Thursday, October 17, 2013

The Odds Couple of Games


Vegas now lists the Dodgers chances of winning the NLCS as 23.2% and gives them a 55.7% chance of winning Game #6 in which Clayton Kershaw pitches. From those two pieces of information we can reverse engineer the Dodgers odds in Game #7. Below is a table showing this information. The math is getting a lot easier with only two possible games remaining.

GameLAD PitcherSTL PitcherLAD Win%
         6C.KershawM.Wacha55.70%
         7H.RyuA.Wainwright41.70%
NLCS Winner23.20%

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