Wednesday, July 20, 2011

July 20th Simulations



Kershcum ...


Visitors Home Probable Pitching Matchup Favorite Vegas Win Prob Simulator Win Prob Final Score
Dodgers Giants C.Kershaw vs T.Lincecum Giants 55.85% 54.59% LAN 1-0
Cardinals Mets K.McClellan vs R.Dickey Mets 51.10% 48.92% NYN 6-5
Red Sox Orioles A.Miller vs J.Arrieta Red Sox 52.94% 53.57% BOS 4-0
Brewers DBacks C.Narveson vs J.Saunders DBacks 50.86% 46.53% MIL 5-2
Nationals Astros L.Hernandez vs B.Myers Astros 52.49% 49.48% HOU 3-2
White Sox Royals J.Danks vs B.Chen White Sox 52.94% 51.19% KC 2-1
Mariners Blue Jays J.Vargas vs B.Morrow Blue Jays 60.40% 60.84% TOR 11-6
Yankees Rays F.Garcia vs D.Price Rays 57.72% 53.86% NYA 4-0
Athletics Tigers B.McCarthy vs D.Below Tigers 54.65% 54.75% OAK 7-5
Reds Pirates J.Cueto vs J.Karstens Reds 54.85% 57.88% CIN 3-1
Padres Marlins A.Harang vs R.Nolasco Marlins 58.59% 62.04% SD 14-3
Rangers Angels D.Holland vs D.Haren Angels 56.62% 51.70% LAA 9-8
Indians Twins J.Tomlin vs N.Blackburn Twins 52.49% 54.99% MIN 7-5
Phillies Cubs V.Worley vs R.Dempster Phillies 50.11% 45.34% PHI 9-1
Braves Rockies T.Hudson vs J.Nicasio Rockies 50.62% 58.22% COL 3-2


Notes from today's Dodgers game: The over/under on today's game is 5.5 (O -117, U 107) is the 5th lowest over/under of the season so far from Vegas. According to the simulator it is the 27th lowest. The simulator says the OVER will hit 50.14% of the time, making this a very fair line.

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