	0.274	0.544	0.045	3.160
Josh Roenicke	0.276	0.201	0.119	0.317	0.018	3.875
Matt Reynolds	0.225	0.225	0.061	0.243	0.031	3.797
Adam Ottavino	0.533	0.584	0.211	0.533	0.052	3.461
Mike Ekstrom	0.303	0.262	0.069	0.339	0.023	3.149
Dodgers
Aaron Harang	6.304	5.856	1.967	6.467	0.446	3.199
Kenley Jansen	0.446	0.781	0.112	0.269	0.021	1.052
Brandon League	0.393	0.352	0.100	0.390	0.014	2.648
Javy Guerra	0.608	0.563	0.210	0.602	0.029	2.997
Randy Choate	0.260	0.303	0.082	0.225	0.011	2.358
Ronald Belisario	0.153	0.155	0.042	0.143	0.008	2.656
Shawn Tolleson	0.682	0.684	0.232	0.676	0.058	3.313
Jamey Wright	0.423	0.408	0.165	0.415	0.018	2.980

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

Alex White vs Aaron Harang - Tale of The Tape

August 6th - Rockies vs Dodgers Simulation Box Score

                 |    Wins    Losses          RS        RA
 Dodgers  +------------------------------------------------
                 |   61950    38050      421177  333365

 Vegas Odds: Money Line - Dodgers -172/165 or 62.76% chance of winning
                       Run Total - Over 7-1/2 +100, Under 7-1/2 -110
Hitting

Name	AB	Hits	H1	H2	H3	HR	RBI	RUNS	BB	SO	wOBA
Eric Young	4.383	1.123	0.827	0.194	0.009	0.093	0.287	0.308	0.310	1.151	0.299
Josh Rutledge	4.318	1.161	0.787	0.296	0.019	0.059	0.358	0.263	0.227	0.925	0.304
Dexter Fowler	4.095	1.123	0.777	0.219	0.045	0.082	0.433	0.246	0.403	1.178	0.332
Carlos Gonzalez	4.075	1.158	0.802	0.189	0.019	0.148	0.556	0.229	0.331	1.268	0.343
Todd Helton	3.929	1.077	0.772	0.210	0.006	0.089	0.480	0.168	0.384	0.985	0.328
Ramon Hernandez	3.920	0.988	0.737	0.220	0.001	0.029	0.327	0.133	0.270	0.889	0.284
Jordan Pacheco	3.901	1.096	0.778	0.261	0.006	0.050	0.354	0.130	0.177	0.720	0.309
DJ LeMahieu	3.804	0.988	0.682	0.240	0.007	0.059	0.346	0.118	0.167	0.913	0.292
Pitchers Spot	3.721	0.469	0.375	0.082	0.002	0.011	0.140	0.083	0.150	1.824	0.147
Dodgers
Shane Victorino	4.180	1.247	0.830	0.260	0.044	0.111	0.392	0.393	0.487	0.575	0.366
Mark Ellis	4.126	1.171	0.812	0.267	0.019	0.073	0.463	0.262	0.402	0.692	0.336
Matt Kemp	4.035	1.315	0.838	0.292	0.028	0.157	0.628	0.269	0.440	0.831	0.398
Andre Ethier	3.959	1.099	0.761	0.226	0.007	0.104	0.537	0.199	0.412	1.010	0.338
Hanley Ramirez	3.817	1.177	0.738	0.297	0.018	0.123	0.578	0.240	0.451	0.725	0.381
Juan Rivera	3.787	1.070	0.712	0.251	0.005	0.102	0.547	0.175	0.357	0.592	0.342
Luis Cruz	3.754	1.046	0.675	0.304	0.021	0.046	0.420	0.181	0.284	0.651	0.325
A.J. Ellis	3.484	0.961	0.709	0.196	0.007	0.050	0.390	0.150	0.450	0.788	0.334
Pitchers Spot	3.645	0.552	0.436	0.101	0.003	0.012	0.183	0.111	0.197	1.450	0.179

Pitching

Name	IP	SO	BB	Hits	HR	PC	FIP
Drew Pomeranz	5.650	4.175	2.438	6.606	0.534	94.583	4.244
Rafael Betancourt	0.402	0.499	0.075	0.345	0.023	6.150	2.027
Matt Belisle	0.433	0.426	0.070	0.423	0.019	6.551	2.285
Rex Brothers	0.605	0.726	0.294	0.559	0.048	10.277	3.291
Josh Roenicke	0.301	0.216	0.129	0.339	0.020	4.981	3.920
Matt Reynolds	0.242	0.233	0.081	0.268	0.036	3.968	4.213
Adam Ottavino	0.643	0.694	0.267	0.643	0.066	10.715	3.627
Mike Ekstrom	0.412	0.345	0.124	0.453	0.033	6.594	3.457
Dodgers
Chris Capuano	6.527	6.844	1.543	6.586	0.485	102.636	2.779
Kenley Jansen	0.457	0.787	0.113	0.286	0.020	7.145	1.056
Brandon League	0.389	0.340	0.102	0.401	0.014	6.088	2.706
Javy Guerra	0.591	0.544	0.209	0.606	0.025	9.558	2.978
Randy Choate	0.260	0.298	0.079	0.235	0.011	4.131	2.349
Ronald Belisario	0.151	0.152	0.041	0.150	0.007	2.386	2.621
Shawn Tolleson	0.581	0.581	0.199	0.598	0.045	9.446	3.246
Jamey Wright	0.319	0.307	0.130	0.320	0.013	5.245	3.035

Drew Pomeranz / Chris Capuano Tail of The Tape

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard

June 3rd Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Unit Bets
ARI	SD	Trevor Cahill vs Eric Stults	ARI	52.94%	49.12%	SD, 1.2
BAL	TB	Jake Arrieta vs Matt Moore	TB	57.17%	52.84%	BAL, 1.3
MIN	CLE	Scott Diamond vs Justin Masterson	CLE	57.72%	53.29%	MIN, 1.3
OAK	KC	Tom Milone vs Vin Mazzaro	KC	55.06%	55.56%	---
SEA	CHA	Kevin Millwood vs Chris Sale	CHA	63.57%	62.04%	SEA, 0.3
TEX	LAA	Matt Harrison vs Dan Haren	LAA	52.27%	52.46%	---
NYA	DET	Phil Hughes vs Justin Verlander	DET	63.03%	62.51%	---
BOS	TOR	Daniel Bard vs Drew Hutchison	TOR	51.10%	56.10%	TOR, 1.7
STL	NYN	Jake Westbrook vs John Niese	STL	50.74%	54.25%	STL, 1.3
ATL	WAS	Tommy Hanson vs Gio Gonzalez	WAS	57.36%	66.92%	WAS, 4.1
FLA	PHI	Carlos Zambrano vs Joe Blanton	PHI	50.62%	50.66%	---
CIN	HOU	Bronson Arroyo vs Jordan Lyles	CIN	OFF	54.24%	---
PIT	MIL	James McDonald vs Michael Fiers	MIL	52.49%	47.59%	PIT, 1.6
LAN	COL	Nathan Eovaldi vs Alex White	COL	53.81%	55.83%	COL, 0.6
CHN	SF	Travis Wood vs Barry Zito	SF	58.76%	56.41%	CHN, 0.6

Saturday's Results: -0.1 units
Current ROI: 5.38%

Yahoo MLB Scoreboard
MLB Depth Charts
Daily Baseball Lineups

June 2nd Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Units Bet
ARI	SD	Daniel Hudson vs Edinson Volquez	SD	50.74%	57.57%	SD, 1.5
BAL	TB	Brian Matusz vs Jeremy Hellickson	TB	60.24%	52.92%	BAL, 1.0
LAN	COL	Aaron Harang vs Juan Nicasio	COL	57.17%	57.53%	---
MIN	CLE	P.J. Walters vs Josh Tomlin	CLE	56.04%	60.13%	CLE, 0.9
OAK	KC	Brandon McCarthy vs Luke Hochevar	KC	54.23%	57.29%	KC, 0.6
SEA	CHA	Hector Noesi vs Gavin Floyd	CHA	59.76%	61.33%	CHA, 0.3
TEX	LAA	Yu Darvish vs C.J. Wilson	LAA	50.25%	50.21%	---
BOS	TOR	Felix Doubront vs Kyle Drabek	BOS	52.94%	51.20%	TOR, 0.2
ATL	WAS	Brandon Beachy vs Stephen Strasburg	WAS	58.07%	57.98%	---
FLA	PHI	Ricky Nolasco vs Cole Hamels	PHI	59.10%	58.95%	---
CIN	HOU	Mat Latos vs Wandy Rodriguez	CIN	54.65%	52.46%	HOU, 0.3
NYA	DET	Hiroki Kuroda vs Rick Porcello	NYA	53.16%	47.99%	DET, 1.0
PIT	MIL	Erik Bedard vs Shaun Marcum	MIL	58.25%	59.68%	MIL, 0.3
STL	NYN	Lance Lynn vs R.A. Dickey	STL	52.94%	50.44%	NYN, 0.4
CHN	SF	Matt Garza vs Matt Cain	SF	60.08%	63.19%	SF, 0.7

Friday's Results: +0.5 units
Current ROI: 5.48%
Yahoo MLB Scoreboard
MLB Depth Charts
Daily Baseball Lineups

June 1st Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Units Bet
ARI	SD	Wade Miley vs Clayton Richard	ARI	53.60%	49.07%	SD, 1.2
BAL	TB	Wei-Yin Chen vs David Price	TB	62.48%	56.57%	BAL, 1.2
MIN	CLE	Carl Pavano vs Derek Lowe	CLE	57.89%	54.08%	MIN, 0.9
OAK	KC	Bartolo Colon vs Felipe Paulino	KC	58.07%	59.90%	KC, 0.3
SEA	CHA	Felx Hernandez vs Jake Peavy	CHA	56.99%	57.90%	---
TEX	LAA	Colby Lewis vs Jerome Williams	TEX	53.38%	53.73%	---
ATL	WAS	Mike Minor vs Stephen Strasburg	WAS	61.46%	64.59%	WAS, 0.9
FLA	PHI	Mark Buehrle vs Kyle Kendrick	FLA	50.86%	47.60%	PHI, 0.7
NYA	DET	C.C. Sabathia vs Casey Crosby	NYA	61.69%	55.54%	DET, 1.3
BOS	TOR	Clay Buchholz vs Henderson Alvarez	TOR	55.06%	51.48%	BOS, 0.8
STL	NYN	Adam Wainwright vs Johan Santana	STL	50.86%	45.29%	NYN, 1.4
CIN	HOU	Mike Leake vs J.A. Happ	CIN	53.81%	55.02%	---
PIT	MIL	Kevin Correia vs Randy Wolf	MIL	56.04%	59.85%	MIL, 1.0
LAN	COL	Chris Capuano vs Josh Outman	COL	51.57%	53.53%	COL, 0.3
CHN	SF	Paul Maholm vs Madison Bumgarner	SF	61.32%	62.60%	---

Thursday's Results: No bets
Current ROI: 5.47%

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MLB Depth Charts
Daily Baseball Lineups

May 13th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
LAA	TEX	Jered Weaver vs Neftali Feliz	TEX	55.65%	58.56%	TBD
CLE	BOS	Justin Masterson vs Daniel Bard	BOS	56.04%	49.92%	TBD
COL	LAN	Alex White vs Ted Lilly	LAN	59.60%	NA	TBD
KC	CHA	Danny Duffy vs Phil Humber	CHA	54.85%	58.15%	TBD
SEA	NYA	Kevin Millwood vs Andy Pettitte	NYA	63.57%	68.15%	TBD
WAS	CIN	Edwin Jackson vs Bronson Arroyo	CIN	55.26%	50.41%	TBD
NYN	FLA	John Niese vs Carlos Zambrano	FLA	57.17%	60.21%	TBD
HOU	PIT	Wandy Rodriguez vs A.J. Burnett	PIT	53.16%	55.11%	TBD
SD	PHI	Jeff Suppan vs Cole Hamels	PHI	65.81%	63.15%	TBD
TB	BAL	James Shields vs Jake Arrieta	TB	54.23%	49.66%	TBD
CHN	MIL	Jeff Samardzija vs Marco Estrada	MIL	53.60%	57.16%	TBD
TOR	MIN	Ricky Romero vs Scott Diamond	TOR	59.60%	NA	TBD
ATL	STL	Tommy Hanson vs Lance Lynn	STL	59.10%	53.51%	TBD
DET	OAK	Justin Verlander vs Jarrod Parker	DET	62.62%	61.41%	TBD
SF	ARI	Barry Zito vs Joe Saunders	ARI	57.54%	59.84%	TBD

Current ROI: 9.40%

MLB.COM Scoreboard
MLB Depth Charts

May 12th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
LAA	TEX	C.J. Wilson vs Matt Harrison	TEX	60.00%	56.28%	TBD
CHN	MIL	Chris Volstad vs Shaun Marcum	MIL	64.09%	66.38%	TBD
CLE	BOS	Josh Tomlin vs Felix Doubront	BOS	56.24%	55.66%	TBD
COL	LAN	Juan Nicasio vs Aaron Harang	LAN	55.85%	NA	TBD
KC	CHA	Luke Hochevar vs Jake Peavy	CHA	57.98%	60.51%	TBD
WAS	CIN	Jordan Zimmerman vs Mat Latos	CIN	54.02%	60.67%	TBD
SEA	NYA	Hector Noesi vs Phil Hughes	NYA	64.35%	69.52%	TBD
HOU	PIT	J.A. Happ vs Charlie Morton	PIT	55.65%	63.29%	TBD
SD	PHI	Edinson Volquez vs Roy Halladay	PHI	65.93%	63.47%	TBD
TB	BAL	Matt Moore vs Brian Matusz	TB	53.81%	49.22%	TBD
NYN	FLA	R.A. Dickey vs Ricky Nolasco	FLA	55.65%	62.94%	TBD
TOR	MIN	Drew Hutchison vs P.J. Walters	TOR	55.26%	NA	TBD
ATL	STL	Brandon Beachy vs Adam Wainwright	STL	54.95%	51.35%	TBD
DET	OAK	Doug Fister vs Brandon McCarthy	DET	55.85%	55.29%	TBD
SF	ARI	Matt Cain vs Trevor Cahill	SF	50.62%	50.14%	TBD

Current ROI: 8.97%

MLB.COM Scoreboard
MLB Depth Charts

May 11th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
LAA	TEX	C.J. Wilson vs Yu Darvish	TEX	58.93%	62.33%	TBD
CLE	BOS	Ubaldo Jimenez vs Clay Buchholz	CLE	53.16%	50.46%	TBD
COL	LAN	Jamie Moyer vs Chris Capuano	LAN	63.03%	TBD	TBD
KC	CHA	Felipe Paulino vs Gavin Floyd	CHA	58.07%	59.90%	TBD
WAS	CIN	Gio Gonzalez vs Mike Leake	WAS	51.81%	50.68%	TBD
HOU	PIT	Bud Norris vs James McDonald	PIT	55.65%	59.88%	TBD
SD	PHI	Clayton Richard vs Vance Worley	PHI	62.62%	58.58%	TBD
SEA	NYA	Felx Hernandez vs Hiroki Kuroda	NYA	56.80%	57.89%	TBD
TB	BAL	Jeremy Hellickson vs Dana Eveland	BAL	NA	55.49%	TBD
NYN	FLA	Johan Santana vs Mark Buehrle	FLA	53.38%	56.56%	TBD
CHN	MIL	Matt Garza vs Randy Wolf	CHN	50.62%	46.55%	TBD
TOR	MIN	Kyle Drabek vs Nick Blackburn	TOR	57.89%	TBD	TBD
ATL	STL	Mike Minor vs Jaime Garcia	STL	58.76%	59.96%	TBD
SF	ARI	Madison Bumgarner vs Pat Corbin	SF	54.65%	49.09%	TBD
DET	OAK	Rick Porcello vs Tom Milone	DET	53.81%	52.65%	TBD

Current ROI: 8.70%

MLB.COM Scoreboard
MLB Depth Charts

May 2nd Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
CHN	CIN	Jeff Samardzija vs Bronson Arroyo	CIN	TBD	63.87%	TBD
CLE	CHA	Josh Tomlin vs Phil Humber	CHA	TBD	53.29%	TBD
MIL	SD	Yovanni Gallardo vs Jeff Suppan	MIL	TBD	53.82%	TBD
MIN	LAA	Liam Hendriks vs Jered Weaver	LAA	TBD	65.01%	TBD
OAK	BOS	Brandon McCarthy vs Daniel Bard	BOS	TBD	55.45%	TBD
PHI	ATL	Roy Halladay vs Tommy Hanson	PHI	TBD	54.34%	TBD
SEA	TB	Blake Beavan vs James Shields	TB	TBD	66.65%	TBD
TEX	TOR	Matt Harrison vs Ricky Romero	TEX	TBD	58.58%	TBD
NYN	HOU	Chris Schwinden vs Wandy Rodriguez	HOU	TBD	50.94%	TBD
LAN	COL	Clayton Kershaw vs Drew Pomeranz	COL	TBD	50.67%	TBD
ARI	WAS	Joe Saunders vs Edwin Jackson	WAS	TBD	55.41%	TBD
BAL	NYA	Jake Arrieta vs Ivan Nova	NYA	TBD	63.02%	TBD
KC	DET	Jonathan Sanchez vs Justin Verlander	DET	TBD	71.20%	TBD
PIT	STL	A.J. Burnett vs Lance Lynn	STL	TBD	61.80%	TBD
FLA	SF	Carlos Zambrano vs Barry Zito	FLA	TBD	52.55%	TBD

Yahoo Baseball Scoreboard

May 1st Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
CHN	CIN	Jeff Samardzija vs Bronson Arroyo	CIN	59.92%	63.87%	TBD
CLE	CHA	Ubaldo Jimenez vs Chris Sale	CHA	55.46%	55.25%	TBD
MIL	SD	Shaun Marcum vs Edinson Volquez	MIL	52.27%	48.38%	TBD
MIN	LAA	Francisco Liriano vs Jerome Williams	LAA	59.92%	62.81%	TBD
OAK	BOS	Jarrod Parker vs Felix Doubront	BOS	61.83%	58.74%	TBD
PHI	ATL	Cole Hamels vs Brandon Beachy	ATL	54.65%	56.52%	TBD
SEA	TB	Hector Noesi vs Matt Moore	TB	65.34%	66.50%	TBD
ARI	WAS	Trevor Cahill vs Jordan Zimmerman	WAS	56.62%	56.14%	TBD
BAL	NYA	Brian Matusz vs Phil Hughes	NYA	63.70%	59.47%	TBD
KC	DET	Luke Hochevar vs Rick Porcello	DET	NA	64.42%	TBD
TEX	TOR	Neftali Feliz vs Drew Hutchison	TEX	57.72%	57.10%	TBD
NYN	HOU	John Niese vs J.A. Happ	NYN	55.26%	58.07%	TBD
PIT	STL	Charlie Morton vs Adam Wainwright	STL	63.70%	57.66%	TBD
LAN	COL	Ted Lilly vs Jhoulys Chacin	COL	52.72%	63.14%	TBD
FLA	SF	Ricky Nolasco vs Matt Cain	SF	59.92%	54.34%	TBD

Yahoo Baseball Scoreboard

April 30th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
MIL	SD	Randy Wolf vs Joe Wieland	SD	51.81%	51.28%	TBD
MIN	LAA	Nick Blackburn vs C.J. Wilson	LAA	69.23%	70.55%	TBD
OAK	BOS	Tom Milone vs Clay Buchholz	BOS	60.86%	56.07%	TBD
PIT	ATL	James McDonald vs Mike Minor	ATL	62.62%	64.68%	TBD
SEA	TB	Felx Hernandez vs Jeremy Hellickson	TB	54.02%	56.87%	TBD
ARI	FLA	Pat Corbin vs Mark Buehrle	FLA	61.01%	61.88%	TBD
BAL	NYA	Jason Hammel vs Hiroki Kuroda	NYA	61.90%	64.67%	TBD
CHN	PHI	Chris Volstad vs Vance Worley	PHI	61.32%	64.59%	TBD
KC	DET	Luke Hochevar vs Duane Below	DET	58.59%	63.18%	TBD
TEX	TOR	Yu Darvish vs Kyle Drabek	TEX	58.76%	57.25%	TBD
NYN	HOU	R.A. Dickey vs Bud Norris	NYN	51.81%	53.63%	TBD
LAN	COL	Aaron Harang vs Juan Nicasio	COL	57.17%	64.04%	TBD

Yahoo Baseball Scoreboard