2012 MLB Simulations
| Visitors | Home | Probable Pitching Matchup | Favorite | Vegas Win Prob | Simulator Win Prob | Bet Units |
| MIN | KC | Cole DeVries vs Wil Smith | KC | 57.17% | 60.18% | KC, 1.1 |
| SEA | LAA | Jason Vargas vs Ervin Santana | LAA | 58.93% | 61.84% | LAA, 1.2 |
| TEX | OAK | Scott Feldman vs Jarrod Parker | TEX | 55.85% | 51.74% | OAK, 1.2 |
| STL | NYN | Kyle Lohse vs Dillon Gee | NYN | OFF | 51.42% | --- |
| CHN | SF | Jeff Samardzija vs Ryan Vogelsong | SF | 56.62% | 52.33% | CHN, 1.3 |
| LAN | PHI | Clayton Kershaw vs Vance Worley | LAN | 53.16% | 46.38% | PHI, 2.2 |
| COL | ARI | Chris Friedrich vs Joe Saunders | ARI | 55.26% | NA | --- |
Sunday's Results: -3.2 units
Last Weeks Results: +0.5 units
Current ROI: 4.59%
Yesterday's Synopsis
Lost 3.2 units yesterday mostly on the back of the Nationals 3-2 loss to the Braves which had a big 4.1 unit bet riding. The Nationals got off to a quick start and took a first inning 2-0 lead. Tommy Hanson who has been pretty shaky this year was facing Gio Gonzalez who had been red hot coming in to the game. The simulator obviously liked this game as a big betting opportunity but Gio Gonzalez did not pitch particularly well and Tommy Hanson settled down and the Braves held on for a 3-2 win. Had the Nationals won this game, I would have had around a 3.5 unit gain for the day - but that is how it goes with baseball.
The games that helped offset the loss from the Nationals game were the Pirates winning a 1.1 unit wager as +108 road dogs with James McDonald facing a Brewers lineup without either Ryan Braun or Aramis Ramirez. The Twins won for the simulator as a +134 underdog against the Indians and the Blue Jays won a 1.7 unit bet as a slight favorite facing Daniel Bard who continues to pitch like crap this season.
Yahoo MLB Scoreboard
MLB Depth Charts
Daily Baseball Lineups
No comments:
Post a Comment