Dodgers vs Phillies - Simulation Results 8/18

Note: Vegas gives the Dodgers a 51.8% chance of winning this game.

June 7th Simulations

2012 MLB Simulations

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Bet Units
BAL	BOS	Brian Matusz vs Clay Buchholz	BOS	58.25%	52.95%	---
PIT	CIN	Kevin Correia vs Mike Leake	CIN	60.40%	63.15%	---
SF	SD	Matt Cain vs Jason Marquis	SF	57.54%	57.10%	---
TOR	CHA	Henderson Alvarez vs Jake Peavy	CHA	58.59%	63.03%	---
CLE	DET	Derek Lowe vs Casey Crosby	DET	52.49%	49.64%	---
LAN	PHI	Aaron Harang vs Cole Hamels	PHI	63.03%	63.09%	---
NYN	WAS	R.A. Dickey vs ChienMing Wang	NYN	53.60%	52.21%	---
CHN	MIL	Matt Garza vs Randy Wolf	MIL	52.04%	55.20%	---
TEX	OAK	Yu Darvish vs Brandon McCarthy	TEX	60.40%	58.20%	---
TB	NYA	David Price vs C.C. Sabathia	NYA	58.42%	61.06%	---
ATL	FLA	Mike Minor vs Mark Buehrle	FLA	56.62%	58.35%	---
STL	HOU	Lance Lynn vs J.A. Happ	STL	59.60%	58.62%	---

Wednesday's Results: No bets
Current ROI: 3.72%

Yesterday's Synopsis
No bets yesterday. Would've been a slight down day had I done so.

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June 8th Simulations

Dodgers Offense Is Back In A Flash Gordon ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Phillies	H.Kuroda vs C.Hamels	Phillies	63.84%	70.26%	PHI 2-0
Nationals	Giants	Y.Maya vs M.Cain	Giants	64.35%	68.21%	SF 3-1
Twins	Indians	C.Pavano vs J.Masterson	Indians	59.92%	61.29%	MIN 3-2
Cubs	Reds	R.Dempster vs B.Arroyo	Cubs	51.22%	38.37%	CHN 4-1
Cardinals	Astros	J.Garcia vs B.Norris	Cardinals	58.59%	59.48%	HOU 4-1
Rockies	Padres	A.Cook vs D.Moseley	Rockies	51.10%	51.61%	COL 5-3
Tigers	Rangers	P.Coke vs A.Ogando	Rangers	62.62%	59.87%	TEX 7-3
Rays	Angels	J.Shields vs J.Weaver	Angels	58.59%	59.84%	TB 4-3
Athletics	Orioles	J.Outman vs Z.Britton	Orioles	57.17%	56.82%	BAL 3-2
Mariners	White Sox	J.Vargas vs G.Floyd	White Sox	57.89%	54.60%	SEA 7-4
Braves	Marlins	D.Lowe vs R.Nolasco	Marlins	52.94%	57.31%	ATL 3-2
DBacks	Pirates	Z.Duke vs P.Maholm	Pirates	52.94%	58.05%	PIT 3-2
Mets	Brewers	M.Pelfrey vs R.Wolf	Brewers	61.83%	52.54%	MIL 7-6
Red Sox	Yankees	T.Wakefield vs A.Burnett	Yankees	54.65%	58.04%	BOS 11-6
Blue Jays	Royals	C.Villanueva vs D.Duffy	Royals	50.62%	50.91%	TOR 9-8

Run Total Picks of The Day!
MIN vs CLE, Under 8.5 +105, 2.7 units WIN
CHN vs CIN, Under 9.0 +100, 1.9 units WIN
ATL vs FLA, Over 7.5 +102, 0.8 units LOSS
STL vs HOU, Under 8.0 -115, 1.4 units WIN
OAK vs BAL, Over 8.0 -122, 1.2 units LOSS
BOS vs NYA, Under 10.0 +105, 1.3 units LOSS
Daily Profit: +2.6 units

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