Showing posts with label Cory Luebke. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Cory Luebke. Show all posts

Monday, April 02, 2012

Cory Luebke Budding Ace Or Mirage




Cory Luebke, the Padres 27 year old pitcher made news this spring signing a four year deal with the club. Luebke who didn't really show all that much promise in the minor leagues has impressed heavily in over 100 innings pitched as a starter in the big leagues. While it is a very small sample size (IP-116), Luebke's skill related numbers have been great. How great? Let's take a look at the closest comparables to Luebke using the pitching skilled related stats of K/9, BB/9 and GB/FB over the past two seasons. Like I mentioned above, keep in mind the small sample size and the high probability for some regression from Luebke. The comparables are interesting though.

Cory Luebke9.752.550.96
Rank Pitcher K/9 BB/9 GB/FB
1Clayton Kershaw9.462.781.04
2Yovani Gallardo9.343.071.29
3Michael Pineda9.112.890.81
4Justin Verlander8.882.420.98
5Mat Latos8.882.661.07
6Josh Johnson8.932.511.39
7Brandon Beachy10.573.040.77
8Tim Lincecum9.453.41.5
9Zack Greinke8.782.31.37
10Mike Minor8.72.950.92
11Cole Hamels8.622.241.37
12Tommy Hanson8.522.760.99
13Erik Bedard8.73.341.11
14Jon Lester9.173.561.65
15David Price8.442.961.16
16Jered Weaver8.432.150.71
17Brandon Morrow10.533.730.91
18Felix Hernandez8.452.551.72
19Max Scherzer8.252.91.02
20James Shields8.212.291.18


Saturday, September 24, 2011

September 25th Simulations



Cy Finale ...


Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Final Score
Dodgers Padres C.Kershaw vs C.Luebke Padres TBD 52.45% LAN 6-2
Braves Nationals M.Minor vs R.Detwiler Braves TBD 54.71% TBD
Royals White Sox L.Mendoza vs G.Floyd White Sox TBD 59.90% TBD
Orioles Tigers B.Matusz vs B.Penny Tigers TBD 55.96% TBD
Reds Pirates D.Willis vs J.McDonald Pirates TBD 52.66% TBD
Athletics Angels R.Harden vs J.Pineiro Angels TBD 55.09% TBD
Cubs Cardinals R.Wells vs E.Jackson Cardinals TBD 70.52% TBD
Phillies Mets R.Halladay vs M.Pelfrey Phillies TBD 59.96% TBD
Blue Jays Rays B.Cecil vs W.Davis Rays TBD 57.27% TBD
Red Sox Yankees T.Wakefield vs A.Burnett Yankees TBD 60.42% TBD
Red Sox Yankees J.Lackey vs I.Nova Yankees TBD 60.06% TBD
Mariners Rangers C.Furbush vs D.Holland Rangers TBD 76.05% TBD
Marlins Brewers R.Nolasco vs C.Narveson Brewers TBD 57.47% TBD
Giants DBacks T.Lincecum vs J.Collmenter DBacks TBD 50.24% TBD
Twins Indians L.Hendriks vs F.Carmona Indians TBD 58.70% TBD
Rockies Astros K.Millwood vs L.Harrell Rockies TBD 57.93% TBD


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Monday, August 01, 2011

August 1st Simulations



Plundered ...


Dodgers vs Padres
Favorite: Dodgers ML: -130 +120 55.56% Simulator: 47.40%
Vegas Over/Under: 6.0 Over +102 Under -112
Simulator Over/Under: 5.90 Over: 40.33% Under: 59.67% Result: OVER
Top 5 Most Likely Scores: SD 2-1, SD 1-0, SD 3-2, LAN 2-1, LAN 1-0
Clayton Kershaw: IP 6.50, SO 8.10, BB 2.25, HR 0.34, FIP 2.42
Cory Luebke: IP 6.53, SO 8.06, BB 1.94, HR 0.52, FIP 2.66
Final Score: #32 LAN 6-2

Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Final Score
Phillies Rockies C.Hamels vs J.Chacin Phillies 56.71% 54.21% PHI 4-3
Athletics Mariners T.Cahill vs B.Beavan Athletics 52.83% 51.22% SEA 8-4
Cubs Pirates C.Zambrano vs P.Maholm Pirates 57.26% 55.86% CHN 5-3
Marlins Mets J.Vazquez vs M.Pelfrey Mets 52.15% 57.34% FLA 7-3
Indians Red Sox J.Tomlin vs J.Lackey Red Sox 63.37% 64.40% CLE 9-6
DBacks Giants I.Kennedy vs M.Cain Giants 54.95% 61.21% ARI 5-2
Yankees White Sox C.Sabathia vs J.Peavy Yankees 63.37% 58.18% NYA 3-2
Braves Nationals J.Jurrjens vs L.Hernandez Braves 57.81% 48.81% WAS 5-3
Cardinals Brewers C.Carpenter vs Z.Greinke Brewers 54.34% 49.32% MIL 6-2
Reds Astros B.Arroyo vs B.Norris Reds 53.05% 47.62% HOU 4-3


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