Reds vs Pirates - NL WildCard Game Simulation Results

Top 100 Most Likely Final Scores

Rank	Reds	Pirates	Occurrences		Rank	Reds	Pirates	Occurrences
1	1	2	62779		51	4	7	4008
2	0	1	57497		52	1	8	3851
3	2	3	48423		53	0	8	3791
4	2	1	42044		54	6	7	3646
5	0	2	39518		55	7	4	3619
6	1	0	36247		56	2	8	3512
7	1	3	33464		57	8	1	3424
8	3	2	31816		58	8	2	3336
9	3	4	29768		59	7	5	2944
10	0	3	29268		60	5	7	2871
11	2	0	27457		61	8	3	2842
12	3	1	26510		62	8	0	2773
13	1	4	23985		63	3	8	2708
14	2	4	23120		64	1	9	2551
15	0	4	19978		65	0	9	2516
16	4	3	19802		66	7	6	2456
17	4	2	19448		67	8	4	2195
18	3	0	17841		68	9	1	2144
19	4	1	17115		69	2	9	2139
20	4	5	16209		70	9	2	2025
21	2	5	15872		71	4	8	1994
22	1	5	15039		72	5	8	1704
23	0	5	13777		73	3	9	1684
24	4	0	13168		74	9	3	1664
25	3	5	13021		75	8	5	1652
26	5	2	12658		76	9	0	1639
27	5	1	11838		77	1	10	1540
28	5	3	11713		78	0	10	1487
29	5	4	10721		79	7	8	1484
30	1	6	9898		80	9	4	1341
31	0	6	9768		81	8	6	1331
32	5	0	9224		82	2	10	1263
33	2	6	9017		83	6	8	1261
34	3	6	8391		84	10	1	1254
35	6	2	8124		85	4	9	1194
36	5	6	8003		86	10	2	1140
37	6	1	7920		87	3	10	1064
38	6	3	7118		88	10	3	995
39	4	6	6503		89	10	0	986
40	1	7	6362		90	8	7	958
41	6	0	6345		91	9	5	941
42	6	4	6238		92	5	9	924
43	0	7	6204		93	1	11	912
44	2	7	5530		94	0	11	842
45	7	1	5358		95	10	4	790
46	6	5	5312		96	2	11	781
47	7	2	5054		97	4	10	752
48	3	7	4523		98	6	9	736
49	7	3	4389		99	11	1	722
50	7	0	4286		100	9	6	702

July 3rd Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
LAA	CLE	Dan Haren vs Zach McAllister	CLE	TBD	52.40%	TBD
CHN	ATL	Chris Volstad vs Jair Jurrjens	ATL	TBD	64.94%	TBD
CIN	LAN	Johnny Cueto vs Chris Capuano	CIN	TBD	54.37%	TBD
NYA	TB	Ivan Nova vs James Shields	NYA	TBD	54.13%	TBD
TEX	CHA	Roy Oswalt vs Chris Sale	CHA	TBD	51.04%	TBD
FLA	MIL	Anibal Sanchez vs Marco Estrada	FLA	TBD	54.04%	TBD
SF	WAS	Tim Lincecum vs Jordan Zimmerman	WAS	TBD	52.60%	TBD
HOU	PIT	Lucas Harrell vs A.J. Burnett	PIT	TBD	59.12%	TBD
MIN	DET	Nick Blackburn vs Duane Below	DET	TBD	63.21%	TBD
KC	TOR	Vin Mazzaro vs Brett Cecil	TOR	TBD	53.32%	TBD
PHI	NYN	Vance Worley vs John Niese	PHI	TBD	54.40%	TBD
COL	STL	Jeff Francis vs Joe Kelly	STL	TBD	56.09%	TBD
SD	ARI	Andrew Cashner vs Trevor Bauer	ARI	TBD	61.44%	TBD
BOS	OAK	Jon Lester vs Bartolo Colon	BOS	TBD	52.94%	TBD
BAL	SEA	Wei-Yin Chen vs Felx Hernandez	SEA	TBD	59.28%	TBD

Previous Day: No bets
Current ROI: 4.00%
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June 14th Simulations

Johnny Be Bad ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Reds	Dodgers	J.Cueto vs C.Kershaw	Dodgers	54.85%	51.91%	CIN 3-2
Marlins	Phillies	C.Volstad vs C.Hamels	Phillies	66.44%	70.26%	PHI 9-1
Pirates	Astros	J.Karstens vs B.Norris	Astros	53.16%	56.00%	PIT 1-0
Royals	Athletics	D.Duffy vs J.Outman	Athletics	61.46%	60.71%	KC 7-4
Red Sox	Rays	T.Wakefield vs J.Shields	Rays	54.02%	51.74%	TB 4-0
Brewers	Cubs	Y.Gallardo vs R.Wells	Brewers	56.99%	51.16%	CHN 5-4
Mets	Braves	J.Niese vs J.Jurrjens	Braves	58.42%	51.23%	NYN 4-3
Giants	DBacks	M.Cain vs J.Collmenter	DBacks	52.49%	50.53%	SF 6-5
Rangers	Yankees	A.Ogando vs C.Sabathia	Yankees	58.07%	62.92%	NYA 12-4
White Sox	Twins	G.Floyd vs C.Pavano	White Sox	55.06%	52.27%	Ppd.
Cardinals	Nationals	J.Garcia vs Y.Maya	Cardinals	57.72%	65.54%	WAS 8-6
Angels	Mariners	J.Weaver vs D.Fister	Mariners	56.04%	50.13%	LAA 4-0
Orioles	Blue Jays	C.Jakubauskas vs C.Villanueva	Blue Jays	58.93%	49.69%	TOR 6-5
Indians	Tigers	J.Masterson vs J.Verlander	Tigers	63.03%	58.11%	DET 2-0
Padres	Rockies	W.LeBlanc vs J.Nicasio	Rockies	59.60%	59.52%	COL 6-5

Run Total Picks of The Day!
FLA vs PHI, Under 8.0 -108 1.1 units LOSS
PIT vs HOU, Over 7.5 +105 0.4 units LOSS
SF vs ARI, Over 7.5 +100 0.4 units WIN
CIN vs LAN, Under 6.5 -105 1.1 units WIN
TEX vs NYA, Under 8.5 -120 1.6 units LOSS
BOS vs TB, Under 9.0 -112 0.8 units WIN
CHA vs MIN, Under 7.5 +100 0.9 units Ppd.
KC vs OAK, Over 7.0 -127 0.4 units WIN
Daily Profit: -0.6 units

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June 4th Simulations

Dodgers Offense, Out of Sight Out of Mind ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Reds	C.Kershaw vs J.Cueto	Reds	TBD	55.00%	LAN 11-8
Yankees	Angels	C.Sabathia vs E.Santana	Yankees	TBD	61.44%	NYA 3-2
Braves	Mets	J.Jurrjens vs D.Gee	Mets	TBD	52.34%	NYN 5-0
Rangers	Indians	D.Holland vs F.Carmona	Rangers	TBD	53.42%	TEX 4-0
Astros	Padres	A.Rodriguez vs A.Harang	Padres	TBD	58.57%	SD 6-3
Athletics	Red Sox	T.Cahill vs J.Beckett	Red Sox	TBD	60.91%	BOS 9-8
Tigers	White Sox	J.Verlander vs E.Jackson	White Sox	TBD	51.97%	DET 4-2
Phillies	Pirates	K.Kendrick vs C.Morton	Phillies	TBD	50.75%	PIT 6-3
Brewers	Marlins	Y.Gallardo vs C.Volstad	Marlins	TBD	53.47%	MIL 3-2
Rockies	Giants	J.Chacin vs M.Bumgarner	Giants	TBD	54.70%	COL 2-1
Cubs	Cardinals	R.Wells vs K.Lohse	Cardinals	TBD	66.75%	STL 5-4
Nationals	DBacks	L.Hernandez vs J.Saunders	DBacks	TBD	52.61%	ARI 2-0
Blue Jays	Orioles	R.Romero vs J.Arrieta	Orioles	TBD	54.16%	BAL 5-3
Rays	Mariners	J.Hellickson vs D.Fister	Mariners	TBD	53.57%	TB 3-2
Twins	Royals	N.Blackburn vs L.Hochevar	Royals	TBD	50.83%	MIN 7-2

Run Total Picks of The Day!
Didn't have time to post picks
Daily Profit: 3.3 units

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