Tigers vs Athletics - Simulation Results ALDS Game #5

Note: Vegas favors the Tigers, with a 50.4% win probability

                              Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Tigers	Athletics	Occurrences		Rank	Tigers	Athletics	Occurrences
1	2	3	47850		51	0	7	5421
2	1	2	46995		52	7	5	5267
3	3	4	35717		53	4	7	5221
4	2	1	35067		54	1	8	4650
5	3	2	34733		55	2	8	4638
6	1	3	27911		56	7	6	4490
7	0	1	27768		57	5	7	4434
8	4	3	25769		58	8	2	4302
9	3	1	25116		59	8	3	4064
10	2	4	22857		60	7	0	4026
11	4	5	22567		61	8	1	4000
12	4	2	22439		62	3	8	3956
13	0	2	21855		63	0	8	3590
14	1	0	21356		64	8	4	3547
15	1	4	20811		65	2	9	3182
16	0	3	19518		66	4	8	3170
17	2	0	18929		67	8	5	3149
18	4	1	18293		68	1	9	3113
19	5	4	16336		69	7	8	3068
20	5	3	16019		70	9	2	2835
21	3	0	15733		71	8	0	2751
22	2	5	15531		72	9	3	2720
23	5	2	15342		73	9	1	2611
24	3	5	15199		74	3	9	2607
25	0	4	14357		75	5	8	2586
26	1	5	14249		76	8	6	2549
27	5	6	12524		77	0	9	2363
28	5	1	12211		78	9	4	2206
29	4	0	11109		79	6	8	2184
30	0	5	10713		80	8	7	2130
31	6	3	10272		81	4	9	1965
32	2	6	10170		82	2	10	1951
33	1	6	9911		83	1	10	1864
34	3	6	9669		84	9	5	1860
35	6	2	9664		85	10	2	1843
36	6	4	9630		86	9	0	1809
37	6	5	9223		87	3	10	1759
38	4	6	8681		88	10	1	1746
39	6	1	8467		89	10	3	1745
40	5	0	7984		90	0	10	1552
41	0	6	7594		91	5	9	1530
42	1	7	7017		92	9	6	1507
43	2	7	7004		93	10	4	1421
44	6	7	6539		94	8	9	1350
45	7	2	6524		95	4	10	1260
46	7	3	6220		96	9	7	1240
47	3	7	6075		97	10	0	1193
48	7	4	5900		98	6	9	1191
49	7	1	5778		99	1	11	1175
50	6	0	5770		100	10	5	1149

Tigers vs Athletics - ALDS Game #2 Simulation Results

                                 Top 100 Most Likely Final Score

Rank	Tigers	Athletics	Occurrences		Rank	Tigers	Athletics	Occurrences
1	2	3	4683		51	0	7	537
2	1	2	4571		52	1	8	510
3	3	4	3537		53	7	5	506
4	2	1	3498		54	4	7	480
5	3	2	3435		55	2	8	478
6	0	1	2743		56	5	7	455
7	1	3	2720		57	7	6	445
8	4	3	2567		58	8	2	435
9	3	1	2499		59	7	0	420
10	4	2	2389		60	8	3	420
11	2	4	2183		61	3	8	416
12	4	5	2162		62	8	1	416
13	0	2	2159		63	0	8	371
14	1	0	2141		64	8	4	370
15	1	4	2016		65	7	8	347
16	0	3	1933		66	1	9	346
17	4	1	1849		67	4	8	329
18	2	0	1833		68	2	9	317
19	5	4	1567		69	8	5	308
20	3	0	1558		70	9	2	304
21	3	5	1530		71	9	1	301
22	5	3	1520		72	9	3	283
23	5	2	1473		73	0	9	282
24	1	5	1465		74	8	6	276
25	2	5	1456		75	3	9	265
26	0	4	1411		76	8	0	261
27	5	6	1291		77	1	10	253
28	5	1	1164		78	5	8	248
29	4	0	1107		79	2	10	242
30	6	3	999		80	6	8	226
31	2	6	997		81	10	2	223
32	6	5	971		82	8	7	208
33	6	4	967		83	10	1	206
34	0	5	960		84	4	9	205
35	3	6	936		85	9	4	204
36	6	2	934		86	9	0	203
37	1	6	921		87	0	10	179
38	6	1	857		88	9	5	178
39	4	6	806		89	3	10	174
40	5	0	761		90	2	11	165
41	0	6	674		91	10	3	165
42	1	7	651		92	5	9	162
43	7	3	646		93	9	6	152
44	2	7	635		94	4	10	150
45	7	2	629		95	10	4	148
46	7	1	618		96	11	3	148
47	6	7	615		97	10	0	138
48	3	7	589		98	1	11	137
49	7	4	588		99	8	9	136
50	6	0	548		100	9	7	128

May 24th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
ATL	CIN	Randall Delgado vs Homer Bailey	CIN	52.27%	53.55%	TBD
DET	CLE	Justin Verlander vs Justin Masterson	DET	60.40%	52.21%	TBD
MIN	CHA	Cole DeVries vs Phil Humber	CHA	58.59%	56.50%	TBD
SD	NYN	Eric Stults vs Jeremy Hefner	NYN	54.44%	50.80%	TBD
SF	FLA	Ryan Vogelsong vs Anibal Sanchez	FLA	60.55%	59.81%	TBD
PHI	STL	Joe Blanton vs Jake Westbrook	STL	59.27%	56.66%	TBD
LAA	SEA	Dan Haren vs Jason Vargas	LAA	52.04%	57.67%	TBD

Current ROI: 5.81%

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