April 5th Simulations

Simulations will return on Monday 4/9

2012 MLB Simulations

Away	Home	Away SP	Home SP	Vegas Fave	Vegas Win Prob	Vegas O/U	Sim Win Prob	Sim O/U
LAN	SD	C.Kershaw	E.Volquez	LAN	58.93%	5.8	57.23%	5.59
Skinny: Two fairly weak offenses, a pitchers park and Clayton Kershaw on the mound all point to a very low scoring game. As long as Volquez is half way decent, it should be a pretty easy under on this one.
TOR	CLE	R.Romero	J.Masterson	TOR	53.16%	7.4	40.90%	7.13
Skinny: Justin Masterson is a better pitcher than given credit for here. He was basically a very similar pitcher to Ricky Romero in the 2011 season. Combine that with HFA and a decent lineup and the Indians make a nice underdog bet here.
BOS	DET	J.Lester	J.Verlander	DET	57.72%	6.9	54.78%	8.71
Skinny: Two very good pitchers meet two good very lineups. Simulator confidently says to take the over on this one.
ATL	NYN	T.Hanson	J.Santana	ATL	50.62%	6.8	47.62%	7.58
Skinny: Kind of hard to say what you are going to get from Johan Santana, but the simulator thinks that the Braves are a little overrated in this game. Take the Mets at home and the over.
PHI	PIT	R.Halladay	E.Bedard	PHI	61.32%	6.6	60.51%	6.40%
Skinny: Vegas and the simulator are in very good agreement on this game. Nothing to see here... move on.
WAS	CHN	S.Strasburg	R.Dempster	WAS	59.27%	NA	54.60%	6.91
Skinny: A little bit of value on the ML with the Cubs playing at home. Cubs will need to get to the Nationals bullpen in a close game to win this one.
MIA	CIN	M.Buehrle	J.Cueto	CIN	58.07%	7.8	58.17%	7.93
Skinny: Very little value here. Best to sit this one out.