July 20th Simulations

Kershcum ...

Visitors	Home	Probable Pitching Matchup	Favorite	Vegas Win Prob	Simulator Win Prob	Final Score
Dodgers	Giants	C.Kershaw vs T.Lincecum	Giants	55.85%	54.59%	LAN 1-0
Cardinals	Mets	K.McClellan vs R.Dickey	Mets	51.10%	48.92%	NYN 6-5
Red Sox	Orioles	A.Miller vs J.Arrieta	Red Sox	52.94%	53.57%	BOS 4-0
Brewers	DBacks	C.Narveson vs J.Saunders	DBacks	50.86%	46.53%	MIL 5-2
Nationals	Astros	L.Hernandez vs B.Myers	Astros	52.49%	49.48%	HOU 3-2
White Sox	Royals	J.Danks vs B.Chen	White Sox	52.94%	51.19%	KC 2-1
Mariners	Blue Jays	J.Vargas vs B.Morrow	Blue Jays	60.40%	60.84%	TOR 11-6
Yankees	Rays	F.Garcia vs D.Price	Rays	57.72%	53.86%	NYA 4-0
Athletics	Tigers	B.McCarthy vs D.Below	Tigers	54.65%	54.75%	OAK 7-5
Reds	Pirates	J.Cueto vs J.Karstens	Reds	54.85%	57.88%	CIN 3-1
Padres	Marlins	A.Harang vs R.Nolasco	Marlins	58.59%	62.04%	SD 14-3
Rangers	Angels	D.Holland vs D.Haren	Angels	56.62%	51.70%	LAA 9-8
Indians	Twins	J.Tomlin vs N.Blackburn	Twins	52.49%	54.99%	MIN 7-5
Phillies	Cubs	V.Worley vs R.Dempster	Phillies	50.11%	45.34%	PHI 9-1
Braves	Rockies	T.Hudson vs J.Nicasio	Rockies	50.62%	58.22%	COL 3-2

Notes from today's Dodgers game: The over/under on today's game is 5.5 (O -117, U 107) is the 5th lowest over/under of the season so far from Vegas. According to the simulator it is the 27th lowest. The simulator says the OVER will hit 50.14% of the time, making this a very fair line.

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